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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, July 26

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, July 26


Oakland A's -1.5 -117

This is the best offense and they’ll be backed by their best pitcher to bounceback in a dominant fashion over the Rangers. Sonny Gray is 11-3, 2.72ERA and 4-0 with a 0.95ERA in 4 recent starts. He’s also 8-1 when the A’s need him to pick up the W after the Oakland loses their previous game.

The A’s own the best ERA in the MLB at 3.11. The Rangers are ranked 29th in team ERA and it’s because they have pitchers like Nick Tepesch starting for them. Tepesch’s start was pushed back and he continues to go without a win over the past month.

One of the best factors going for us is that this offensive powerhouse knows all about getting under Tepesch’s skin. They’ve faced him 4 times and brought in 12 runs off 13 innings giving him an 0-1, 8.31 ERA against them. Tepesch is also 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 starts.

Oakland plays extremely well with Gray on the mound going 6-0 in his last 6 starts and 8-2 in their last 10 on the road when he starts. The Rangers are 14-39 as an underdog and they’ve lost 28 of 35. Take the A’s to win BIG..

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, July 26

Line Catchers

Pittsburgh Pirates - 116

The Pittsburgh Pirates lost game 1 of this series to the sound of 8-1 by the Colorado Rockies and I look for them to bounce back and win game 2 tonight. Jeff Locke will toe the slab for the Pirates and has been dominant in 9 starts in 2014. He is 2-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.03 WHIP and has pitched very well in 3 road games this season, going 1-0 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.20 WHIP whilst walking just 2 hitters. Locke has given up 2 ER or less in 6 of his 8 outings and has averaged 6 2/3 IP per start this year.

Tyler Matzek gets the nod of the Rockies and has been roughed up in 4 of his 8 starts this season and the lefty is 1-4 with a 4.91 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP. In 4 home starts, Matzek owns a 1-3 record with a 5.92 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Batters are hitting a lofty .291 against Matzek and has issued 8 walks in his last 3 outings.

I like the Pirates to get the W tonight and I believe they are showing good value at (- 116) with a huge advantage on the mound. The Rockies bullpen has been rocked at home, combining for a 5.47 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, July 26

Hollywood Sports

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Atlanta Braves -1.5

San Diego (46-56) has lost 4 of their last 5 road games as an underdog in the +151 to +200 price range. They send out Despaigne who is 2-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.90 WHIP so far this season. But the deeper sabermetrics are not encouraging for the right-hander given his SIERA and xFIP which project an ERA of 4.61 and 4.39 respectively given his peripheral numbers. Atlanta (55-48) has won 41 of their last 55 games as a favorite in the -151 to -200 price range. The Braves have also won 7 of their last 10 home games with Teheran pitching as the favorite. Lay the 1.5 Run-Line with Atlanta while listing both starting pitchers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, July 26


Philadelphia Phillies -145

The Phillies and Diamondbacks square off again on Saturday evening in the City of Brotherly Love with the first pitch set for 7:05PM Eastern Time. Cliff Lee will take the bump for the Phillies while Josh Collementer toes the rubber for the visitors. Key BbTPR averages favor the Phillies by 1.14 runs over the D-Backs on Saturday night. Our BbPPI also favors Cliff Lee in this situation over Collementer with a 1.03 run advantage. A check of our powerful MLB database reveals a league-wide system that tells us to Play ON MLB home favorites facing a team that has won their starters last two starts. This system has a record of 569-362 SU for a profit of +6401 Units including 16-4 SU the last 20 qualifying contests and 10-2 SU the last 12. All systems go on the Phillies on Saturday night.

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