World Series Predictions

World Series Predictions

World Series Predictions
VegasInsider.com

The 2014 World Series won’t begin until this October but bettors can start investing in this year’s matchup. Sportsbook.ag, a major offshore outfit, has posted odds on which teams will meet in the “Fall Classic.” Rather than guess on the upcoming AL-NL matchup, we reached out to our top two pro baseball experts on VegasInsider.com, Antony Dinero (+7,950) and Bruce Marshall (+2,764).

To no surprise, the duo are both leaning in the same direction and in this case, it’s the West Coast.

Dinero is a big believer in Don Mattingly and the Dodgers. He explained, “The National League doesn't look very challenging. Entering the final day of action prior to the All-Star break, the possibility existed that the Brewers-Cardinals winner would be the lone team 10 games over .500 if the Dodgers lost to San Diego on Sunday. Put simply, mediocrity reigns in the NL.”

“For futures purposes, the Dodgers are my clear favorite in the NL. They have the best pitcher in the game leading a capable, veteran rotation. They have a potent lineup complete with an emerging leadoff hitter in All-star Dee Gordon, affording them versatility in how they score runs outside of the long ball. If there is a weakness, L.A. must find a way to gain stability in a bullpen that already has a dependable closer in Kenley Jansen, who is 26-for-29 in save opportunities. Health permitting, the Dodgers are head and shoulders ahead of the rest.”

“Taking into account that Don Mattingly's team did its best work in the season's second half last year, the call here is to back L.A. ahead of Atlanta, St. Louis, San Francisco and the other contenders.”

Dinero believes that the American League is a three-horse race between Oakland, the L.A. Angels of Anaheim and Detroit and he believes one of those teams will meet the Dodgers in October.

His World Series predictions and analysis listed below:

Best Bet: L.A. Dodgers vs. Oakland (7/1): Adding Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel to the rotation was a brilliant, necessary move for a team that definitely has the offensive firepower to make noise in October.

Great Bet: L.A. Dodgers vs. Detroit (9/1): Miguel Cabrera has a ton of help, so if Justin Verlander can figure things out to strengthen a rotation featuring Max Scherzer, Anibal Sanchez and Rick Porcello, the Tigers are going to be a tough out.

Good bet, no subways: L.A. Dodgers vs. L.A. Angels (20/1): It's up to Jared Weaver, Garrett Richards and C.J. Wilson to be dependable enough to support an imposing lineup, but there are question marks in the bullpen, too.

Sleeper pick: If not the Dodgers, who? St. Louis is waking up. Michael Wacha should get healthy. Rookie Oscar Taveras might figure it out and become a catalyst for the defending NL Champs. Go on down the list with the Cards against the A's (18/1), Tigers (23/1) or Angels (55/1).

Bruce Marshall is a big believer in Los Angeles too, except he’s all-in on the Angels.

He explained, “For this particular prop at Sportsbook.ag, there are three WS prices I think are awfully enticing. They all involve the Angels, who look to have the goods to make a serious run. Strong up the middle (Aybar and Kendrick a real plus defensively), and with plenty of offense featuring an emerging superstar in Trout, Pujols healthy and contributing, plus Scioscia pushing the right buttons, and the Angels check plenty of boxes. The emergence of Garrett Richards also gives the Halos a pretty good 1-2-3 in the rotation (with Weaver and Wilson) for the playoffs, too. The question remains in the bullpen (not sure I trust Joe Smith as the closer) , though I would expect Jerry DiPoto to make one more move beyond the recent addition of Jason Grilli. The bullpen question obviously applies to the Tigers too. A guy to watch who could be on the move before the deadline is Padre closer Huston Street; teams like the Halos and Tigers would be desperate to sign him.”

Marshall’s top WS predictions are listed below:

Angels-Dodgers at 20/1...
This is a nice price for what might be the two best teams in MLB. Is it the year of the Freeway Series? Best chance since 2004, or maybe 1982. The Dodgers have the pitching and an automatic win every time Kershaw goes to the mound, although the offense does go in funks for long stretches (too many selfish hitters), and upon inspection the team is barely above .500 when Kershaw doesn't start. The Blue is also barely above .500 at home, which has got to turn around in the second half of the season and I believe does not bode well for the Giants in the NL West. Also plenty of stiffs in the West for the Dodgers to beat up the next 2 ½ months, so their path to the playoffs looks a bit more clear to me than for other NL teams. Kershaw-Greinke-Ryu-Beckett (if healthy) is a tough rotation to top in a short series.

Reds-Angels at 120/1...After a slow start, Cincinnati has picked up lots of momentum. The Reds have playoff experience, decent depth in the rotation with a dominator in Cueto, and a lights-out closer in Chapman. What I like most about the Reds is their ability to generate runs without having to rely on the long ball (by me, this puts them ahead of the Dodgers), although the offense has some power, especially if Votto can get healthy. Billy Hamilton is also impacting games more and more and will be a player to watch in the second half of the season. The Reds have inhaled ground on the Brewers the past few weeks and will blow by them by the time we get to August. It is going to be a horse race in the Central, but I sense the Cards have a few more flaws than their recent editions, and Cincy can be awfully tough in the playoffs with a guy like Cueto, who can outpitch anyone (even Kershaw).

Pirates-Angels at 160/1...Since I believe the Bucs almost have as good of a chance as anybody in the NL, this price is too good not to take a shot. Pittsburgh is another team that might want to look for bullpen help (15 blown saves already), and just cutting down a couple of those blown saves puts the Pirates on top in the Central. Ray Searage continues to make lemonade out of lemons with the rotation that has hung tough despite injuries, McCutchen is the most-dynamic player in the NL, Harrison is an unquestioned spark plug, and Polanco has added an exciting new dimension to the lineup. There is enough offense to get it done in Pittsburgh, though I believe they might want to take a hard look at Pedro Alvarez at 3B and even consider dealing him out at the break, he often hurts the team. Importantly, the Pirates might have put their old demons to the sword against the Dodgers after winning 3 of 4 in an earlier series; LA has absolutely owned the Bucs for the last decade, and just in case that is a playoff matchup, Pittsburgh now has some confidence against the Blue. In a toss-up NL, I almost think the Bucs have as good of a chance as anybody, and this price fora potential series with the Halos is way too good to bypass, at least in relation to other possible matchups.

Marshall does believe that you should keep checking this prop, especially since Sportsbook.ag will update odds and make more teams available.

He said, “One team not listed on any prices, unless wanting to bet the field at an unappealing 10/1, is Tampa Bay. At this stage, I am not writing the Rays out of the AL East race, because I have no faith in the top contenders, and believe 85 or 86 wins could steal the division. Tampa Bay has played much better in recent weeks, and if it can get to .500 by the middle of August, it will have a puncher's chance. The Rays have roared down the stretch before, although we will have to see what they do about David Price. Not sure they deal him, and if they did, it would make the playoff climb a bit harder. But I still won't write them off. Toronto has been losing altitude fast, the Bosox don't have it this season, and not sure the Yankees do, either. That leaves Baltimore as the team to beat, but as usual, Buck Showalter is working that staff to death, and the O's have gotten quality starts from their staff less than 40% of the time this season, a worrying omen. If the Birds make the playoffs I would not fear them because they don't have the front-line pitchers like the other contenders to survive for long in the postseason. They could, however, steal the East with as few as 85 wins.

All of the odds from Sportsbook.ag are listed below:

Possible 2014 World Series Matchups Odds

Braves vs. Athletics 21/1
Braves vs. Blue Jays 140/1
Braves vs. Indians 200/1
Braves vs. Mariners 100/1
Braves vs. Orioles 70/1
Braves vs. Red Sox 200/1
Braves vs. Royals 160/1
Braves vs. Tigers 25/1
Braves vs. Yankees 100/1

Brewers vs. Angels 45/1
Brewers vs. Athletics 15/1
Brewers vs. Blue Jays 100/1
Brewers vs. Indians 150/1
Brewers vs. Mariners 75/1
Brewers vs. Orioles 50/1
Brewers vs. Red Sox 180/1
Brewers vs. Royals 120/1
Brewers vs. Tigers 20/1
Brewers vs. Yankees 75/1

Cardinals vs. Angels 55/1
Cardinals vs. Athletics 18/1
Cardinals vs. Blue Jays 120/1
Cardinals vs. Indians 180/1
Cardinals vs. Mariners 90/1
Cardinals vs. Orioles 60/1
Cardinals vs. Red Sox 200/1
Cardinals vs. Royals 140/1
Cardinals vs. Tigers 23/1
Cardinals vs. Yankees 90/1

Dodgers vs. Angels 20/1
Dodgers vs. Athletics 7/1
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays 50/1
Dodgers vs. Indians 75/1
Dodgers vs. Mariners 35/1
Dodgers vs. Orioles 25/1
Dodgers vs. Red Sox 90/1
Dodgers vs. Royals 60/1
Dodgers vs. Tigers 9/1
Dodgers vs. Yankees 35/1

Giants vs. Angels 60/1
Giants vs. Athletics 21/1
Giants vs. Blue Jays 140/1
Giants vs. Indians 200/1
Giants vs. Mariners 100/1
Giants vs. Orioles 70/1
Giants vs. Red Sox 200/1
Giants vs. Royals 160/1
Giants vs. Tigers 25/1
Giants vs. Yankees 100/1

Nationals vs. Angels 35/1
Nationals vs. Athletics 11/1
Nationals vs. Blue Jays 80/1
Nationals vs. Indians 110/1
Nationals vs. Mariners 55/1
Nationals vs. Orioles 35/1
Nationals vs. Red Sox 130/1
Nationals vs. Royals 90/1
Nationals vs. Tigers 14/1
Nationals vs. Yankees 55/1

Pirates vs. Angels 160/1
Pirates vs. Athletics 55/1
Pirates vs. Blue Jays 350/1
Pirates vs. Indians 500/1
Pirates vs. Mariners 250/1
Pirates vs. Orioles 180/1
Pirates vs. Red Sox 600/1
Pirates vs. Royals 400/1
Pirates vs. Tigers 70/1
Pirates vs. Yankees 250/1

Reds vs. Angels 120/1
Reds vs. Athletics 40/1
Reds vs. Blue Jays 250/1
Reds vs. Indians 400/1
Reds vs. Mariners 200/1
Reds vs. Orioles 140/1
Reds vs. Red Sox 450/1
Reds vs. Royals 300/1
Reds vs. Tigers 55/1
Reds vs. Yankees 200/1

Field (Any Other Matchup) 10/1

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