MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 4
MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 4
Game of the Day: Orioles at Nationals
Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals (-138, 7)
The Washington Nationals will host the Baltimore Orioles on Monday in a makeup game from a rainout back on July 8. That game was washed away following a 2 1/2-hour delay, prompting both teams to reconvene on a previously scheduled off-day nearly a month later. Both squads won twice over the weekend, with the Nationals splitting a four-game set against the Philadelphia Phillies and the Orioles taking two of three from the Seattle Mariners.
However, neither team enters this game with much offensive momentum. Washington totaled six hits in Sunday's 4-0 win over Philadelphia and did not homer in that game, giving the team a total of one home run over its last 11 contests. Baltimore managed five hits in squeaking past Seattle 1-0 on Sunday with Nick Markakis (3-for-4, home run) doing the bulk of the damage.
LINE HISTORY: The Nationals opened as -130 faves and now sit -138. The total has held at 7.
INJURY UPDATE: Nationals - LF Nate McLouth (Out indefinitely, shoulder), 3B Ryan Zimmerman (Out indefinitely, hamstring)
COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Orioles (-182), Nationals (-190)
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Washington's Tanner Roark remains one of the most underrated pitchers in the league and he is having a fantastic season. The Nationals' starter has an excellent 2.74 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in his 21 starts this season. It is no surprise as Roark was also dominant last year with a 1.51 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 14 appearances (5 starts) in 2013 when he debuted in the Major Leagues. Roark has been a model of consistency in his past five starts, going a full seven innings every time, including allowing just one earned run in each of his past four outings with an incredible 1.29 ERA and 0.71 WHIP during that span, winning all four games." Covers Expert Steve Merril
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The AL East-leading Orioles head in to National Park to take on their inter-state rivals, the NL East-leading Nationals. The Orioles come into this series winners of seven of their past 10 games and hold a 3.5 game lead in the East. The Nationals send 11 game winner Tanner Roark to the mound and expect to have Bryce Harper back in the starting lineup. So far we are seeing split action on the money line with the Orioles getting 58 percent of the action at +120 and 92 percent of the action to cover the 1.5 run run line." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (5-3, 3.70 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (11-6, 2.74)
Gausman's success in 2014 has largely been predicated around limiting the home run ball, as he has given up only two homers in 56 innings. The 23-year-old has not allowed a home run to a right-handed hitter all season and allowed just three extra-base hits - all doubles - against righties. Gausman made one start against Washington last season, allowing seven runs and three homers in four innings.
Roark is coming off a terrific month in which he went 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA, including four straight starts allowing exactly one run over seven innings to close it out. He held opponents to a .198 average in July and gave up only three hits in each of his final two starts. None of the current Orioles players has ever faced Roark, who leads the Nationals in victories.
* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Washington.
* Orioles are 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
* Nationals are 4-0 in Roark's last four starts.
* Over is 7-1 in National's last eight interleague home games.
COVERS CONSENSUS: 52.67 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are behind the Nationals.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 4
MLB Betting News and Notes
Rangers ice cold with this pitcher on the hill
As the Texas Rangers woeful season continues, their backers won't have a lot of reason to be optimistic with Nicholas Martinez on the bump for their matchup against the Chicago White Sox in Illinois Monday. The Rangers are an ugly 0-8 in Martinez's last eight outings.
The ChiSox are currently -143 faves with a total of 9.5.
Giants struggling behind Hudson as of late
After enjoying a nice start to the season, the San Francisco Giants have gone ice cold behind veteran pitcher Tim Hudson, winning just two out of the 39-year-old's last eight starts.
Hudson and the Giants will try to buck that trend when they visit the New York Mets at Citi Field Monday. San Fran are presently -121 faves with an O/U of seven.
McCarthy on fire since trade to Big Apple
It's been quite the turnaround for Brandon McCarthy. Since being traded from the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks to the New York Yankees in June, the Yankees have won all four games McCarthy has started in pinstripes. He'll get the ball again for the Bronx Bombers when they host the Detroit Tigers Monday.
Detroit are -127 faves on the moneyline with a total of -127.
Post-trade Padres are trending upward
Suddenly, things are going the San Diego Padres' way.
The Padres continued their second-half surge Sunday with a 10-inning, 4-3 win over the Atlanta Braves to complete a three-game sweep. The win capped a 5-1 homestand against two playoff contenders -- the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta.
Heavy Cy: Yanks set to face Detroit's three aces
Now all the Yankees have to worry about is facing the past three American League Cy Young Award winners over the next three nights.
Detroit Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer, the 2013 winner, on Monday.
Left-hander David Price, the 2012 winner making his Tigers debut, on Tuesday.
Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander, who won it in 2011, on Wednesday.
Oh, and then there's Detroit right-hander Rick Porcello (13-5) on Thursday.
However, the Yankees, whose bats have struggled all year, come into the series on a bit of an offensive roll.
They scored 14 runs in their last two games -- both wins -- in Boston, including an 8-7, come-from-behind win over the Red Sox on Sunday night.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 4
Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
Tigers at Yankees
DET: Scherzer (13-3, 3.27 ERA)
NYY: McCarthy (3-0, 2.55 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Tigers finished off a three-game home sweep of the Rockies, capped off by Sunday’s 4-0 shutout as -230 favorites. The Yankees rallied past the Red Sox on Sunday night, 8-7 to take two of three at Fenway Park, while finishing their road trip at 3-3 by winning two straight.
What to watch for: Detroit has won each of Scherzer’s last four road starts, while the Tigers are 5-1 in his past six outings against the Yankees since 2011. New York has struggled in the role of a home underdog, posting a 2-9 record in this situation in 2014. However, the Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven home series openers, while McCarthy is unbeaten in his last six starts with New York and Arizona.
Reds at Indians
CIN: Simon (12-6, 2.84 ERA)
CLE: Kluber (11-6, 2.61 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Reds captured three of four games at Miami, as the offense finally woke up in Sunday’s 7-3 rout of the Marlins. Cincinnati’s pitching staff limiting Miami to just eight runs in the four-game set, while the ‘under’ is 6-1-1 in its past eight road contests. The Indians rallied on Sunday to top the Rangers in 12 innings, 4-3 to pull off the three-game sweep, as Cleveland held Texas to five runs in the series.
What to watch for: The home team has won each of the last 10 meetings of the Buckeye Series since 2012, while the Reds have dropped nine straight visits to Progressive Field. Kluber is coming off consecutive complete-game efforts, including a 2-0 shutout of the Mariners in his previous outing. After winning 15 of his first 18 starts, the Reds are 0-3 in Simon’s past three starts, while two of his worst efforts this season came as an underdog of at least +130.
Orioles at Nationals
BAL: Gausman (5-3, 3.70 ERA)
WSH: Roark (11-6, 2.74 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Orioles needed just one run in Sunday’s 1-0 triumph over the Mariners as short home ‘dogs to take two of three from Seattle. The Nationals rebounded from a pair of losses to the Phillies by taking the final two games of their weekend set. Washington blanked Philadelphia on Sunday as -150 favorites, 4-0 to outscore the Phillies, 15-0 in the last two victories.
What to watch for: This is a make-up game from a rain-out on July 8, as the Orioles won two of the first three matchups in the Beltway Series. Baltimore has drilled the ‘under’ in 11 of its past 13 games overall, including seven straight on the highway. The Nationals have split 16 interleague contests this season, while Washington owns a 4-0 record in Roark’s past four trips to the mound.
Rays at Athletics
TB: Cobb (7-6, 3.54 ERA)
OAK: Samardzija (2-1, 3.19 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Rays fell behind, 5-0 in the first inning of Sunday’s 7-5 defeat to the Angels as short home favorites to lose two of three in that set. Tampa Bay finished off its homestand at 5-4, while still trying to reach the elusive .500 mark. The A’s dropped two of three to the Royals at home, as Oakland scored just two runs in the two defeats.
What to watch for: Oakland grabbed two of three at Tropicana Field in late May, as the lone victory by Tampa Bay came on a walk-off, three-run homer in 11 innings in the series finale. The Rays have won six of Cobb’s eight road starts, including each of the last five on the highway. The A’s are 4-1 in Samardzija’s five starts since he was acquired from the Cubs, but each of the past two wins came as a heavy favorite against the Astros.
Angels at Dodgers
LAA: Richards (11-4, 2.74 ERA)
LAD: Greinke (12-6, 2.65 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Angels concluded an East Coast swing at 3-3 at Baltimore and Tampa Bay, including a 7-5 triumph at Tropicana Field on Sunday to capture the weekend set. The Dodgers were tripped up by the Cubs this past weekend, including Sunday’s 7-3 defeat as nearly a -200 favorite. It was the third home series loss by the Dodgers since the start of June, which also includes series defeats to the White Sox and Indians.
What to watch for: The home team finished 4-0 in the Freeway Series last season, which included the Dodgers rallying from a 6-1 deficit with Greinke on the hill to beat the Angels, 8-7 in the series opener at home. Following an eight-game winning streak from June through the All-Star break, the Angels have lost each of Richards’ last three outings, all in the favorite role. Since last July, the Dodgers are 13-3 in Greinke’s past 16 home starts, which includes a pair of wins over AL foes.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, August 4
MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
No Offense ...
The Atlanta Braves continued their dry spell Sunday, falling 4-3 in San Diego for their sixth consecutive loss. The Braves' offense has been dreadful on their six-game West Coast jaunt, scoring a total of 13 runs; despite the outage, Atlanta is 3-3 O/U on the trek thanks to low totals and decent pitching.
Cincinnati Reds hurler Alfredo Simon will look to get back on track Monday as he visits the Cleveland Indians (-194, 7) in an interleague showdown. Simon leads the majors in pitching value but is 0-3 since the All-Star break, with the Reds scoring just six runs in those three starts.
Price Makes Detroit Debut
David Price makes his first start in a Detroit uniform Tuesday as the Tigers face the host New York Yankees. Price, who was shipped to the Tigers in a blockbuster trade at the non-waiver deadline, went 7-2 SU and 2-7 O/U in his final nine starts with Tampa Bay - including a win over the Yankees.
Oakland right-hander Jeff Samardzija has settled into a pair of trends as he leads the Athletics into Monday's showdown with the visiting Tampa Bay Rays (+126, 7). Samardzija is 3-0 in his last three starts - all as a major favorite - while going 3-0 O/U after producing just four Overs in his first 14 starts.
Bet against Clayton Kershaw at your own risk. The Dodgers lefty enters Tuesday's matchup with the visiting Angels on an 11-game SU win streak, going 10-0 with a no-decision in that span while allowing more than one run just twice over that stretch.
Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nelson Cruz enters Monday's game against host Washington (-137, 7) mired in an 8-for-73 slump that has dropped his average to .262 for the season. Fortunately for Cruz, Baltimore is 12-8 SU and 5-15 O/U in that stretch.
New York Yankees outfielder Brett Gardner had a week to remember, hitting .478 with five home runs and seven RBIs. Gardner now has 15 home runs on the season, easily surpassing his previous career best of eight; the Yankees are 8-6 SU and 5-8-1 O/U when Gardner goes deep.
Chicago White Sox (6-0 O/U): White Sox games have been rather entertaining of late, with the winning team scoring at least seven runs in each of them. That stretch includes four games in which teams combined to score 14 or more runs, highlighted by Sunday's 16-3 loss to Minnesota.
Prop of the Day
Bettors may want to consider taking the host Dodgers to defeat the rival Angels by more than two runs, a wager that stands at +325. Dodgers starter Zack Greinke is 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA in nine home starts, while Angels counterpart Garrett Richards has allowed four runs in each of his last two outings.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost first baseman Paul Goldschmidt for the season with a broken hand. Goldschmidt, the defending National League MVP runner-up, finishes the year hitting .300 with 19 home runs and 69 RBIs in 406 at-bats.
Colorado Rockies outfielder Carlos Gonzalez is expected to avoid the disabled list as he continues nursing a sore right ankle. Gonzalez has missed 44 games this season with a variety of ailments; the Rockies are 16-28 SU, 21-17-6 O/U and -993 units in those contests.
Fans at Yankee Stadium should expect winds out to left field at 8 mph for Monday's game against visiting Detroit (-119, 7.5). Teams combined to average a whopping 3.6 home runs in five games under similar conditions a season ago - well above the stadium average of 2.06.
Wind at Citizens Bank Park will blow out to straightaway center field at 5 mph Tuesday when the Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros. The hosts went 7-13 SU and 12-7-1 O/U in 20 games under similar conditions in 2013, including marks of 5-6 SU and 5-5-1 O/U at less than 10 mph.