Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, July 8

Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, July 8

DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

Pittsburgh at St. Louis
The Pirates look to bounce back from last night's 2-0 loss in the series opener and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games following a defeat. Pittsburgh is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110).

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wada) 14.252; Cincinnati (Holmberg) 13.294
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+125); Under

Game 953-954: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 16.978; NY Mets (deGrom) 15.383
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Over

Game 955-956: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.557; Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.032
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-170); Over

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 15.632; St. Louis (Martinez) 13.697
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Under

Game 959-960: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 15.152; Colorado (Morales) 14.335
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-105); Under

Game 961-962: Miami at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Hand) 14.117; Arizona (Nuno) 16.007
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); Over

Game 963-964: NY Yankees at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 15.762; Cleveland (Bauer) 16.535
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 6
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Under

Game 965-966: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 14.294; Boston (Workman) 17.294
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Over

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 15.762; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.353
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 14.253; Texas (Irwin) 15.789
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-125); Over

Game 971-972: Toronto at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.782; LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.696
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+145); Under

Game 973-974: Minnesota at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 12.718; Seattle (Young) 16.439
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over

Game 975-976: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 14.885; Washington (Fister) 16.214
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-155); Over

Game 977-978: LA Dodgers at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.824; Detroit (Verlander) 15.242
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Under

Game 979-980: San Francisco at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.645; Oakland (Gray) 16.932
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

WNBA

Indiana at Tulsa
The Fever head to Tulsa tonight and come into the contest with a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Indiana is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3).

Game 651-652: Connecticut at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 110.295; Atlanta 116.883
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 161
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 156 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+9); Over

Game 653-654: Indiana at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 112.913; Tulsa 111.818
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Tulsa by 3; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Under

Game 655-656: Los Angeles at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 111.469; Minnesota 119.525
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 161
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Under

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DAVE COKIN

LOS ANGELES DODGERS AT DETROIT TIGERS
PLAY: LOS ANGELES DODGERS +110

It’s a conceivable World Series preview on tap tonight as the Dodgers and Tigers open a quick two-game set in Detroit.  The mound matchup for the opener is an intriguing one, as Hyun-Jin Ryu throws for the Dodgers while Justin Verlander climbs the hill for the Dodgers.

Let’s look at Ryu first. He’s been a very profitable underdog since arriving in the show, with the Dodgers standing 9-5 in those games over the past twos seasons. Ryu has been a road warrior with a beautiful 1.62 ERA away from LA. He’s got his work cut out tonight against a potent Detroit lineup. But the fact none of the Tigers have ever faced him is a check mark on the Ryu side of the ledger.

Justin Verlander, despite all his years in the majors, will also be a brand new look for most of the Dodgers he’ll be facing tonight. Verlander is showing signs of breaking out of what was a pretty serious funk. He had two very solid starts back to back, but his last outing was a bit shaky despite the fact he surrendered only two runs and earned the win. But Verlander was hittable in that last appearance, and while he touched 97 in the game, his overall velocity dipped a bit from the prior three outings.

I’m just not ready to buy Verlander being back to what we’ve become accustomed to seeing as his norm. That’s not to suggest in any way he’s not going to be an upper echelon starter for Detroit. This guy knows how to pitch, and he’s hardly ready for the scrap heap. But at the present time Verlander is more of a middle of the rotation type. That might sound harsh, but numbers are neutral and Verlander’s numbers this season are simply middle of the road at best.

I see the Tigers having a slightly superior offense, and while the Dodgers have an edge in the bullpen, it’s not overwhelming. But the team tendencies are definitely in play here. The Dodgers have been a very good road team this year. The Tigers are barely above .500 at home. Ryu is a money machine as an underdog and I expect him to contain a Tigers lineup that has never seen him up close. I think a case can be made for the Dodgers being perhaps -110 here. With the line instead favoring Detroit, it looks to me like the Dodgers are the way to play tonight.

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Jesse Schule

Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee
Pick: Milwaukee

The Brewers lost Game 1 of this series, as they were stymied by Cole Hamels. They appear to have a more favorable match-up on the mound in Game 2, and the price to back Brew Crew seems pretty reasonable tonight.

Wily Peralta will toe the slab for Milwaukee, and he's had himself a fine season. Peralta (9-5, 3.35 ERA) allowed four runs on nine hits over six innings in a loss at Toronto his last time out. He should be in better shape at home tonight, especially when you consider his record of 7-1, 2.87 ERA in 10 games under the lights so far.

The Phillies hand the ball to Kyle Kendrick, who has been hit hard in past meetings with Milwaukee. Kendrick (3-8, 4.12 ERA) is winless in his last three starts, and he's surrendered 11 runs on 23 hits in those games. He was torched for six runs on nine hits over just five innings in his only previous meeting with the Brewers this season.

Ryan Braun has owned Kendrick, hitting .474 with a pair of home runs and seven RBIs in 19 career at bats. Scooter Gennett has only faced him twice, but he's 2-for-2 lifetime.


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Marc Lawrence

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Prediction: Atlanta Braves

Edges - Braves: Teheran 42 strikeouts and 6 walks last five starts, and 11-4 night team starts, and 7-2 team starts vs. N.L. East this season. Mets: de Grom 2-8 all team starts, including 0-4 at home. With Teheran 2-0 with a 1.58 ERA in his career this park, and 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA away in his career teams starts during the month of July, we recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta.

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Stephen Nover

G1 Chicago Cubs vs. G1 Cincinnati Reds    
Play: G1 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +102

The Reds with Johnny Cueto pitching at home during the day against the Cubs looks like a sure thing. The oddsmaker sees it that way, too, installing the Reds as better than a 2/1 favorite.

I can't and won't lay nearly that high of a juice on a game. But there's still a way to collect on Cueto without damaging your bank roll if an upset should occur - laying 1 1/2 runs with Cincinnati on the run line.

The Reds and Pirates have been the hottest teams in the National League during the past four weeks going 17-8. Cincinnati's last nine victories have ALL been by more than one run.

The Cubs have lost by more than one run in six of their last seven defeats. Their average losing margin during this span is 5.1 runs.

Cueto and Adam Wainwright have been the best right-handers in the National League. Cueto has a 1.61 home ERA this season and a 1.17 ERA in day games. This is the early game of a doubleheader.

The young Cubs haven't seen Cueto this year. Cueto has dominated Chicago going 4-0 with a 1.37 ERA in his previous seven starts against the Cubs. Star closer Aroldis Chapman said he's ready to pitch again if needed. Chapman had tweaked his hamstring prior to this past Sunday's game.

Cubs starter Travis Wood has a 6.16 road ERA. The Cubs have lost 26 of the past 35 times Wood has faced an opponent with a winning record. Wood has surrendered 22 walks in 34 2/3 innings since June 5, the most in the National League. The Reds have the power and hitter's ballpark to take full advantage of Wood's wildness.


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Red Dog Sports

Atlanta vs. New York
Play: Under 7

Atlanta has played 33 overs/51 unders this year and their starter (Teheran) has been involved in 4 overs to go with 13 unders. The Mets use deGrom and his ERA is a solid 2.41 in his last 3 starts. I like our chances for an under on Tuesday night.

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Art Aronson

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners    
Play: Seattle Mariners -108

I think the home side is worth the price of admission today. The Twins turn to Phil Hughes (8-5, 3.95 ERA) who is coming off three straight poor outings and has struggled in four of his last six starts overall. Hughes was rocked by his former team, allowing seven runs in 6 1/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Yankees. The Mariners will respond with Chris Young (8-4, 3.11 ERA) who is pitching his best baseball in years. Young held the Astros to two runs over seven innings in a Seattle win in his last start. The right-hander has won three of his last four starts and has given up more than one run just once in his last four outings. At Safeco Park this season he is 5-1 with a very respectable 2.19 ERA over 49 innings. Minnesota has lost five of six and has been struggling in all facets of late. The Twins are a season-worst 10 games under .500 and have dropped 11 of their last 14. Its starting pitching hasn't given it much of a chance with an MLB-worst 6.96 ERA in that stretch while being charged with all 11 losses. All-Star catcher Joe Mauer is on the disabled list which has not helped matters for the Twins. The Mariners have won seven of nine and are in the thick of a realistic playoff race. Seattle is 8-3 versus the Twins at Safeco the last the three seasons. Consider laying the short price to get the Mariners.


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Ray Monohan

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks    
Play: Arizona Diamondback -113

This will be the first start for the newly acquired Vidal Nuno in Arizona. He had his moments with the Yankees but should find the National League a bit easier. His first test will be a Miami team that is not very good on the road. Arizona may be selling off assets but they got off to a great start in this series against Miami and Nuno will have a first go advantage against the Marlins. Their own starter, Brad Hand, is terrible in the rotation and relief.

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Rob Vinciletti

Los Angeles vs. Detroit
Play: Over 8½

There are several angles pointing to this game playing over the total tonight.The Tigers have played over in 22 of 31 at home off a home loss by 2 or more runs, 23 of 29 off 3+ losses, 7 of 8 as a home favorite from -100 to -125. The Dodgers are averaging over 5 runs per game the past week and have flown over 6 of 7 times as a road dg off a road favored win by 5 or more runs. There is even a solid database system here that plays to the over for home favorites off a home loss that scored 4 or less runs with no errors, vs an opponent like the Dodgers that are off a road favored win by 5 or more runs. This system has flown over 25 of 37 times and 17 of 21 if the total is 8 or less, Verlander for Detroit has gone over in 6 of 8 at home with a pedestrian like 4.40 era. He will face LA Lefty H. Ryu who could struggle with a solid Detroit lineup that has played over in 9 of the last 12 at home vs leftys. Look for this game to go over the total.


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Jim Feist

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Pick: Atlanta Braves

Atlanta has great pitching and defense, which you need on the road. Julio Teheran (8-5) allowed one run on four hits and three walks while striking out five over 7.0 innings Wednesday in a win over the Mets. Teheran has failed to go at least six innings only once all season. The 23-year-old owns a 2.29 ERA and 108:26 strikeout to walk ratio in 126 innings on the year. The Mets are 23-53 in their last 76 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Mets have righty Jacob deGrom (1-5) going and the Braves are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. He has walked 26 in 59 innings, a poor ratio, and Atlanta is 5-1 against NY.

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Bryan Leonard

Miami / Aeizona Over 9.5

A couple of lefties are due for rough outings at Chase Field when Brad Hand and Vidal Nuno meet on Tuesday night. Nuno will be making his Chase Field debut and that's probably not going to go well for a pitcher with a 43.1% fly ball rate, a 14% HR/FB rate, and a 5.42 ERA. Nuno has allowed 15 home runs in 78 innings and he's now going to one of the best hitter's parks in the National League. The Marlins have been league average or better against lefties all season long and that's impressive considering how hard it is to hit in their home park.

Brad Hand is making his second straight spot start for the Marlins. He allowed three runs on seven hits over five innings in his start against the Phillies on July 3. Hand has a 6.21 ERA in 17 appearances, three starts this season and he is also a fly ball pitcher. The reason most lefties that wind up in the bullpen are put there is because they can't get righties out. That's true of Hand, as righties have hit .317/.416/.545 in 91 plate appearances this season. Don't expect Hand to work very deep into the game either and that puts a lot of strain on a Marlins bullpen that has worked the fourth-most innings in the league.

It should be a great night to be a hitter with these two guys on the hill, especially two guys learning about Chase Field for the first time.

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Bob Balfe

LA Dodgers +115

For as good as Justin Verlander is Hyun-Jin Ryu has been even better. Ryu has been sensational on the road this year and the Tigers really need to get their bullpen in order if they want to make noise in the fall. This could easily be a World Series Preview. Take the Dodgers.

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Jeff Clement

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +100

The Pirates are 5-0 last 5 games following a loss while St.Louis is 3-9 last 12 home games as a favorite of 110 to-150. Worley has been pitching outstanding in his four starts this season and the Pirates have been HOT winning last 12 of 16 games and are right back in the hunt for the N.L. Central Division title.

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Brandon Shively

Dodgers vs. Tigers    
Play: Over 8.5

I like this game to go OVER tonight in this interleague series. The Dodgers are a consistent road team that scores 4.6 runs a game on the road. They are hitting the ball well right now as well with a .292 BA over the last 7 games. This is an interleague game and the Dodgers will get an extra bat and I like this as the Dodgers are a PERFECT 7-0 OVER in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a right handed starter. The Tigers will be trying to break their current 3 game losing streak and the OVER is 23-6 in Detroit's last 29 home games when playing off of 3 straight losses. The OVER is also 20-6 in their last 26 interleague home games vs. a left handed starter. Detroit tends to hit lefties good as they are 18-9 hitting .284 from the plate vs. left handed starters and this should be a good game for them to get some runs on the board. The OVER is now 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 home starts, and 13-3 in his last 16 starts overall. He is still having trouble going deep in games and the Tigers bullpen is horrendous with a 5.14/ 1.58 WHIP at home. Look for this game to go OVER tonight with the wind blowing out from the NW at 15 MPH.


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Larry Ness

Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers
Pick: Detroit Tigers

Justin Verlander takes the mound with only a 7-7 record and a 4.71 ERA, his second-highest since his first full season in 2006. He suffered a nightmarish seven-game stretch from May 14-June 16 when he was 2-5 with a 7.83 ERA. However, the 31-year-old, who led the majors with 137 wins from 2006-13, has looked better recently, compiling a 3.32 ERA in his last three outings. He gave up two solo HRs in the first inning Wednesday against Oakland but didn't surrender another run over his six innings in a 9-3 victory, his first win in six starts.

The Dodgers visit Detroit tonight, as the teams open a three-game series. There will no sixth straight All-Star selection here in 2014 for Verlander as he looks to produce a good effort, in his final pre-break start. I didn't have a good first half, and I know that," he said. "It's going to be the first time I get that weekend off in a while. It will be nice to get that time where I don't have to tax my arm. I've put in a lot of extra work this year, trying to find my mechanics, so the rest will be good."

Verlander is 22-2 with a 2.56 ERA in 29 career interleague starts, including an 11-0 mark and 1.78 ERA in the last 13. He's NEVER lost to an NL team in Detroit, going 13-0 with a 1.83 ERA in 14 starts, and owns a 1.23 ERA in winning his last six at Comerica Park. Verlander has never faced the Dodgers and does draw a tough mound opponent.

The Dodgers give the ball to Hyun-jin Ryu (9-4, 3.08 ERA), who is 6-1 with a 1.62 ERA in eight road games. The left-hander is 3-3 with a 4.66 ERA in eight home starts. Ryu exited with a one-run lead Wednesday vs Cleveland after seven innings in which he gave up two runs and seven hits. However, he didn't get a decision as the bullpen allowed a three-run 8th in a 5-4 defeat.

The Dodgers scored 27 runs while taking three of four in Colorado and were 20 for 46 with runners in scoring position. LA's won 16 of 23, a surge that has them entering the final stretch before the All-Star break with a half-game lead over San Francisco in the NL West. The Dodgers have won NINE of their last 10 on the road against AL teams but the left-handed Ryu faces a Detroit team which is 18-9 againat southpaws in 2014, including 6-3 while averaging 6.1 RPG in home night games.

Verlander has been nearly unbeatable in IL starts and the Tigers have won 13 of their last 15 interleague home games. Bucking Verlander and the Tigers in this spot makes little sense.

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Jimmy Boyd

Boston Red Sox -139

The Red Sox are showing some solid value at home against the White Sox. Boston will be extremely motivated after dropping 3-straight at home. Hard to not like their chances given the struggles of Chicago starter John Danks on the road. Danks is just 3-4 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.606 WHIP away from home this season. Last time he took the mound at Fenway, he was tagged for 6 runs on 11 hits in just 5 innings of work. Boston's Brandon Workman had a couple rough outings of late, but you can't forget he we didn't allow more than 2 earned runs in each of his first 5 starts of the season.

Even with yesterday's loss to the White Sox, Boston is still an impressive 41-16 over their last 57 home games against a team with a losing road record and Chicago is just 20-42 in their last 62 road games when listed as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings are 163-69 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Red Sox.

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Steve Janus

Los Angeles Dodgers +115

This is an excellent price to back the Dodgers on the road with Hyun-Jin Ryu on the mound. Ryu is 6-1 with a 1.62 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over 8 road starts this season. I'll take my chances with LA against the Tigers inconsistent Justin Verlander, who is 7-7 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.483 WHIP over 18 starts. Verlander is just 3-5 with a 4.40 and 1.640 WHIP at home. Not to mention Detroit is riding a 3-game losing streak, while the Dodgers are and impressive 16-7 over their last 23 games.

Key Trends - Tigers are 4-11 this season at home against a starting pitcher who strikes out 5+ batters per start, 1-4 in their last 5 interleagues games versus a team with a winning record and 1-6 in Verlanders' last 7 starts as a favorite. Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games against a right-handed starter, 40-17 in their last 57 during game 1 of a series and 8-2 in Ryu's last 10 starts as an underdog.

System - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more against opponent after scoring 8 runs or more are 18-57 (24%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons.

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Nick Parsons

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians    
Play: New York Yankees -138

At 12-3 with a 2.27 ERA and a 0.970 whip, Masahiro Tanaka has been everything advertised and more. He was the best starter in baseball during April and May but wins have been a little bit tougher to come by of late as teams are starting to see him for the second and third time. He faces the Tribe for the first time today.

Cleveland's Trevor Bauer is what he is .... a back of the rotation guy who will give you five innings and give up three runs or more before turning it over to the bullpen. Will that be good enough to win here? Probably not.

The Bombers have done their best work on the road and have won five of their last six away from the Bronx. They are also 12-2 in their L14 with Cleveland which includes 6-2 at The Jake. Throw in the Tanaka factor and it looks to be pinstripes here.

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Sports Atari

Cincinnati Reds -1 -149

The Reds take on the Cubs in a double header and our eyes are on the first game this afternoon. Travis Wood comes into this one with a 1-1, 5.40ERA in his last 3 starts. Overall he’s 7-6 with a 4.62 ERA on a team that’s already out of contention in their division. Wood wasn’t able to get out of the 4th inning after giving up 3 runs and 7 hits in Boston on Wednesday. The Cubs have lost 3 in a row and have only scored 4 runs in those games.

Cincinnati on the other hand has won 5 of 6 home games and 2 in a row. Johnny Cueto is having another All-Star season going 8-6 with a 1.99ERA. He’s also 3-1 with a 2.55ERA in his last 5 starts. In 19 starts against the Cubs, he’s 8-6 with a 2.91ERA.

The price is high but the Reds will get the job done early on with a chance for the Cubs to make their move in the second game between them which we’ll stay far away from.


New York Yankees -1 -122

The Yankees are getting their act together and they’ll be riding in with enough confidence especially when they’re backed by one of the best arms in the game right now. New York has won 5 of 6 road games, 2 in a row and 12 of their last 14 over the Indians.

The Yankees are 7-1 when Tanaka starts on the road while the Indians are 3-8 against a righty starter. Tanaka is 6-2 with a 2.30ERA in 8 starts. Overall he’s 12-3 with a 2.27ERA.

Trevor Bauer gets the nod for Cleveland and he’s coming in with a 0-1, 4.91ERA in his last 3 starts. His 2-4, 4.42ERA will be put to the test against a Yankee team that has found its groove in recent games. The Bronx Bombers have brought in 5 or more runs in 4 out of their last 5.

Take the Yankees on the moneyline if you wish, but after taking the Reds for a higher price, I’d recommend buying down to the -1 at -122 odds. Remember to use the excel sheet I’ve given you or the following link to easily calculate -1 lines if your book doesn’t offer it.

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