MLB Trends Thursday, August 21

MLB Trends Thursday, August 21

National League

Diamondbacks-Nationals
Miley is 0-2, 7.64 in his last three starts.
Gonzalez is 0-4, 5.13 in his last five starts.

Arizona lost eight of its last ten games.
Nationals won 12 of their last 14 games.
Six of last nine Miley road starts stayed under total.

Braves-Reds
Teheran is 1-3, 4.94 in his last four starts.
Holmberg gave up five runs in 2.2 IP (62 PT) in his only start.

Atlanta won five of its last six games.
Reds lost eight of their last nine games.

Six of last eight Teheran starts went over total.

Giants-Cubs
Bumgarner is 3-2, 2.36 in his last six starts.
Wood is 0-4, 6.80 in his last eight starts.

San Francisco lost four of their last five road games.
Cubs are 4-6 in last ten home games, pending result of suspended game.
Suspended game from Tuesday night will start at 4:05.

Seven of last ten Wood starts went over total.

Padres-Dodgers
Ross is 4-1, 1.88 in his last six starts.
Dodgers are 13-1 in last 14 Kershaw starts (11-1, 1.31).

San Diego lost four of its last six games.
Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.

Under is 12-4 in last sixteen Ross starts.

American League

Astros-Bronx
Keuchel is 0-1, 4.05 in his last three starts.
McCarthy is 4-2, 3.56 in seven starts for Bronx; they got shut out in both of his last two starts.

Astros lost seven of their last eleven road games.
Bronx lost seven of their last eleven home games.

Six of last eight Houston road games went over; under is 6-2-1 in last nine Bronx games.

Angels-Red Sox
Shoemaker is 3-1, 2.66 in his last four starts.
de la Rosa is 1-2, 6.00 in his last five starts.

Angels won seven of their last eight games.
Red Sox lost five of their last six games.
Seven of last nine Angel games stayed under total.

Tigers-Rays
Price faces his old team here; he is 1-0, 3.18 iu three starts for Detroit.
Cobb is 4-0, 1.55 in his last seven starts.

Tigers lost ten of their last fourteen road games, but won last two.
Tampa Bay lost seven of its last nine home games.

Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Tampa Bay games.

Indians-Twins
Kluber is 6-0, 1.45 in his last eight starts.
Hughes is 3-0, 1.33 in his last three starts.

Indians won seven of their last nine games.
Minnesota lost ten of its last fourteen games.

Eight of last nine Cleveland games stayed under total

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Miley 12-14; Gonzalez 11-9
-- Teheran 15-11; Holmberg 1-0
-- Bumgarner 14-12; Wood 13-12
-- Ross 13-13; Kershaw 16-4 (13-1 last 14)

-- Keuchel 12-11; McCarthy 4-14/5-2
-- Kluber 17-9; Hughes 16-9
-- Price 14-9/2-1; Cobb 9-10
-- Shoemaker 10-4; de la Rosa 6-6

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Miley 5-26; Gonzalez 7-20
-- Teheran 8-26; Holmberg 0-1
-- Bumgarner 6-26; 6Wood 6-25
-- Ross 7-26; Kershaw 3-20

-- Keuchel 5-23; McCarthy 6-25
-- Kluber 4-26; Hughes 5-25
-- Price 9-26; Cobb 4-19
-- Shoemaker 1-14; de la Rosa 4-12

Umpires
-- Az-Wsh-- Favorites won 15 of last 18 Hoye games.
-- SF-Chi-- Last four Dimuro games stayed under total.
-- SD-LA-- Underdogs won nine of last eleven Johnson games.

-- Hst-NY-- Four of last five Baker games stayed under.
-- Det-TB-- 10 of last 14 Little games stayed under total.
-- LA-Bos-- Favorites won six of last seven Fletcher games.
-- Cle-Min-- Four of last five Knight games stayed under.

Armadillosports.com

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, August 21

ARIZONA (53 - 74) at WASHINGTON (72 - 53) - 4:05 PM

WADE MILEY (L) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 53-74 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 53-74 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 22-40 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GONZALEZ is 55-31 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 55-31 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 19-8 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MILEY is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.59 and a WHIP of 1.480.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 2-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.350.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (66 - 61) at CINCINNATI (61 - 66) - 7:10 PM

JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. DAVID HOLMBERG (L)

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 31-43 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-33 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 41-18 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 36-46 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.050.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

DAVID HOLMBERG vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (59 - 66) at LA DODGERS (71 - 57) - 10:10 PM

TYSON ROSS (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 39-32 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 43-39 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 79-87 (+6.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 31-31 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 31-32 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 31-31 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 8-4 (+3.4 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.4 Units)

TYSON ROSS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ROSS is 0-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 1-4 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.1 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KERSHAW is 10-6 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 14-8 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-11. (-0.7 units)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (54 - 73) at NY YANKEES (63 - 61) - 1:05 PM

DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 49-105 (-38.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 39-99 (-33.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 28-84 (-32.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 11-3 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
HOUSTON is 24-27 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 25-32 (-14.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 29-31 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY YANKEES are 13-17 (-10.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 29-31 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 10-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
NY YANKEES are 32-39 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MCCARTHY is 9-16 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MCCARTHY is 4-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MCCARTHY is 4-10 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MCCARTHY is 3-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MCCARTHY is 4-10 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-1 (+5.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MCCARTHY is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (68 - 56) at TAMPA BAY (61 - 65) - 1:10 PM

DAVID PRICE (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 166-131 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 57-53 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-30 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PRICE is 21-26 (-21.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 61-65 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-36 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 13-18 (-12.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
TAMPA BAY is 19-25 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-15 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-36 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-39 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 6-16 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 27-37 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 32-38 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-3 (-0.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

ALEX COBB vs. DETROIT since 1997
COBB is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.479.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (75 - 50) at BOSTON (56 - 70) - 7:10 PM

MATT SHOEMAKER (R) vs. RUBBY DE LA ROSA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 75-50 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 738-719 (+66.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 18-8 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 70-48 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 59-37 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 54-33 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 41-15 (+21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA ANGELS are 19-5 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 56-71 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 77-85 (-29.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-37 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 10-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BOSTON is 52-62 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 40-51 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 37-48 (-17.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 30-38 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 28-38 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 193-191 (-51.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-2 (+0.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

MATT SHOEMAKER vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

RUBBY DE LA ROSA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.615.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, August 21

1:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. NY YANKEES
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Houston

1:10 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

1:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

4:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Boston
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing LA Angels

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. CINCINNATI
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

8:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games at home
Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco

10:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, August 21

StatFox Super Situations

SAN FRANCISCO at CHICAGO CUBS
Play On - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO) below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings 117-69 over the last 5 seasons.  ( 62.9% | 44.8 units ) 20-15 this year.  ( 57.1% | 2.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

SAN FRANCISCO at CHICAGO CUBS
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-16 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.0)

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, August 21

Arizona at Washington, 4:05 ET
Miley: 5-0 TSR as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Gonzalez: WASHINGTON 14-18 in home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

Atlanta at Cincinati, 7:10 ET
Teheran: ATLANTA 31-43 in road games after a loss
Holmberg: CINCINNATI 41-18 in home games after a loss

San Francsco at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Bumgarner: 8-1 TSR in road games after a win
Wood: CHICAGO CUBS 16-30 in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

San Diego at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Ross: SAN DIEGO 33-21 after allowing 1 run or les
Kershaw: LA DODGERS 17-6 OVER after having lost 4 of their last 5 games

Houston at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Keuchel: 8-3 TSR as a road underdog
McCarthy: 3-10 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Cleveland at Minnesota, 1:10 ET
Kluber: 22-7 TSR as a favorite
Hughes: MINNESOTA 31-51 in home games after a loss

Detroit at Tampa Bay, 1:10 ET
Price: DETROIT 52-39 OVER as a favorite
Cobb: TAMPA BAY 16-7 OVER in home games after scoring 1 run or less

LA Angels at Boston, 7:10 ET
Shoemaker: LA ANGELS 71-55 when the money line is +125 to -125
De La Rosa: BOSTON 8-19 at home when the money line is +125 to -125

TSR = Team Start Record

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Re: MLB Trends Thursday, August 21

Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Nationals are 15-0 since August 11, 2013 as a favorite after a win in which they drew 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1400.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Corey Kluber starts the Indians are 10-0 since June 22, 2013 as a 140+ favorite after a quality start for a net profit of $1000.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Indians are 17-2 since 2013 as a 130+ favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last three games.

CHOICE TREND:

The Red Sox are 0-13 since August 17, 2011 at home within 20 cents of pickem after a loss it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1338 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Gio Gonzalez starts the Nationals are 10-0 since April 17, 2012 as a 140+ favorite after facing 25 or fewer hitters and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $1000.

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