MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 25
MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 25
Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees
The meeting between Toronto and New York Friday night is one that will give Toronto backers pause. The club has not only lost 13 of it's last 16 in unfriendly territory, the Blue Birds fly into what has become a house of horrors for Toronto. Swept here back in June, the Blue Jays are now on a 2-20 skid the past 22 trips into the Big Apple. What should really have Toronto backers sitting this one out or fading their favorite team are the numbers compiled by veteran Mark Buehrle against New York. The lefty will be up against the club that has given him the most trouble in his 15-year career. He is 1-11 in eighteen starts against New York with his teams 2-16 (Jays/Pale Hose) over the span including 1-5 wearing a Blue Jay uniform.
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Rays put a seven game win streak on the line, Red Sox attempt to snap a three-game slide when the the two clubs square off at the Trop Friday night. Rays go with southpaw David Price who has won his last five starts including back-2-back eight inning shutouts in victories over Toronto, Minnesota. Lefty Jon Lester off his own 8 innings of shutout ball in a win over K.C. gets the call for Red Sox who have won seven straight with the hurler. Oddsmakers have given Tampa the nod (-$1.50) in what has the markings of a pitchers duel. However, betting Rays has it's challenges as they're 1-5 vs Red Sox w/Price including 0-2 hooked up against Lester.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
A pivotal three-game series between the top two clubs in the NL West gets going at AT&T Park Friday night when Dodgers take on Giants. Dodgers open the series with Zack Greinke looking to rebound from a pair of setbacks giving up 7 runs over 12 2/3 innings of work. Greinke has owned San Francisco. In the right-hander's four career starts versus Giants his teams (LA/Mil) are 4-0 including a victory hooked up against Lincecum when wearing a Brew Crew uniform. Tim Lincecum gets the ball for San Francisco. The right-hander with a solid 6-2 mark in the friendly confines of AT&T Park will be looking to extend an impressive 7-1 team start record vs Dodgers
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 25
Friday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
Blue Jays at Yankees
TOR: Buehrle (10-6, 2.86 ERA)
NYY: Kuroda (6-6, 3.88 ERA)
Previous series recap: Following a meltdown prior to the All-Star break, the Blue Jays capped off a solid homestand at 5-2 against the Rangers and Red Sox. After losing the opener to Boston, Toronto grabbed the final three games of its series, including Thursday’s 8-0 blowout of its division rival. The Yankees are also on fire of late, winning six of seven games at home, as New York captured the final three against struggling Texas.
What to watch for: New York’s pitching has carried the club of late, resulting in a 9-1 run to the ‘under’ the past 10 contests. Since 2009, Buehrle is winless in his last seven starts in the Bronx, but the Jays did beat the Yankees in the southpaw’s last outing against New York in late June, 7-6. The Yankees have captured six of nine matchups with the Jays this season, including a three-game home sweep last month.
Red Sox at Rays
BOS: Lester (10-7, 2.50 ERA)
TB: Price (10-7, 3.06 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Rays are the hottest team in baseball by winning each of their last seven games, including a two-game road sweep of the Cardinals. Tampa Bay’s pitching has carried the team in this hot stretch, allowing just 10 runs during this winning streak. The Sox entered their series in Toronto with a 7-1 record in their past eight contests, but dropped three of four to the Blue Jays, while racking up just one hit in Thursday’s 8-0 setback.
What to watch for: The home team has won each of the last six meetings as these two clubs have exchanged sweeps since late May. Both these starting pitchers are on fire, as the Red Sox are 7-0 in Lester’s past seven starts, while the Rays own a 5-0 record in Price’s last five outings. Tampa Bay has taken care of business against AL East opponents of late, winning seven of the past 10 within its division.
Tigers at Angels
DET: Smyly (6-8, 3.80 ERA)
LAA: Skaggs (5-5, 4.65 ERA)
Series recap: After losing eight consecutive meetings with the Angels, the Tigers have won each of the last three matchups, including Thursday’s 6-4 triumph. Detroit erased a 3-1 deficit by scoring five unanswered to take control of the game, as the Tigers have won four of their past five contests since dropping the first three games out of the All-Star break.
What to watch for: The Angels have won each of Skaggs’ last two starts in spite of the southpaw allowing 11 earned runs against the Mariners and Rangers. The Tigers are 6-2 to the ‘over’ in Smyly’s last eight road outings, while Detroit has put together a solid 9-2 record in the previous 11 games against left-handed starting pitchers.
Orioles at Mariners
BAL: Gausman (4-3, 4.04 ERA)
SEA: Hernandez (11-2, 2.02 ERA)
Series recap: The Orioles cruised past the Mariners on Thursday, 4-0 to easily cash as +130 road underdogs. After losing two of three at Oakland, the O’s have won three of their past four on this West Coast swing, with all three victories coming in the ‘dog role. The defeat by the Mariners snapped a six-game winning streak in home series openers.
What to watch for: Seattle has won each of the last five starts made by Hernandez, while the M’s are 6-1 in his past seven outings at Safeco Field. The Orioles are 6-0 in their previous six Game 2’s of a road series dating back to the start of June, while Baltimore owns a 5-2 record in Gausman’s past seven starts, in spite of a 10-2 defeat in his last outing at Oakland.
Dodgers at Giants
LAD: Greinke (11-6, 2.90 ERA)
SF: Lincecum (9-6, 3.65 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Giants failed to pull off the sweep of the Phillies after losing on Thursday, 2-1 as short underdogs. However, San Francisco finished off its road trip at 5-2, including three victories at Philadelphia. The Dodgers stumbled in Pittsburgh by losing the final two games by a combined score of 18-8. Los Angeles concluded its highway swing at St. Louis and Pittsburgh with a 2-4 mark.
What to watch for: San Francisco has taken care of its rival this season by posting a 7-3 record against Los Angeles, as these two teams are meeting for the first time since early May. Greinke is responsible for two of the three wins by the Dodgers in the season series, but Los Angeles is 1-6 in his last seven road starts. The Giants are on fire at home when Lincecum takes the mound, compiling a 6-1 record in his past seven outings at AT&T Park.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 25
MLB Betting News and Notes
White Sox cashing in for Under bettors
If you've been backing the Under in Chicago White Sox games lately, you've been collecting some nice profits. Through Thursday, seven of the ChiSox's last eight games have gone Under the total. The Minnesota Twins will host the Sox at Target Field Friday. The Twinkies are currently -114 faves with an O/U of nine.
When these clubs meet, high totals tend to follow
The scorekeeper has been busy in recent meetings between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds. In the last 11 matchups between the two clubs, the O/U is 8-2-1 through Thursday. They'll renew acquaintances at Great American Ball Park Friday. The Nats are -111 faves on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.
This betting trend needs your attention
If you've been putting your money on the Kansas City Royals as favorites with Yordano Ventura on the mound this season, you're definitely wishing you hadn't. The Royals are just 1-7 in Ventura's last eight starts when listed as faves. Ventura gets the nod Friday for KC when they host the Cleveland Indians. Royals bettors beware, though: Kansas City is presently listed as -130 faves on the moneyline with a total of eight.
Trends show Padres love playing against Atlanta
It's been a tough season for the San Diego Padres, but their backers can find some solace for Friday's matchup with the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field. Through Thursday, the Pads own a 6-1 record in their last seven meetings with the Braves. Atlanta is currently a -156 fave on the moneyline with a total of seven.
Buehrle, Jays struggling vs. Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Mark Buehrle has been getting knocked around by the New York Yankees recently. In the veteran's last six starts versus the Bronx Bombers, Toronto is just 1-5. Buehrle and the Jays will try and turn things around against the Yankees in New York Friday. The Yanks are currently -133 faves with a total of eight.
Red Sox have poor record vs. lefties on the road
The Boston Red Sox have had a tough time on the road versus left-handed pitchers recently, posting a paltry 1-9 record in their last 10 games as of Thursday. That's bad news for Sox backers as they'll take on southpaw David Price and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field Friday. The Rays are -140 home faves with a total of 6.5.
Boston's Ortiz questionable for Friday
The Boston Red Sox are not sure what to expect from their most dangerous hitter, David Ortiz, when they take on the Tampa Bay Rays in a three-game series starting on Friday at Tropicana Field. Ortiz, who hit four homers in the first three games of a four-game series against the Blue Jays, had to leave the series finale Thursday with back spasms. He could not finish his at-bat in the ninth inning of an 8-0 loss to the Blue Jays. After checking his swing on a ball, he left in some discomfort and outfielder Jonny Gomes took over the at-bat and hit a game-ending fly ball.
A's LF Yoenis Cespedes, questionable Friday
Cespedes left Wednesday's game with a right thumb injury and did not play Thursday. He is questionable to return on Friday against the Rangers.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 25
MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
Nine is Enough
The San Diego Padres (-123, O 7) erupted for a season-high nine runs in the sixth inning en route to a 13-3 thumping of the host Chicago Cubs on Thursday. The Padres have gone Over the total in back-to-back games for just the third time since the end of May.
Cincinnati starter Alfredo Simon will look to bounce back from a rough first outing of the second half as he leads the Reds (-134) against the visiting Washington Nationals. Simon leads the majors in value (+$1,230) but was trounced 7-1 by the Yankees in his first start following the All-Star break.
Philadelphia lefty Cliff Lee has been a strong Over play this season as he and the Phillies entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday night. Lee, one of the stingiest hurlers in baseball over the past seven years, is 7-3-1 O/U and has five Overs in his last six outings.
Wainwright to Rebound?
Expect a strong effort from St. Louis Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright as he faces the host Cubs. Wainwright is coming off a loss to Tampa Bay last time out; the Cardinals have followed all four of their previous losses in Wainwright starts with victories in his next outing.
Toronto left-hander Mark Buehrle has yet to figure out the New York Yankees. Buehrle, whose Blue Jays (+123, 8) visit the Bronx on Friday, is 1-11 with a 5.81 ERA in 18 career starts versus the Yankees.
Baltimore right-hander Bud Norris looks to continue his red-hot run Saturday as the Orioles visit Seattle. Norris is 5-1 against the moneyline in his last six starts while putting together a five-game Under streak.
Boston Red Sox righty Jake Peavy carries the worst value in the majors into Sunday's tilt against the Tampa Bay Rays. Peavy is at a dismal $-1,371 for the season, while the Red Sox have lost his last nine starts.
Boston shortstop Xander Bogaerts is mired in a lengthy slump, batting just .157 since the end of may to see his average for the season dip to .237. Coincidentally, Bogaerts is a career .237 hitter against the Rays (-134, 6.5), who host Boston on Friday.
It should come as no surprise that the San Francisco Giants have struggled versus Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw. Members of the Giants roster are hitting a combined .214 in 276 at-bats versus Kershaw, who takes the hill Saturday night.
Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter may be a good bet to add to his Hall of Fame hit total Sunday against the Blue Jays. Jeter is a career 6-for-11 hitter against Toronto starter JA Happ, with a pair of home runs and three RBIs.
Cincinnati Reds (0-4 O/U): The Reds enjoyed a much-needed day of rest Thursday after capping a winless six-game road trip with a 5-1 thumping at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers. Cincinnati, which scored just 12 runs during the trek, is 45-53-3 O/U for the season.
Prop of the Day
Expect a closely contested affair in St. Petersburg between Boston's Jon Lester and fellow southpaw David Price. Bettors should look at either team to win by exactly one run, with the Red Sox valued at +500 to do so and Tampa Bay set at +325.
The New York Yankees may be forced to place first baseman Mark Teixeira on the 15-day disabled list with a lat injury. Teixeira has already missed 25 games this season, with the Yankees going 13-12 SU, 11-13-1 O/U and earning 154 units in those contests.
Minnesota Twins hurler Phil Hughes survived a scare after taking a liner off his right shin Thursday against the Chicago White Sox. X-rays came back negative on Hughes, who left in the fourth inning but remains fourth in the majors in money earned so far in 2014 (+$818).
Wind at Wrigley Field will blow out to left field at 11 mph for Friday's game between the host Cubs and the Cardinals. Teams have combined to go 2-9 O/U over the previous three seasons with the wind blowing out to left.
Philadelphia fans will be treated to wind blowing out to center field at 9 mph Saturday as the Phillies entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks. The home side won just seven of 20 games under similar wind conditions in 2013, with a 12-7-1 O/U.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 25
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
It's pretty good stuff to be sitting here in late July with 12 of the 15 series this weekend having major importance on how the season will shape up. October hopes and dreams are still alive for several teams, and it will be fun to watch whether they make it happen or they falter down the stretch.
Look at Tampa Bay, sitting 7.5 games back in the AL East and given up for dead a month ago, now playing some of the best ball in the AL as they ride a seven-game win streak. They get the Red Sox on a three-game losing streak visiting tonight. Even though the Rays are playing great, they don't know whether they are buyers or sellers right now, which makes the pitching matchup between Jon Lester and David Price something like a claiming race.
The last time Price faced the Red Sox on May 30, he beaned David Ortiz, which helped incite a bench-clearing brawl later in the game. Price has been in a zone lately. The Rays have won his past five starts, and he hasn't allowed a run in three of his last four outings. Ortiz is not expected to play tonight. Price is a -139 favorite.
The AL East looks more vulnerable than ever, which is why the Rays might need a team to mortgage its future to deal Price. But Lester might be available for cheaper.
The division battle keeps raging with the Yankees and Blue Jays – who are tied for second, three games behind the Orioles – hooking up, both riding three-game win streaks. Baltimore is out west playing the Mariners, who have been struggling lately, but have Felix Hernandez on the mound tonight as a -190 favorite.
Chances look good for two of the contending teams, such as the Rays and Yankees, to pick up a game on Baltimore tonight. Price is rolling, but the better bet may be laying -130 with Hiroki Kuroda against Mark Buehrle. Kuroda is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in three home starts against Toronto, including beating Buehrle twice, but that isn't even the best part of this international rivalry.
The Yankees have won 16 straight home games against the Blue Jays. What might even be more remarkable is that Buehrle is 1-11 in 18 starts against the Yankees. His teams have lost all seven of his outings at the current Yankee Stadium. Needless to say, Toronto is carrying a lot of baggage in this one, and it's better to kick a team when it’s down than wager that they'll do something for the first time in ages.
Perhaps the most anticipated of this weekend’s series is the Dodgers at San Francisco for a three-game set. The Giants have won seven out of 10 against L.A. so far this season, but manager Don Mattingly is trying to make a statement this weekend, as his squad is 1.5 games behind in the NL West.
You may have been wondering why Dan Haren, with his penchant for serving up home runs, would get the first start after the All-Star break. The sole reason was so Mattingly could send his best to beat the hated Giants in this series. After Zack Greinke tonight, the Dodgers go with Clayton Kershaw tomorrow and then Hyun-jin Ryu, while the Giants are on the back end of their rotation.
With the intensity of the Yankees-Red Sox rivalry dwindling in their recent meetings, this NorCal/SoCal civil war is the best thing going in baseball. The two teams don't like each other, and the two groups of fans hate almost everything the other city represents. It's a beautiful thing to watch.
Yasiel Puig was hit on the hand Saturday and hasn't started in any game since, but he should be available tonight, especially since he feasts on Tim Lincecum pitching, going 5-for-10 against him in Puig's two seasons in the majors. Hanley Ramirez was hit twice on Sunday, the last one on his hand, and he's been out ever since and is not likely to play tonight.
Lincecum has learned to deal with losing some of the pace off his fastball and has a 4-1 record with a 0.96 ERA over his past five starts. He even collected his first career save in Tuesday's extra-inning game at Philadelphia.
The Dodgers have lost four of six on their current nine-game road trip, but are a -124 favorite behind Greinke tonight. Let's roll with the Dodgers in this one.
Yankees (Kuroda) -130 vs Blue Jays (7:05 p.m. ET)
Reds (Simon) +110 vs Nationals (7:10 p.m. ET)
Rays (Price) -135 vs Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)
Pirates (Morton) -119 at Rockies (8:40 p.m. ET)
Dodgers (Greinke) -124 at Giants (10:15 p.m. ET)