Baseball's Best Under Pitchers

Baseball's Best Under Pitchers

Baseball's Best Under Pitchers
By Covers.com

With roughly a third of the major league season in the books, a handful of marquee pitchers have rewarded Under bettors handsomely.

Whether it's a long string of solid performances, a major lack of run support or both, these starters have consistently returned the best Under value since the start of the season. Some appear to be strong bets to continue the trend, while others will likely regress to the mean before long.

Here are five of the top Under pitchers heading into the final days of May:

Alfredo Simon, Cincinnati Reds (1-8 O/U)

Simon has amazed in his first stint as a full-time starter since 2011, posting quality starts in eight of his nine outings to post the best Under mark of any pitcher with at least five starts. It has helped that the Reds haven't exactly been lighting up the scoreboard in his appearances, scoring more than four runs just once. Simon has posted a sub-3.00 ERA in each of his previous two seasons, but as the innings pile up - and the Reds offense wakes up - he should see fewer Under results.

Wily Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers (2-8 O/U)

Like Simon, Peralta has been a revelation, allowing no more than three earned runs in any of his first 10 starts while holding teams to two earned runs or fewer in nine of them. But he has just one win in his previous six starts thanks to a Brewers offense that has managed a combined nine runs in those outings. Peralta's career home/road splits are close to even and he's a strong second-half pitcher, suggesting his Under streak could continue for a while.

Garrett Richards, Los Angeles Angels (2-7-1 O/U)

Richards has catapulted himself from fringe-average starter to pivotal piece of the Angels' run at a playoff spot, posting seven quality starts in his first 10 outings - during which the Angels have gone 7-3. He has been particularly stingy on the road, going 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a 1-5 O/U record in six starts away from Angel Stadium. Richards has allowed just one homer in his first 66 innings this season. That number should rise, which will lead to more Over results.

Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (3-8 O/U)

Teheran has been one of the top starters in baseball so far, posting a tidy 1.77 ERA with two complete-game shutouts already on his resume. The hard-throwing right-hander has been fortunate on the home-run front - five of the last six homers he has surrendered have been solo shots - and the Braves have scored just one run in three of his previous eight outings. Teheran should continue to be solid, but Atlanta's offense should improve, which will likely mean fewer Unders.

Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers (3-7 O/U)

Scherzer opened his season with four straight Unders but has leveled off recently, registering Overs in three of his previous six appearances. The 29 year old could easily be 5-5 O/U at this point in the campaign, with back-to-back starts in mid-April falling Under the total by only half a run apiece. Scherzer has traditionally been a much stronger pitcher from June forward, but with the Tigers' offense always capable of racking up big totals, approach the Under here with caution.

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