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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, August 12

MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, August 12

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Washington at New York

Washington dropping their finale of a three game set in Atlanta Sunday night look to get back into the win column when they visit New York Mets. Matt Williams' troops have Doug Fister toeing the rubber carrying a 11-3 record on the campaign with a 2.49 ERA over 16 starts (12-4 TSR). Fister's last start was a dominating one, allowing just one run over 7 1/3 innings in a win over these same Mets. Washington is certainly in good hands. Fister knows how to follow up a strong performance with another stellar effort. When allowing two or less runs in his previous start, the Nationals are 8-3 in his subsequent appearance on the mound. Adding to that betting nugget, Nationals are 7-3 with Fister following a team loss in their previous effort, 7-3 in his ten starts under the light's. This being a road game against the Metropolitans should get the attention of bettors keeping close tabs on Washington. The Nationals are already 3-0 this season at Citi Field and have won 18 of 22 as visitor in this series. Taking road favorite can be a risky proposition, though in this case, the amount of supporting data in favor of Washington makes it much less risky.

Colorado at San Diego

It will be a rocky road ahead for Colorado when they play the second game of this series in San Diego. The Rockies have lost 21 of the past 24 away from Coors Field platting less than 3 runs/game with the pitching staff surrendering a whopping 5.3 per contest. Adding to Colorado's road woes, they've lost all six of Yohan Flade's starts.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, August 12

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Yankees at Orioles

Probable Pitchers:
NYY: Greene (3-1, 2.89 ERA)
BAL: Chen (12-4, 3.90 ERA)

Series recap: Baltimore improved to 12-0 in its last 12 games off a loss with Monday’s 11-3 rout of New York as -120 home favorites. The Yankees have dropped three straight games, while scoring just four runs in this stretch.

What to watch for: The Orioles have won seven of 10 meetings with the Yankees this season, including a 3-1 mark at Camden Yards. New York is 3-0 in Greene’s three road starts this season, while winning at Baltimore in mid-July, allowing four hits in seven scoreless innings. Baltimore owns a 5-1 record in Chen’s past six outings, while the southpaw won at Yankee Stadium in early April as a short underdog.

Tigers at Pirates

Probable Pitchers:
DET: Ray (1-1, 4.70 ERA)
PIT: Volquez (9-7, 3.70 ERA)

Series recap: Following Sunday’s 19-inning marathon loss at Toronto, Detroit expectedly came out flat in last night’s 11-6 defeat at Pittsburgh as a short favorite. The Pirates jumped out to an 8-1 lead after two innings on Monday, as Pittsburgh scored just five runs in its entire three-game series against San Diego this past weekend.

What to watch for: The Tigers own a 2-6 record so far on their current road trip, with one of those wins coming in extra innings against the Yankees and the other victory in Toronto in which Detroit rallied for three runs in the ninth inning. The Pirates are 7-1 in Volquez’s past eight outings, while Pittsburgh has grabbed four straight meetings with Detroit since last season.

Dodgers at Braves

Probable Pitchers:
LAD: Haren (9-9, 4.57 ERA)
ATL: Minor (4-7, 5.42 ERA)

Series recap: The Dodgers scored six late runs to take care of the Braves in the series opener on Monday, 6-2 as +165 road underdogs. Los Angeles has won all four matchups with Atlanta this season, while posting a 7-1 record against the Braves since the start of the 2013 NLDS.

What to watch for: Atlanta has won five of its past seven games off a home loss, while the Braves are 3-1 in Minor’s previous four starts at Turner Field. Haren ended a five-game skid in his last outing by shutting down the Angels, 2-1 as a +140 road ‘dog, even though the Dodgers have scored two runs or less in each of his past four trips to the mound.

Red Sox at Reds

Probable Pitchers:
BOS: Kelly (0-0, 1.29 ERA)
CIN: Latos (4-3, 3.12 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Red Sox have alternated wins and losses through the first six games of their current road swing, capped off by a 3-1 victory over the Angels on Sunday. The Reds avoided a home sweep to the Marlins by routing Miami on Sunday, 7-2 as nearly -200 favorites.

What to watch for: Boston captured the first two meetings this season with Cincinnati at Fenway Park, both by 4-3 scores. The Sox are currently on a 5-1 ‘under’ run, while compiling a 5-13 record in their past 18 games. The Reds have won four of their past five home games against American League foes, while Cincinnati owns a 9-2 record in Latos’ last 11 starts as a home favorite dating back to last season.

Athletics at Royals

Probable Pitchers:
OAK: Lester (12-7, 2.44 ERA)
KC: Guthrie (8-9, 4.35 ERA)

Series recap: The A’s suffered consecutive losses for just the second time since the All-Star break after Monday’s 3-2 setback at Kansas City. The Royals have won three of four matchups with the A’s this month, while Kansas City is riding an eight-game winning streak to pull into first place inside the AL Central.

What to watch for: Looking past the eight-game hot streak, Kansas City owns a 16-3 record since a four-game skid coming out of the All-Star break. Guthrie scattered three hits in six scoreless innings of a 1-0 triumph at Oakland earlier this month as a hefty +200 underdog. Lester has won each of his two starts with the A’s since getting dealt by the Red Sox, while his teams are 9-1 in his previous 10 outings overall.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, August 12

MLB Betting News and Notes

Edwin Encarnacion, Toronto - Mid Aug

Encarnacion is on the 15-day disabled list with a Grade 2 strain in his right quad. He is on a rehab assignment and could rejoin the team for the series opener against the White Sox on Friday.

Under tends to follow this pitcher around

In Baltimore Orioles pitcher Wei-Yin Chen's last six outings, the Under is 5-1. Bettors banking on low totals will hope that trend continues when the 29-year-old gets the ball against the New York Yankees in Maryland Tuesday.

The Yanks counter with Shane Green. The O's are currently -134 faves with a total of eight.

Trend shows Minor mowing down NL West clubs

The Atlanta Braves have had a tough time manufacturing W's lately, but one particular trend is working in their favor for their matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday.

Mike Minor will be on the bump for Atlanta at home. In Minor's last 15 starts against NL West clubs, the Braves are 12-3. Dan Haren gets the nod for L.A.

The Braves are presently -121 faves with an O/U of eight.

Check out this ump trend before placing your bets

Joe West will be behind home plate for Tuesday's meeting between the Texas Rangers and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field, which is bad news for Rangers backers.

In Texas' last seven games with West calling balls and strikes, the Rangers are a pitiful 0-7. Tampa is currently -132 home faves with the total set at nine.

Tigers happy to see this ump behind home plate

The Detroit Tigers have struggeld to the point where they are no longer in first place in the American League Central and are hoping that having umpire Alfonso Marquez behind home plate will change their fortunes.

The Tigers are 14-3 in their last 17 games when Marquez is calling balls and strikes and he will be doing just that when Detroit visits the Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday. The Pirates are currently -120 home favorites.

Top Under umpire working the plate Tuesday

With an Over/Under record of 4-17 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes, you'd be hard pressed to find an umpire that has catered to Under bettors more efficiently than Kerwin Danley.

Danley is scheduled to work home plate at Turner Field as the Atlanta Braves host the Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday evening. Oddsmakers have tabbed the matchup with a total of eight.

Only Hal Gibson III (9-17 O/U) and Brian O'Nora (5-17 O/U) have as many games resulting in Unders and only Tony Randazzo (1-11 O/U) has a higher winning percentage for Under bettors among umpires with at least 10 games behind the plate.

According to our umpire stats database, there is an average of 5.77 runs scored per game when Danley is working the plate. That's the lowest per game total of any umpire with at least 10 games calling pitches.

Orioles' SS J.J. Hardy, questionable Tuesday

Hardy has a sprained left thumb and has missed the last two games. X-rays were negative and he is questionable to return on Tuesday against the Yankees.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, August 12

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

LAS VEGAS -- The Angels have lost four of their last five while struggling to score runs, and the Phillies have lost three of four while struggling with almost everything. The two teams meet tonight in Anaheim, each sending a starter to the mound who has had a rough time of it lately.

C.J. Wilson (8-8, 4.82 ERA) makes his third start after coming off the disabled list due to a sprained ankle. Prior to being out for a month, Wilson had been having trouble with location and allowed 19 runs over four starts covering 16 2/3 innings. In his two starts since coming back, his ankle is fine, but he’s still having a tough time getting batters out, surrendering 10 runs in seven combined innings of work. Over his last six starts, he’s 1-2 with an 11.03 ERA.

The Angels have the second-best record in baseball behind Oakland, and they’ve beaten the Phillies seven straight times, including twice at Philadelphia this season. But the -240 price on the Angels tonight just doesn’t add up.

The reasons for the big price begin with Phillies’ low team rating (they are are last in the NL East and have been outscored by 70 runs on the season), coupled with the high rating on the Angels. Home-field advantage, of course, is another factor. But the major reason the price is so high is that former Angels starter Jerome Williams (2-5, 6.71) makes his debut with the Phillies tonight after stints with the Astros and Rangers this season.

Williams made 26 relief appearances for the Astros this season without much success, including giving up eight runs in seven innings of work over three appearances against the Angels. When the Rangers acquired him, they turned him back into a starter, and Williams rewarded them by going six strong innings en route to beating Oakland, 4-1. However, in his next start -- at Cleveland on August 1 -- he imploded, allowing 10 runs in four innings.

Still, -240 with the Angels? With the slump they’re mired in, scoring only 13 runs and hitting .191 over their last six games? In 23 games since the All-Star break, the dynamic Angels lineup is batting an AL-worst .223. While the day off Monday might help their cause, sometimes it’s better for a team to clean the slate by hitting the road.

The best bet in tonight’s game is OVER 8 total runs, but a case could be made for taking a shot with the Phillies against Wilson, who has been so giving to opponents lately. The top play is the OVER with a smaller unit play on the Phillies at a nice price.

Tuesday selections:

Phillies/Angels OVER 8 (-110), 10:05 p.m. ET

Phillies (Williams) +215 at Angels

Pirates (Volquez) -120 vs. Tigers, 7:05 p.m. ET

White Sox (Sale) -115 at Giants, 10:15 p.m. ET

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