MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 24
MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 24
Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves
The matchup between the Atlanta and Miami in Turner Field Thursday night, has the markings of a low-scoring affair. Right-hander Aaron Harang toes the rubber for Atlanta, entering the game with a 9-6 record, 3.36 ERA. Harang has guided Braves to a 4-1 mark his past five allowing 2 or less runs in posting four 'Under' and 1 'Over'. Harang has faced Marlins once at Turner Field since joining Atlanta allowing a single run over six while striking out 11. Harang trades pitches with Henderson Alvarez off a loss giving up two runs in 2 2/3 innings before leaving after being struck by a ground ball. Alvarez brings a 6-5 record, 2.64 ERA to the hill but it's well to note the hurler has a solid 10-2 team record the past twelve starts allowing 2 or less runs in 10 of the trips to the mound. Well, 9-of-11 discounting his early departure last outing. The two teams have met six times in Atlanta this season, with the 'Under' being the right play as the clubs have posted 4 'Under', 1 'Over' and 1 'Push'.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 24
Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
Mets at Brewers
NYM: Gee (4-2, 2.92 ERA)
MIL: Garza (6-7, 4.04 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Mets continue their lengthy road trip after grabbing two of three from the Mariners at Safeco Field. New York held off Seattle on Wednesday, 3-2 to cash as +120 underdogs, while improving to 3-3 on this trip. The Brewers pulled off a three-game sweep of the slumping Reds at home, including Wednesday’s 5-1 rout as -140 favorites.
What to watch for: Milwaukee won two of three matchups at Citi Field the last time these teams hooked up in June, as the road team owns a 7-3 record in the past 10 meetings in this series. The Brewers have lost three of Garza’s past four starts at Miller Park, while the ‘over’ has cashed three times in this stretch. The ‘under’ is 6-1 in Gee’s past seven outings, as the Mets have hit the ‘under’ in five consecutive contests overall.
Indians at Royals
CLE: Kluber (10-6, 2.95 ERA)
KC: Duffy (5-10, 2.66 ERA)
Previous series recap: After dropping the series opener at Chicago, the Royals won the final two games over the White Sox, including Wednesday’s 2-1 triumph. Kansas City’s pitching limited Chicago to just two runs in the final victories, while the Royals are riding a modest two-game winning streak following a four-game skid. The Indians continue their venture through the AL Central, going 4-3 through the first seven contests at Detroit and Minnesota. However, the Tribe lost two of three at Target Field, capped off by a 3-1 defeat on Wednesday.
What to watch for: This series has been fairly even this season with the Indians holding a slight 5-4 advantage through nine matchups. Kluber has won his last three starts, including a home victory over the Royals earlier this month as a -150 favorite in a 4-1 triumph. Kansas City is 6-0 to the ‘under’ in Duffy’s past six starts, while the team has won just once in this stretch. The Royals have struggled at home of late, posting a 4-9 record the last 13 games since sweeping a mini two-game set from the Indians in early June.
White Sox at Twins
CHW: Noesi (4-7, 5.21 ERA)
MIN: Hughes (10-6, 4.06 ERA)
Previous series recap: Chicago’s offense hit a flat spot against Kansas City, plating just five runs in a series defeat to the Royals. The Sox split their six-game homestand to the Royals and Astros, while going ‘under’ the total five times. After getting swept by the Rays, the Twins grabbed two of three from the Indians, but Minnesota has scored three runs or less five times in six games since the All-Star break.
What to watch for: The Twins have won five straight meetings against the White Sox, including pulling off a four-game sweep at Target Field last month. Hughes has allowed at least five earned runs in five of the last six starts, while the Twins are 2-0 in the right-hander’s two starts against the Sox this season. Chicago has struggled in road series openers of late, posting a 1-6 record in the last seven Game 1’s on the highway.
Tigers at Angels
DET: Scherzer (11-3, 3.34 ERA)
LAA: Richards (11-2, 2.47 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Angels avoided a sweep by knocking off the Orioles last night, 3-2 to cash as heavy -165 favorites. Los Angeles has compiled a 3-3 record on its current 10-game homestand, while hitting the ‘under’ five times through the first six contests. The Tigers held off the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, 11-5 to capture two of three in that interleague set. Detroit improved to 12-4 in its past 16 contests on the highway dating back to late June.
What to watch for: Since the start of 2013, Los Angeles has beaten Detroit seven of nine times, but the Tigers took two of three from the Angels at Comerica Park back in April. The Tigers are 6-2 in Scherzer’s last eight road starts, while the right-hander shut down the L.A. lineup in a 5-2 home victory on April 19 as a -160 favorite. The Angels own a 9-1 record in Richards’ past 10 trips to the mound, while the Halos are 10-2 in their previous 12 home series openers since May.
Orioles at Mariners
BAL: Chen (10-3, 4.21 ERA)
SEA: Iwakuma (8-4, 2.95 ERA)
Previous series recap: The Orioles rebounded from a tough series loss at Oakland to beat the red-hot Angels two of three times on the road. Although Baltimore couldn’t complete the sweep, the O’s limited the Halos to just seven runs in the three-game set, resulting in three ‘unders.’ The Mariners also saw the ‘under’ cash in all three games of their series against the Mets, but Seattle dropped the final two contests after taking Monday’s opener, 5-2.
What to watch for: Seattle is riding a 6-0 hot streak in its previous six home series openers, while the M’s own a 5-2 record in Iwakuma’s past seven trips to the mound. Chen lost twice to the Mariners last season, both in the favorite role, while allowing eight earned runs and 13 hits in 11 innings of work. The Baltimore southpaw is unbeaten in his past three starts, but Chen has not lasted past the sixth inning in his last five trips to the hill.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 24
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
We have a fantastic pitching matchup tonight in Anaheim with last year's Cy Young winner Max Scherzer taking on one of the leading candidates to win the award this season in Garrett Richards. Both starters will be going for their 12th win of the season in the first of a four-game set. The series could be a preview of a postseason matchup between the AL Central-leading Tigers (56-42) and Angels (60-40) – holders of baseball's second-best record, yet still two games behind Oakland in the AL West
Handicapping this game reveals some glaring stats, beginning with the Tigers losing their past six meetings in Anaheim over the previous two seasons. Then there's Richards (11-2, 2.47 ERA), who showed signs of superstardom in two previous outings against Detroit, even before we knew he'd be as good as he's proved to be this season.
In 2012, Richards threw seven innings of shutout ball at Detroit in a 13-0 win, and last season, he allowed only two hits through seven innings in a 10-0 win at Anaheim. And this was all before he was throwing with such confidence. Not many young pitchers are able to have their way against the best hitting club in baseball featuring a Triple Crown winner, let alone do it twice.
Tonight, Richards comes in as a -115 favorite to make it three-for-three against Detroit and push the Tigers’ losing streak at Anaheim to seven straight. But the Angels have cooled considerably since the All-Star break and have lost three of their last five.
One of those losses was Saturday night at home behind Richards, a 3-2 extra innings defeat to the Mariners, who had Felix Hernandez on the mound. Neither star pitcher disappointed, as the game was a 1-1 stalemate when Richards left after eight innings and allowing only three hits. The loss ended a streak of eight straight Angels wins behind Richards. On the season, the Angels are 15-5 behind Richards, giving bettors +9.0 units of profit if backing him in every start.
Scherzer (11-3, 3.34) has been almost as good this season, going 14-6 (+5.3 units). They had a four-game win streak behind him until losing Saturday, 5-2, to Cleveland. Scherzer was bothered by neck spasms and tied a season-low four strikeouts and a season-high four walks. But he battled hard and allowed only two runs – both solo homers – while lasting 5 2/3 innings and throwing 118 pitches.
The Tigers have been excellent on the road this season, going 30-17 and netting an impressive +10.2 units of profit (they're -0.6 units overall on the year). But they're very average against right-handed pitching, going 35-32, for -7.5 units, compared to their stellar 21-10 mark against lefties. Richards is a righty, and is anything but average.
Conversely, the Angels have been doing most of their damage at home (35-18), with +11.2 units of profit while going 40-25 (+10.9 units) against righties.
Between the Angels’ home win streak against Detroit, their home record, prowess against right-handers, and having one of the best pitchers on the mound against someone who might not be 100 percent, laying -115 sounds like a pretty good deal.
Even though these are two of the top-three scoring teams in baseball (the Angels are first at 4.96 runs per game, the Tigers are third at 4.78), this has the look of staying UNDER the total set at 7 runs. The Angels have stayed UNDER in five of their six games since the All-Star break. Richards has stayed UNDER in his past three outings, and Scherzer has done the same in his last two.
Angels (Richards) -115 vs Tigers (10:05 p.m. ET)
Angels/Tigers UNDER 7 (EV)
Padres (Ross) -120 at Cubs (8:05 p.m. ET)
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