Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, August 2

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, August 2

River City Sharps

Reds vs. Marlins
Play: Over 7

Yes, we know that the Reds offense has been pretty anemic since the All Star break, which is expected when you lose Votto and Phillips for an extended period. But the trip to Florida seems to have woken up the Cincinnati Reds and their offense. Tonight, they give the ball to Homer Bailey, who will be opposed by the Marlins Nathan Eovaldi. Bailey is winless over his last four starts and Eovaldi is 1-4 with a 5.35 ERA over his last 11 starts. Saturday games for these teams have spelled OVER recently as the OVER is 9-4 in the Reds last 13 Saturday affairs and 4-1 in Eovaldi's last five Saturday starts. The OVER i also 17-7-1 in these teams last 25 meetings with one another and there are some nice umpire trends pointing towards some runs being scored. We're going OVER the posted total here tonight.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, August 2

Bruce Marshall

San Francisco Giants at New York Mets
Pick: New York Mets

It didn't work for the Mets on Friday but the pitching matchup looks much better on Saturday against the Giants. that's because the Mets send possible Rookie of the Year Jacob deGrom to the mound has won four straight starts behind a 0.66 ERA, striking out 30 and walking five in 27 1/3 innings. DeGrom, who hasn't allowed a homer in his last nine outings, is trying to become the Mets' first rookie to win five consecutive starts since Dillon Gee in 2011. Meanwhile, this will be the second start for Jake Peavy in a Giants uniform, but he looked no better in his Giants debut than he did with the Red Sox, losing to the Dodgers and lowering his 2014 record to 1-10.

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Dennis Macklin

Cubs vs. Dodgers
Play: Under 7

The Dodgers and Cubs has been a low scoring series with eight of the L12 game landing under the total. We're not getting any favor with this number but both starters are in excellent form and in particular the homies RYU who is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his L3 and the under is 7-2-1 over his L10 starts. Play the under.

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Ben Burns

Texas vs. Cleveland
Pick: Cleveland

The Indians aren't a team that will have much attention from bettors on a regular basis, but I do believe this weekend is a time you'll want to be on them.  This is because they're playing at home and the opponent is the Texas Rangers.  Things have already gotten off to a good start if you're a Tribe backer or fan as Friday saw them beat up on the visitors 12-2.  I expect something similar to play out Saturday night at Progressive Field.

Cleveland has now won 9 of its last 10 against Texas.  In a down year for the Rangers, you'd expect that dominance to continue.  Sure enough after dropping the first meeting of 2014, the Indians have beaten them four straight times, scoring a total of 29 runs in the past two.  The offense has registered double digit hits in all four wins.

The Rangers rotation has been damaged by injuries, so what you're left with is having to send out the likes of Miles Mikolas.  After just five career starts, Mikolas has an 8.55 ERA, 1.671 WHIP and opponents are batting .315 against him. Considering how Cleveland hitters have been feasting on Texas pitching all year, you have to like their chances against Mikolas.

Texas has also lost 17 of its last 20 road games.  Cleveland is a classic .500 (ish) team that has a great home record and plays poorly on the road. At Progressive Field this year, the Indians are 31-21.  Among American League teams, only Oakland and the Angels have won more at home this year.  The second game of a series has not been kind to Texas, who has dropped 21 of their last 26 in that situation.  Cleveland has won 8 of 10.

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Wunderdog

Minnesota @ Chicago
Pick: Chicago -116

The Chicago White Sox lost 99 games last season while the Twins lost 96. Both teams are likely to improve upon those marks, but there is no doubt that the White Sox are the more improved team, and getting this one at home at slightly better than even odds puts them on the right side of this one. Chicago recovered from allowing a 5 run inning last night to get the win. The Twins send Yohan Pino to the mound, and he has not fared well on the road where his ERA stands at 6.75. The Twins own a 1-7 record in their last eight vs. a losing team, and have not fared well on the road as they are 7-15 in their last 22. The Twins are just 2-5 here in their last seven played. Back the White Sox.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, August 2

Andrew Lange

Twins at White Sox
Play: Over

Throughout his eight-year Minor League career and brief time with the Twins, Yohan Pino has flashed some seriously strong fly ball tendencies. In seven starts for the Twins his groundball rate is 29.8% and yet he's allowed only three home runs. Part of that has been the schedule with five outings in spacious Target Field and the other two in Seattle and Anaheim. Tonight he won't be able to hide as much pitching in Cellular Field. Add in the fact that the White Sox are getting a third look at Pino -- second in less than a week -- and we can expect him to give up his fair share of runs. Like Pino, Chicago's Scott Carroll has been in the minors for much of his career. He's a very fringe arm relying heavily on groundballs to survive. In 79.2 innings this season he's fanned only 41 batters. And the Cell hasn't been kind to Carroll with a 5.82 ERA and .350 BAA in 34 IP. He's also be facing the Twins for a second time in five days. Last night's game saw 18 runs and 31 hits and plenty of bullpen work. We need just over half of that performance to cash tonight's ticket on the over with two mediocre at-best starting pitchers on the bump.

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LineCatchers

Pittsburgh Pirates - 125

The Pittsburgh Pirates have played great baseball to get themselves right back in contention for postseason action. They were 4-0 down last night before scoring 8 runs in the last 2 innings to win 9-4. I believe they are showing good value on Saturday to get another W to in their pursuit of 1st place in the NL Central.

Vance Worley has been outstanding since being called up by the Pirates this year, going 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. Being a follower of the Phillies, I knew Worley had the potential to be a solid number 3/4 guy in a rotation in the NL. He did struggle last season with the Twins but in 53 starts in the NL, he is 22-14 with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.18. Worley has had success against the Diamonbacks in the past going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 3 career starts against Arizona.

Chase Anderson gets the nod for Arizona and he has pitched fairly well in his 12 starts in 2014. he is 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He has issued 13 walks in his last 5 starts and in 9 ‘Night’ outings this year, opponents have hit .280 against Anderson and he has pitched to a 1.53 ERA under the lights. In his only career start against the Bucs, Anderson gave up three ER on 8 hits and 3 walks over 3 2/3 IP of a 5-1 loss in early July.

I like the Pirates to get the Win tonight with an advantage on the mound and a team pushing for October baseball.

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Jeffrey James

Detroit Tigers -210

The Tigers are in a great spot here. They are full of confidence after getting Price at the trade deadline and they go here with Porcello who may be the #5 starter but he is 12-5 with a 3.31 ERA. Not too shabby. Colorado is 17-36 on the road and they are 29-46 against right handers. Detroit is excellent against left handers and they will be very ready to beat up on the Rockies here.

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Rocketman

Colorado @ Detroit 
Play: Detroit -1.5

The Colorado Rockies travel to Detroit to take on the Tigers on Saturday night.  Colorado comes in with a 44-65 overall record this year while Detroit is now 49-47 overall on the season.  Colorado is 13-38 last 3 years in inter-league games.  Colorado has lost 5 of their last 6 games overall. Detroit is scoring 4.5 runs per game at home this year where they have a nice team batting average of .288.  Tyler Matzek gets the call for the Rockies where he is 2-5 with a 4.39 ERA overall this year.  Rick Porcello toes the rubber for Detroit where he is 12-5 with a 3.31 ERA overall this year and 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA his last 3 starts.  Detroit is 3-1 at home vs Colorado the past 3 years.  Porcello should shut down the Rockies and Detroit should win this one easily today.  We'll recommend a small play on Detroit on the Runline tonight!

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Red Dog Sports

Seattle/Baltimore Under 8½

The Orioles have 10 unders in their last 11 games. The Seattle pitcher from Japan has 6 overs/11unders this year and these two teams have combined for 87 overs/124 unders this season. Seattle's starter has just one walk to go with 39 strikeouts in his last 6 starts. O's use Chris Tillman and he has good stuff as well.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, August 2

Hollywood Sports

Pirates at Diamondbacks
Prediction: Over

Arizona (48-62) has played 4 straight home games Over the Total. They send out Anderson who has an ERA of 3.79 along with a 1.39 WHIP and .272 opponent's batting average at home as compared to his 2.76 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and .221 opponent's batting average when on the road. Those are not good signs when now facing this Pirates' team that has played 6 of their last 7 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Pittsburgh (58-51) has also played 5 of their last 7 road games Over the Total when favored in the -110 to -150 price range.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, August 2

Another good look is the over @ 8.5. CLEVELAND VS. TEXAS

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