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MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 16
MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 16
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Oakland at Cleveland
The pitching matchup favors Oakland in this one. A's right-hander Sonny Gray has been money in the bank this season posting a 6-2 TSR while firing a quality start in all eight of his outings. Tribe's Zach McAllister hitting a rough spot is winless in four starts (0-4 TSR) with just one solid showing over the span. Athletics ridding momentum of a 6-1 stretch, winning 68.4% of their road games (13-6), 5-0 in Gray's last five road starts and Tribe on a 1-7 slide as an underdog of +$1.10 to +$1.50, 1-3 off a loss handing the ball to McAllister illustrate Oakland is the right choice.
Los Angeles at Arizona
Los Angeles look to maintain their dominance over Arizona when the two clubs square off this weekend in a three game set at Chase Field. Taking a road favorite can be a perilous road in baseball betting. However, in this case there are many betting numbers in favor of Los Angeles to counteract such concerns. It all starts with Dodgers dominating the series posting a 7-1 record this season over eight meetings. Factor in Zack Greinke with a 6-1 record, 2.38 ERA along with his 4-1 TSR vs D-Backs since joining L.A., 12-4 May TSR the baseball betting community will have no problem backing the road chalk here. As for Snakes, they haven't enjoyed home cookin' going 4-14 at Chase Filed, 4-16 as homies if you count both games in Sydney when D-Backs were designated home team. Other telling baseball betting stats that leap out against D-Backs. They're 2-12 wearing the home uniform facing a team like Dodgers who plate an average 4 or more runs/game, 1-7 this season hosting a division opponent, 1-6 opening a series on home field.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 16
Friday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
Lowest of the Low
Unders dominated the Thursday sked, with teams combining to go 3-7 O/U. Only three clubs managed to score more than five runs: the Angels, who beat Tampa Bay 6-5; San Francisco, which prevailed 6-4 over Miami; and San Diego, which routed Cincinnati 6-1.
The Baltimore Orioles (+127) are at it again, improving to 10-3 in one-run games with a 2-1 triumph over the Kansas City Royals. Baltimore, which put together a 29-9 mark in one-run games en route to a playoff berth in 2012, are +103 underdogs Friday in Kansas City.
It's not often the San Diego Padres find themselves as part of the day's highest total - but that's the case Friday as they visit Colorado. The Rockies (-154, 10.5) have been unstoppable at Coors Field this season, batting .353 and averaging 7.7 runs over their first 18 games.
* Detroit ace Max Scherzer has had issues pitching in Boston; the hard-throwing right-hander has lost his last three games as an underdog, all at Fenway Park. Scherzer returns as a -102 underdog Friday against Jon Lester and the Red Sox (-106, 7.5).
* Chicago Cubs righty Jeff Samardzija can make a solid grievance against his teammates this season, racking up the fifth-worst money line among starters ($-609) despite a minuscule 1.45 ERA. Samardzija looks for his first win as the Cubs (-111) host Milwaukee.
* Toronto first baseman Edwin Encarnacion belted a pair of homers in Thursday's 4-2 win over Cleveland. The Blue Jays, who are 5-1 against the moneyline and 5-1 O/U when Encarnacion hits at least one home run in 2014, open a series Friday in Texas (-170, 8.5)
* Minnesota Twins first baseman Chris Colabello went 0-for-5 with two strikeouts Thursday against Boston and is hitting just 7-for-52 with 23 strikeouts in May. The Twins are 4-10 O/U in that stretch as they prepare to host Seattle (+100, 8).
St. Louis Cardinals (5-1-1 O/U): The offense has come alive of late, scoring four or more runs in six of the past seven games. The Cardinals carry an 18-19-4 O/U record for the season into Friday's date with visiting Atlanta (-101, 7).
Prop of the Day
Bettors could fare handsomely if the Padres somehow find a way to tame the Rockies at Coors Field. Oddsmakers are offering +550 for a total of 5 or lower and +500 for a total of 6 or 7, but be wary: the teams combined for double-digit runs five times in seven meetings at Colorado last season.
* New York Yankees outfielder Carlos Beltran may miss up to 12 weeks if he decides to undergo elbow surgery. New York is 2-2 against the moneyline, 2-2 O/U and +44 units on the season with Beltran out of the lineup.
* Chicago White Sox lefty Chris Sale will make a minor-league rehab start Friday with an eye toward a late-May return. The White Sox are 3-1 against the moneyline in Sale's four starts in 2014, after going just 14-16 a season ago.
* High totals could be on the docket at Citizens Bank Park, with wind expected to blow out to right field for the game between the Phillies (+100, 8) and the visiting Cincinnati Reds. Philadelphia went 6-1 while teams averaged 2.71 homers under similar conditions last season.
Umpire of the Day
Under is 8-1 in umpire Doug Eddings' last nine games behind home plate. Eddings will call the balls and strikes at Kauffman Stadium as the Royals resume their series with the Orioles.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, May 16
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
LAS VEGAS -- The Colorado Rockies (23-19) lead the majors with the best batting average (.296), most runs scored (5.5 per game), most home runs (58), best on-base percentage (.344) and slugging percentage (.493), but those numbers are heavily by the Rockies playing at home, where their average jumps to .353 and they score 7.7 runs a game.
Those are insane numbers that should only happen on an X-Box, but the road (10-14) has been completely different story for Colorado. Away from home, the Rockies hit just .251 (13th best). The Rockies were just humbled on a seven-game road trip through Texas, Cincinnati and Kansas City. They went 2-5 over the stretch, losing five of their last six while hitting only .212. The Rockies scored only 18 runs in those six games with 11 of them coming in Saturday’s 11-2 win at Cincinnati.
Troy Tulowitzki leads the majors in hitting and had built his average to .421 before the seven-game road trip, but after going 5-for-21, his average has dipped below the magic number down to .391.
This weekend the Rockies try to get back on track with a little home cooking. Tulowitzki is hitting .608 at Coors Field with a 1.775 OPS – pure video game stuff. William Hill sports book has the Rockies as -175 favorites to win the three-game, which begins tonight with Jorge De La Rosa as a -144 favorite over Eric Stults, with a typical Rockies home total set at 10 runs.
De La Rosa (4-3, 4.81 ERA) had a rough start to the season, as he gave up 15 runs in his first three starts. He didn’t last five innings in any of those starts. But in his past five starts, he’s been everything Colorado could have hoped for, allowing only nine runs 30 innings. He has won his past four starts, but his last loss came against these Padres at Petco Park on April 16, getting out-dueled by Andrew Cashner.
Stults may not be as imposing as Cashner on paper – or in the batter’s box – but he’s held his own lately, as the Padres have won five of his last six starts. In those five Padres wins, he’s given up a combined 11 runs. Perhaps most impressive is the run support he’s received during those five wins, especially the last two – a 9-3 win vs. Marlin, and a 6-5 win vs. Kansas City. On the season, the Padres average only 3.0 runs per game, so there is apparently something about Stults that gets the bats jacked up.
But let’s throw all those stats aside and look at a Padres club (20-22) on a roll, winning five of their last six games. They are playing their best ball of the season right now, and if the Rockies offense can be severely improved at Coors Field, then why not the Padres?
Because of the Rockies’ recent slump created on the road, look for them to be a little slow out of the gate tonight and for the Padres to keep their roll going. If that scenario holds true, then the series price with San Diego at +155 is huge value with Cashner pitching on Sunday.
Padres (Stults) +134 at Rockies
Cubs (Samardzija) -108 vs. Brewers
Red Sox (Lester) -107 vs. Tigers
Reds (Simon) -110 at Phillies