MLB Trends Monday, August 4

MLB Trends Monday, August 4

National League

Giants-Mets
Hudson is 1-3, 4.21 in his last four starts.
Gee is 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts.

San Francisco lost seven of its last ten games.
Mets won ten of their last fourteen home games.
Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hudson starts.

American League

Tigers-Bronx
Scherzer is 5-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
Bronx won all four McCarthy starts (3-0, 3.65).

Detroiit won four of its last five games.
Bronx won 10 of its last 16 games.

Under is 7-2-1 in Detroit's last ten road games.

Rangers-White Sox
Texas lost last eight Martinez starts (0-6, 8.38).
Noesi is 2-2, 6.29 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
White Sox lost four of their last five home games.

Last six White Sox games went over the total.

Rays-A's
Cobb is 5-0, 2.89 in his last six starts.
Oakland won four of five Samardzija starts (2-1, 3.09).

Tampa Bay won 10 of 14 games since All-Star break.
A's lost six of their last seven series openers.

Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Oakland home games.

Interleague

Reds-Indians
Simon is 0-3, 4.96 in his last three starts.
Kluber is 4-0, 1.76 in his last five starts.

Reds won three of their last four games.
Cleveland won seven of its last ten home games.

Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Cincinnati road games.

Angels-Dodgers
Richards is 0-2, 3.86 in his last three starts.
Greinke is 3-2, 2.32 in his last six starts.

Angels won nine of their last thirteen road games.
Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.

Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Angel games.

Orioles-Nationals
Gausman is 2-1, 3.54 in his last five starts.
Roark is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.

Baltimore won nine of its last thirteen games.
Nationals won four of their last six home games.

11 of last 13 Baltimore games stayed under total.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hudson 12-8; Gee 5-7

-- Scherzer 16-6; McCarthy 4-14/4-0
-- Martinez 4-9; Noesi 8-9
-- Cobb 8-7; Samardzija 3-14/4-1

-- Simon 15-6; Kluber 14-9
-- Richards 15-7; Greinke 13-9
-- Gausman 7-3; Roark 12-9

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hudson 4-21 (3 of last 3); Gee 3-12

-- Scherzer 6-22; McCarthy 5-22
-- Martinez 5-13; Noesi 4-17
-- Cobb 4-16; Samardzija 9-22

-- Simon 5-21; Kluber 4-23
-- Richards 5-22; Greinke 5-22
-- Gausman 2-10; Roark 4-21

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, August 4

SAN FRANCISCO (60 - 51) at NY METS (53 - 58) - 12:10 PM

TIM HUDSON (R) vs. DILLON GEE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 68-77 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-67 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-14 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-21 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 179-121 (+52.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-21 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-12 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-20 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HUDSON is 45-24 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 51-17 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
HUDSON is 44-23 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HUDSON is 159-89 (+36.3 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
NY METS are 46-66 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 18-35 (-14.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 97-119 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 97-119 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 10-31 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 (+4.1 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. NY METS since 1997
HUDSON is 17-10 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.254.
His team's record is 21-10 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-19. (-8.4 units)

DILLON GEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GEE is 0-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 2.024.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (61 - 47) at NY YANKEES (57 - 53) - 7:05 PM

MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 159-122 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-20 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 31-20 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 24-13 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
DETROIT is 22-11 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
DETROIT is 11-3 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DETROIT is 14-7 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SCHERZER is 42-15 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 40-15 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SCHERZER is 23-6 (+13.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MCCARTHY is 16-28 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MCCARTHY is 3-9 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season
MCCARTHY is 3-9 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MCCARTHY is 5-12 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MCCARTHY is 5-15 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MCCARTHY is 4-14 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MAX SCHERZER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SCHERZER is 6-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.289.
His team's record is 6-1 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. DETROIT since 1997
MCCARTHY is 2-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.178.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (43 - 68) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 58) - 8:10 PM

NICK MARTINEZ (R) vs. HECTOR NOESI (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 43-68 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 17-30 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TEXAS is 41-64 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 29-51 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 32-47 (-15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TEXAS is 27-40 (-15.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 12-22 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 54-58 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-7 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-33 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-16 (-12.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 112-151 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-93 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-70 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

NICK MARTINEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

HECTOR NOESI vs. TEXAS since 1997
NOESI is 0-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 8.18 and a WHIP of 1.273.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (54 - 57) at OAKLAND (67 - 43) - 10:05 PM

ALEX COBB (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 54-57 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 34-37 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 24-32 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 165-112 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 139-81 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 278-206 (+63.1 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 65-39 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 165-110 (+45.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 174-120 (+46.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 104-77 (+25.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 122-72 (+30.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 7-16 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAMARDZIJA is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAMARDZIJA is 10-20 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 0-6 (-6.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAMARDZIJA is 7-16 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAMARDZIJA is 0-6 (-6.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ALEX COBB vs. OAKLAND since 1997
COBB is 3-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.34 and a WHIP of 1.110.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (56 - 55) at CLEVELAND (56 - 55) - 7:05 PM

ALFREDO SIMON (R) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 148-126 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 84-52 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 142-120 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 55-30 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 684-756 (+55.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 621-700 (+39.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 445-492 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 496-545 (+46.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 344-355 (+48.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
SIMON is 16-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SIMON is 10-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SIMON is 16-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SIMON is 11-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-40 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ALFREDO SIMON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SIMON is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (66 - 44) at LA DODGERS (63 - 49) - 10:10 PM

GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 5-14 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 10-21 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 60-78 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 32-16 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-5 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 36-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 32-11 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
GREINKE is 25-8 (+13.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
GREINKE is 20-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 36-17 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 27-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 19-5 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 66-44 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 732-717 (+62.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 93-70 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 611-601 (+56.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RICHARDS is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GREINKE is 1-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.510.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (62 - 48) at WASHINGTON (60 - 49) - 7:05 PM

KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 93-63 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 63-48 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 23-16 (+15.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 33-23 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 9-3 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
BALTIMORE is 56-46 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 45-27 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 47-33 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 18-14 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 28-19 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 14-7 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 101-93 (-17.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-29 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 50-60 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
GAUSMAN is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 15.75 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, August 4

12:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 13 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 13 games when playing San Francisco
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Detroit
NY Yankees are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Detroit

8:10 PM
TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Texas is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

10:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. OAKLAND
Tampa Bay is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games at home

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
LA Angels are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Dodgers's last 15 games when playing LA Angels
LA Dodgers are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against LA Angels

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, August 4

StatFox Super Situations

DETROIT at NY YANKEES
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) 121-94 since 1997.  ( 56.3% | 51.3 units ) 11-14 this year.  ( 44.0% | -0.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

BALTIMORE at WASHINGTON
BALTIMORE is 87-57 (+44.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 3 seasons. The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, August 4

Detroit at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Scherzer: 38-12 TSR as a favorite
McCarthy: 3-9 TSR in home games

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Martinez: TEXAS 11-1 in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite of -150 or more
Noesi: CHI WHITE SOX 9-16 as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Tampa Bay at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Cobb: TAMPA BAY 18-8 in the second half of the season
Samardzija: 2-9 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Simon: 11-2 TSR after a win
Kluber: 10-2 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins

LA Angels at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Richards: LA ANGELS 5-14 when the total is 7 or less
Greinke: 12-1 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Baltimore at Washington, 7:05 ET
Gausman: BALTIMORE 23-16 as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Roark: WASHINGTON 11-20 after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games

TSR = Team Start Record

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Re: MLB Trends Monday, August 4

Diamond Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Athletics are 11-0 since June 22, 2009 as a home favorite of more than -130 after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits and yesterday and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1100.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Zack Greinke starts the Dodgers are 10-0 since June 11, 2013 at home after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $1000.

CHOICE TREND:

The White Sox are 12-0 since July 09, 2004 as a home 140+ favorite prior to the final five games of the season vs a team that has lost at least their last three games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1200.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Max Scherzer starts the Tigers are 14-3 since June 11, 2013 after winning as a home favorite in his last start for a net profit of $1014.

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