Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, May 21

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, May 21

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Oklahoma City at San Antonio
The Thunder look to bounce back from their 122-105 loss in Game 1 as they face a Spurs team that is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games after allowing 100 points or more in the previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6)

Game 507-508: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.520; San Antonio 130.198
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 212
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6); Under

NHL

Los Angeles at Chicago
The Blackhawks look to follow up their 3-1 victory in Game 1 against a Kings team that is 1-5 in its last 6 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Chicago is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150).

Game 7-8: Los Angeles at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.796; Chicago 13.901
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150); Under

WNBA

Connecticut at Chicago
The Sun head to Chicago today following a 90-87 OT loss to Minnesota on Sunday and come into the contest with a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. Connecticut is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6 1/2).

Game 651-652: Connecticut at Chicago (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 112.095; Chicago 105.387
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6 1/2); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

MLB

San Francisco at Colorado
The Giants look to bounce back from their 5-4 loss last night in the series opener as they face a Rockies team that is 0-6 in Jhoulys Chacin's last 6 starts in Game 2 of a series. San Francisco is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105).

Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 15.071; Washington (Roark) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+125); Over

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.555; Miami (Eovaldi) 16.960
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-145); Under

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 13.412; Atlanta (Santana) 15.641
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-155); Under

Game 957-958: LA Dodgers at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.351; NY Mets (deGrom) 15.204
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+125); Over

Game 959-960: Arizona at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 14.304; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.681
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-175); Under

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 16.425; Colorado (Chacin) 15.627
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Over

Game 963-964: Detroit at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.740; Cleveland (McAllister) 15.641
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Over

Game 965-966: Seattle at Texas (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 14.631; Texas (Tepesch) 16.013
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-130); Under

Game 967-968: Oakland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 14.293; Tampa Bay (Bedard) 15.703
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 969-970: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 15.158; Boston (Buchholz) 14.287
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+125); Over

Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 14.085; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.772
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under

Game 973-974: Houston at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (McHugh) 16.211; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.081
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+185); Over

Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Whitley) 15.436; Cubs (Samardzija) 14.303
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); N/A

Game 977-978: Baltimore at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.551; Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 15.987
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under

Game 979-980: Minnesota at San Diego (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 15.789; San Diego (Ross) 14.951
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over

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SPORTS WAGERS

Los Angeles +137 over CHICAGO

Who would’ve thought that it would be Corey Crawford carrying the Blackhawks through the first two rounds and into Game 1 of the Western Final? Crawford is the only reason the Blackhawks got by the Wild. He was absolutely sensational in that series and he was sensational in Game 1 of this series. Chicago has been outshot and out-chanced in 9 of 13 playoff games. Many of those were by a wide margin and in the games that Chicago outshot the opposition they did so by the slimmest of margins. Chicago outshot St. Louis in Games 4 and 5, 30-29 and 34-33 respectively. In the two games they outshot the Wild, they did so by counts of 19-18 and 22-19. That’s not to say the Blackhawks are getting lucky but luck and Crawford have both played a huge roll in their playoff success so far. Sure it could continue but you can’t expect to be outshot and out-chanced almost every game and expect to win the majority of them. At some point, Crawford will have an average game.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles played a great Game 1 despite losing. They absolutely dominated the second period and probably deserved better than a 3-1 defeat. For the Kings, it really does not matter if they are on the road or at home because they’re just as likely to win no matter where they play. Furthermore, the Kings don’t sway from their game plan. They are relentless on the forecheck, they are the best possession team in the league and they are perhaps the most difficult team to defeat also. The return of stable d-man Willie Mitchell also helps out tremendously and that was evident in Game 1. So, once again we turn to value. The Kings being offered a tag like this is an automatic play because their chances of winning have to be considered at least 50%. Under difficult circumstances (less than 48 hours after defeating Anaheim) L.A. was the better team in Game 1 and we don’t see that changing in Game 2. Overlay.

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Rob Vinciletti

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves
Play: Atlanta Braves -150

The Braves fit a solid dominator system that plays on any home team with a total that is 8 or less that were home favorites of -140 or higher last night with a total that was 8 or less that won by 5 or more runs and had an error in the win, vs an opponent like the Brewers here tonight that are off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits. These home teams have won 15 of 17 times since 2005. E. Santana has a 3-0 home record with a 1.66 era. In contrast K. Lohse for the Milwaukee has a 3.52 road era. The Braves have won 6 of the last 8 in the series here and are 11-4 at home when the total is 7 or less. The Brewers are 2-9 as a road dog off a 5+ run road dog loss and are hitting a paltry .217 the past week. Look for the Braves to take another from the Brewers here tonight.

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Stephen Nover

Orioles / Pirates Over 7.5

The power-hitting Orioles should do plenty of damage against struggling southpaw Wandy Rodriguez, who has a 6.84 ERA and has surrendered nine homers in 25 innings. This is just his second start since April 19 having been sidelined with knee problems. Chris Davis, Nelson Cruz and Adam Jones are all swinging hot bats. Davis hit three homers on Tuesday. Cruz has smacked three homers in his last six games while Jones has a 14-game hitting streak where he's batting .356. The over has cashed 14 of the last 16 times the Orioles have faced a lefty in interleague action. The Pirates saw Tillman three weeks ago scoring three runs against him in 5 2/3 innings. Tillman shut down the Royals in his last start. However, prior to that, he had a 6.49 ERA during his last five starts. Chris Conroy is scheduled to be the home plate umpire. There have been more overs than unders in three of the past four years when Conroy has been behind the plate, including five overs and one under this season. There's a chance of thunderstorms, which could mean rain delays and early bullpen action. There's a bit of a wind factor forecast with the wind slated to be blowing out.

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Jesse Schule

New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs
Pick: Chicago Cubs

Masahiro Tanaka suffered the first loss of his major league career at Wrigley last night, and it was also his first loss in his last 43 professional starts. For the Cubs it was their third straight home win, and they will look to ride that momentum into Game 2 on Wednesday afternoon. Jeff Samardzija will be on the mound for the Cubs, and he's been one of the major league's best pitchers this season. Samardzija owns the lowest ERA in the majors at 1.62, yet he's still winless in nine starts. It would be only fitting that one day after ending Tanaka's unbeaten streak, the Cubs can put an end to Samardzija's winless start to the season. The Yankees hand the ball to 24 year old Chase Whitley, who allowed just a pair of hits over 4 2/3 innings in his major league debut at Citi Field. Facing the red hot Cubs at Wrigley should prove to be a tougher test. The New York bullpen has an ERA of 4.18 on the season, ranking among the worst in the American League. We should see the Bronx Bombers turn to their bullpen early in this one, as they'll likely be careful with their young right-hander.

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Bruce Marshall

Twins at Padres
Pick: Under

This didn't figure as much of a pitching matchup at the start of the season, but right now the Twins' Phil Hughes and the Padres' Tyson Ross are two of the hottest pitchers in their respective leagues. As for Hughes, he's 4-0 over his last five starts with a 1.95 ERA, walking just one batter in 32 1/3 innings. As for Ross, he's 3-1 with a 1.59 ERA in five home starts, throwing seven-plus innings in each of the last four. Looks like a lower-scoring game, where the late afternoon shadows at Petco Park will make things even tougher for the hitters.

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Jim Feist

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies
Pick: Colorado Rockies

Colorado is a great hitter's park and the Rockies are having a monster season on offense, tops in baseball in runs scored, batting average, on base percentage and slugging. The Rockies' 15-6 start at home record is the second best in baseball. San Francisco goes with Matt Cain (1-3), who has struggled again. Cain has now walked at least three hitters in four of his last five outings and hasn't recorded a quality start since April 18. The Giants are 7-19 in Cains last 26 starts, 2-7 when Cain faces a team with a winning record. The second-place Rockies got have reigning NL batting champ Michael Cuddyer back this week, making their great offense even better. Cuddyer has been out since April 17 with a strained left hamstring. The Giants are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Colorado, so grab the home team.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, May 21

Heath Mac

Kings vs. Blackhawks    
Play: Under 5

The Blackhawks remained perfect at home during the postseason after a 3-1 victory to start the series but they know this Kings team is battle tested and that they can notch a win on any given night. The Hawks did a good job at containing the Los Angeles attack as both Anze Kopitar and Marian Gaborik were quiet but with the abilities of those two guys leading the way and a ton of offensive balance the Kings know they can score with anybody and that includes a Chicago team led by Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews. Chicago is going to be a tough out and despite their play at home being ridiculous they have also played well on the road and if they can head into the Staples Center with a 2-0 lead they should feel confident that they can return home with a chance to wrap up the series if not do so in LA.

We see this one as another tight affair with two world class goalies in the nets. Both teams will be fresh which aids defense and the Kings will be desperate not to let through any early goals again.

The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Los Angeles's last 23 games when playing on the road against Chicago. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.

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Nick Parsons

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves    
Play: Atlanta Braves -150 

I think the home side can win a fifth straight tonight behind Ervin Santana (4-1, 2.76 ERA); Santana is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up five runs off ten hits in a 5-2 loss at St. Louis on Friday.

No need to hit the panic button, Santana has excelled in front of the home town crowd this year posting a 1.66 ERA while winning all three of his starts there.

The Brewers send Kyle Lohse (5-1, 2.88 ERA) to the hill; Lohse gave up three runs and two homers in a 4-3 road win over the Cubbies on Friday in his most recent start.

Atlanta has simply dominated this series and while I believe the starters are a wash, the Braves get the slight nod at the plate and that’s definitley enough to tip the scales in their favor in my books.

Consider Atlanta in this matchup.

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Ray Monohan

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies    
Play: Colorado Rockies -126

SF starter Matt Cain has not been pitching well this season. He only picked up his first win of the year last week and gave up 7ER in his start at Coors Field back in April. Colorado overall does not have great numbers against Cain but that is dominated by the 44 at bats Carlos Gonzalez has against him at a .091 clip.  Tulo loves hitting against Cain with 5 homers. Jhoulys Chacin is still rounding into shape and gets his first win of the season in this big series Wednesday night.

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Art Aronson

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians    
Play: Detroit Tigers -144

I gave out a free play on the Tigers yesterday and was surprised that they weren’t able to bounce back after an unfortunate setback in Game 1. Suffice it to say, I expect the visitors to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night in the finale. Detroit sends AL Cy Young front runner Max Scherzer (6-1, 1 .83 ERA) to the bump; after winning the award last season, Scherzer has been lights out this year. The right-hander has won six straight starts and is 8-4 lifetime versus the Indians. Cleveland counters with Zach McAllister (3-4, 5.36 ERA); McAllister was clobbered in Friday's loss to the Athletics, surrendering eight runs on five hits over just 1 1/3 innings fo work: "I'm trying my hardest, but baseball is a game of peaks and valleys, and I'm down right now," lamented McAllister afterwards. The struggling righty has lost two straight starts and four of five overall while not registering a win since April 21st. Miguel Cabrera is 2 for his last 8 against McAllister, but is batting a whopping .406 during a 15-game road hitting streak. Victor Martinez is 6 for 11 with three doubles versus McAllister; note that Martinez batted .373 during his own 15-game road hitting streak that ended with an 0-for-3 night Tuesday. The Tigers are 12-5 in day games this season while the Indians are just 7-12. I think Detroit avoids the sweep.

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Scott Spreitzer

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets    
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -143

Ryu is back on the mound for Los Angeles and the left-hander says he sees no limitations in his return from shoulder soreness.  Ryu has been tremendous for the Dodgers, helping them to a 13-3 mark in his last 16 starts against teams with a losing record.  And he has tallied 26 straight scoreless innings on the road.  The Korean import will face a Mets' lineup that's batting .207 in losing five of their last six games.  That's not going to be good enough to keep up with the Dodgers in all likelihood.  Yasiel Puig is seeing the ball right now to say the least.  The Dodger phenom is batting .411 in his last 18 games, slamming 6 home runs with 22 RBI.  The Mets are on a 19-55 slide as a home dog, including a 12-40 mark as a home underdog of +150 or smaller.  Jacob deGrom pitched well in his first outing for New York, but I'm betting he's going to be over-matched in this one, while receiving little help from his mates at the plate.  I'm recommending a play on the Dodgers on Wednesday.

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Chase Diamond

NY Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs -107

This game has the 23-21 Yankees at the 16-27 Cubs. Wow yesterday we rode these cubs to a big upset + money win and today we are taking the Cubs again. Crazy as it may sound we have a big advantage today and it's on the mound in Jeff Samardzija who is 0-4 but has a 1.62 ERA look for him to be ultra motivated to get that first win of the season and he will be facing a rookie on the other side in Chase Witley. Witley is no where close to the talent of Samardzija we are getting a great deal here lay the small juice and back the Cubs.

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DAVE COKIN

OAKLAND ATHLETICS AT TAMPA BAY RAYS
PLAY: OAKLAND ATHLETICS +105

I’m a little stunned by this line, as I made the visitors more than -110 and am very surprised to see the A’s in the underdog role. Sometimes I’ll see a line that looks off and wonder if I’m missing something. In this case, I’m willing to bet on my number and what appears to be solid value.

Tommy Milone is certainly not the reason for my optimism. I know he’s pitched well lately, but Milone has some pretty ugly stats away from Oakland and he doesn’t inspire me in any sense. But it’s not like Erik Bedard is an ace either, and he’s facing an Oakland lineup that has been pretty rude to opposing southpaws. I’ll call the starting pitching roughly even, maybe even a very slight edge to the Rays.

Beyond that, it’s all systems go for the Athletics. They’re playing some outstanding baseball right now, and the same can certainly not be said for the reeling Rays. Tampa Bay is not scoring runs right now, with the shutout loss last night a continuation of their recent offensive woes. Oakland just finished shredding the Indians staff and while they didn’t do that much on Tuesday night, the A’s did enough to win their fourth straight game. This team is now an amazing 17-6 on the road, while the Rays are limping along at just 8-13 at home.

I’m assuming this is a multi-inning game for the bullpens. Milone has the potential to go deeper than Bedard, but I’m not banking on more than five or six from either of these guys. If 1/3 or more of this contest features relievers, that’s another check mark for the road team, as they’ve got the arsenal of arms with the better numbers.

According to the way I work my numbers, I would make Bedard -110 against Milone. But that’s just on the starting pitcher comparison and doesn’t include anything else. On the rest, it’s Oakland, Oakland, Oakland etc. With the way I weigh the assorted variables, I ended up with the visitors favored at nearly -115. So at plus money, it’s a virtual auto-play for me unless there are some mitigating circumstances. I don’t see anything along those lines here, so my play is on the A’s to pick up yet another win.

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The Prez

Detroit at Cleveland
Play: Over 7.5

The Indians' bats are heating up and at the right time as they aim for a sweep of first place Detroit on Wednesday afternoon.  Cleveland, last in the AL Central, had lost four straight games heading into the series against the Tigers on Monday, and will have to depend on right-hander Zach McAllister to keep their streak alive. McAllister has allowed 13 earned runs in his last two starts, just one fewer than his first seven starts combined, a run that included six innings of one-run ball in a win at Detroit on April 16. The Indians starter is coming off the shortest outing of his career, Friday against Oakland, when he lasted only 1 1/3 innings and gave up eight runs, and reports are he isn't 100 percent suffering from a fatigued shoulder.

The Tigers send righty Max Scherzer (6-1, 1.83 ERA) to the mound to prevent the sweep. The former Missouri Tiger ace is riding a four game run of scoreless innings, his last a six-inning effort at Boston on Friday, when he yielded three hits and struck out seven. He has won six straight decisions overall and has produced 15 consecutive scoreless frames on the road. Don't expect this run to continue against a red hot Indians lineup.

The OVER is 8-0-1 in Indians last 9 games when the oddsmakers set the the total between 7.0-8.5; 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a road favorite; 7-0-1 in Indians last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter; 4-0 in Indians last 4 games as an underdog and 9-1-2 in Indians last 12 overall.

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Jimmy Boyd

Pittsburgh Pirates -109

The Pirates are showing solid value here as a small home favorite. Pittsburgh may be 8-games under .500, but they are a respectable 12-12 at home and I look for them to bounce back with a win tonight. While Baltimore won in impressive fashion yesterday, thanks to Chris Davis' 3 homers, the Orioles are still just 3-6 in their last 9 games.

Baltimore's Chris Tillman threw his first career shutout in his last start against the Royals, but you can't judge a pitchers success off one start. Prior to that outing, Tillman had a 6.59 ERA over his previous 5 starts and I look for the him to suffer a setback after throwing 117 pitches. The only other time Tillman has thrown more than 115 pitches in a start was on April 18, when he threw 122 against the Red Sox. In his next outing he gave up 7 runs on 9 hits (3 HRs) in just 5 2/3 innings of work.

Even with yesterday's loss, Pittsburgh comes in with an impressive 19-9 record over their last 28 interleague home games. Baltimore is just 2-5 in Tillman's last 7 starts after a quality start the last time he took the mound and 3-7 Tillman's last 10 starts after scoring 5+ runs in their last game. That's a 69% system in favor of Pittsburgh. Take the Pirates!

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Bryan Power

Oakland vs. Tampa Bay
Pick: Oakland

While I've long admired both of these franchises for their non-traditional approaches to building a winning franchise, the truth is that there's really not much to admire about this year's Rays. Last night's 3-0 shutout loss to the A's dropped them to 19-27 for the year as they find themselves in last place in the American League East. It's the most games they've been under .500 since the Devil Rays era. Ironically, this after an off-season that saw the team spend more than usual.

Meanwhile, Oakland is rolling. They are 29-16, the 2nd best record in MLB, and own baseball's best run differential by a wide margin at +98.  After sweeping Cleveland, they've won seven of eight and four in a row, outscoring opponents 33-6! Over the last eight games, they have outscored teams 60-15!

The Rays' problem has been pitching this year as injuries have taken their toll on the starting rotation and the bullpen hasn't performed up to expectations.  That said, the offense has been shut out twice in the last three games.  Lefty Erik Bedard has looked pretty good of late, but did not fare well in three starts last year vs. Oakland.  The A's will turn to Tommy Milone, who has allowed just seven hits in his L2 starts.

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River City Sharps

Chicago Cubs -109

The Cubs have finally started to get their bats going, which has led to a three-game winning streak, which makes today's pitcher very happy. Jeff Samardzija (0-4, 1.62 ERA) has pitched fabulous this season for the Cubs and has nothing to show for it in the win column. He currently owns the best ERA in MLB. The Cubs seem to raise their level of play against the better teams, especially at Wrigley. They are going for four straight victories after taking two of three games from the Brewers this past weekend. The Cubs are 6-1 in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. The Yankees will send Chase Whitley to the mound for just his second career start, coming off a solid opener against the Mets. Regardless, we think that the Cubs finally give Samardzija some run support and his first win of the season.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, May 21

Bryan Leonard

Arizona at St Louis
Play: St Louis

It's not often that we recommend a favorite in this -160 range but this will be the rare exception. The pitching matchup favors the Cards by a sizable margin as Brandon McCarthy hasn't been the same pitcher since leaving Oakland. He has changed his mechanics and yet the results just haven't been there. He's been extremely hittable and his counterpart is one of the best young hurlers in the league. Let's put a small play out on Wednesday with the better team playing at home.

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