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MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 3

MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 3

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros

Blue Birds looking to save face down in Houston after dropping the last two will be in good hands as they send Marcus Stroman to the mound. The righty has been light's out winning his last three allowing a single run over 21.0 innings of work. Stroman in great KW form with 20 strikeouts, 4 walks his last three, Astros 1-8 last nine with Feldman and the hurler sporting a 2-5 career team start record versus Toronto, 2-8 team start record in August consider backing Jays in this one.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles

When Mariners send right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma to the mound in the rubber match Sunday they'll have conditions on their side. Mariners have won 6 of Iwakuma's 7 games away from Safeco Field this season. The M's have won 4 of the hurlers last 5 August road starts. Orioles' Chris Tillman is 1-5 in ten home starts this season (5-5 TSR).

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 3

Game of the Day: Yankees at Red Sox

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-122, 9)

The New York Yankees are trying to break out of a funk and stay in the race in the American League East. Several new arrivals attempt to give the Yankees a series win when they visit the Boston Red Sox in the rubber match of a three-game series. The Red Sox took the opener on Friday as they worked a slew of new players into the lineup but fell off on Saturday as New York earned a 6-4 victory to even the series.

The Yankees received contributions from newcomers Chase Headley, Stephen Drew and Martin Prado in Saturday’s triumph but it was veteran stalwarts Derek Jeter and Mark Teixeira doing the bulk of the damage. New York is five games behind frontrunner Baltimore in the AL East and has won only two of its last seven to drop into third place. The Red Sox introduced Yoenis Cespedes to the home crowd on Saturday and could have both Cespedes and Allen Craig in the lineup for the finale.

LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened with the Red Sox as -122 home favorites and a total of 9.

INJURY REPORT: Red Sox - 1B Allen Craig (Questionable, ankle)

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Yankees (-162), Red Sox (-119)

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Expect the Yankees to be the popular play as Red Sox starter Clay Buchlotz has been dreadful recently posting a 7.94 ERA during last 3 starts." - Mike Perry of

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH David Phelps (5-5, 3.89 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (5-7, 5.87)

Phelps had a string of five straight starts allowing two or fewer earned runs come to an end on Monday, when he was reached for four runs and eight hits over six innings to suffer a loss at Texas. The Notre Dame product had not suffered a loss in eight straight outings before falling to the Rangers. Phelps made three appearances out of the bullpen against Boston in April and allowed a total of two unearned runs and four hits in 4 2/3 innings.

Buchholz is the lone starter left from the Red Sox’s opening day rotation, though his performance this season may have been one reason his name was not mentioned much at the trade deadline. The 29-year-old is 1-2 in three starts since the All-Star break, allowing 16 runs - 15 earned - and 23 hits in 17 innings during that span. Buchholz last started against New York on April 10 and was reached for four runs - two earned - on seven hits in six innings to suffer the loss.


* Red Sox are 1-4 in Buchholz's last five home starts vs. Yankees.
* Yankees are 1-8 in Phelps' last nine starts as a road underdog.
* Red Sox are 2-9 in their last 11 overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Phelps' last six starts overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 56.63 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the Yankees.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 3

MLB Betting News and Notes

Jays ice cold in Texas

The Toronto Blue Jays have struggled at Minute Maid Park, posting a 2-6 record in their last eight games against the Houston Astros in the Lone Star State as of Saturday.

The two clubs meet again in Texas Sunday, with the Jays currently listed as -153 faves with a total of 8.5.

Recent history shows Reds owning Marlins

The Cincinnati Reds have simply dominated the Miami Marlins in recent matchups, winning seven in a row against the Fish. The two clubs will renew acquaintances in the Sunshine State Sunday.

The game is a pick 'em with a total of 7.5.

Tribe traditionally a good bet as home dogs

The Cleveland Indians are proving the doubters wrong at Progressive Field. In their last eight games when listed as home dogs, the Tribe is 7-1 through Saturday.

Cleveland is currently listed as a +102 fave for their meeting with the Texas Rangers in Ohio Sunday afternoon. The total for the game is set at 7.5.

Mets, Colon coming through as home dogs

With Bartolo Colon on the bump, the New York Mets have been a solid play as home dogs as of late, winning five out of their last six matchups at Citi Field.

The Mets are presently listed as +107 underdogs for their matchup with the San Francisco Giants in the Big Apple Sunday. The total is 6.5.

M's, Iwakuma dominating on the road

Starting pitcher Hisashi Iwakuma and his Seattle Mariners have been road warriors lately. The M's have won seven out of their last eight games away from Safeco Field with Iwakuma on the mound.

The Japanese product gets the ball for Seattle when they visit the Baltimore Orioles in Maryland Sunday. The Birds are currently -112 faves with an O/U of eight.

Halos lights out on astroturf

The Los Angeles Angels love playing on astroturf, posting a 8-1 record in their last nine on the artificial surface. That's good news for Halos backers as they'll take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field Sunday.

The Rays are presently -111 faves with a total of 7.5.

Domonic Brown, Philadelphia - Ques Sun

Brown is dealing with an illness and has missed the last two games. He is questionable return for Sunday's game against the Nationals.

Carlos Gonzalez, Colorado - Ques Sun

Gonzalez left Friday's game with a sprained right ankle and did not play Saturday. He is questionable to play Sunday against the Tigers.

Indians hot in dog role with Bauer on the mound

The Cleveland Indians are 4-0 the last four games Trevor Bauer has started and they have been underdogs.

In those four games, the Indians have won at Detroit and Los Angeles (Dodgers) and defeated the Yankees and Angels at home.

Bauer takes the mound for the Indians as the underdog once again with Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers in town. Cleveland is currently a +112 home dog for the matchup.

Road teams streaking with Wegner working the plate

Road teams are 7-1 in the last eight games when umpire Mark Wegner has worked behind the plate.

Overall this season, visiting ball clubs are 12-7 when he's been tasked with calling balls and strikes.

Wegner is back behind the dish in Florida as the Miami Marlins host the Cincinnati Reds Sunday. The Reds are -113 road faves.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 3

Yankees visit Red Sox

N.Y. Yankees (56-53) at Boston (49-61) Line: Red Sox -110, Yankees +100, Total 8.5

Two storied rivals meet Sunday night when the Red Sox host the Yankees, and each team will have a fresh look for the rest of the season after shaking things up at Thursday’s trade deadline.

Both New York and Boston were extremely active on the phones Thursday, as both teams looked to make changes after disappointing throughout the season. The Yankees were able to acquire 3B Martin Prado (.270 BA, 5 HR, 42 RBI) and 2B Stephen Drew (.176 BA, 4 HR, 11 RBI), while giving up practically nothing. The Stephen Drew move was one of very few trades between these long-time rivals. Boston traded SP Jon Lester, OF Jonny Gomes and cash to the Oakland A’s for OF Yoenis Cespedes (.256 BA, 17 HR, 67 RBI). Boston also shipped SP John Lackey to St. Louis for 1B/OF Allen Craig (.237 BA, 7 HR, 44 RBI) and traded lefty reliever Andrew Miller to Baltimore.

These two teams split the first two games of this series, as the Yankees rallied from a 3-0 deficit to shock the Sox on Saturday, 6-4. Boston grabbed the series opener on Friday night, 4-3, which ended a three-game skid for the Sox.

Both teams are now significantly different, but New York had won the only series these teams played in Boston this season. They won two out of three games in that series and had won six out of 10 meetings this year before Friday. SP David Phelps (1.34 WHIP) will take the mound for New York and he will be up against SP Clay Buchholz (5.87 ERA and 1.56 WHIP). The Yankees are still very much alive in the hunt for a Wild Card spot in the American League.

Heading into the series against Boston, the Yankees were just 3.5 games out of a spot in the American League playoffs. New York made a drastic change to its lineup with the acquisitions of Martin Prado and Stephen Drew. Both players should immediately start for the team in the infield. David Phelps gets the ball for the Yankees on Sunday night after allowing four earned runs on eight hits in 6 IP against the Rangers. Heading into that start, Phelps had pitched five straight games where he allowed two runs or less. He has given the Yankees some much-needed stability at the back-end of their rotation. For Phelps, it is absolutely crucial that he can pitch a solid six or seven innings because the Yankees bullpen has been strong this year.

Closer David Robertson (1.08 WHIP) has saved 27-of-29 opportunities this season, and if the Yankees can make it to him, they should have the final game of this series won. 3B Chase Headley (10-for-33, 8 K’s) has been excellent since joining the Yankees. He has come through with some timely hits and has looked more like the successful player he was in 2012, when he batted .286 and finished the season with 31 HR and 115 RBI.

The Red Sox were said to be sellers at the trade deadline, but they actually were able to get themselves a very well-established outfield. Bringing in Allen Craig and Yoenis Cespedes gives them a potent hitting outfield that will allow them to turn their focus to their pitching staff in the offseason. Craig is having a down year for the Cardinals, but he did bat .315 with 13 HR and 97 RBI in 2013. In his four years prior to this season, he was a very consistent hitter. Even with this subpar season, he is still batting .291 over the course of his career. Cespedes, on the other hand, gives the Red Sox some much needed power outside of 1B/DH David Ortiz. Heading into the series, Ortiz had homered five times in the previous nine games.

Playing in Fenway Park, the righty should enjoy a lot more success than he did in the gigantic, pitcher-friendly Coliseum. Cespedes hit 26 HR and drove in 80 RBI in 2013, and the Red Sox were wise to pick up a player like him. The Red Sox did, however, abandon nearly all of their pitching staff and Clay Buchholz, the lone member of their rotation who was with them when they won their last World Series, has struggled mightily in 2014. He will need to turn things around the rest of the way, in order to prove that he is a part of the future with this team.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, August 3

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

LAS VEGAS -- Yankees starter David Phelps had a nice roll going before giving up four runs in a 4-2 loss at Texas Monday. Prior to that outing he had allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The only problem for Phelps over his recent six-game stretch is that the Yankees only averaged 2.5 runs a game, causing them to go 2-4 in those starts. However, Phelps was credited with a 2-1 record. He'll start against the Red Sox for the first time this season on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball.

Phelps' performance has been much better of late, but the bottom line is that the Yankees are only 5-11 behind him as a starter this season, which equates to -5.4 units for bettors if siding with him in every game at the bet window.

So when you look at Phelps tonight at pick 'em over the struggling Clay Buchholz in the rubber match at Fenway Park, is there enough of a trend of Buchholz getting pounded to feel that the Yankees' bats can support Phelps with some runs, or is Phelps' tough-luck loser baggage too much to carry?

On July 13 at Houston, Buchholz looked like he was finally back to form when he threw a complete-game shutout with 12 strikeouts. It was only the fifth time in 14 starts he had allowed three runs or fewer in a game. But in his three most recent outings, it was back to getting shelled. In his last 17 innings of work, he's given up 15 earned runs and his eight strikeouts over that span couldn't even match the output from the Houston start.

The Red Sox are 7-10 behind Buchholz this season for a -6.9 unit loss. Because of Buchholz being in such a giving mood to opposing batters this season, his games have gone 11-5-1 to the OVER, including his last four starts -- the Red Sox won his start at Houston 11-0. The last three OVERs have pretty much been all about him.

Buchholz is 3-1 with a 1.13 ERA in his last four matchups with the Yankees, but in his only start this season on April 10, he gave up four runs -- two earned -- over six innings in a 4-1 road loss. Phelps' only appearances against Boston this season came in relief during three April games where he didn't allow a run in 4.2 innings of work and struck out eight batters.

The Yankees lead the season series 7-5, and based on the form of Buchholz lately, they should be able to tack on another win. As for the total where Buchholz has blown up much to the delight of OVER bettors all season, Phelps makes it a tough play to go OVER 8.5 runs. Phelps has kept his past three games UNDER the total.

Between the Yankees not hitting for Phelps, and Phelps himself, it's good enough to stay away from the total even though Buchholz has been so good to the OVER. The only play in tonight's game is the Yankees to win at -105.

Sunday selections:

Yankees (Phelps) -105 at Red Sox

Mariners (Iwakuma) -116 at Orioles

Mariners/Orioles UNDER 7.5 (-110)

Angels/Rays UNDER 7.5 (-120)

Braves/Padres UNDER 6.5 (EV)

Pirates/Diamondbacks UNDER 8 (EV)

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