MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 11
MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 11
Pirates host Cardinals
St. Louis (18-19) at Pittsburgh (16-20)
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Pittsburgh -110, Total: 7.5
National League Central rivals, the Cardinals and Pirates, close out their third series of the young season on Sunday night.
St. Louis has been one of the best franchises in the league over the past decade, but has gotten off to a slow start to the 2014 season. However, the club enters Friday having won three of four games. The Cardinals dominated Atlanta by a 12-6 score over a three-game set, which was highlighted by a huge performance from starter Adam Wainwright (8 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 6 K’s) in a 7-1 victory on Wednesday. OF Peter Bourjos (.217 BA) finally broke out of a slump and went 3-for-4 with a homer and 2 RBI in the game, while OF Matt Holliday (.285 BA) was 6-for-13 with 5 RBI over the series. While St. Louis has been playing poorly this year, the Pirates have been even worse, but are coming off two straight series wins against the Blue Jays and Giants.
After a tough 11-10 loss to San Francisco in extra innings on Monday, their pitching allowed only four runs in the final two games, earning a win in each. Reigning National League MVP OF Andrew McCutchen (.321 BA) continued his monster season, going 7-for-15 with a double, triple and 3 RBI in the series. To close this weekend series, the Cardinals will send 23-year old RHP Shelby Miller (4-2, 3.20 ERA) to the mound looking for his fourth straight victory. Opposing him for the Pirates is RHP Charlie Morton (0-4, 3.45 ERA) who is seeking his first victory of the season. Coming into this series, St. Louis is 11-12 when playing on the road while the Pittsburgh is an even 10-10 at PNC Park. This matchup has been a great one since the start of 2012, with the Pirates holding a very slim 23-22 edge coming into this series, including and impressive 13-8 at home (.619).
Shelby Miller started out the season with two straight losses, but has since gone 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his past five starts. Despite his success, Miller has still walked 23 batters in only 39.1 innings on the mound (5.3 BB/9) and given up seven homers (1.60 HR/9). His last start came against the Braves on Monday, when he threw only five frames (86 pitches) while giving up six hits and two runs, while striking out five and walking two. Miller has already faced the Pirates twice this year, getting two very different results, as he allowed three home runs leading to five runs in a 12-2 loss in his first start of the year and then rebounded with 5.2 shutout innings (3 H, 4 BB, 4 K’s) and a win in his second outing. Overall in his young career, Miller is just 1-5 against Pittsburgh with a 4.91 ERA and 1.64 WHIP, while walking a hefty 16 batters in 33 innings.
C Russell Martin is eligible to come off the DL on Sunday and is 4-for-11 (1 double, 2 HR, 3 RBI) against Miller, while OF Andrew McCutchen is 5-for-15 with a double and two strikeouts when facing the righty. With three home runs in just 15 at-bats in this matchup, 3B Pedro Alvarez has hit for power, but those are his only hits against Miller, who has struck him out six times. Coming into this series, the St. Louis bullpen has gone 1-6 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, while going 9-for-12 (75%) in save chances. Closer Trevor Rosenthal (4.70 ERA, 9 saves) has been perfect in nine save opportunities and has 20 strikeouts and nine walks in his 15.1 innings coming into this three-game set.
Charlie Morton has had some trouble with his defense behind him, as he has already allowed six unearned runs in his first 44.1 innings on the mound. The sinkerballer has also seen his control fall off, as he has walked 16 batters (3.3 BB/9) while striking out 28 (5.7 K/9). Morton was amazing in his last outing on Tuesday though, pitching eight innings of three-hit ball while giving up just one unearned run and striking out three (2 walks) in a no-decision. Morton has not faced the Cardinals yet this season, but has been horrible against them in his career, going 2-9 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in 14 starts while walking 37 batters in just 67.2 frames (4.9 BB/9). Outfielders Allen Craig (9-for-18, 2 doubles, 2 RBI), Matt Holliday (8-for-25, 1 HR, 5 RBI) and Jon Jay (6-for-18, 2 doubles, 3 RBI, 5 K’s) have absolutely teed off against Morton in their careers, while C Yadier Molina (8-for-19, 4 doubles, 6 RBI) has also done very well.
Utility infielder Daniel Descalso may not see the field, as he is 0-for-10 with three strikeouts against the righty. The Pirates’ bullpen has been great as a whole this year going 10-5 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.28 WHIP through Friday, but are just 6-for-14 (43%) in save chances. With closer Jason Grilli on the DL, Mark Melancon (1.69 ERA, 2 saves) has taken over the role and gone 2-for-3 in his save chances while having a solid 10:1 K/BB ratio in 16.0 relief innings.
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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 11
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays
When a series of baseball betting numbers lean towards one team, the baseball betting community takes notice. Such is the case Sunday when the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays play the third of a four-game set at the Rogers Center. The Angels just keep feasting on the Blue Jays. With Saturday's victory the Halos have won 9 of 10 encounters, 7 of 9 playing in Toronto's back yard. If that were not enough, Jay batters must try to solve ace Jered Weaver. His 3-2 record, 3.48 ERA belie the fact that his last start showed the right-hander’s dominating presence of the past. Weaver is coming off his best outing of the year, pitching eight innings of one-run ball in a win over the Yankees. Weaver certainly knows how to follow up a strong performance with another stellar effort. When he has tossed 7 or more innings allowing two or less runs in his last start, the Angels are 8-2 in his subsequent appearance on the mound. Halos on a sparkling 6-1 stretch vs Toronto with Weaver, 7-1 in the hurlers L8 May starts, 10-4 his L14 day games the baseball betting numbers are too much to overlook, so that makes our Sunday MLB pick Angels.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Sunday, May 11
Sunday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
Braves a Trendy Pick
Atlanta (-162) shaded the Cubs 2-0 Saturday to extend a pair of trends, improving to 7-1 in its last eight games versus Chicago while going 2-6 O/U over that span. The Braves (-170, 7) and Cubs wrap up the weekend series Sunday afternoon.
Gio Not Cashing as Underdog
Washington lefty Gio Gonzalez is an underdog for the first time this season as his Nationals (+119, 7) visit Oakland. Gonzalez is 2-6 in his last eight games as a dog, with Washington scoring a total of 12 runs in that span - five of them coming in one game.
Padres Bid Farewell to Petco
The San Diego Padres wrap up a 10-game homestand Sunday against the visiting Miami Marlins (+102, 7). San Diego remains the strongest Under play in the league but has reversed the trend during the homestand, going 5-3-1 O/U while scoring 19 runs in its previous two games.
* Baltimore right-hander Chris Tillman has allowed 16 runs over his previous 21 1/3 innings; the Orioles are 4-0 against the moneyline - three of those wins coming as the underdog - and 4-0 O/U in that stretch. Tillman and the Orioles (-163, 8.5) entertain the Houston Astros on Sunday afternoon.
* Cubs starter Edwin Jackson has been a steady bet away from Wrigley Field, going 2-8 against the moneyline and 7-2-1 O/U in his previous 10 road starts. He is also 3-7 against the moneyline in his last 10 outings as an underdog of +150 or greater.
* Detroit third baseman Miguel Cabrera went deep in Saturday's 9-3 win over Minnesota, improving the Tigers to 5-0 against the moneyline and 4-1 O/U this season in games in which Cabrera hits a home run. Detroit (-167, 8.5) resumes its series with the Twins on Sunday.
* Mets third baseman David Wright is batting .429 during an eight-game hitting streak; despite this, New York is just 1-7 against the moneyline and 3-4-1 O/U over that span. Wright will try to extend the streak Sunday when the Mets (-119, 7) entertain Philadelphia.
Atlanta Braves (1-7 O/U): The offensive well has run completely dry in Georgia, with the Braves scoring just 14 runs over their previous eight games. Solid pitching has limited the damage, helping Atlanta go 3-5 in that span.
Prop of the Day
A big win by Colorado could mean a big payday, with the Rockies listed at +700 to beat Cincinnati by five or more runs. Five of Colorado's previous six victories have come by at least six runs, including Saturday's 11-2 drubbing of the Reds.
* The Washington Nationals have lost first baseman Adam LaRoche to the disabled list with a strained right quad. LaRoche leads the team with a .319 batting average, helping guide the Nationals to a 19-14-3 O/U mark through their first 36 games.
* Atlanta Braves outfielder Justin Upton left Saturday's game with a lower back contusion after being hit by a pitch. Upton's absence will hurt a Braves lineup that is already struggling to score runs, and comes into Sunday with a 12-22-1 O/U record for the season.
* Fans at Comerica Park should expect wind blowing in from right field at 10 mph. The Tigers were a sizzling 8-1 against the moneyline and 6-2-1 O/U in nine games under similar wind conditions in 2013.
* The breeze will be slight for Sunday night's showdown between St. Louis and Pittsburgh (-104, 7.5) at PNC Park. The Pirates were 34-18 straight up and 16-32-4 O/U in 52 home games last season with the wind blowing at less than 10 mph.
Umpire Note of the Day
Under is 15-6 in umpire Doug Eddings' last 21 games behind home plate featuring Colorado, and 19-6-2 in his last 27 games involving Cincinnati. The Reds (-115, 8) conclude their weekend series with the Rockies on Sunday afternoon.