MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 7

MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 7

Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Orioles at Nationals

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Tillman (7-4, 4.21 ERA)
WSH: Strasburg (7-6, 3.53 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Orioles took two of three games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park, including a 12-inning victory on Sunday as +120 underdogs. The Nationals also won two of three contests, capturing the final two contests against the Cubs at home. In each win, Washington cashed as a favorite of least -175, while improving to 5-1 on its current homestand.

What to watch for: Baltimore won three of four matchups against Washington last season, while three of those games finished ‘over’ the total. The Nationals are 7-3-1 to the ‘over’ in the past 11 games, while posting a 5-1 record in the last six home interleague contests. The O’s have rolled on the road with Tillman starting, compiling an 8-2 team record in 10 starts away from Camden Yards.

Pirates at Cardinals

Probable Pitchers:
PIT: Morton (5-9, 3.30 ERA)
STL: Wainwright (11-4, 1.89 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Cardinals stubbed their toe in the final two games against the Marlins, falling at home on Sunday as a short favorite, 8-4. The Pirates pulled ahead of the Redbirds for second place in the NL Central after sweeping the Phillies at home, as Pittsburgh has won 12 of its past 15 contests. In eight of the last 10 games, Pittsburgh’s pitching had held the opposition to two runs or fewer.

What to watch for: Pittsburgh has put together an 11-2 record in its past 13 series openers, while the Bucs have won seven of Morton’s 10 starts under the lights this season. Wainwright has beaten the Pirates four straight times at Busch Stadium, while the Cardinals have hit the ‘under’ in each of his past four starts overall.

Blue Jays at Angels

Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Happ (7-4, 4.38 ERA)
LAA: Weaver (9-6, 3.56 ERA)

Previous series recap: Toronto’s offense dried up in a four-game sweep at Oakland, plating only four runs in the four defeats. The Angels stayed on fire by winning their 10th consecutive home game on Sunday, topping the Astros, 6-1 to pull off a four-game sweep. How impressive have the Halos been at Angel Stadium recently? Los Angeles owns a 19-2 record at home since late May, while scoring at least five runs in eight consecutive home contests.

What to watch for: The Angels grabbed three of four games at Toronto in early May, while Los Angeles has won eight of the past 10 meetings. The Jays will be without Edwin Encarnacion, who was placed on the 15-day DL with a quad injury. Toronto is just 1-9 in its last 10 road games, with the lone victory coming at Cincinnati after the Jays fell behind, 8-0. The struggles of the Jays’ offense have translated into plenty of ‘unders’ of late, with the ‘under’ going 9-2 in the last 11 contests.

Giants at Athletics

Probable Pitchers:
SF: Vogelsong (5-5, 3.86 ERA)
OAK: Chavez (6-5, 3.23 ERA)

Previous series recap: Oakland is cruising along with the best record in baseball (55-33) after sweeping Toronto this past weekend. The A’s improved to 9-1 in the last 10 home games, while the ‘under’ has hit eight times in this stretch. The Giants picked up their first series win in their last four tries, taking two of three games at San Diego. In spite of their recent struggles (6-15 last 21 games), San Francisco has won four of its last five away contests.

What to watch for: Since an 8-1 team record in his first nine starts, the A’s are just 4-4 in Chavez’s last eight trips to the mound. In Vogelsong’s seven road outings this season, the Giants have won six times, but San Francisco is 1-4 in his last five starts overall. Last season, the A’s won three of four meetings from the Giants, including a pair of blowout victories at home.

Twins at Mariners

Probable Pitchers:
MIN: Correia (4-10, 4.95 ERA)
SEA: Iwakuma (6-4, 3.33 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Mariners return home following a 4-2 road trip, but were tripped up by the White Sox on Sunday, 1-0. The Twins continue to struggle after dropping three of four at home to the Yankees, including a 9-7 defeat on Sunday in which Minnesota fell behind early, 9-0.

What to watch for: Minnesota has lost 10 of its past 11 games away from Target Field, while posting a 2-6 record in its past eight road series openers. The Twins did beat the Mariners two of three times at home back in May, with each victory coming by one run. Since losing five straight home games in mid-June, the M’s are rolling at Safeco Field with a 7-2 record in the last nine home contests. However, the Mariners are 1-5 in the past six home starts made by Iwakuma.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 7

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels

MLB Handicappers taking a look at Monday's matchup between Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays in Anaheim will discover a slew of positive betting numbers in favor of Angels. The Angels have enjoyed home cookin' lately winning 15 of their last 16 in Anaheim and 19 of the past 21 in front of the friendly crowd. Those digging deeper to get a better take on the situation will have also noted Halos have owned the series winning 3-of-4 this season, 9-of-11 the past two seasons and 5 of the past 6 running the bases in Angel Stadium. If that were not enough, Mike Scioscia sending right-hander Jered Weaver to the mound should have MLB bettors rushing to the window to make a play on LAA. The Halos are 11-3 as home favorites opening a series w/Weaver, Halos have a 9-2 stretch vs Toronto with the hurler. The clincher, Weaver and the month of July go together like baseball handicapping and baseball betting. The Angels have won 19 of Weaver's last 20 home games in the month of July.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 7

Game of the Day: Giants at Athletics

San Francisco Giants at Oakland Athletics (-142, 8)

The annual Bay Bridge Series could have two installments this year. The San Francisco Giants and host Oakland Athletics begin their usual four-game clash Monday, with both teams harboring realistic hopes of a trip to the World Series. The Athletics own the best record in baseball after finishing a four-game sweep of Toronto on Sunday and are 28-15 at home.

Oakland looks to continue its dominant pitching after allowing a total of four runs in four games against the Blue Jays, including a 1-0 win in 12 innings on Friday. San Francisco hopes its recent slide - the Giants lost 18 of 23 to slip out of first place in the National League West - has subsided after winning its final two games in San Diego over the weekend. The Giants will try to score some runs for Ryan Vogelsong as they've been shut out in two games he has started and scored three or fewer runs in 10 of his 17 outings.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the A's as -154 home faves with a total of 8.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Giants (-185), A's (-203)

INJURY REPORT: Giants - 3B Pablo Sandoval (Elbow/Questionable), SS Ehire Adrianza (Hamstring/DL)   Athletics - 1B Brandon Moss (Ankle/Questionable)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Bay Bridge series resumes tonight with the Giants visiting the A's in Oakland. San Francisco has surrendered  their NL West lead to the red-hot Dodgers by going 4-10 in their L14 with three of the wins courtesy of Tim Lincecum. The other Giant starters have been mediocre at best except for Ryan Vogelsong who toes the bump tonight. The Giant righty is off a pair of hard luck losses, 3-1 to Cincinnati and 2-0 to St Louis and Wainwright. In those games he gave up  just three earned in 13 1/3 innings work with a nice 1/15 BB/K ratio. Vogelsong has pitched well against the A's in limited opportunities. He's 1-0 in three starts and working on 13 straight scoreless against the A's albeit the last time he faced  them was 2012. Jesse Chavez has been nothing special of late (0-1, 4.96) and is the weak link on the A's staff at thus point after the acquisition of Samardzija and Hammel from the Cubs. Based on current form, Vogelsong might be worth a real look at a pretty substantial underdog price." Covers Expert Nick Parsons

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The battle of the Bay. The Oakland A’s are the best team in baseball at this point in the season, possessing one of the best pitching staffs in the league, ranking second in all but one pitching stats category. Today they go up against their cross bay rivals the San Francisco Giants who are battling for first place in the NL West. Right now we are seeing a 50-50 split on the action on the money line and 86 percent of the action on the A’s covering the 1.5-run line and 77 percent on the over 8 run total." Michael Stewart,

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (5-5, 3.86 ERA) vs. Athletics RH Jesse Chavez (6-5, 3.23)

Vogelsong has been the picture of tough luck lately, losing his last two times out despite posting quality starts and impressive outings. The 36-year-old held St. Louis to two runs over seven innings on Wednesday but was on the wrong end of a 2-0 decision. Vogelsong is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA in three starts against the Athletics, most recently facing them in 2012.

Chavez's time in the starting rotation could be coming to a close thanks to the acquisition of Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel, as well as the 30-year-old's declining performance of late. He has allowed nine runs in 10 innings over his last two starts, including a loss at Detroit on Wednesday. Chavez is 0-0 with a 7.36 ERA in four relief appearances against the Giants, whom he last faced in 2010.


*Giants are 2-9 in the last 11 meetings in Oakland.
*Athletics are 21-6 in their last 27 home games.
*Over is 10-3 in Chavezs last 13 starts overall.
*Under is 16-6-1 in the last 23 meetings in Oakland.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 53 percent of Covers users are taking the Giants +142.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Monday, July 7

MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Tim Tames Padres

Something about the San Diego Padres brings out the best in Tim Lincecum, who limited them to one run over 6 1/3 innings as San Francisco (+126) prevailed 5-3 Sunday afternoon. Lincecum is 5-0 in his last five starts versus the Padres - a stretch that includes a pair of no-hitters.

Big Total in Beantown

The Boston Red Sox (-180, 10) stare down their largest total of the season Monday as they host the Chicago White Sox. Boston has been one of the most reliable under bets on the season, going 34-51-3 O/U - including a 16-29-0 mark at Fenway Park.

Tanaka Turnaround?

New York Yankees ace Masahiro Tanaka looks to bounce back Tuesday as he faces off against the Cleveland Indians. Tanaka allowed four runs over seven innings in a victory over Minnesota last time out, snapping his streak of consecutive quality starts to begin his major-league career at 16.

Pitching Notes

Kansas City right-hander James Shields looks to halt a three-game losing skid against the moneyline as he takes on the host Tampa Bay Rays (-122, 7) in a Monday night tilt. Shields has been a strong Over play of late, going 8-1 O/U in his previous nine starts - including 5-0 in his last five road outings.

The Los Angeles Dodgers sent road warrior Hyun-jin Ryu to the hill Tuesday in an interleague encounter in Detroit. Ryu has been one of the most dependable road pitchers in baseball to date, going 6-1 with a 1.62 ERA and a 1-6 O/U record in seven starts away from Dodger Stadium.

Hitting Notes

Houston Astros rookie outfielder George Springer has had an up-and-down start to his major-league career, racking up 17 homers in 268 at-bats but also striking out a whopping 105 times. Houston is 11-5 SU and 9-7 O/U when Springer goes deep entering Monday's game in Texas (-130, 9.5).

Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen is on a tear, recording four multi-hit games in his last five outings to bump his average to .324 - good for fourth in the NL. The Pirates, who are 19-11 SU when McCutchen has more than one hit, visit St. Louis on Tuesday night.

Totals Streak

Toronto Blue Jays (1-7 O/U): The Blue Jays offense continues to sag - scoring just four runs in a four-game sweep at the hands of the Oakland Athletics - and could struggle further with the loss of slugger Edwin Encarnacion to a quad injury. Toronto is now 42-45-3 O/U for the year.

Prop of the Day

The Angels may represent the strongest blowout play of the day at +475 to win by five or more runs. The Toronto offense hasn't done much of anything so far on its West Coast swing, and now faces the daunting task of matching up against a Los Angeles team that has won 19 of its last 21 home games.

Injury Notes

Tampa Bay hurler Jeremy Hellickson will finally make his 2014 debut Tuesday after completing his recovery from elbow surgery. Hellickson went 12-10 with a 5.17 ERA in 32 appearances last season, with the Rays going 18-14 SU and 16-14-2 O/U in those outings.

Toronto first baseman Edwin Encarnacion is expected to miss 2-4 weeks with a strained quadriceps suffered over the weekend in Oakland. The Blue Jays are 14-6 SU and 14-6 O/U in games in which Encarnacion hits a home run.

Weather Watch

Fenway Park faithful should expect wind blowing out to center field at 13 mph for Monday's game between the Red Sox and White Sox. Boston went 4-2 SU and 1-5 O/U in six games under similar conditions in 2013, while teams combined to average 8.5 runs - slightly below the stadium average.

Citi Field will see wind blowing out to right field at 11 mph for Tuesday's showdown between the host New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves. Teams averaged just 6.46 runs while battting .220 in 15 games with the wind blowing out to right last season - well below stadium averages.

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MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

LAS VEGAS -- We have two outstanding interleague series beginning tonight that have a huge amount of importance to each team. It's only July, but momentum is everything and when it gets halted, it can be a while before it jump starts itself again. And sometimes it never does.

In the nation's capital, we have the AL-East leading Baltimore Orioles taking on the Nationals, who have been sticking a half-game behind the Braves in the NL East for what seems like two weeks straight. Stephen Strasburg has won six consecutive home games coming in and is a -175 favorite over Chris Tillman. Strasburg has been a completely different pitcher at home (2.13 ERA) from away (5.13) while Tillman is 6-0 in 10 road outings this season.

Both teams are playing extremely well right now and clicking on all cylinders, which makes a play Baltimore at 3-to-2 odds not a bad play, but the better move is to probably make it a pass, and just enjoy the two brands of good baseball colliding at their absolute peak moments of the season.

The Bay Bridge series that begins with the first two games being played in Oakland is a little different situation. Like in D.C., we have a first-place team playing one that is a half-game out, but this situation is a little different. Oakland has been hot all season and own baseball's best record in addition to riding a four-game win streak, while the Giants are just dusting themselves off after being knocked out of first in the NL West.

On June 8, the Giants had a division lead of 9.5 games, but now sit a half-game behind the Dodgers after going through a miserable 7-18 stretch. San Francisco was having problems hitting and pitching over that slide, but over the last two games against San Diego there was reason for optimism as they scored five runs in both games after being shut out in their previous two.

It's too early to make assumptions on why they scored runs against the Padres, but the glaring name in the box score that wasn't there during the Giants' demise was Brandon Belt, who returned to the lineup July 4 after missing nearly two months with a thumb injury. Only the Padres had hit fewer homers than the Giants over that stretch, but on Saturday the Giants showed some power with Belt blasting a game-winning two run homer, and then on Sunday he contributed with two RBI's in another 5-3 win.

Could it be that the Giants got their mojo back with Belt, who appears to be the straw that stirs the drink? Whether it's true or not, it could be enough of a psychological lift that could get the Giants' bats clicking again.

Oakland's starter Jesse Chavez (6-5, 3.23) could help the Giants get better because he's put in his two worst back-to-back performances in his last two starts. In 10 innings of work, he gave up nine runs off 14 hits and an alarming seven walks. The A's went 1-1 in those starts, but it's enough doubt to be placed on Oakland tonight to take a whack at +140 behind Ryan Vogelsong (5-5, 3.86) and the Giants.

Vogelsong took losses in his last two starts, but he pitched extremely well allowing only three runs combined in the two games where the Giants scored only once and they did it late when he was out of the game.

Over in St. Louis, the Cardinals have ace Adam Wainwright going against the NL's hottest team, the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Bucs have won 12 of their last 15 games and 11 of 16 away from home since May 29. Pittsburgh has been taking care of business against second-division teams to take over second-place in the NL Central, but over their next seven games they'll be tested to the fullest with four at St. Louis and three at Cincinnati before the All-Star break.

Since allowing seven runs at home to the Giants on May 30, Wainwright (11-4, 1.89) has allowed only four runs combined over his last five starts. He's 1-1 against Pittsburgh this season and has a huge statistical edge over Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton (5-9, 3.30), who has gone winless in his last nine starts against the Cardinals.

The Cardinals have lost seven of their last 12 games and as has been the problem all season, it's been their bats that have really let them down. Morton has pitched well in his last two starts, allowing only three runs combined. That, coupled with the Bucs' recent roll, is enough to take +152 against a beast like Wainwright and forget about Morton's past slate against the Cards.

Monday selections:

Braves (Minor) -128 at Mets

Phillies (Hamels) +113 at Brewers

Pirates (Morton) +152 at Cardinals

Padres (Kennedy) +108 at Rockies

Giants (Vogelsong) +140 at A's

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MLB Betting Trends for Series Starting 7/7 and 7/8
By Kyle Hunter

It’s an unusually busy Monday this week for Major League Baseball. 14 series’ start on Monday night, while there will be one series that kicks off on Tuesday. Plenty of action out there, so there will be more options when looking for that betting value when wagering on baseball early this week. The AL East and NL East races have become very interesting in the past couple weeks. Atlanta and Washington have separated themselves from the pack in a two-team NL East race. In the AL East, there are a bunch of teams with a chance. Stay tuned.

The defending champs just can’t get anything going. Boston is 1-5 in their last 6 games, and they are almost out of the picture even in the very winnable AL East. The Red Sox host the White Sox this week. The White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games at Fenway. Chicago is 33-69 in their last 102 road games.

Tampa Bay is finally showing some fight, and they want to become a part of the AL East. They have a long road ahead, but there’s always a shot. The Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 games. They host Kansas City, who is 11-4 in their last 15 road games. The Royals are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two.

Toronto’s offense has completely fallen apart of late, which is why they aren’t leading the AL East anymore. The Blue Jays are now also without Edwin Encarnacion for a couple weeks. Toronto is 0-6 in their last 6 road games. They are 0-7 in their last 7 as an underdog. They’ll be dogged early and often against the Angels this week. The Angels are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. The over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings.

The Padres are 3-9 in their last 12 road games. The Rockies are 5-16 in their last 21 home games. Someone has to win when they get together this week! The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. The Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 games at Coors Field.

It’s a rivalry series in the Bay Area this weekend. Oakland is 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. the San Francisco Giants. Oakland is 22-6 in their last 28 home games overall. The A’s have some impressive momentum right now with their winning streak and their big trade to shore up the pitching staff. The Giants are just 7-18 in their last 25 games.

The Atlanta Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. They are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the NL East. They’ll be in New York to take on the Mets this week. New York is 3-8 in their last 11 games. The Braves are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two.

The Milwaukee Brewers have won six straight contests vs. the Philadelphia Phillies. The Brewers are skidding a bit of late, but they have to be glad to be going home this week. The Phillies are 3-13 in their last 16 games. They are 1-12 in their last 13 vs. a right-handed starter.

The Minnesota Twins are 1-10 in their last 11 road games. Without Joe Mauer this Twins offense is really hurting. The Mariners are 11-4 in their last 15 overall. They are 7-2 in their last 9 home games. The Twin are 2-7 in their last 9 games at Seattle.

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