WNBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday, July 16

WNBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday, July 16

DUNKEL INDEX

Tulsa at Minnesota
The Shock head to Minnesota this afternoon to face a Lynx team that is 9-1 SU in its last 10 home games. Minnesota is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-9 1/2).

Game 601-602: Atlanta at New York (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 115.867; New York 109.491
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Tulsa at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 105.733; Minnesota 118.264
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 12 1/2; 169
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 165 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-9 1/2); Over

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ATLANTA (15 - 5) at NEW YORK (7 - 13) - 7/16/2014, 11:00 AM

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 86-58 ATS (+22.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
NEW YORK is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after scoring 55 points or less since 1997.
ATLANTA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (7 - 14) at MINNESOTA (16 - 6) - 7/16/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
TULSA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 6-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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11:00 AM
ATLANTA vs. NEW YORK
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

1:00 PM
TULSA vs. MINNESOTA
Tulsa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Tulsa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Tulsa

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StatFox Super Situations

TULSA at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 10 points or more 46-18 over the last 5 seasons.  ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 2-2 this year.  ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

ATLANTA at NEW YORK
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) off a home win against a division rival, in July games 23-9 over the last 5 seasons.  ( 71.9% | 0.0 units ) 3-1 this year.  ( 75.0% | 0.0 units )

TULSA at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) in a game involving two horrible defensive teams (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games 46-18 over the last 5 seasons.  ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 4-1 this year.  ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

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Art Aronson

Tulsa Shock vs. Minnesota Lynx    
Play: Minnesota Lynx -8½

The visiting Tulsa Shock (7-14) are coming off a 91-74 loss to the Washington Mystics at home. Glory Johnson had 20 points and 11 rebounds while Skylar Diggins chipped in with 16 points in a losing cause. Note that Johnson and Diggins were the only Shock players to score in double digits as the team shot just 39 percent from the field collectively. The Minnesota Lynx (16-6) are coming off a 77-60 win over Seattle on the road. Maya Moore scored 16 of her game-high 26 points in the third quarter to lead the way. Note that the Lynx have lost just one game at home and I think they take care of business here. And note that Tulsa has lost four of its last five in Minnesota. The Lynx are a dominant 9-1 in home games and are just two games back of the Western Conference leading Phoenix; suffice it to say, this is a golden opportunity for the home side. Tulsa is 1-5 ATS this month and 0-3 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota is 6-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing 77 points or more this season. All signs point to a blowout, consider laying the points in this matchup.

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Red Dog Sports

Atlanta vs. New York
Play: Under 154½

Atlanta is a fast paced team led by Angel McCoughtry, Lyttle and de Souza. New York can play fast but likes a slower paced with point guard Cappie Pondexter, who did not score in their last game, which was a loss at home to Los Angeles. I expect New York to focus more on defense and I like the under since this game starts at 11am. Hopefully, the players don't wake up until the second half and we see a game in the upper 140's that stays under the total.

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Jim Feist

Tulsa at Minnesota
Pick: Over

Minnesota is the defending WNBA Champion and they are playing very good again this year at 16-6. At home they have been even better, posting a 9-1 mark. Tonight they have to lay double digits against Tulsa. Tulsa is 7-14 on the season and 3-7 on the road. Tulsa scores a lot of points so covering double digits will be tough here for Minnesota against a team that average over 80 ppg. And, if we look at the last six games for the Shock, they have gone to OT in three of those games. Over has been a very good play in Tulsa Shock games, going over in 10 of the last 13 contests and 16 of the last 21 road games. And, the last five times these teams have met, all five have gone OVER. This is due in part to Tulsa being the 4th best offensive team in the league, averaging 82 ppg and 5th in rebounding (34.4 rpg). Take the over and look for lots of points in this one.

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LA Syndicate

Atlanta -4

Minnesota -8 -120

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