NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 13
NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 13
Washington blew 17-point halftime lead in Game 4 loss, after shooting 33% in Game 3; Beal/Nene were combined 21-61 from floor in losses at home. Home team won six of last nine Wizard-Pacer games- Indiana held Wiz to 79 ppg in winning last three games, after losing opener 102.96. Seven of last 11 Wizard games went over the total- six of seven series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 59 points in last three games, after going scoreless in three of previous four-- rumor was that it was an off-court personal issue that had him in a funk.
Durant had eight turnovers in Game 4 loss, seemed hesitant to dribble if Paul was guarding him. Clippers were 20-74 from arc last three games, after going 15-29 in first game; they were down 22 in first half, 16 with 9:30 left before rallying to win Game 4 and tie series. OC's subs were +28 in Game 3, -41 last game, with LA's bench -31 Friday, +36 Sunday. Clippers are 3-5 vs OC this season. Over is 10-5 in last 15 series games; seven of last ten Thunder games went over total. Ibaka was 2-5 Sunday, after going 9-10 in Game 3.
Over is 41-25 in playoffs this season, 10-6 in this round.
Favorites are 23-43 in playoffs this season, 7-9 in this round.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 13
Game of the Day: Clippers at Thunder
Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 212.5)
The Los Angeles Clippers will be riding the momentum of an epic comeback while the host Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking to rebound from a colossal collapse when the teams square off in Tuesday’s Game 5. Oklahoma City jumped out to a 22-point lead in Game 4 and the Clippers overtook the Thunder with a frantic fourth-quarter push to knot the series at two games apiece. Darren Collison was the late-game hero as Los Angeles recorded the improbable 101-99 victory.
Oklahoma City standout Kevin Durant scored 40 points in Game 4 but was a nonfactor in the final minutes as the Clippers roared to the finish. “We’ve got to turn the page quickly,” Durant said afterward. “Can’t get too high off of wins and too low off of losses. Got to figure out what we did wrong and get better at it in Game 5.” Los Angeles trailed by 16 with nine minutes to play before the resounding comeback, displaying a trait that the franchise hasn’t always been associated with. “It shows our growth,” forward Matt Barnes said afterward. “I don’t know if we win a game like this last year, honestly. We just kept believing and kept talking to each other.”
LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened as 5.5-point favorites. The total opened at 212.5.
INJURY REPORT: Clippers F Hedo Turkoglu (Questionable, back).
WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "Oklahoma City blew a golden opportunity to go up 3-1 in the series after blowing a 15-point lead in the fourth quarter in Game 4 on Sunday. The Clippers' offense has been stagnant in the last two games, but they scored 38 points in the fourth quarter on Sunday and that should give them some momentum heading into Game 5."
ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Collison and the term “playoff hero” found in the same sentence was an unexpected occurrence with there being a star point guard named Chris Paul on the team. But the backup who is with his fourth NBA team in five pro seasons excelled by scoring eight points in the final 2:58, including the go-ahead basket with 59.9 seconds to go. “You just got to love a guy like that who plays with so much heart and never gives up,” Paul said afterward in reference to Collison. The Clippers went to a small lineup in the final quarter to shake things up or otherwise Collison would have been on the bench in the final minutes.
ABOUT THE THUNDER: Oklahoma City’s disintegration was partly due to issues matching the smaller lineup but primarily due to defensive lapses that allowed Los Angeles to score 38 final-quarter points. The Thunder held the Clippers to 35.2 percent shooting over the first three quarters before Los Angeles was 14-of-22 over the final 12 minutes. “We’ve got to get back – gave up too many layups,” point guard Russell Westbrook bemoaned afterward. “They got too many easy baskets, especially when we had the lead.” Oklahoma City was also hurt by 16 turnovers, half of them by Durant.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Clippers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine Conference Semifinals games.
COVERS CONSENSUS: 55 percent of wagers are on the Thunder -5.5.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 13
Tuesday's NBA Playoff Picks
By: Craig Williams
This time last week, it looked like the Indiana Pacers ran into an opponent they wouldn't be able to survive in the surging Washington Wizards. What a difference seven days makes.
The Pacers have a chance to eliminate the young Wizards in Indianapolis Tuesday night (7 p.m. ET, TNT) and advance to the Eastern Conference finals.
Line: Pacers -5, Total: 180.5
Home cooking hasn't equated to an advantage through the first two rounds of the postseason for Indiana, as they are only 3-3 straight-up and 2-4 against the spread at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.
Another big game from Paul George would help put the Pacers on the right track. He sparked Indiana's second-half surge and finished with 39 points on 12 of 20 shooting (seven of 10 from three) and 12 boards. The bulk of that scoring (26 points) came against the Wizards' Trevor Ariza.
The Linemakers' lean: After slogging through the latter third of the season and their first-round series with Atlanta, the Pacers are getting back to who we thought they were. They certainly have our attention and could present some problems for Miami in the next round. But, while the Wizards' confidence may be a bit shaken, this young squad should be resilient enough to deal with it. Washington is 5-0 ATS on the road in these playoffs, and we'll look for them to bounce back on Tuesday. Wizards plus the points.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 212.5)
The Clippers and Thunder are locked into arguably the most exciting series we've seen so far this postseason and will continue with Game 5 on Tuesday (9:30 p.m. ET, TNT).
Los Angeles overcame a 16-point deficit in the fourth quarter to steal victory from the jaws of defeat.
"We let this one slip away," said Kevin Durant following the game.
Chris Paul and Co. -- especially backup guard Darren Collison, who sparked the comeback with eight points in the final 2:58 -- grabbed the W despite another monster performance from the Durant-Russell Westbrook duo.
Westbrook finished with 27 points, eight assists and six boards while Durant hung a playoff-high 40 points.
Oklahoma City and Los Angeles will each host at least one more game this series. The Thunder are just 3-3 SU and ATS at home in the postseason, including a 122-105 loss in Game 1.
The Linemakers' lean: The Thunder have outplayed the Clippers the last three games, blowing an opportunity on Sunday to put a chokehold on the series. But Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook combined to turn the ball over 12 times, emblematic of the unbalanced nature of the OKC offense. The Clippers, on the other hand, have plenty of options, and while they're 3-8 ATS in the playoffs, we still believe in their team concept and will take the points on Tuesday night. Clippers +5.5.
Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, May 13
Tuesday's Playoff Tips
By Brian Edwards
Wizards at Pacers
As of early this morning, most betting shops had Indiana (63-30 straight up, 44-48-1 against the spread) listed as a five-point favorite with a total of 180.5. The Wizards are +185 on the money line (risk $100 to win $185). For first-half wagers, the Pacers are three-point 'chalk' and the total is 88.
Washington (49-42 SU, 49-41-1 ATS) dominated the series opener and had its chances to win Game 2 in a spread-covering setback. However, the series was completely altered with back-to-back home losses over the weekend. Indiana took a commanding 3-1 series advantage by rallying from a 19-point third-quarter to win Game 4 by a 95-92 count as a 3.5-point road underdog.
Paul George was the catalyst in Sunday's comeback victory at Washington. George scored a playoff career-high 39 points and also pulled down 12 rebounds. He drained 7-of-10 attempts from 3-point range. Roy Hibbert's revival continued as he produced 17 points, nine boards and a pair of blocked shots. David West added 14 points and dished out a team-best eight assists.
In the Game 4 defeat, second-year guard Bradley Beal had 20 points, five rebounds and five assists. Trevor Ariza added 16 points, nine boards and three steals.
Washington has covered the spread in eight consecutive road games, winning outright in seven of those outings. The Wizards are 31-15 ATS this year.
In the first seven postseason games, Washington point guard John Wall committed only 14 turnovers, but he has coughed up the rock 12 times in the last two contests. The University of Kentucky product has been held below his regular-season scoring average (19.3 points per game) in all four games of the Eastern Conference semifinals against Indiana. His 15-point effort in Game 3 is his series high.
In Friday's Game 3 at Washington, Indiana took a 2-1 series edge by cruising to an 85-63 win as a five-point underdog. The Pacers hooked up money-line backers with a +185 payout. They outscored the Wizards 51-30 in the second half. The 148 combined points easily allowed 'under' supporters (183.5) to cash tickets. George scored a game-high 23 points.
VegasInsider.com's Chris David is bullish on the Wizards tonight. David said, "Since the All-Star break, the longest winning streaks the Pacers put together were five and four games. In those stretches, Indiana went 1-4 ATS and 1-3 ATS. Now everybody thinks the Pacers will cruise to their fourth straight win for the first time in close to two months. That could certainly happen but I don’t believe it will be as easy as most expect. Plus we should note that Washington hasn’t had a losing streak of more than four games in the regular season, both which occurred in November and December. I rarely like to bet on teams that come off bad losses, which was the case in Game 4 for the Wizards, but it’s hard not to take the points in Game 5. Washington has gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS on the road in the playoffs and let’s not forget that Indiana is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite."
The updated series price at Sportsbook.ag has the Pacers as -1600 'chalk,' with the Wizards available at +1000 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $1,000).
The 'over' is 48-43 overall for the Wizards, 8-3 in their last 11 games.
The 'under' is 51-39-3 overall for the Pacers.
The 'under' has cashed in five of the seven meetings between these clubs this year.
TNT will have the broadcast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.
Clippers at Thunder
As of late Monday night, most books had Oklahoma City (65-28 SU, 49-41-3 ATS) installed as a 5.5-point home favorite with a total of 212.5. Gamblers can take the Clippers to win outright for a +190 return (risk $100 to win $190). For first-half bets, OCK is favored by three with the total at 108.
Los Angeles (63-30 SU, 49-43-1 ATS) evened this best-of-seven series Sunday afternoon by rallying for a 101-99 win. Nevertheless, OKC covered the number as a five-point underdog, while the 200 combined points easily stayed 'under' the 213.5-point total. Darren Collison came up huge in the fourth quarter when he scored 12 of his 18 points, including the go-ahead bucket on a run-out layup with 59.9 seconds remaining. Blake Griffin scored 25 points and pulled down nine rebounds, while Jamal Crawford (like Collison) also came off the bench to score 18 points. Chris Paul contributed 23 points, 10 assists and four steals while committing one turnover, but it was his defense against Kevin Durant in the final stanza that proved to be most important.
Scott Brooks's team has to be kicking itself for letting Game 4 at Staples Center slip away. The Thunder made its first seven shots and roared out to a 17-3 lead. They led 32-15 at the end of the first quarter and had a 16-point advantage early in the fourth quarter. Durant scored a game-high 40 points, but he committed eight turnovers. Russell Westbrook finished with 27 points, eight assists, six rebounds and three steals. Reggie Jackson was the only other OKC player in double figures with 10 points.
With the series tied at 1-1 going to L.A. for Game 3 this past Friday night, OKC outscored the Clippers 32-22 in the fourth quarter to capture a 118-112 triumph. Durant had 36 points, eight rebounds and six assists, while Westbrook produced 23 points, 13 assists and eight rebounds. Most notable, Westbrook committed only two turnovers and took 14 shots, which was 10 less than Durant. Serge Ibaka had 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting from the field. Jackson and Caron Butler had 14 points apiece from off the bench. In the losing effort, Griffin scored a team-best 34 points, while Paul had 21 points and 16 assists without a turnover.
The Clippers are mired in a 2-7 ATS slump in their last nine games. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six road assignments.
OKC has taken the cash in four of the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs, including the last three.
The 'over' is 51-41-1 overall for the Clippers, going 15-6 in their last 21 contests.
The 'over' is 49-44 overall for the Thunder.
Sportsbook's updated series price: Thunder -185, Clippers +160.
David is staying away from the side in tonight's Game 5 at OKC. Instead, he's looking at the total. David said, "I’m not going to beat up Oklahoma City too much for its collapse in Game 4 only because it was on the road and momentum is hard to stop. I do believe the Thunder will rebound at home but I’m not running to the window to lay points with a team that is just 3-3 at home in the postseason. However, it’s hard to back the Clippers at the betting counter knowing that they are 3-8 ATS in the playoffs. My lean for Game 5 would be the total. After watching the two teams combine for 200 in Game 4, the oddsmakers opened Game 5 at 212 ½, which is too much of an adjustment. The pace was decent on Sunday and both teams got to the free throw line but neither could make shots, especially from 3-point land. I expect that to change and trend bettors should note that the Clippers haven’t seen the ‘under’ cash in consecutive games during this year’s playoffs."
Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. Eastern on TNT.
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