MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 18

MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 18

Friday's National League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (-101)

Hot pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardzija has held opponents to three runs over his first 21 innings this season.

Cold batting stat: Reds second baseman Brandon Phillips is a .207 hitter with six strikeouts in 29 at-bats versus Samardzija.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing in from right field at 14 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 12-4 in Samardzija's last 16 home starts.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (-111, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Kyle Lohse struck out nine over 8 2/3 sensational innings in a win over Pittsburgh last Sunday.

Hot batting stat: Milwaukee outfielder Ryan Braun is 7-for-15 with a homer in his career against Pirates starter Charlie Morton.

Weather: Overcast skies are expected with temperatures in the low-60s.

Key betting note: The Pirates are 6-1 in Morton's last seven appearances following a quality start in his previous outing.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals (+103, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals left-hander Gio Gonzalez was torched for six runs over six innings in a loss to Atlanta in his last outing.

Cold batting stat: Members of the St. Louis roster are hitting .221 with 17 strikeouts in 68 innings versus Gonzalez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s under cloudy skies.

Key betting note: The Cardinals are 7-2 in right-hander Michael Wacha's last nine starts.

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets (-101, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Braves starter Aaron Harang has limited opponents to a .145 average through his first three starts of the year.

Hot batting stat: Atlanta outfielders Jason Heyward and Justin Upton are a combined 17-for-39 against Mets starter Jonathon Niese.

Weather: Overcast skies are in the forecast with temperatures in the mid-40s.

Key betting note: New York is 6-0 in Niese's last six Friday starts.

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies (-147, 10.5)

Cold pitching stat: Philadelphia is just 1-5 in right-hander Jonathan Pettibone's last six road starts.

Hot batting stat: Members of the Colorado roster are a combined 8-for-17 versus Pettibone.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s are expected with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 11-2 in Pettibone's previous 13 games.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (-190, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Zack Greinke has racked up 16 strikeouts over his previous two starts spanning 11 1/3 innings.

Hot batting stat: Los Angeles outfielder Matt Kemp is 5-for-15 with a pair of home runs against Arizona starter Wade Miley.

Weather: Fans should expect partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the high-50s.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 12-1 in Greinke's last 13 starts against division foes.

San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres (+101, 6.5)

Cold pitching stat: San Francisco is 2-9 in starter Matt Cain's last 11 outings against teams with losing records.

Cold batting stat: Padres outfielder Seth Smith has just two hits in 26 lifetime at-bats versus Cain.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies are forecast with temperatures in the low-60s and wind blowing out to right field at 6 mph but tapering off.

Key betting note: Under is 6-0 in San Diego right-hander Tyson Ross' last six starts against teams with winning records.

Interleague

Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins (-116, 7.5)


Hot pitching stat: Over is 8-2-1 in Miami right-hander Nate Eovaldi's last 11 starts with five days rest.

Hot batting stat: Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton is 3-for-5 with two home runs against Mariners starter Chris Young.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s but the Marlins Park roof may be closed with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Key betting note: Under is 20-5-4 in Miami's last 29 interleague home games.

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Friday's American League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians (-127, 8)

Cold pitching stat: The Indians have lost right-hander Justin Masterson's last five starts against the American League East.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays outfielder Jose Bautista is 6-for-17 with two home runs in his career against Masterson.

Weather: There is a 29 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the mid-50s and wind blowing out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 6-1 in Toronto right-hander Drew Hutchison's last seven road starts.

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers (-128, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Angels right-hander Jered Weaver has allowed five home runs through his first 18 2/3 innings this season.

Cold batting stat: Tigers outfielder Austin Jackson is 2-for-13 and has fanned six times versus Weaver.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s under partly cloudy skies with wind blowing out to center field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Los Angeles is 8-2 in Weaver's previous 10 starts against the American League Central.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (-136, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander John Lackey threw six solid innings to upend the Orioles 6-2 in his season debut.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Boston roster are hitting .200 with three homers in 165 at-bats versus Baltimore starter Chris Tillman.

Weather: Temperatures will hover around 40 with partly cloudy skies.

Key betting note: The Orioles are 7-1 in Tillman's last eight Friday starts.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (+104, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda is limiting opponents to a .236 batting average through three starts.

Hot batting stat: Rays outfielder Matt Joyce and second baseman Ben Zobrist have combined to hit five homers in 26 at-bats versus Kuroda.

Weather: N/A

Key betting note: Under is 10-2-1 in Kuroda's last 13 road starts against teams with losing records.

Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers (-157, 10)


Cold pitching stat: Texas is 3-7 in starter Martin Perez's last 10 series-opening appearances.

Hot batting stat: Rangers slugger Prince Fielder is 4-for-8 with two home runs against White Sox right-hander Felipe Paulino.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies are expected with temperatures in the low-70s.

Key betting note: Under is 4-1 in Perez's last five home starts.

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals (-150, 8.5)


Hot pitching stat: Twins right-hander Ricky Nolasco stymied the Royals on five hits over eight solid innings to earn the win last Saturday.

Hot batting stat: Minnesota star Joe Mauer is 9-for-21 with six RBIs lifetime versus Kansas City lefty Jason Vargas.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under clear skies with wind blowing out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 6-0 in Minnesota's last six series openers.

Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics (-200, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Astros right-hander Jarred Cosart twirled seven strong innings in his previous start, fanning eight in a win over Texas.

Hot batting stat: Athletics third baseman Josh Donaldson has three singles and a double in five career at-bats against Cosart.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with sunny skies and wind blowing out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Oakland is 6-0 in Sonny Gray's last six starts on five days rest.

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Game of the Day: Angels at Tigers
By Covers.com

Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers (-128)

The Detroit Tigers broke out of their offensive funk in their last time out and would like nothing more than to end their struggles in another area – beating the Los Angeles Angels. The Tigers, who host Los Angeles for the first of three games on Friday, halted a stretch in which they scored nine runs over the previous four games with Thursday’s 7-5 win over the Cleveland Indians. Ian Kinsler homered and drove in four as Detroit won for only the third time in eight tries.

The Tigers, who scored the second-most runs in the majors a season ago, hope those offensive struggles won’t return with the arrival of the Angels, who held them to a total of 17 runs in six 2013 matchups and has won the last nine meetings overall. Los Angeles looks to start its nine-game road trip off on the right foot after Chris Iannetta hit his fourth career walk-off home run in the 12th inning Wednesday as the Angels avoided a three-game home sweep by the Oakland Athletics. The Angels lead the majors with 24 homers and rank second with 83 runs scored.

LINE HISTORY: The Tigers opened as -128 home faves for the first game of the weekend series.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Angels (-140), Tigers (-191)

INJURY REPORT: Angels OF Josh Hamilton (Late May, thumb), OF Kole Calhoun (15-day DL, ankle). Tigers OF Andy Dirks (15-day DL, back)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Halo's record certainly doesn't match their payroll thus far." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Angels RH Jered Weaver (0-2, 5.79 ERA) vs. Tigers LH Drew Smyly (1-0, 0.00)

Weaver avoided taking a loss for the first time in three turns on Saturday, but Los Angeles fell to 0-3 in his starts after he surrendered four runs on three hits and four walks over 6 2/3 innings against the New York Mets. After yielding four home runs on the road in his previous turn, the three-time All-Star surrendered another at home against the Mets and is winless after three starts for the first time in his career. Weaver has also struggled in 10 career outings against the Tigers, going 3-4 with a 4.97 ERA.

After winning the rotation job in spring training, Smyly will make his long-awaited first start of the season as the Tigers haven’t needed him due to two postponements and three scheduled off-days. The 24-year-old has been sharp in his two middle-relief appearances, however, tossing a pair of scoreless three-inning outings while allowing two hits and striking out six. Smyly has a 2.77 ERA in three career appearances (one start) versus the Angels, but has yet to factor into the decision against them.

TRENDS:

* Angels are 9-0 in the last nine meetings.
* Under is 5-0 in Weaver's last five starts vs. Tigers.
* Tigers are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
* Over is 8-2-1 in Angels last 11 road games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 67 percent of wagers are on Detroit.

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MLB: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays

New York taking Tampa Bay behind the woodshed spanking Rays 10-2 in the opener of this four game divisional set have conditions on their side for a repeat performance. A series of betting numbers come together favoring the Bronx Bombers. Although Yankees are just 2-3 vs Rays with Kuroda (2-1, 386 ERA) the five starts have come against Rays' best in Price, Moore, Archer. This time around no such ace starter to beat. Kuroda will match pitches with newly acquired Erik Bedard (0-0, 0.00 ERA). The Rays southpaw is 0-8 last twelve starts with a horrid 0-12 team start record. Additional compelling numbers in Yankees favor are the figures compiled by today's hurlers during the month of April. Yankees are on a 7-1 team start stretch in April with Kuroda, Bedard's teams are 3-12 in his April starts. Evidence is the key in making any case and the numbers above clearly illustrate New York is the right choice.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 18

MLB Friday Betting News
By Dave Essler

Cubs-Reds: Don't like PM Cubs games. Chilly and wind blowing in, so we'll see where they set that total. Both pens been awful, and Chapman about ready to return, and with Simon a relief pitcher for the most part, I can see taking the Cubs at +100 (that should tell you something right there) and perhaps the over, which may be a little low BECAUSE of the wind.

Washington-St. Louis: Awful for me to think Washington would hit last night, although is was more a case of Washington's pitchers simply walking the ballpark and committing tons of errors. As I said on the podcast the other night, those things tend to be cyclical, so it's tough even to take Gio here. He was lit by the Braves, and the Nationals pen is somewhat depleted. I could make a reasonable argument for the under here, since he's done well against STL in the past.

Milwaukee-Pittsburgh: Lohse obviously was a beast last time out, and the motivation is clearly with the Pirates after being swept in Milwuakee last week. My issue with Pittsburgh lately is they are the second coming of Atlanta, scoring mainly vie the long ball. Morton being the ground ball pitcher that he is, I would argue Pirates and under.

Mets-Braves: Because the Braves are so cheap, especially with Harang in beastmode, I'd be concerned here. Mets had a day off and the Braves had an emotional three game series w/the Phillies, including a rain out. The Mets may just win this one here.

Colorado-Philadelphia: Obvious travel issue for the Phillies, who's bats have gone quiet. I am not a huge fan of Chatwood yet, because he's not a ground ball pitcher, and not in Coors Field. However, the Rockies have seen Pettibone and the weather IS conducive to hitting, so this may be the over, but I would much prefer 10 to 10.5 so we'll wait that one out. Perhaps this COULD be one of the few times I lay the -1.5.

Padres-Giants: I don't get the flip to the Padres being the listed favorite overnight, but I haven't looked deep yet. I am not a big fan of Ross, but I have long felt Cain is over rated as well, and the Padres have seen plenty of him. The Padres bats have gone quiet, and IMO if they are going to win as the early move might suggest, I would think it stays under.

Dodgers-D-Backs: As I said on the podcast, most big dogs get scalped and this is certainly no exception since Arizona had been. Since Arizona was swept by the Dodgers and then the Mets, they may be thinking that because AS just saw Zach that they make some adjustments. Here's what I think. Two of the best hitting pitchers in baseball may mean this goes over. If it goes to 6.5 I may well take my chances, but if it did I doubt it would stay there long.

Angels-Tigers: Two teams I always seem to struggle to grasp, and obvious over reaction to the Tigers bats being woken up yesterday here. My first instinct is that although I am not a huge Weaver fan, all things being equal, to get the potential of the Angels and Weaver at that price you almost have to. I do know they've struggled against LHP, but it's Drew Smyly, not Denny McLain. Both pens suck (usually) and the weather isn't THAT bad, so if that total dropped to 7.5 there's the option of the over as well.

Toronto-Cleveland: Big love for Masterson but he's not been himself this year, and that's in part due to the DH the Jays plays and lost both (thank you) yesterday. I am simply not laying the "new" price on Cleveland, and not sure I could take Toronto either. That total has plummeted all the way to 7.5 in places, and that may be an over reaction a bit. If that IS the case and the line keeps moving, I could see taking the Toronto RL, but they've got no pen left (thank you again) either.

Yankees-Rays: Automatic to think about taking the under in any Tampa Bay home game. But, I don't trust either pitcher. One is going on 100 and the other couldn't stick with the Astros. Have to think NYY has the momentum after beating the sh*t out of Price last night, and the Rays seem to be in free fall. I would hate to start fading the Rays "streak" too late, but would almost have to take NYY here.

Baltimore-Boston: Always tough to take a team in the first game back (Boston) but it is Tillman and the always unpredictable John Lackey. Since we like the Orioles much better against right handed pitching and they're on a bit of a winning streak, I can see backing the Birds here.

White Sox-Texas: So, Texas starts hitting for two games and the White Sox stop hitting for two game and all of a sudden Perez is a -160 pitcher. Not a chance. Give me the White Sox RL and be done with it, even with Chicago playing last night and traveling. However, I do think they're are far better games. And if that total really is going to stay at 10, perhaps Texas is going to hit. Hate this game.

Twins-Royals: Those that know me know I would find a way to back the Twins here. Even after the DH, they are playing well, and that may over ride anything else. Royals in a first game back and did not exactly light up the scoreboard in Houston. I can see this one staying under 8.5 in the bigger park, and if that is the case perhaps the Twins RL, again. Might find something here.

Oakland-Houston: I totally get how good Sonny Gray is and late last year he made us money. And I totally get how Houston isn't hitting. But, at -200 that's a stretch, especially in what is projected as a low scoring game and in perhaps the biggest park with the most foul territory in the world. I can make a reasonable case for this staying under, because I do like Cosart.

Miami-Seattle: Don't forget that the Mariners don't get to use the DH in this park. Eovaldi CAN be good, but he CAN be awful, and I do like the Mariners better against RHP and they've probably got the better bullpen. I don't like Young and this game has already flipped from about a coin-toss to heavy Miami. They aren't usually THAT easy, but they can be. This game, as do most IL games, needs more attention than I can give it right now.

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Re: MLB Betting News and Notes Friday, April 18

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts   
Sportingnews.com

LAS VEGAS -- The strength of the Tampa Bay Rays (7-9) coming into the season was their starting rotation, but with Alex Cobb being placed on the 15-day disabled list Sunday, that strength is now crumbling, as three of their starters are now on the DL. They have lost four straight and seven of their last 10, and they’ll rely on 35-year-old left-hander Erik Bedard to stop the bleeding against the red-hot New York Yankees (10-6), who have ridden a five-game win streak into first-place in the AL East.

The Yankees are a -106 favorite behind Hiroki Kuroda tonight at Tampa Bay, and while the price may seem a little short, there’s good reason for that. Kuroda has been roughed up by the Rays over his career, surrendering at least four earned runs in five career starts for a 2-3 record and 7.36 ERA. Last season, he gave up 12 runs in 11 2/3 innings in two losses against Tampa.

But despite that baggage, Kuroda’s looked pretty good in winning his last two outings against Boston and Baltimore after losing his first start at Houston. Even in the 3-1 loss at Houston, he allowed only two earned runs in six innings.

The play on the Yankees today, though, is more about Bedard and the slumping Rays offense that has hit .221 through 16 games, which ranks 29th in MLB. During their 3-7 stretch, the Rays have been outscored 47-16, and their 47 runs scored this season ranks 26th. Only two regulars, Matt Joyce and Evan Longoria, are hitting at least .300, with Desmond Jennings (.250), James Loney (.213) and Wil Myers (.192) playing well below expectations.

The Yankees, meanwhile, come off their best offensive performance of the season with a 10-2 win last night at Tampa Bay, and surprisingly it came against ace David Price, who had been outstanding in his first three starts – all Rays wins. The Yankees’ starting pitching has been getting most of the accolades, which has overshadowed their second-ranked team batting average (.280). They also lead baseball with a .446 slugging percentage.

Let’s ride the hot team going against a slumping team that is starting a pitcher who’s only start this season came in Triple-A.

Wacha is still must-see TV

The Nationals’ record (9-7) might be on the plus side so far, but let’s consider they are 5-1 in two series against the Marlins. Against playoff teams from last season with great pitching (Atlanta, St. Louis), the Nats are 1-6, and Michael Wacha definitely qualifies as an elite starting pitcher.

He’s picked up right where he left off during the playoffs by allowing only four runs in 19 innings through three starts in 2014. The only time he faced the Nats (Sept. 24), he no hit them for 8 2/3 innings in a 2-0 win.

Friday selections:

Yankees (Kuroda) -106 at Rays

Cardinals (Wacha) -110 at Nationals

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