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MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 19

MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 19

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

The eyes of most baseball fans, as well as those focused on baseball betting, will be on what figures to be an important divisional series, when the Washington Nationals host the Atlanta Braves tonight for the start of a four-game series at Nationals Park. According to the current betting odds at Bovada, Washington is a -$1.55 home favorite largely due to the recent success of it's starter. That pitcher is Jordan Zimmermann (5-3, 2.98 ERA) who's record does not give justice to current form. The right-hander has been light's out in June tossing 25 innings of 1 run ball, striking out 21, walking just 2 batters while posting a miniscule 0.36 ERA. Nationals have flourished opening a series with the hurler posting a 12-6 record, have won 15 of Zimmermann's last 19 June starts and have had a run of success as favorite in their home surroundings with the right-hander winning 22-of-30 games. Those numbers are compelling of reasons to back Washington w/Zimmermann over Braves w/Gavin Floyd pitching this game having been touched for 20 hits, 10 runs, 4 long-ball the past three on the mound.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 19

Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Braves at Nationals

Probable Pitchers:
ATL: Floyd (1-2, 2.98 ERA)
WSH: Zimmermann (5-3, 2.98 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Braves head to the Nation’s Capital after getting swept at home by the Phillies, while losing 4.9 units in the process. Atlanta’s pitching was lit up, allowing 21 runs to Philadelphia, while giving up at least five runs in seven of the past nine contests. The Nationals rallied to knock off the Astros, 6-5 to cash as -175 home favorites, improving to 7-1 in the last eight home contests.

What to watch for: This series has been owned by the Braves in 2014, as Atlanta is 5-1 in the first six matchups, including a three-game sweep at Turner Field in April. The Nationals have won five of their past seven home series openers, while Zimmermann has yielded just one run in the previous three trips to the mound.

Blue Jays at Yankees

Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Hutchison (5-4, 3.62 ERA)
NYY: Phelps (2-4, 4.32)

Series recap: The Yankees continued their dominance of the Blue Jays at home, beating Toronto for the 15th straight time in the Bronx in last night’s 7-3 rout. New York has knocked off Toronto five of seven times overall this season, while limiting the Jays’ offense to just four runs through the first two games of this series.

What to watch for: Thanks to a late surge by the Yankees on Wednesday, the Jays saw their 10-0-1 ‘under’ stretch come to a close as the ‘over’ of 9 barely hit. Toronto hasn’t been swept on the road this season, posting a 2-0 record when trying to avoid a sweep with wins at Kansas City and Pittsburgh. The Yankees have not pulled off a home sweep this season in a series of at least three games, but the Bombers are 6-3 in their last nine home contests against division foes.

Mets at Marlins

Probable Pitchers:
NYM: Wheeler (2-7, 4.38 ERA)
MIA: Heaney (ML Debut)

Previous series recap: The Mets held off the Cardinals on Wednesday, 3-2 to avoid a sweep at Busch Stadium, while snapping an eight-game road skid. The Marlins dropped two of three games at home to the Cubs, as Miami’s pitching allowed 16 runs in this series. Following a strong start to the season at home, Miami has stumbled to a 4-8 record in the past 12 games at Marlins Park.

What to watch for: The last time these teams met up in May, the Marlins pulled off a three-game sweep of the Mets, as New York failed to score a run in the final two losses. Miami hasn’t started hot in a series recently, posting a 3-8 record in the past 11 Game 1’s. The Mets have dropped five of Wheeler’s last six starts, but the right-hander has split a pair of outings against the Marlins this season.

Astros at Rays

Probable Pitchers:
HOU: McHugh (4-4, 3.03 ERA)
TAM: Archer (3-4, 3.40 ERA)

Previous series recap: Both teams are coming off series losses, as the Rays’ offense hit the wall again in a 2-0 defeat to the Orioles on Wednesday as -145 favorites. Tampa Bay dropped two of three to Baltimore, falling to 3-8 in the past 11 games at Tropicana Field. Houston put up a good fight in two games at Washington, but lost by exact 6-5 scores in the two losses, while giving up a 5-3 lead last night.

What to watch for: The Rays played well at Houston last weekend and grabbed two of three from the Astros for their first series win since late May against Boston. Archer is winless in his past four trips to the mound for the Rays, including a 7-3 setback last Saturday at Houston in which he lasted just three innings. Following an 8-1 stretch on the road, the Astros have dropped three straight on the highway, but have stolen four of their past six away series openers.

Phillies at Cardinals

Probable Pitchers:
PHI: Buchanan (2-3, 5.97 ERA)
STL: Miller (7-5, 3.42 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Phillies are coming off an impressive sweep over the Braves, as Philadelphia’s bats are finally waking up by scoring 10 runs on Wednesday. The Cardinals saw their five-game winning streak come to a halt in Wednesday’s 3-2 defeat to the Mets, as St. Louis allowed more than two runs for just the second time in the last 10 contests.

What to watch for: Both these teams are on fire at the moment, as Philadelphia is picking things up with wins in seven of its past nine contests, while St. Louis owns an 8-2 mark in the last 10 games. After a three-start winless stretch, the Cardinals have won each of Miller’s last two trips to the mound, including as an underdog against the Nationals last Saturday. In Buchanan’s two road starts, the Phillies have been outscored, 11-1, while Philadelphia has hit the ‘under’ in four of his five outings.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, June 19

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

LAS VEGAS -- The future is finally here?

Kansas City fans have been hearing about the future of the Royals since their last postseason experience in 1985 when they won the World Series. But now they can finally believe, as a 10-game winning streak (best since 1994) has vaulted them to a 1.5-game lead in the AL Central.

We’ve been hearing about many on the Royals’ current crop of players for some time, through the minors and during their brief time in the majors. And while phenoms like 1B Eric Hosmer (.259) and 3B Mike Moustakas (.171) may not have lived up to their full billing, they have found their role and have contributed. The confidence the team has showed in Moustakas is eventually going to pay dividends, especially with all the fun the team is having. A winning attitude is contagious and can do wonders for personal slumps.

Despite being last in the majors in home runs with only 39, K.C. has still have been able to manufacture runs thanks to baseball’s fifth-best team batting average, .262. The starting pitching has kept them in games, and when having a lead going to into the eighth, it’s been lights out lately, with set-up man Wade Davis (13 holds) and closer Greg Holland (21 saves) slamming the door shut.

Coming into the week, the MGM Resorts chain of sports books had the Royals at 50-to-1 to win the World Series. It’s only June, but their rise has been one of the better stories in baseball, and it's hard not to root for them to keep excelling.

This afternoon, the Tigers and Anibal Sanchez (3-2, 2.44 ERA) are a -152 favorite over the Royals’ Danny Duffy (4-5, 2.83). Sanchez has gone 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA over his last seven starts, but the Tigers are 6-14 at home since May 8. Overall, they’ve lost 20 of their last 29.

The Royals, meanwhile, are looking for their ninth straight road win, something that hasn’t happened since an 11-game run in 1977. In three starts this month, Duffy is 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA and holding opponents to a .164 batting average.

Sanchez is a tough opponent, but Kansas City is doing everything very well right now while Detroit is practicing Murphy’s Law. The Tigers also don't have C Alex Avila or RF Torii Hunter in today's lineup, as they try to avoid a four-game sweep.

Keep riding the Royals until they lose, and if you don’t buy into that theory, then take them because of the +142 odds behind a pitcher that has found his groove.

Boston doesn't like the Bay

The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine at Oakland while batting only .196 with three homers and being outscored 53-16. They are 5-18 in their last 23 at the Coliseum and today go against Scott Kazmir (8-2, 2.05), who is looking to win his fourth consecutive home start. Jake Peavy (1-4, 4.53), who gets the nod for Boston, is 0-4 with a .5.46 ERA over his last nine starts. Kazmir is a -160 favorite with a total posted at 7.5 UNDER -125.

Two MLB debuts today

The Marlins still have the best home record in baseball at 24-15, but in losing seven of their last 11 overall, they are now only one game above .500 and in third-place. They’ll turn to rookie left-hander Andrew Heaney in his major league debut to try and get the win tonight over Zack Wheeler and the Mets. In four starts for Triple-A New Orleans, Heaney went 3-0 with a 2.74 ERA, striking out 27 and walking only two in 23 innings. The Marlins are a -120 favorite with the total at 7-flat.

The Twins have lost five straight games and turn to right-hander Yohan Pino, who will be making his major league debut at home against the White Sox tonight. Pino went 9-1 with a 1.92 ERA at Triple-A Rochester, where he allowed only 41 hits in 61 innings, striking out 61 and walking 16. The Twins are a pick ’em at -105 with a total at 8.5 UNDER.

Thursday selections:

Royals (Duffy) +142 at Tigers

Astros/Rays UNDER 7.5 (-120)

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