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MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 18

MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 18

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto limping into the break, losing 8 of their last 10 games, 11 of 15 crossing 3.1 per/game while giving up 4.3 per outing open the second half at the Rogers Center against visiting Texas Rangers. Mired in a free-fall the Rangers have won just one of it's last fifteen on the diamond platting 3.6 runs/game with the pitching staff has given up a whopping 7.1 per/contest. R.A. Dickey will start for the Blue Jays. The veteran knuckleballer (7-9, 3.82 ERA) is 1-2 last 3 but has performed better than his record shows. Off six strong innings in a 3-0 loss in Tampa, Dickey has a 1.71 ERA over the span. Yu Darvish will oppose Dickey. The Texas hurler bringing an 8-5 record, 2.97 ERA to the contest has been spanked for 10 ER the past two and is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA in his last five giving up at least four runs in four of the five starts. Taking Toronto has been a risky proposition of late, though in this case, the amount of supporting data in favor of Jays makes it much less risky. Jays are on a solid 11-4 stretch at home handing the ball to their knuckler. This being the first game of a home series is yet another nod towards Toronto, since the club has posted a 14-4 record at home in game-one of a series following a road swing and have a smart 10-2 record opening a series at Rogers Center w/Dickey. Rangers 1-12 L13 away from Arlington, 2-4 vs Jays w/Darvish, 2-8 in his last 10 July starts is icing on the cake. Take Toronto.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 18

Friday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Brewers at Nationals

Probable Pitchers:
MIL: Lohse (9-4, 3.26 ERA)
WSH: Strasburg (7-6, 3.46 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Brewers avoided a winless homestand by knocking off the Cardinals on Sunday, 11-2 to snap a seven-game skid. Milwaukee closed the first half in a 2-11 slump following a terrific start, while scoring two runs or less in seven of the past 10 contests. The Nationals grabbed the final two games at Philadelphia as a favorite to finish the first half with 51 victories, while going on an impressive 10-4 run in the final 14 games.

What to watch for: Washington took two of three at Miller Park in late June, but the Brewers racked Strasburg in the series finale, 9-2 as a +130 home underdog. The Nats have won seven of their past nine at home, but have lost three of their previous four home openers. The Brewers have struggled in road series openers recently, posting a 2-5 record in the last seven opportunities, while going ‘under’ the total in four of the past five road games.

Reds at Yankees

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Leake (7-7, 3.54 ERA)
NYY: Phelps (3-4, 3.94 ERA)

Previous series recap: In spite of injuries to the right-side of Cincinnati’s infield (Brandon Phillips and Joey Votto), the Reds are back in the NL Central race by winning seven of their past nine games. Cincinnati won all three series on its previous homestand, including taking two of three from Pittsburgh to bust the 50-win plateau. The Yankees are back home for the first time since early July following a 5-6 road swing that concluded with a rain-shortened Sunday night defeat at Baltimore.

What to watch for: Since sweeping Toronto last month, the Yankees have limped to a 2-7 mark in the past nine home contests. New York has won nine of 14 interleague games this season, including a 4-3 record at Yankee Stadium. The Reds own an impressive 13-6 ledger in the past 19 road games, but have lost three straight contests on the highway. The ‘over’ has cashed in five of Leake’s last six starts, while the Reds are 4-1 to the ‘over’ in his past five road outings.

Dodgers at Cardinals

Probable Pitchers:
LAD: Haren (8-6, 4.23 ERA)
STL: Lynn (10-6, 3.14 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Dodgers won three of four from the Padres at home to wrap up the first half, with all three victories coming by one run apiece. The Cardinals couldn’t finish off a road sweep of the Brewers, but St. Louis put together a 5-2 record against Pittsburgh and Milwaukee to conclude the opening half of the season just one game out of first place in the NL Central.

What to watch for: Los Angeles dismantled St. Louis in three of four games in late June at Chavez Ravine, but the Dodgers are making their first visit to Busch Stadium since getting bounced in the NLCS last October. The Redbirds have cashed the ‘over’ in seven of their last nine games overall, while St. Louis owns a 6-2 record in Lynn’s past eight home outings. The Dodgers are 6-1 to the ‘over’ in Haren’s last seven starts overall, while Los Angeles has lost three of its past four road series openers.

Mariners at Angels

Probable Pitchers:
SEA: Iwakuma (8-4, 2.98 ERA)
LAA: Weaver (10-6, 3.45 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Angels remained red-hot after sweeping the Rangers in Arlington to extend their scorching stretch to 11-1 the last 12 games. In nine of those victories, the Halos managed to score at least five runs, including 33 runs in the four wins over Texas. Seattle concluded its surprising first half by grabbing a home series victory over Oakland, but finished its four-game homestand at just 3-4 against the Twins and A’s.

What to watch for: The Mariners have had the Angels’ number this season by going 6-3 in nine matchups, including a three-game sweep in Anaheim back in early April. Iwakuma is unbeaten in his last three starts, while the M’s are 6-0 in his six career starts against Los Angeles. The Angels are on fire at home over the last two months, posting an 18-2 record the last 20 games in Southern California.

Orioles at Athletics

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Tillman (7-5, 4.11 ERA)
OAK: Samardzija (1-1, 2.40 ERA)

Previous series recap: Both of these first place clubs finished the first half with a victory over a division rival. The A’s avoided a sweep by knocking off the Mariners, 4-1 as -150 road favorites, while the Orioles concluded a five-game homestand at 3-2 by topping the Yankees, 3-1 to cash as -140 favorites. In all five contests at Camden Yards, Baltimore cashed the ‘under’ all five times.

What to watch for: The A’s captured two of three games at Camden Yards last month over the Orioles, but Baltimore won three of four in its previous trip to Oakland in April 2013. In 10 starts as a road underdog, the Orioles own a stellar 8-2 record with Tillman on the mound, including a 5-0 record as a +130 ‘dog. Oakland has put together a 7-2 mark in its previous nine home series openers, while posting a 9-1 ledger in the past 10 home contests against AL East opponents.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 18

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

LAS VEGAS -- The Pittsburgh Pirates had an opportunity to take a giant step forward the week before the All-Star break while the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers were begging someone to overtake them, but they proceeded to lose five of seven at St. Louis and Cincinnati and still remained only 3.5 games back. As the MLB season resumes Friday, they’ll play the Colorado Rockies at home, beginning a stretch of five of seven series against losing teams.

This stretch is almost a do-or-die situation for the Pirates – they have to take advantage of getting Colorado for seven games, Arizona for four, Miami and San Diego for three each, intertwined with three-game series against the Dodgers and Giants. If they don’t gain some serious ground, which means taking over the NL Central within this time frame, their chances at a division title may be seriously hampered, as they won’t play another losing team until a three-game set at Wrigley Field begins on September 5.

As much as I feel the Bucs will have success over this stretch, I’m not too confident behind Francisco Liriano (1-7, 4.72 ERA) tonight. It’s not just Liriano’s lack of success – before and after his recent stint on the disabled list – it’s also because Rockies starter Jorge De La Rosa (10-6, 4.56 ERA) has been on a major tear, at least in Rockies’ terms.

The Pirates have won nine of their past 11 games at PNC Park and 21 of their last 31, but Liriano hasn’t contributed to any of those wins. They’ve lost Liriano’s last three starts and five of his past six. It‘s fair to note that run support hasn’t been there for him, with an average of only 2.3 runs scored over his last six starts.

He went only four innings in his last start on Sunday, his first since coming off the DL. He gave up three runs in that outing, and most of the damage came via six walks. That’s bad news the Pirates, but the perfect recipe for an OVER tonight in Pittsburgh. Liriano goes OVER at home (8-1-2 in last 11) even when he‘s good. Right now, when they need him more than ever, he’s not very good.

Also, Pittsburgh has gone OVER in its last four games.

This will be the first meeting between the two teams this season, but tonight’s starters met last year at Coors Field. De La Rosa got the 10-1 win, which of course went OVER the total of 9 runs. De La Rosa was getting +127 in that contest against a version of Liriano that might have been his best ever. Tonight, Liriano is a massive -148 favorite with the total set at 7.5.

De La Rosa has won his past four starts, boosted by an average of 8.5 runs of support. While the break may have cooled De La Rosa off a bit, there is still way more upside supporting him as a big dog tonight than hoping Liriano miraculously returns to his 2013 form that helped the Bucs to their first postseason since 1992.

If Liriano does fail tonight, it should be a sign that new blood in the rotation is required to take advantage of the soft upcoming schedule. The Bucs have plenty of prime prospects in their organization to make a deal for Boston’s Jon Lester.

The plays tonight are Colorado and the OVER.

Friday Selections:

Rockies (De La Rosa) +138 at Pirates, 7:05 p.m. ET

Rockies/Pirates OVER 7.5 (-110)

Cardinals (Lynn) -125 vs. Dodgers , 8:15 p.m. ET

Orioles (Tillman) +150 at A’s, 10:05 p.m. ET

Orioles/A’s UNDER 7.5 (-120)

Mets/Padres UNDER 6.5 (-120), 10:10 p.m. ET

Here’s a look at some of baseball’s best from the first-half of the season in the betting world:

Best Money Teams: Oakland (+14 units), Angels (+13.6), Baltimore (+12.8), Seattle (+7), Cincinnati (+5.8), Minnesota (+5.7), White Sox (+5.6)

Best Starting Pitcher Earners: Alfredo Simon (+13.2 units), Phil Hughes (+10.3), Garrett Richards (+10.1), Scott Kazmir (+9.5), Adam Wainwright (+9.2), Rick Purcell (+8.3), Danny Keuchel (+8)

Best Teams vs. Lefties: Oakland (18-8), Detroit (20-10), Seattle 21-12

Best OVER Teams: Miami (54-34-6), Colorado (49-38-8), Angels (50-39-5), Detroit (48-38-5), Texas (49-40-6)

Best UNDER Teams: San Diego (29-62-4), Boston (38-54-3), Atlanta (38-53-4), Seattle (39-52-4)

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 18

MLB Betting News and Notes

Blue Jays start second half with struggling Dickey

The first half of the season was a roller coaster ride for the Toronto Blue Jays. They were a force in May and the early days of June, but struggled mightily into the All-Star Break.

The Jays are now four games back of the first-place Baltimore Orioles and kick the post All-Star schedule against the Texas Rangers.

R.A. Dickey will be on the bump for the Jays and has struggled in his own right. The Blue Jays are just 1-5 in his last six starts.

Jays are small -103 home faves and posted a total of 8.

Giants struggle versus Marlins in Bumgarner's starts

The San Francisco Giants are 0-4 in pitcher Madison Bumgarner's last four starts versus the Miami Marlins. The Marlins and Giants begin a three-game series in Miami Friday.

Bumgarner's last outing versus the N.L. East club was the final meeting of the 2013 season, which the Giants lost 6-5.

The southpaw will be on the mound for the Giants in the series opener Friday. Marlins are +118 home dogs and a total of 7.5.

This team is streaking on the road

The Tampa Bay Rays have been road warriors as of late, posting an 8-1 record in the last nine games away from home. Tampa faces off against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field Friday.The Rays are presently -130 favorites with a total of eight.

Shields, Royals lights out on the Over on the road

In Kansas City Royals pitcher James Shields' last nine starts on the road, the Over is a scorching hot 8-1. Shields will be on the mound for KC when they take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park Friday. Sox are -122 faves with a total of 8.5.

Indians-Tigers meetings a boon for Over bettors

The Over is cashing in for bettors when the Cleveland Indians and Detroit Tigers square off. In the last seven meetings, the Over is a perfect 7-0.

The two teams have played eight games against one another, starting with a 4-0 score resulting Under. Since then, it's been all Overs.

The two renew acquaintances Friday and the total is 8.5 on the game.

Tyler Chatwood out for Rockies rest of season, will have Tommy John surgery

The Rockies' reeling rotation has taken another major hit. Right-hander Tyler Chatwood will miss the rest of the season and will undergo Tommy John elbow surgery next week, a major-league source said Thursday. That means he'll miss most, if not all, of the 2015 season.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, July 18

MLB Weekend Betting Cheat Sheet

Down Dickey

R.A. Dickey will be hoping things after the All-Star break are better for him as the highly paid Blue Jays ace has continued to fail to live up to expectations. Dickey is 7-9 with a 3.82 ERA and has lost five of his last six games.

Boston Blues

The defending World Series champions Boston Red Sox are nine games under .500 after the All-Star break and look like they are a longshot to make the playoffs, but with Clay Bucholz getting the Friday start at a lifetime 4-1 against the Royals there is a good chance that the 2013 World Series champs can get back on the right track after the break against Royals starter James Shields who is 9-13 with a 4.36 ERA against Boston.

Jeter's Farewell

Derek Jeter will continue his farewell tour with a interleague stop in Cincy taking on the Reds this weekend. Jeter is hitting .275 on the season and will be trying to help the Yankees deal with serious pitching injuries to C.C. Sabathia and Masahiro Tanaka to get back in the AL East and Wild Card race with their 47-47 record.

Pitching Notes

Oakland A's  pitcher Jeff Samardzija  has been adjusting to life in the American League after his trade with the Chicago Cubs before the break, pitching two games beforehand. Having to pitch to a DH has resulted in varied success in the W/L column as he is 1-1, but not with his totals as both of his AL appearances have gone Under the total with the ace on the mound. The total is 7 on Friday when the A's host the Orioles.

Seattle Mariners ace Felix Hernandez has been red hot and the 3-0 record in his last five starts with two No Decisions speaks to why many consider him to be the best pitcher in the American League. Unders are also 7-2-1 in King Felix's last ten starts as the Mariners ace continues to frustrate batters, something that the high powered Angels lineup hopes won't happen to them in a highly anticipated Saturday affair.

Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw was snubbed by NL manager Mike Matheny at the All-Star Game as the Cardinals manager started Adam Wainwright instead of the red hot Kershaw for the NL on Tuesday. Kershaw hasn't needed motivation to win eight straight games for the Dodgers on the mound, but expect the best pitcher in baseball to bring his heat in a 2013 NL Playoffs rematch.

Hitting Notes

All-Star MVP Mike Trout leads the Angels in most every offensive category, including batting average (.310), home runs (22) and RBIs (73). The young AL MVP hopeful will look to build on those numbers against the Mariners this weekend.

New York Yankees outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury, who is 6-for-14 in his career versus the Reds, has hit safely in 19 of his last 24 games as the former Red Sox outfielder gets more and more comfortable in pinstripes.

Atlanta Braves 3B Chris Johnson busted out of a 3-for-28 slump with five hits, including three homers and seven RBIs in his final two games against the Chicago Cubs before the All-Star break.

Totals Streak

Felix Hernandez: King Felix has found his groove as of late and has seen six of his last seven games go under the total, including his last three starts for the Mariners as Hernandez has been throwing his best stuff entering mid-July.

Prop of the Day

Overs has cashed in four of Nationals pitcher's Stephen Strasburg's last five starts with one push. Facing the strong Milwaukee Brewers lineup the total is set at a low 7 on Friday.

Injury Notes

Boston Red Sox outfielder Shane Victorino suffered a back injury during his rehab assignment and will remain on the disabled list with no timetable set on his return.

Cubs player Emilio Bonifacio is out of the lineup recovering from a rib cage injury that has him on the DL until late July.

Atlanta Braves Dan Uggla is set to return from his pre-All-Star break suspension for conduct detrimental to the team and is eligible to return on Friday and if the Braves insert him back in the lineup or not should be one of the early talking points in their series against Philadelphia.

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