MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 29

MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 29

MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes

San Francisco at St Louis

The opening matchup of a four game series is today’s baseball betting focus as the St Louis Cardinals host Major league-leading San Francisco this evening at Busch Stadium. Cardinals ridding a 6-2 streak trot out lefty Jaime Garcia (1-0, 4.26 ERA) in the opener. The left-hander making his third start of the season since coming off the disabled list hasn't walked a batter and has recorded 12 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings. San Francisco winning six of seven by a 34-13 margin will have Ryan Vogelsong (3-2, 3.20 ERA) match pitches with Garcia. The right-hander has been light's out the past two not allowing a run while striking out 13 with just 2 walks over 13 2/3 innings. Two hurler showing excellent K/W form the view from here is runs will be at a premium therefore 'Under' is the betting choice. Trends of interest - Giants have a 12-4-2 'Under' stretch going on the road, 8 straight 'Under' with Vogelsong, 8-2 'Under' L10 facing a southpaw starter, Cardinals are 3-1 'Under' vs San Fran w/Garcia, 7-2 'Under' L9 vs. N.L. West opponents.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Thursday, May 29

Thursday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Giants Roll as Favorites

The San Francisco Giants (-152) rolled to their second consecutive shutout Wednesday, cruising past the Chicago Cubs 4-0. The Giants have been sensational as a big favorite of late, winning six consecutive games at -150 or better while allowing just six runs in those contests.

Struggling Ubaldo Favored

Baltimore Orioles right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez has had a dreadful start to the season, going 2-8 against the money while ranking in the bottom 10 in total units among starters ($-546). Jimenez is favored for the first time all season as the Orioles (-128, 9) visit the Houston Astros.

Oh, Canada

The Toronto Blue Jays are riding a nine-game winning streak following Wednesday's 3-2 win over Tampa Bay; six of those victories came as an underdog, while two others came as a very slight favorite (-105). Toronto is -115 for Thursday's series opener against visiting Kansas City.

Pitching Notes

* Detroit Tigers right-hander Rick Porcello has rolled in his last three starts as an underdog, allowing only four runs over 21 innings in those contests. Porcello carries a four-game road winning streak into Thursday's game against the host Oakland Athletics (-138, 7.5).

* Over could be a strong play as Cincinnati lefty Tony Cingrani and the Reds (+106, 8.5) visit the Arizona Diamondbacks. Cingrani is 6-1 O/U over his last seven starts and will face a Diamondbacks team that is 15-10-2 O/U at Chase Field for the season.

Hitting Notes

* Baltimore Orioles slugger Nelson Cruz went deep twice in Wednesday's 8-3 loss to Milwaukee, giving him seven homers in his last nine games and a league-best 19 on the year. The Orioles are just 8-9 S/U in games in which Cruz goes deep entering Thursday's showdown with Houston.

* The Cubs managed just two hits Wednesday and are hitting a league-low .226 in May. Chicago is 10-15 S/U and 10-13-2 O/U so far this month, and will look to bounce back from consecutive shutouts Friday in Milwaukee after enjoying a much-needed rest day.

Totals Streak

Seattle Mariners (2-6-1 O/U): Mariners pitchers have been on target in recent days, allowing one run in four of their last seven games. Seattle is 24-25-3 O/U for the season entering Thursday's tilt with the visiting Los Angeles Angels.

Prop of the Day

Extra innings between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Los Angeles Dodgers - set at +625 - could be a strong longshot play Thursday. The Pirates have played the most one-run games in the majors (25) while the Dodgers lead the league in extra-inning games (10).

Injury Notes

* Baltimore Orioles catcher Matt Wieters will try some light throwing Friday as he continues his long road back from a major elbow injury. Baltimore is 8-12 SU, 11-9 O/U and -414 units for the season without Wieters, who doesn't have a timetable for his return.

* Miami Marlins pitcher Henderson Alvarez left Wednesday's starts with right elbow stiffness after tossing five shutout innings. The Marlins hope Alvarez won't miss any time, having gone 6-2 against the moneyline over his previous eight starts.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Coliseum should expect wind blowing out to right field at 7 mph for the game between the Athletics and the visiting Tigers. The Athletics went 21-8 while allowing just 3.1 runs in 29 games last season with wind blowing out to right at between 0-10 mph.

Umpire Note of the Day

The road team is 8-2 in umpire Bill Welke's last 10 Thursday games behind home plate. Welke will call the balls and strikes for the interleague series finale between the host Boston Red Sox (-113, 8.5) and the Atlanta Braves.

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MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

LAS VEGAS – Here’s a betting theory to consider throughout the baseball season: a team that has won three-straight games has tasted just enough success in the short term to stay hungry in hopes of getting on a big run like we’re seeing in Toronto right now with the Blue Jays’ nine-game win streak.

These are the teams you want to try and pluck early in their win streaks and ride for a few days no matter who is pitching. Winning streaks build confidence in the clubhouse, and when coaches use a cliché like, "this is a new day, let’s keep it going." the statement actually carries some punch. Being just five percent more focused than your opponent (not really a stat) can be the difference in a one-run game. That was apparently the case at Toronto in its 3-2, walk-off win Wednesday night over the Rays.

On the opposite side, the theory goes, a three-game losing streak is not too large of a downfall to make a team desperate, but it’s also not the type of stretch where any coaching cliché can change the mindset. When teams lose three straight, it‘s usually because several players are struggling at the same time and not producing runs, and those slumps can last for a week or longer. Why not bet along with their struggles?

On Wednesday, the Rays’ fourth straight loss – this one by an errant throw in the ninth – is the perfect example of the hot team having a little more mojo to steal the victory, while there was just enough voodoo to keep the cold team from winning. Not even coach Maddon, the king of loose clubhouses, had what it took to give his guys the edge when it mattered most against the hottest team in baseball.

More baseball from The Linemakers: Best pitchers to bet on | Toronto shoots up futures board

On Thursday’s card, we have a few matchups where teams are currently riding in opposite directions. The Braves have lost three straight, and they’ll play at Boston, where the Red Sox have quickly forgotten about their own recent 10-game losing streak, having just reeled off three straight wins, all against Atlanta.

The Braves have won only two of Mike Minor’s five starts, while Boston has lost Jake Peavy’s last three starts, and he looked awful in all of them.

Minor should technically be favored by -110, but Peavy gets the betting nod because Boston is rolling, they're at home, and they apparently like playing the Braves. Also, the Red Sox have been terrible against right-handers this season, but are 10-7 against lefties, the side Minor throws from.

Then we have the bottom finally falling out beneath the Royals, a team that can’t hit for power (MLB-low 20 HRs) and have dropped four straight to put them four games below .500. They have the dubious task of trying to stop AL East-leading Toronto’s nine-game winning streak. The Royals have won four straight behind James Shields, but the Angels beat him up a little in last start. You never know what you’re going to get from R.A. Dickey, but lately it’s at least been steady, as the Blue Jays have won five of his last seven starts.

One streak that is hard to buy into is the Astros’ five-game roll. They’re fun to watch with their mix of old and freaky good new talent (George Springer), but we definitely have a little more trust in Ubaldo Jimenez laying a short price (-125) than Brad Peacock, who comes off his first win in eight starts. Plus, Baltimore starts the series with only a two-game losing streak, not three.

Thursday selections:

Rangers (Martinez) +105 at Twins (1:10 p.m. ET)

Blue Jays (Dickey) -115 vs. Royals (7:07 p.m. ET)

Orioles (Jimenez) -125 at Astros (8:10 p.m. ET)

Red Sox (Peavy) -115 vs. Braves (7:10 p.m. ET)

Giants (Vogelsong) +133 at Cardinals (8:15 p.m. ET)

Pirates (Cole) +118 at Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

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