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MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 3
MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 3
MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Oakland A's at Boston Red Sox
When Boston sends left-handed John Lester to the mound to trade pitches with southpaw Tommy Milone of the A's there is an 'Over'-Whelming chance this matchup will bust 'Over' posted totals. The 'Over' has hit in Boston's last five home games vs A's with Lester touching toe to rubber. The A's are 8-2 'Over' in Milone's last 10 starts as a road underdog. The clincher, Red Sox are 4-2 'Over' at home vs a lefty platting 5.0 runs/game, the the A's are 4-0 'Over' in game two of a road series, 5-1 'Over' on the road vs a southpaw starter crossing a whopping 7.33 runs/game.
Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
The second game of a three game set between Cincinnati and N.L. Central leading Milwaukee is today’s baseball betting focus. Milwaukee looking to improve it's impressive start will trot out Yovani Gallardo, who has a 2-0 record, 1.91 ERA over six trips to the mound (4-2 TSR). On the other side of the pitching matchup is Johnny Cueto. The right-hander has pitched well for his club posting six quality starts but lack of run support has the hurler heading to the hill 2-2 with a 1.15 ERA (2-4 TSR). Brewers would seem like an easy play knowing they've won four straight vs Reds w/Gallardo. However, baseball handicapping demands digging a little deeper to get a better take on performance. Those whose focus is baseball betting have certainly done so, and have come up with facts that has them 'Playing-Against' Milwaukee. First, Brewers have been poor bets at Cincinnati with the Gallardo posting a 3-8 mark last eleven visits. Second, Cueto has been absolutely dominant the past three in going 2-0 while recording a 5.4 SWR, 0.54 WHIP and miniscule 0.35 ERA. Those doing further research will have also unearthed a hidden gem among a sea of baseball betting numbers. Cueto has a smart 8-2 TSR vs Brewers including a perfect 6-0 TSR at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 3
Saturday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
A four-run seventh inning helped the suddenly-hot Miami Marlins fend off a late charge by the Los Angeles Dodgers and seal the 6-3 Marlins' victory Friday. The win extended the Marlins winning streak to four games and improved their record to 15-14. The Marlins entered Friday's game fresh off a three-game sweep of the Atlanta Braves and have outscored the oppositions 29-10 during their streak.
Dog Days of Spring
Underdogs put up an impressive 10-5 record in Friday's action with away dogs going 7-4 and home dogs going 3-1. Saturday sees four home dogs in action as the Chicago Cubs, Minnesota Twins, Miami Marlins and Houston Astros all the play the role of home dog on Saturday's board.
At 21-9, the Milwaukee Brewers own the top record in the bigs, but they've really put together something special on the road. With Friday's 2-0 win in Cincinnati, the Brew Crew improved to a sensational 12-3 record away from Miller Park. They'll try to make it 13-3 at the Great American Bll Park as Yovani Gallardo is matched up with Johnny Cueto.
* New York Mets hurler Jenrry Mejia will take the bump after what was easily his worst performance of the season. Mejia was batted around for six earned runs on eight hits in 5 2/3 innings of work against the Marlins, but did not factor in the 7-6 no-decision. Mejia gets the ball in Denver to face the Colorado Rockies Saturday evening. Mejia and the Mets are +124 dogs at Coors Field Saturday.
* The Boston Red Sox have been a pretty good bet when Jon Lester takes the mound against the Oakland A's at Fenway Park. The BoSox are 5-0 in Lester's last five turn versus the A's at home. The Sox are currently a -140 home fave with Tom Milone getting the ball for the visiting Athletics.
* Chicago Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo paced the Cubs to a 6-5 win over the St. Louis Cardinals Friday. Rizzo went 2-for-3 with his fifth homer of the season and three RBIs to extend his average to .295 on the campaign. The slugger now has a pair of homers and six RBIs versus the Red Birds this season.
* Across the Windy City, White Sox 1B Jose Abreu belted his MLB-leading 11th homer in Friday's 12-5 loss to the Indians. Three of his 11 dingers have come against the Indians, but he's gone 0-for-2 with one walk in his three plate appearances versus Saturday's starter, Justin Masterson.
San Francisco Giants (0-3 O/U): The San Francisco Giants are 14-14-1 O/U on the season but some fantastic pitching has fueled an impressive run of Unders in three-straight ball games. The Giants defeated the San Diego Padres 6-0 and 3-2, before nipping the Atlanta Braves 2-1 Friday to put together the 0-3 Under streak. A pretty good Under pitcher in his own right takes the mound as Ryan Vogelsong (on a personal three-game Under streak) takes the bump against the Braves.
Prop of the Day
The Los Angeles Dodgers lead the Majors with seven extra-inning games on the season. They are currently +725 to need extra baseball in Saturday's game against the Miami Marlins, who have played in three extra inning games this season. The Dodgers made a late push in Friday's loss by scoring a pair of runs in the eighth and a solo run in the ninth.
Colorado Rockies LF Carlos Gonzalez has a left index finger contusion which kept him out of Friday's 10-3 hammering of the New York Mets. According to the Denver Post, the star is "confident" that he'll return to the Rockies' lineup for Saturday's game. Gonzalez is batting .245 with six homers and 19 RBIs so far this season.
* Forecasts are calling for windy and potentially-wet conditions when the White Sox and Indians play at Progressive Field Saturday. Forecasts calling for a 40 percent chance of showers this afternoon and leading up to game time, but that will dwindle down to a 10 percent chance as the game progresses. Wind will whip across Progressive Field from left field to right field at 22 mph.
* Wind will blow out at PNC Park as the Toronto Blue Jays try to bounce back from a 6-5 defeat at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates Friday night. Wind is expected to blow out to left-center field at 14 mph for Saturday's game.
Umpire Stat of the Day
The road team is 6-1 in Todd Tichenor's last seven games behind home plate. Tichenor will be calling balls and strikes in Kansas City as the Royals host the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers are currently -108 road faves.
Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Saturday, May 3
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
LAS VEGAS – Here’s a look at today’s baseball card with lines courtesy of the South Point sports book. In addition to the notes, pitching records and ERAs on the game, we’re also taking a look how each pitcher has fared if you bet them every game so far this season – either laying a price to win a unit or taking the money laying a unit.
The top money earners this season have been Oakland’s Jesse Chavez and Scott Kazmir, each of whom the A’s have gone 6-0 behind, equating to +6.0 units for both because they were favored in each game.
The worst earner this season has been Arizona's Brandon McCarthy, who starts tonight at San Diego. Arizona has lost all six games McCarthy has started – four games as an underdog and two games as a favorite, equating to -6.8 units. All start times listed below are Eastern.
Cardinals (Wacha -3.3 units, 2-2, 2.48 ERA) at Cubs (Arrieta, first start)
Line: Cardinals -180, 8 OV -115
Notes: Cards have gone OVER in their past 4 games; 7-2 in past 9 meetings vs. Cubs.
Nationals (Roark +1.4, 2-0, 2.15) at Phillies (Burnett +3.3 units, 1-1, 2.15)
Line: Phillies -115, 7.5 UN -115
Notes: Nationals OVER in past 9 games vs. NL East; Phillies OVER is 10-3-1 in past 14 home games. Nats have won 8 of past 10 vs. Phils while compiling a 2.12 ERA.
Giants (Vogelsong +1.6, 0-1, 5.40) at Braves (Teheran +4.6, 2-1, 1.47)
Line: Braves -172, 7.5 UN -115
Notes: Braves on 4-game slide, while Giants have won 3 straight. Teheran has allowed just one run in past 24 innings but has been given only 3 runs of support. B.J. Upton 6-game hit streak.
Dodgers (Maholm LHP -2.1, 1-2, 4.74) at Marlins (Turner +1.1, 0-0, 7.50)
Line: Dodgers -115, 8 OV -120 Notes: Marlins have won 7 straight at home to help boost MLB-best home record to 13-4; OVER past 5 overall. Maholm 3-1 with 1.94 ERA and .188 opponents average in 5 starts vs. Marlins.
Brewers (Gallardo +2.6, 2-0, 1.96) at Reds (Cueto -2.3, 2-2, 1.15)
Line: Reds -145, 7 UN -120
Notes: Brewers OVER 11-4 on road but UNDER 14-1 at home; 12 wins in 15 road games. Cueto has MLB-best ERA and opponents average (.136); He’s 5-0, 2.25 ERA in 8 home starts vs. MIL.
Mets (Meija +3.2, 3-0, 3.49) at Rockies (Morales LHP +0.8, 3-1, 4.40)
Line: Rockies -135, 10.5 UN -120
Notes: Rockies OVER past five games, OVER 20-9 on season; NL-best +34 run differential. Mets have lost 5 of their past 6 at Coors Field. Morales looking for fourth straight win.
Diamondbacks (McCarthey -6.8, 0-5, 5.54) at Padres (Kennedy +0.1, 2-3, 3.16)
Line: Padres -133, 7 -110
Notes: Padres UNDER 22 of 28 games, UNDER 11 of 13 at home; MLB-worst 2.6 runs scored per game, hitting NL-worst .216. Arizona looking to match season-high 3-game win streak.
Rays (Ordorizzi -4.3 units, 1-3, 6.85 ERA) at Yankees (Tanaka +2.4, 3-0, 2.27)
Line: Yankees -210, 8.5 UN -120
Notes: Traditional wisdom always says bet on the team with a 3-game win steak (TB) vs. team (NYY) on 3-game slide. Tanaka gives lots to think about in equation.
A’s (Milone LHP -5.1, 0-2, 4.56) at Red Sox (Lester LHP -3.0, 2-4, 3.10)
Line: Red Sox -137, 9.5 UN -120
Notes: Red Sox 7-4, A’s 6-3 vs. LHP; A’s 11-5 vs. BOS past 3 seasons. A’s have yet to lose a road series this season; Milone gave up 8 runs in last start vs. Boston (April, 2012)
Orioles (Chen LHP +3.4, 3-1, 4.34) at Twins (Correia -2.9, 0-3, 7.33)
Line: Orioles -116, 8.5 UN -115
Notes: O’s have won 3 straight while Twins have dropped 4 in a row; Chen has won both career starts vs. Twins (2.23 ERA) and both stayed UNDER. Chen has 8.69 run support average.
Mariners (Iwakuma, first start) at Astros (Keuchel LHP +3.4, 2-1, 3.56)
Line: Mariners -120, 8 OV -115
Notes: Iwakuma’s finger injury kept him out in April; he’s riding a 23-inning scoreless streak from 2013. The Astros have beaten Seattle in three of four meetings this season.
White Sox (Carroll +1.5, 1-0, 1.23) at Indians (Masterson -0.8, 0-1, 4.84)
Line: Indians -160, 8.5 UN -120
Notes: Masterson is 8-5 when starting vs. White Sox with a 2.54 ERA. White Sox have gone OVER in 19 of 29 games this season and lead AL in runs scored (159).
Tigers (Smyly LHP -3.1, 1-1, 3.60) at Royals (Duffy LHP: first start, 6 relief appearances)
Line: Tigers -109, 8.5 UN -115
Notes: Miguel Cabrera on 8-game hitting streak (.389). Tigers have beat Royals four straight and have held them to three runs or fewer in six straight meetings.
Rangers (Harrison LHP -1.1, 0-0, 3.00) at Angels (Richards +1.0, 2-0, 2.53)
Line: Angels -138, 8 OV -115
Notes: Texas starters have given up 22 runs over 11 1/3 innings during their four-game skid. Richards has allowed 2 runs or less in four of five starts this season.
Blue Jays (Dickey -1.2, 2-3, 5.09) at Pirates (Liriano LHP -0.4, 0-3, 3.97)
Line: Pirates -132, 7.5 UN -120
Notes: Pirates have not won back-to-back games since April 8. Pirates 26-15 last 3 seasons during interleague play. Dickey won his past two starts vs. Pirates (2012).
Phillies (Burnett) -115 vs. Nationals
Phillies/Nationals UNDER 7.5 (-115)
Dodgers (Maholm) -115 at Marlins
Brewers/Reds UNDER 7 (-120)
Orioles (Chen) -127 at Twins
White Sox (Carroll) +150 at Indians