Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Gabriel Dupont

To my complimentary pick for Thursday:

I head to Spokane for today's complimentary winner, as I take a deeper look at this Harvard-Cincinnati game everyone is talk about After going back and forth and arguing both sides, I'm jumping on the bandwagon. My free-pick will be on Harvard to win this game over Cincinnati.

Why Harvard is the right side of this game - Harvard, everyone’s darling 12th-seed pick, won the Ivy League for a fourth straight season, and arrives having won 26 of its last 30 games straight-up. That alone is impressive and tempts me to play this one on the moneyline, as the Crimson are well-coached by Tommy Amaker, and have become accustomed to winning.

Why so many see Cincinnati as a viable favorite - The oddsmakers have done a great job in setting Cincinnati up as as a lame-duck five-seed, but it won't be that easy to hunt. There's a reason the oddsmakers made the 'Cats the short chalk, and there's a reason why they're still dangerous. Cincy has covered five of its last seven non-conference battles and prior to losing in the conference tourney to Connecticut, the Bearcats used their impressive offensive to win three straight.

Basically, why the Crimson are my SMART FREE PLAY in this game - I know this is bad to jump on the bandwagon, especially with far too many people picking Harvard in this game, because we all know when everyone is betting on one team to get it done, you're supposed to go the other way. But Harvard's defense is legitimate and the Crimson will be able to wreak havoc to disrupt what the Bearcats try to do.

Harvard has covered seven of its last nine non-conference games, four of five on a neutral court and six of seven overall. On the other hand, Cincinnati has failed to cover four of five on a neutral court, five of seven against winning teams and eight of 10 after a straight-up loss.

4♦ HARVARD

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Chris Jordan

My early freebie for Thursday's action is on a total in the American/Wisconsin game, as I like it to go over the posted number.

The normally defensive and physical Badgers were an awfully strange team this past season, pulling off streaks of all kinds. After starting 16-0, losing five of six and then closing the regular-season home stretch on an eight-game win streak before losing the regular-season finale, this is a team that has certainly seen highs and lows.

Wisconsin is an experienced team, I'll give it that. And it made it to the Big Ten semifinals and arrives at the dance with confidence from a strong finish, but here's the thing I have to ask: why is the No. 2 seed laying less than two touchdowns to the 15-seed?

It's because American comes into the tournament shooting 49.5 percent from the field and has four starters who can do damage from anywhere and everywhere on the court. and the only way the Eagles will be able to challenge the Badgers is by scoring points, and keeping the pressure on Wisconsin to score right back.

This is not going to be a slow-paced game that takes place in the half-court, this is a game the Eagles have to take charge in and force the uptempo in order to cover this number.

Play this one high.

3♦ American/Wisconsin OVER


On to my second complimentary play, which is off the late card

You can't let emotion get in the way of logic this time of year. I banked a 600♦ Winner on N.C. State as the dog against Xavier on Tuesday, but it's now time to get off the Wolfpack's bangwagon.

You know they didn't get done playing that game till 11 PM local time. They, they had to get ready and hop a plane to Orlando. They arrived in Mickey's Kingdom at 4 AM local time. And now, less than 28 hours after touching down, they'll take the floor against St. Louis. That's bad enough for any team; it's even worse for a team like N.C. State playing for the fifth time in eight days.

St. Louis last played six days ago. That's what happens to a team that got off to a 24-2 start and closed by losing four of its final five games, including its A-10 Tournament opener to St. Bonaventure. But the Billikens are a veteran team with five senior starters and I say they earn a bit of redemption here by playing the tough D that allowed them to win 24 of 26 with the only losses coming against Wichita State and Wisconsin.

I know this is a battle of the 5-12 seeds and the lower-ranked teams won three of four games in last year's Dance. But that was then, this is now, and St. Louis (-3) pulls away for the cover late against the weary Wolfpack.

3♦ ST. LOUIS

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Brad Wilton

If you have been watching ESPN the past few days, you know how high the pundits are on this Michigan State team. Many have them penciled through to the Final Four, and some have them winning it all.

I can't say that I disagree, as Sparty is finally getting healthy, and their run through the Big Ten tourney was quite impressive. Still, the lineup is just getting used to everyone being available at the same time, and you would think based on all the hype they are getting that State would be favored by a few more points against the Blue Hens.

I watched Delaware closely in their conference tournament, and this is a very dangerous unit that I just don't see getting blown out tonight in Spokane.

UD has consistently made money for their backers on the road, going 12-4-1 against the spread away from Newark this season. The Blue Hens often employ a 4 guard attack, with 3 of their players averaging close to 20 points per game.

There is enough offense from Monte Ross' team - nearly 80 points per game! - to make me think that getting right around +14 points will be the way to go in this opening round tussle.

Michigan State advances, but Delaware puts up a good fight before bowing.

3♦ DELAWARE

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

David Glisan

Washington +4.5

The Wizards 'snatched defeat from the jaws of victory' against Sacramento the last time out but they've got a great matchup to get them back on track--at least from an ATS standpoint--as they take on the Portland Trailblazers in Rip City.  We cashed a 2 star winner on Milwaukee against the Blazers in their last home game and the Bucks did everything but win outright and the ATS result was never really in doubt despite a Portland victory in OT. Portland is without LaMarcus Aldridge ('doubtful' for this game) and has a pronounced tendency to 'play down' to their opposition and particularly at home.  Portland on a 4-8 ATS at run at the Rose Garden (I'll never call it the 'Moda Center').  Wizards have been a goldmine on the road despite their slip up at Sacto--Washington 22-12 ATS and enter this contest winning 10 of their L14 SU. They take care of business against opponents that play poor defense--against teams allowing 99+ PPG Wiz are 24-16 ATS. Wizards can't be happy with their lost opportunity in Sacramento and have a great spot for a make good against a top tier opponent on national TV.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Joe D'Amico

New Mexico State vs. San Diego State
Play: San Diego State -7

The Aggies have been bounced out of the 1st round of the Tournament in each of the L2 seasons. They do possess a huge front line in Nephawe (6'10"), Dixon (6'10"), and Bhullar (7'5"), but are extremely slow in transition to begin with and now must face one of the quickest teams in the Tourney. On top of that, they lost PG, Ross-Miller to suspension this week, forcing the unit to shift their offensive responsibilities around. Despite winning their 3 post-season games, they nearly dropped the first two to Seattle, winning by 2 as a 13-point fav and CSB, winning by 6 as an 11-point fav. San Diego State is 29-4, including a 5-1 SU and ATS record on neutral sites, outscoring opponents by an average of 11.7 PPG. The Aztecs come in upset after finishing the regular season with 4 straight victories, going 3-1 ATS and thumping both Utah State and UNLV in the post-season then losing their final game to New Mexico. They rank 2nd nationally, allowing a mere 56.6 PPG, on 38.4% shooting, and 28.7% beyond the arc. This team rotates7 big Forward's with 2 Guard's for the most part, with their 5 most played Forward's ranging from 6'8" to 6'10". So they can handle the Aggies big men easily while their superiority in speed will be the demise of NM State. The Aggies commit a ton of TO's and will be jammed up here big-time facing the agility and speed of the Aztecs. San Diego State is 6-0 ATS their L6 games played vs. the WAC, 5-2 ATS their L7 non-Conference games, and 5-2 ATS their L7 games played overall. Take the Aztecs here.


Joe D'Amico's Featured Package

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
LOS ANGELES -½ -110 over WashingtonSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Regulation only. The Kings have hit a bit of a snag in the road with three straight losses to Toronto, Anaheim and Phoenix but they deserved much better than zero points in three games. L.A. outshot that trio by counts of 41-29, 38-20, and 39-27, respectively and they out-chanced them by a combined count of 64-33. Losing all three is just not fair when you dominate by such a wide margin. Incidentally, all three were at the Staples Center. The Kings now get to take a little frustration out on one of the weaker teams in the NHL and if we lose this one too, so be it but we can almost guarantee you that the Kings will dominate this game from start to finish.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Washington is coming off a fluke win over the Ducks. The Caps spent most of that game in their own end but Jaroslav Halak had a big game and the Capitals skated away with two points. Recently the Caps have been outshot by Anaheim 45-30, by Boston 43-16 and by Vancouver 41-21. The blueprint for defeating the Caps is as simple as it gets. You stay out of the box and Washington’s chances of winning decreases dramatically. In fact, Washington has allowed 134 goals against in 5 on 5 play and that ranks 21st out of 30 teams. All the teams below them in that category (Buffalo, Toronto, Florida, Calgary Ottawa Winnipeg, Nashville Edmonton and Islanders) with the possible exception of the Maple Leafs are all going to miss the playoffs. The Kings have allowed the fewest goals in the NHL in 5 on 5 play and that all bodes well here. Alex Ovechkin an asset? Think again. OV’s plus/minus is at -31, which is the worst mark in the NHL among all skaters. If he were injured, Washington would have a better chance of winning. In the end, the Caps are not good enough to keep winning and the Kings in a foul mood figure to end their stroke of good fortune here.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Dallas/PHILADELPHIA Over 5½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Six of the Stars last seven games have gone over this number with the only exception being a 3-2 victory over St. Louis. Dallas has allowed 16 goals against in their last three games. Over their last seven games, Dallas and the opposition have combined for 47 goals and now the Stars will face the hottest offense in the NHL. Whether it’s Kari Lehtonen or Tim Thomas, it really does not matter because Lehtonen is cold after being injured for a few games and Thomas is pure rat doo-doo. Dallas comes into this game with a mindset of having to score goals because their goaltenders can’t prevent them.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philly is perhaps the most talented offensive group in the NHL. All nine forwards on their first three lines can produce with regularity. How deep is this team? Their third line consists of Matt Read, Sean Couturier and Steve Downie. The Flyers are routinely creating 25 good scoring chances a game. Philly has scored 30 times over its past seven games. In net, Philadelphia’s Steve Mason has played well at times but he’s an average goaltender that has save percentages of .870, .889, .840 and .862 in four of his past six games. Lots of offensively gifted players in this game combined with two average defenses and below average goaltending figures to send this one over the number. 
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Minnesota +112 over NEW JERSEYFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Regulation only. The Devils can’t win when they are giving up three or more goals a game and that’s precisely what they’re going through right now. In the midst of a playoff drive, the Devils decided to play musical chairs with their goaltending and they’re paying the consequences for it. Martin Brodeur can’t stop pucks consistently and the Devils decision to keep using him has hurt Cory Schneider’s confidence. Now both goaltenders are laboring. The Devils have allowed three goals or more in seven of their past eight games and four or more in five of those. Brodeur started the last two games and NJ lost them both, 4-2 to Boston and 3-0 to Tampa. Schneider’s last two games resulted in a 5-3 loss to Florida and a 7-4 loss to Detroit. Schneider, in his fragile state of mind gets the call for this one but all of a sudden the Devils have become very beatable because of weak goaltending
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Wild are coming off a 6-0 victory over the Islanders. They have picked up points in 10 of their past 12 games and they are among the best defensive teams in the NHL. Minnesota’s system bodes well against New Jersey because the Devils are an offensively challenged group and if Minnesota can score twice or more they have a great chance of winning. Picking up Matt Moulson and the deadline was s shrewd move, as Moulson adds another dimension to the Wild that they lacked prior. The Wild have allowed two goals or less in three of their past four games. Lastly, Zach Parise played his first seven NHL seasons in New Jersey and will now return there for the first time since signing a 13-year deal with the Wild. His teammates know how badly he wants this one and they figure to respond. Minnesota’s confidence is soaring while the Devils are scared to make a mistake.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pass NBAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Nelly

New Mexico St. +7.5

The last game to start on the Thursday NCAA Tournament schedule could provide a great matchup as WAC Tournament champion New Mexico State battles San Diego State. During the regular season New Mexico State picked up a few quality wins against larger conference schools, beating UTEP twice as well as beating Drake and also beating state rival New Mexico on the road, the same team that just beat San Diego State in the Mountain West final. San Diego State has only lost four games all season and they did deliver big wins at Kansas and against Creighton in the non-conference schedule. Along with one narrow win over New Mexico in the regular season the Aztecs only have three wins all season over NCAA Tournament teams despite being a #4 seed and a contender in the West region however. San Diego State has great defensive numbers but the offense can really struggles at times as this is a very poor shooting team overall, converting just 45 percent of 2-point shots and just 66 percent of free throws, both marks being among the worst in the nation. New Mexico State on the other hand has excellent offensive efficiency, making over 53 percent of 2-point shots and featuring a top 50 ranking nationally in offensive efficiency. New Mexico State has great size and will pose matchup problems for the Aztecs. The WAC was not a strong league this season in its new format but the Aggies won 12 games away from home this season and in Spokane and both schools are facing incredibly long travel to this game meaning fan support for the favored Aztecs may be slim. San Diego State is just 3-4 in the NCAA Tournament the last four years and the Mountain West has one of the worst track records in the Big Dance over the last decade. The Aztecs were upset by Florida Gulf Coast last season and this will be a much tougher matchup than the seeding represents.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Joe Gavazzi

Washington +5

Expect Blazers' best boy, Aldridge, to miss this contest. Though the Blazers have played well when he has missed games, Portland enters tonight on a 2-5 SU slide, including a lethargic 120-115 SU win, no cover, against lowly Milwaukee Tuesday night. The Wizards present a much tougher challenge. Washington is recently 9-4 SU and 21-12 ATS for the season on the road to +9. All NBA winning teams are 198-137 LTS. Washington is 17-13 ATS in that role. Coming off a Wednesday night loss at Sacramento, look for the Wizards to follow their inverted home/road dichotomy and bounce back with a victory.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Ian Cameron

North Dakota State  vs. Oklahoma
Play: North Dakota State +3.5

North Dakota State has been priced as this short of an underdog for a very good reason – they are very live to win this game outright! The Bison are 25-6 overall and have the nation's #1 offense in terms of field goal percentage connecting on 50.9% of their shots. North Dakota State has a very good senior center in Marshall Bjorklund and a dynamic scorer in Taylor Braun and both should cause tons of problems for an Oklahoma squad that has struggled on the defensive end of the court allowing 75.9 points per game on 43.5% shooting. The Sooners lack an inside presence defensively and they don't force many turnovers. Oklahoma will score plenty of points because they too have a strong offense but because of their defensive holes it is going to be very difficult to win this contest by even the slimmest of margins. The Sooners got bounced in the first round of last year’s tourney – a veteran squad that played solid defense. I expect a similar fate this evening in Spokane.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Steve Rosen

North Dakota State vs. Oklahoma    
Play: Oklahoma -3½

Oklahoma had won five of six before falling to Baylor in its Big 12 tournament opener on Thursday. The Sooners are talented and balanced, with four players averaging double figures - all of whom shoot at least 75 percent from the foul line and 35 percent from 3-point range. Sophomore guard Buddy Hield leads the way at 16.8 points, including a team-high 89 3-pointers, while senior forward Cameron Clark (15.3 points) has been at his best on the biggest stages this season, scoring a career-high 32 against Michigan State in December and matching that total versus Kansas in January. The X-factor for Oklahoma could be sophomore forward Ryan Spangler, who averages 9.8 points and 9.4 boards but has gone six straight games without a double-double.North Dakota is no match for the Sooners.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

David Glisan

Tampa Bay -110

Tampa Bay is healthy again, Steven Stamkos is back in the lineup and starting to score again (hat trick against Toronto last night) and the Lightning have won four straight.  Ben Bishop needs to pick up his form in net which hasn't been great of late but he gets the likely start here and will be facing an Ottawa team that is something of a mess at the moment.  Senators have lost 7 of their last 9 with the only wins coming at Vancouver and at Winnipeg.  Senators 28-40 -15.9 units overall and 13-20 -11.9 units at home.  Tampa Bay hasn't always been a great road team but they've held their own this year going 18-18 +1.2 injuries and did a good job treading water while leading scorer Stamkos was on the shelf.  Ottawa hasn't been effective stepping up in class this season--they're 11-22 -10.6 units against opponents with winning records and are on a current 4-10 run against foes above .500.  In a 'pick'em' game I'd rather back the better team against an opponent that hasn't played well at home or really anywhere.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

AC Dinero

North Dakota State vs. Oklahoma
Play: North Dakota State +3.5

Everyone is always looking for that 12 to beat a 5, and the lines have been adjusted to reflect that. This is a pretty cheap line. However, I think most bettors are looking at the wrong place in Harvard. This is a real opportunity for the 12, North Dakota st to win. Thye shoot 50% from the floor, which means if they hit some early, get ahead, the pressure is on the Sooners and that rim seems to get smaller and smaller as the game goes on. I like the way the ND St defense finished the season, giving up a stingy 38% from the floor. Plus they turn the ball over less. Look for a tight one here that could go down to the final shot.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

NHL Predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 +241

The Penguins are coming off a 5-1 win at home vs Dallas after dropping their previous two games. Pittsburgh had been missing some key players, but they got back on a track with both Neal and Kunitz back in the lineup upfront. The Red Wings are missing a number of players from their lineup, and there team is closer to their AHL affiliate team than the actual Red Wings line up. They did beat Toronto 3-2 on Tuesday night, although the Leafs were finishing off a road trip and didn't look very good. Tonight's match up with 2nd place Pittsburgh will be much different. The Penguins are 45-19-4 on the year and 20-14-2 on the road. Detroit is 31-24-13 overall and have a poor home record of 14-11-9 at the Joe Louis. In the Red Wings four games previous to their win on Tuesday they had scored just 4 goals or 1 per game on average. These two teams have met once in Detroit this year with the Penguins winning that one fairly easily by a score of 4-1. Note that the Pens are 81-34 in their last 115 vs a team with a losing record, and 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. The Red Wings are just 1-6 in their last 7 vs a team with a winning % above .600. Pittsburgh has dominated this head to head meeting lately going 6-2 in their last 8 meetings. I would expect these odds with a healthier Detroit team, but with the lineup they have the way they are playing right now I find a lot of value taking the road favorite tonight. 4 units on Pittsburgh (split between moneyline and puck line).

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Wisconsin/ American Over 121: Yes this is an Over play. The Wisconsin Badgers have been playing at a faster this year and it has resulted in the highest scoring Wisconsin team in the Bo Ryan era. The Badgers have averaged 75.3 ppg overall and 70.3 ppg away from home and while American has allowed 61.1 ppg away from home we note that Patriot League offenses and not the same as big 10 offenses. We also note that the Badgers defense has been allowing more points than usual this year (64.6 ppg) and American has scored 63.2 ppg away from home this year. The Eagles are also a great shooting team, hitting 49.4% of their shots overall and 49.9% on the road. Both teams are good from long range and at the FT line so we should get extra points there. I can see this game being played in the 130's.

North Dakota State/ Oklahoma Under 152: I know that the Sooners love to push tempo but I feel that this NDSU team can slow them down enough to keep this game under the total. The Bison don't really push tempo, but they do shoot the ball well and that is why they score allot. I feel their only way to win is to slow the game down an just look for the best shot. They may hit it, but it will take more possessions away from the Sooners as the game goes on. On offense the Sooners can score in bunches, but I just don't expect that to happen here vs a Bison team that has been playing lockdown defense of late, allowing just 58.6 ppg in their last 11 games. Those last 11 games have averaged just 128.8 ppg and just 1 of those games have seen more tan 136 points scored and even that 1 game saw just 146 points put up. The Sooners haven't payed allot of defense this year, but they have played better of late, allowing just 71 ppg in their last 5 games. This should also be a pretty tight game throughout, meaning we should get that very slow paced last 8 minutes or so.  I like this game to stay in the lower 140's at best here. I think that the Bison will dictate the pace and that their defense will also keep the Sooners from scoring a ton here.

New Mexico State/ San Diego State Under 127:  The Aztecs are a patient team on offense, while their defense is stifling, as they come in allowing just 57.8 ppg on the year, including just 53.2 ppg in their last 5 games. On offense the Aztecs have scored just 68.4 ppg on the year, but they have really struggled down the stretch, scoring just 62.8 ppg in their last 5 games and New Mexico State can really play some defense as well. The Aggies have allowed just 67.5 ppg on 40.6% shooting on the year, while in their last 9 games they have given up just 57.4 ppg. Both teams will play this one close to the vest and rely on their defense and that may very well keep this game from putting up more than 120 points.

2 UNIT PLAYS

Cincinnati/ Harvard Under 122.5: Cincinnati is a very offensively challenged team and they have scored just 53.7 ppg on neutral courts this year. Harvard is a team that plays solid defense and will slow the game down on offense as well. Both teams play great defense and offense at a slow pace. Should see no more than 115 points scored in this one.

Oregon -5 over BYU:  Both teams have been playing very well of late, but the Ducks have played in a much tougher conference all year and I feel that have what it takes to move on in this one. Both teams can score plenty of points and both give up plenty but the Ducks have the ability to play a bit more defense than BYU, and that will be the difference here. I look for Oregon to hit their FT's down the stretch as they win this one by at last 8 points.

Arizona State/ Texas Under 142: As much as they try to think they are, the Longhorns are not really an uptempo team, especially of late as they have averaged just 63.8 ppg on 41% shooting in their last 5 games. ASU has allowed just 71 ppg in their last 5 games (Regulation), and just 68.9 ppg on 41.5% shooting for the year, so they can keep Texas in the 60's in this game. For the year Texas has allowed 70 ppg on 39.1% shooting, while in their last 5 games they have given up just 65 ppg on 36.5% shooting, so they should be able to hold this ASU offense in the 60's as well.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

OC Dooley

Wofford +15

The key to this underdog selection is familiarity as Wofford is participating in the Big Dance for the third time in the past five years which means their veteran head coach is used to getting his troops properly prepared for high profile situations such as this.  It was a year ago when a #15 seed (Florida Gulf Coast) ended up knocking out a #2 seed and the school nicknamed “dunk city” became for a brief time a national fixture.  Odds of an upset by this particular #15 seed are slim but Wofford does feel underappreciated by the national media who has yet to see them play.  Here is a 70-PERCENT SYSTEM (47-21 the past five years with a money line between 10’ and 19 points) which plays ON underdogs like Wofford coming off three consecutive games where the defense allowed “65 or less” points each time facing an opponent whose offense was held to “60 or less” points in the prior outing

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, March 20

Joe Gavazzi

San Diego St. -7

Aggies' massive frontline averages over 7ft., led by 7', 5" Sim Bhullar. But, what they gain in height, they lack in quickness and athleticism. That will be death against these Aztecs. Of greater importance is the suspension of PG Ross-Miller out for an indefinite period of time. It forces the Aggie's best athlete, the quick-leaping Mullings to the point, where he is far less effective. As a result, far prefer the 29-4 SU Aztecs and the veteran leadership of HC Fisher. Motivated by the 64-58 CCT loss to New Mexico, and aided in recent weeks by the emergence of Polee as a 2nd offensive scorer to compliment Thames, look for the Aztecs to have their way on the offensive end. But, it is their Defensive Dandy status that continues to make this team a winner. Aztecs allow just 57/38/29 with combined positive margins in rebounding, TOs and Assist/TO margin of 9.4. Too much for an Aggie team who has been competing against the weak WAC.

Blade
useravatar
Online
224147 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
45867
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
290280
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.6
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3757
Newest User:
dwight brown
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2194

Online: 
Blade

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com