The Masters Betting News and Notes
The Masters Betting News and Notes
Previewing The Masters
By Dan Daly
Hello friends, and welcome to the greatest week of the calendar year. The azaleas are in full bloom, the pine needles are in place, the magnolias are spectacular, JD is set up in the Hooter's parking lot on Washington Ave. and we have a perfect week of weather on tap at Augusta National Golf Club. And as always, with the help of their sponsors, Augusta National and CBS will continue to bring us 56 minutes of every hour of golf coverage.
The major story from this past week is who won't be playing in the Masters. In my 2014 PGA preview I said Tiger and Rory would battle it out come the weekend with Tiger beating Rory in one of the more memorable Masters of all-time. I would obviously like to take "back" that statement. (Did you see what I did there? Very clever.) Keep in mind, Tiger won a US Open with a fuc*ing broken leg, so if he can't even tee it up using the Bud Kilmer approach this week, his back is much worse than anyone thought. I honestly didn't think I would see the day Tiger missed a Masters before his 65th Birthday. I think his chase of Jack's record was the most interesting record chase in sports; to see it basically come to an end like this is really sad for the game of golf.
Just so I'm clear, Tiger now misses the Masters for the first time in 20 years on the heels of Lindsay Vonn missing the Olympics? Is it just me or is anyone else thinking Elin really knows her way around voodoo dolls?
As for the guys actually teeing it up this week, the million dollar question is…who wins? Lucky for you I have that covered. Dustin Johnson (15/1) - I'm routing for DJ this week just so my fantasy of pictures of Paulina in nothing but the green jacket might come true! He has definitely been playing good enough this year to win this week but his poor performance in Houston leaves me a little bit concerned that his fiancé's recent publicity may have gotten in his head at the wrong time.
Jason Day (15/1): Day will be the cliché pick this week. He will contend but he won't win.
Phil FIGJAM Mickelson (15/1): You remember when you were under age and came home drunk, but the second you saw your parents your adrenaline kicked in and you instantly sobered up for a brief moment to be able to speak to them. Well, that's Mickelson at Augusta. The second he drives down Magnolia lane his adrenaline will kick in and his back pain will briefly go away. Problem was, you were still drunk and I think Mickelson will be fine the first round or even two but come the weekend his back pain will keep him from winning in 2014.
Bubba Watson (25/1): I think it's pretty obvious that his allergies are a major concern this week after the WD at Bay Hill. Or was it the 83 that was concerning? I'm confused, but either way Bubba isn't winning again in 2014.
Adam Scott (10/1): Tee to green and life in general, there is no one in the field better than Adam Scott this week. However watching his putter meltdown at Bay Hill a few weeks ago, I just don't think it will hold up for four days.
Luke Donald (50/1): As long as they make Luke Donald play the back tees during the Masters this is one tournament he will never win.
Brandt Snedeker (25/1): There is no one in the field that wants the green jacket more than Sneds. Problem is it keeps working against him. The second he gets into contention here he starts thinking too much and it leads to final round mental meltdowns. I really want him to win sooner than later but it won't happen until he calms down over the weekend.
Jim Furyk (75/1): Look, even if he is in contention come Sunday I think we all know how that story ends.
Matt Kuchar (25/1): Dude, if you can't win in San Antonio when the whole leaderboard collapses or close it out in Houston with a huge lead, I'm not sure Augusta is the best place for you to pick up a win right now. On that note, congrats to Matt Jones on punching his ticket into The Masters…by chipping in…in a playoff…after being down by 7 strokes. I'm guessing that didn't suck.
Lee Westwood (50/1): LOL, just kidding…this is still considered a major right?
Angel Cabrera (60/1): The anti-Lee Westwood. This guy only shows up in majors. As long as they play the Masters the Duck has a chance. He's obviously a long shot at 60/1, but with those odds how can you not take the Duck?
Patrick Reed (50/1): How can you not take a top 5 player in the world at 50/1? Wait, what's that? Reed isn't a top 5 player in the world? But, he said….
Henrik Stenson (22/1): Stenson actually is a top 5 player in the world, but when you are hitting hosel rockets with your wedge, Augusta is not going to treat you kindly.
Sergio Garcia (30/1): Might as well be 3,000,000/1. He certainly has the game right now but Sergio sealed his fate forever at Augusta in 2009 when he said, "I don't like it, to tell you the truth. I don't think it's fair. It's too tricky. Even when it's dry you still get mud balls in the middle of the fairway. It's too much of a guessing game. They can do whatever they want. It's not my problem. I just come here and play and then go home." Yeah, you can't say that at Augusta. Billy Payne, Hootie Johnson and Bobby Jones will never allow him to win a Masters…ever.
Rory McIlroy (8/1): The favorite this week in Vegas and with all the "experts". Lord knows he has the game to do it, and quite frankly should already have a green jacket, but that's the problem. Make no mistake, he will be in the mix come Sunday but the demons that still loom in his head when he makes the turn Sunday afternoon may never go away. I hope they do, but just ask Greg Norman about that.
Jordan Spieth (20/1): Someone soon enough is going to win in their first trip around Augusta. Nothing would surprise me less or make me happier than if it was Jordan this week. His problem continues to be the one blow up round each tournament…he can't have one at Augusta and still win the Green Jacket.
And your 2014 Masters Champion is…
Harris English (50/1): As I just said, a first timer will win here sooner than later. I think Harris English is the man to break the 35 year old streak. He's a long shot yes, but we have a #7 seed playing an #8 seed in the NCAA Championship, so why not. He grew up in Georgia, went to UGA, would make for an incredible story, hits it a mile, is extremely patient and above all else I have a gut feeling about him this week and I have a big gut. I've hit one long shot each of the last two years, Els in the 2012 British and Dufner in 2013 PGA, English is my golden ticket this year. You can thank me later.
As always, for the annual 'Twas the Night before the Masters Poem.
A quick non Masters related note; it appears Golf Digest has caught on to what I have been selling on the Weekly Waggle for a while now and put Paulina Gretzky on the cover. Well done Golf Digest, well done. The PC shit storm that has come with it has been amazing to me. If it wasn't Masters week I would be all over that, but The Masters trumps all so I am saving that article for a couple of weeks.
Finally, regarding the Drive, Chip and Putt competition at Augusta. I wanted to call out a certain 11-year old on one of the cockier comments I have heard since Patrick Reed's last interview, but my wife wouldn't let me. So let's just say the D, C & P competition officially has its version of FIGJAM.
With that said, what a cool event, I really hope they keep it around long enough for my 10-month old to enter in 7 years. I had her hitting high draws with a driver and flop shots with a lob wedge in the back yard as soon it was over. It's never too early to practice.
Happy Masters Week to Everyone!
Re: The Masters Betting News and Notes
The Masters Preview and Picks
By Matt Fargo
The 2014 golf season kicks in this week for some as the first major of the season is upon us. This is a special week for players, fans and everyone in-between as the anticipation leading up to the Masters is over. This is considered by many as the unofficial start of spring and while avid golf fans live for this weekend, even non-golf enthusiasts know about this epic tournament and what it means. Its beautiful simplicity is what makes it the greatest golf tournament in the world.
Famed Augusta National plays host to its 78th Masters. Back in the day, hitting the ball a mile would be the greatest asset a player could have. And even though the yardage has increased from 6,985 yards in 2001 to 7,435 yards today, bombing it is no longer the edge. Ball striking, hitting greens and putting are the biggest factors in succeeding. Only three times in the last 12 years has the winner finished outside the top 22 in driving accuracy, and only twice have they finished out of the top 10 in greens in regulation.
Unless you have seen Augusta National in person, you cannot appreciate the enormous elevation changes which means getting a flat lie is a rarity. Basically, it is a 'second shot' course which means the approaches are important just to get into position. Hitting an approach shot to the wrong place in some cases means not even being able to go after the pin, whether it be a chip shot or putt. That brings big scores into play so the thought process of shots is just as important as the physical part of the game.
Even though the course is much longer, it does not take the small hitters out of play as we have seen many contend recently. Because the course has been tightened, it actually brings every player to an almost even playing field and that is what the goal has been since redesigns started taking place. The setup has made the goal pretty simple actually - hit fairways and then hit the correct side of the green and there is a good chance of being on the first page of the leaderboard on Sunday.
Past history plays a big part as you will see names near the top that you rarely see in other events as successful players here are usually successful every year. For the second straight year, 44 Americans are in the field this week but only two U.S. players have won in the last six years, Phil Mickelson in 2010 and Bubba Watson in 2012. A European hasn't won since Jose Maria Olazabal in 1999 and we can also rule out first time participants as a Masters rookie has not won here since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979.
Besides Mickelson, no one else in the top 30 of the world rankings owns more than one major title which certainly opens things up seeing that Phil is batting a nagging oblique injury. As mentioned, rookies have not won here in over three decades and this year, 24 players will be making their Masters debuts but one of those is Jordan Spieth who comes in at a rather short price of +2,500.
As wide open as this field seems to be, we will be looking at a lot of big favorites this week and even though they have longshot odds, these players are far from longshots.
The short favorite we will go with is Jason Day (+1,500). He has made three starts here and besides his WD in 2012, he has a T2 and a solo third. He has been at Augusta since last Wednesday and has taken advantage of the extra practice time. His thumb that was bothering him is now pain free.
Could this finally be the year for Sergio Garcia (+2,500) to win his first Major? His recent form coming into the Masters is his best ever as he has 13 straight top 20 finishes world wide. Early on in his career, he finished solo eighth and T4 before a dry spell but has come back the last two years with a T12 and a T8.
It has been feast or famine for Hunter Mahan (+4,000) at Augusta as he has three missed cuts to go along with a T8, a T10 and a T12. So which one shows up this week? I think we see the good Mahan here. He has been solid this season and is healthy again following a back injury.
Lee Westwood (+4,500) was always a popular pick here and while he never got the job done, the fact that his last four finishes are T8, T3, T11 and solo second shows he can tear up this place. He has not had a good year but his T17 at the Shell Houston Open last week is a very positive sign.
Ian Poulter (+6,000) missed the cut last week in Houston and his 2014 has been average sans a T20 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He is streaky enough to make a run here though and after missing the cut at Augusta last year, he will be out for revenge. Prior to that, he posted two top tens the last three years.
The most surprising number of the week is Jim Furyk (+8,000). He has been playing exceptional this year as he has not missed a cut in six starts, four resulting in top 25's. This includes two top tens with a T6 at the Valero Texas Open being the most recent. Six of his last seven Masters finishes have resulted in top 25's.
Nick Watney (+12,500) has fallen way off the radar and probably for good reason. He has just one top 25 this year but he is well rested and his game fits Augusta very well. He has never missed the cut and four of his six finishes are 19th or better including a career best solo seventh in 2010. T13 last year.
Recommended Tournament Win Seven Pack at The Masters - All for 1 Unit
Jason Day (+1,500)
Sergio Garcia (+2,500)
Hunter Mahan (+4,000)
Lee Westwood (+4,500)
Ian Poulter (+6,000)
Jim Furyk (+8,000)
Nick Watney (+12,500)
2014 Record to date after 13 events: -10 Units
Re: The Masters Betting News and Notes
Who will master Augusta?
Tournament: The Masters
Date: Apr. 10-13, 2014
Venue: Augusta National Golf Club
Location: Augusta, Georgia
2013 Winner: Adam Scott
It’s that time of year again, when golfers travel to the golf mecca, Augusta National, as they attempt to have their name etched into history and join a small fraternity of players to wear a green jacket by winning The Masters. One of the most heralded sports events begins this weekend as 97 players take on the grueling par-72, 7,435-yard course which has seen a playoff in three of the past five events. Last year was one of those playoff tournaments, as Adam Scott and Angel Cabrera played two sudden-death holes, with Scott coming away victorious with a second-hole birdie. Besides Scott, there will be 18 other players in the field that are past Masters champions. Let’s take a look at a few players who have the best chance to overcome the difficulties of Amen Corner and the incredible field to join golf lore this weekend.
Golfers to Watch
Matt Kuchar (15/1): Kuchar has held the lead at some point in each of his past two tournaments, placing second and fourth, respectively, while losing in a playoff to Matt Jones at the Houston Open this past weekend. He has had past success playing in big events with a win in The Players Championship and WGC-Accenture Match Play in 2013. Kuchar has certainly been in the running in Augusta over the past years as well, finishing eighth in 2013 and third in 2012, and should be poised to make another run come Sunday.
Keegan Bradley (35/1): Bradley is one of three golfers to win in his major debut when he took down the PGA Championship field back in 2011. Since then, he has also won the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, but has failed to place better than 27th at The Masters. Bradley had a runner-up performance just a few weeks ago at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and is long off the tee (300.6 yards per, 18th on tour), both factors that could help him greatly this weekend.
Harris English (40/1): English is leading the tour by hitting 73.0% of greens in regulation which has led to a solid season where he already has one victory as well as seven other top-15 finishes. This will be his debut at Augusta, but this year has seen plenty of fresh faces topping the leaderboards, and it is likely that the 24-year old will be very competitive for the green jacket.
Hideki Matsuyama (75/1): At just 22 years old, Matsuyama has already placed in the top-10 twice in majors, finishing 10th in last year’s installment of the U.S. Open and 6th at the British Open Championship. He will be seeking his first PGA victory with a win at the Masters, but has already proven the ability to be victorious with five career wins on the Japan Golf Tour. Despite his longshot odds, Matsuyama is right on the precipice of becoming a star on the PGA Tour, and a win this weekend will make him a star for life.
Matt Every (100/1): Every has astounded everyone this season with his play after finishing no better than 53rd in the FedEx Cup rankings over the past four seasons. He has placed in the top-eight in three of the past four tournaments including a big win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which boasted a tough field of competitors. Every will need to continue his strong putting, as he has gained .950 strokes putting (4th on the tour) this season and averaged 1.716 putts per hole (5th on the tour), in order to compete with the best in the game this week.
Check out more Golf Future Odds and Matchups at Sportsbook.ag
Re: The Masters Betting News and Notes
2014 Masters Props
Any Other Golfer 3/1
Phil Mickelson 5/1
Matt Kuchar 8/1
Dustin Johnson 9/1
Bubba Watson 11/1
Brandt Snedeker 12/1
Zach Johnson 14/1
Jordan Spaeth 16/1
Keegan Bradley 18/1
Hunter Mahan 20/1
Jason Dufner 20/1
Harris English 25/1
Jimmy Walker 28/1
Rickie Fowler 30/1
Patrick Reed 30/1
Steve Stricker 35/1
Jim Furyk 35/1
Gary Woodland 40/1
Rory McIlroy 5/2
Any Other Golfer 5/1
Henrik Stenson 13/2
Justin Rose 7/1
Sergio Garcia 8/1
Lee Westwood 12/1
Luke Donald 14/1
Ian Poulter 16/1
Graeme McDowell 16/1
Victor Dubuisson 25/1
Jamie Donaldson 30/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 35/1
Francesco Molinari 40/1
Peter Hanson 40/1
Martin Kaymer 40/1
Top Rest of the World
Adam Scott 2/1
Jason Day 3/1
Charl Schwartzel 8/1
Angel Cabrera 12/1
Louis Oosthuizen 14/1
Any Other Golfer 14/1
Graham DeLaet 18/1
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
Marc Leishman 25/1
Ernie Els 25/1
K.J. Choi 30/1
Matt Jones 30/1
Tim Clark 40/1
John Senden 40/1
Trevor Immelman 40/1
Branden Grace 50/1
Vijay Singh 60/1
1 Stroke 5/2
2 Strokes 10/3
3 Strokes 5/1
4 Strokes or More 9/2
United States of America 5/6
United Kingdom 4/1
South Africa 15/1
Any Other Country 22/1
Rest of the World 11/4
Rory McIlroy or Phil Mickelson or Adam Scott 3/1
Adam Scott or Rory McIroy 4/1
Adam Scott or Jason Day 9/2
Phil Mickelson or Rory McIroy 11/2
Jason Day or Matt Kuchar 7/1
Bubba Watson or Adam Scott 7/1
Phil Mickelson or Matt Kuchar 7/1
Rory McIlroy or Graeme McDowell 9/1
Dustin Johnson or Zach Johnson 10/1
Brandt Snedeker or Zach Johnson 12/1
Ernie Els or Angel Cabrera 30/1
12th Hole: Will There Be a Hole in One?
16th Hole: Will There Be a Hole in One?
4th Hole: Will There Be a Hole in One?
6th Hole: Will There Be a Hole in One?
A Golfer to Make an Eagle on Each of the 4 Days
An Amateur to Win
Any Albatross (Double Eagle - Does not include Hole in One)
Any Golfer to Win Wire to Wire (Win Every Round)
Any Golfer to be Disqualified
Course Record to Be Broken (62 or Less)
Debutant Masters Winner (A Golfer to Win on Masters Debut)
Left Handed Winner
Maiden Major Winner
Maiden Masters Winner
Past Major Winner
Past Masters Winner
Phil Mickelson to Triple Bogey Any Hole
Rory McIroy to Triple Bogey Any Hole
Senior Golfer Winner (Aged 50 or More)
Will the Tournament Finish on Monday?
Winner in Final Pairing in Round 4
Check out more Golf Props and Matchups at Sportsbook.ag
Re: The Masters Betting News and Notes
Masters Betting Predictions
By Tom Grassi
In the 2013 Masters Adam Scott won the Green Jacket, defeating Angel Cabrera in a two hole playoff. That was big win for us as we predicted Scott to win the tournament with betting odds of 28:1.
The 2014 Masters is a bit tarnished this season as Tiger Woods will not tee it up. Woods is normally the favorite, but with him not participating, Adam Scott and Rory McIlroy are the roll of co-favorites with betting odds of 10/1.
For Scott, that’s a big drop from his 28:1 odds of a year ago. He took last week off to prepare to defend his title. He hasn’t played much this season entering only five tournaments. However, he’s finished in the top 25 in all five, and has three top 10 finishes.
McIlroy was the favorite last week at the Shell Houston open. He did crack the top 10 by finishing in seventh place due to as outstanding 65 in the final round. He’s played pretty good golf this season with five top 25 finishes in the five events he’s entered including one second place finish. Last year at the Masters he shot 2-over par for a 25th place finish.
Two time champion Phil Mickelson is the third favorite with betting odds of 12/1. Lefty has experienced some physical issues this season and hasn’t played very well. In the nine events that he’s entered he doesn’t have a top 10 finish. Last year he was never in contention here finishing in 54th place. However, it’s tough to count him out at Augusta.
The next choice is Jason Day at 14/1 odds. He just can’t break through as he finished in third place last year, two shots behind. In 2011 he was the runner up finishing two shots behind Schwartzel. Day has been out due to a thumb injury and the jury is still out if he’s ready to compete.
Matt Kuchar used to be one of our favorite golfers until he blew that lead last week in the Shell Houston Open. We picked him to win here on the site at 22/1 odds and were counting our money when he was in the middle of the 18th fairway with a one shot lead. Then he proceeding to put his next shot in the water and lose in a playoff. That’s the second straight week he blew a tournament. Can he regroup and win the Masters this week at 18/1 odds. He’s played pretty well here at Augusta finishing eight last year, and third in 2012.
The next four players with the best betting odds are Dustin Johnson at 22/1 odds, the 2012 Champion Bubba Watson and Swede Henrik Stenson at 25/1 odds, and at 30:1 betting odds Zach Johnson, the 2007 champion.
We’re going to make three wagers on players to win the tournament. The first is on Rory McIlroy. He has played well this year and looks to be regaining his previous form. He has the length to overpower this course and we believe he has a very good chance to get his first green jacket. Although Matt Kuchar cost us some big bucks last week we’re not going to give up on him yet. He has the personally to regroup after the last two weeks and he plays very well on this course. Our last straight wager is on long shot Brandt Snedeker. Last year he was in contention until the final round when he shot an awful 75 and in 2012 he had a top 20 finish coming in at 19th place.
We’re going to make two matchup wagers with Kuchar over Watson and Snedeker over Zach Johnson.
Bovada.lv has a number of Masters wagering options including odds to win the tournament, matchup betting with one golfer against another, and proposition betting odds.
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