NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, March 11

NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, March 11

NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Houston at Oklahoma City

Oklahoma Thunder should have an added sense of motivation when they host Houston Rockets Tuesday night. Thunder are off back-2-back losses including a humiliating 114-110 defeat to lowly Lakers. Meanwhile, Houston Rockets on a five game win streak (3-2 ATS) and winners of 8-of-10 (6-4 ATS) will be looking to extend the streak while exacting revenge for a pair of earlier losses to Oklahoma City. Always a challenge going against a red-hot team like Rockets but our NBA Database tells us Thunder are a good choice in this situation. Thunder are a profitable 5-1-1 ATS following a loss to a sub .400 team, 7-4-1 ATS following a game in which they surrendered =>110 points and hit the hardwood 7-3 ATS last ten hosting Houston. On the other side, the number crunching machine chips in Rockets are just 7-10 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last seven against the Northwest Division, 2-5 ATS last seven in first of a multi game road swing, 1-4 ATS taking 3.5 to 6 points on the road.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, March 11

Game of the Day: Rockets at Thunder
By Covers.com

Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder (-4, 217)

The Houston Rockets have the best record in the NBA since Jan. 1 and can close in on second-place Oklahoma City in the Western Conference race when they visit the Thunder on Tuesday. Houston is 23-6 since the calendar turned to 2014 and will move within one game of Oklahoma City if it prevails in the opener of a tough three-game road trip. The Thunder fell to the lowly Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday and are just 3-5 since Russell Westbrook returned from a knee injury.

Oklahoma City is 2-0 against the Rockets this season, including a 117-86 home victory on Jan. 16. The Thunder have struggled to find a groove since Westbrook’s return and the point guard’s propensity for shooting has led to fewer opportunities for star forward Kevin Durant (NBA-best 31.7 scoring average). Houston brings a five-game winning streak into a stretch of road games against Oklahoma City, Chicago and Miami. The Rockets have won 10 of their past 13 road games.

LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened as 3.5-point faves and are now 4-point faves. The total has held steady at 217.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Rockets (-12.3) - Thunder (-14.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Thunder -4.7

INJURY WATCH: Thunder - Thabo Sefolosha (Out, Calf), Kendrick Perkins (Out, Groin)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Rockets are 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS since the All-Star break and 0-1 SU/ATS as an underdog. Houston is playing with double revenge against Oklahoma City, and they may be catching the Thunder at the right time considering they've lost their last two games although OKC is 3-1 SU/ATS when playing off back-to-back losses this season." - Covers Experts' Steve Merril

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Houston comes into this game red hot winning eight of 10 and five straight including wins against the top two teams from the East (Heat and Pacers). The Thunder are coming off a bad loss to the Lakers where they blew a double-digit lead in the first half. The Thunder dominated the last meeting between these two at Oklahoma City winning by 31." - Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (44-19 SU, 33-28-2 ATS, 30-31 O/U): All-Star guard James Harden is on another roll and poured in 41 points in Sunday’s 118-113 overtime win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Harden fell two points shy of his season high and topped 30 points for the 15th time this season and is averaging 28.2 points during Houston’s winning streak. The Rockets’ rise has prompted chatter about the squad being a legitimate NBA Finals contender but center Dwight Howard doesn’t want his teammates getting caught up in it. “You just want to hold up that trophy come June,” Howard told reporters. “You’ve just got to stay humble. That’s the message. Stay humble and stay hungry and continue to do the small things to help us win games.”

ABOUT THE THUNDER (46-17 SU, 34-28-1 ATS, 33-30 O/U ): Durant had 27 points, 12 assists and 10 rebounds for his sixth career triple-double but Oklahoma City experienced severe defensive issues in the 114-110 loss to the Lakers. The Thunder blew an 18-point second-quarter lead and allowed Los Angeles guard Jodie Meeks to score at will with 20 of his 42 points coming in the third quarter. “You can’t take possessions off,” coach Scott Brooks said afterward. “No matter who we have on the floor, their job is to stay in front of their man on the defensive end. We have to do a better job with that. There’s no sugarcoating it.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Thunder last five home games.

CONSENSUS:
56 percent of wagers are on the Oklahoma City Thunder -4.

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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, March 11

Bulls battle Spurs
By Sportsbook.ag

San Antonio Spurs (46-16) at Chicago Bulls (35-28)

Sportsbook.ag Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: San Antonio -5, Total: 190.5

The Bulls look to win two huge games in a row when they host the streaking Spurs on Tuesday night.

San Antonio continues to be a powerhouse in the NBA despite its aging superstars and has won six straight games SU (3-3 ATS) coming into this one. They have scored more than 110 points in five of those games including a 121-112 win as 15.5-point favorites against the Magic on Saturday night. The Spurs shot an efficient 53.1% from the field in the game (9-of-20 threes) and each of the starters scored in double-digits. Chicago has remained a tough team to play against even after losing PG Derrick Rose to injury for another year and trading away SF Luol Deng to the Cavaliers. The Bulls have been victorious both SU and ATS in six of their past eight games played including a big 95-88 overtime victory over the Heat on Sunday. Chicago held the NBA's top shooting team to just 40.5% FG and limited LeBron James to 8-for-23 FG on the night. San Antonio plays well wherever it goes, as evidenced by the best road record in the league (23-8 SU, 74%) while producing a strong 18-13 ATS mark (58%, 9th in NBA).
   
The Bulls are solid at United Center though, with a home record of 19-11 SU and 16-14 ATS this season. When these teams first met this season on Jan. 29, Chicago stole a 96-86 win as 7.5-point road underdogs, outrebounding the Spurs by eight (39-31) and forcing 19 turnovers in the game. These teams have split the four games they have played over the past three seasons (both SU and ATS), but San Antonio still holds a commanding 21-12 SU edge (19-14 ATS) since 1996, which includes an 11-5 SU mark (10-6 ATS) in Chicago. The Spurs have also been good to bettors after scoring 105+ points for two straight games, as they are 32-12 ATS (73%) in all such games over the past three seasons. Meanwhile, Tom Thibodeau is 90-64 ATS (58%) after playing a home game as the Bulls head coach. The only significant injury between the two teams is still PG Derrick Rose (knee), who is out the entire season for the Bulls.

San Antonio has scored 104.6 PPG (7th in NBA) this season while ranking second in the league in both shooting (48.9% FG) and assists (25.0 APG). The Spurs have been even more dominant during their six-game win surge, scoring an incredible 113.0 PPG (49.7% FG) while holding opponents to 99.7 PPG, which is not as strong as their season average of 98.1 PPG (6th in NBA) given up. PG Tony Parker (17.8 PPG, 6.2 APG) broke out against Orlando for 30 points on 11-of-19 shooting while also dishing out five assists. Over 21 career games against Chicago, Parker has averaged 17.9 PPG (51% FG) and 6.3 APG, including 20 points and six assists in the Jan. 29 loss.

Despite being nearly 38 years old, PF Tim Duncan (15.5 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 2.0 BPG) continues to be effective with a double-double in three of his past five games. His 17 points and 12 rebounds in the loss to the Bulls earlier this year are right in line with his career numbers of 19.6 PPG and 12.1 RPG in 29 games against them. SG Manu Ginobili (12.3 PPG, 4.5 APG, 3.1 RPG) is one of the best reserves in the league, but did not play in the first game against the Bulls. He has scored 15.8 PPG (41% FG) to go along with 5.2 RPG and 4.2 APG over 16 career games (10 starts) against them.

Former Chicago SG Marco Belinelli (11.4 PPG) and PG Patty Mills (9.9 PPG) both scored in double-figures in the loss to the Bulls two months ago, combining for 23 points on 9-of-22 FG. Chicago has lost its top two offensive weapons this year and is scoring an NBA-worst 93.1 PPG on a paltry 43.1% FG (3rd-worst in league) this season. The lack of offense has not stopped the club from succeeding this season though, as opponents have scored an NBA-low 92.2 PPG on 43.2% FG (2nd-lowest in league). The Bulls have averaged a strong 97.0 PPG on 45.8% FG over their past eight games, while their defense has given up 100+ points just once over the past 14 contests (89.4 PPG allowed). C Joakim Noah (12.1 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 4.8 APG, 1.5 BPG, 1.1 SPG) is the best passing center in the league and has two triple-doubles over his past five games. His near triple-double (10 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists) helped the Bulls defeat the Spurs earlier this season, but Noah has averaged just 6.5 PPG (44% FG) and 8.5 RPG against them over 11 career games (10 starts).

PG D.J. Augustin (11.8 PPG, 4.4 APG) was a great addition to the team in December and has scored 22+ points in three of five March contests, averaging 20.2 PPG on 52% FG (46% threes) and 27-of-28 FT so far this month. He has netted only 6.0 PPG (28% FG) with 4.7 APG in nine career games (4 starts) against the Spurs, but did score 15 points while dishing out five assists with just one turnover in the lone meeting this season. PF Carlos Boozer (14.2 PPG, 8.5 RPG) has been struggling over the past four contests, averaging just 9.3 PPG (37% FG) and 7.5 RPG. He was strong against San Antonio this year though (16 points, 12 rebounds), and will need to get back to form in order for Chicago make this a competitive game.


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Re: NBA Betting News and Notes Tuesday, March 11

Rockets, Thunder clash
By Sportsbook.ag

Houston Rockets (44-19) at Oklahoma City Thunder (46-17)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Oklahoma City -3.5, Total: 217

The Rockets look to stay perfect in March when they visit the struggling Thunder on Tuesday night.

Houston has been on an absolute tear since the end of January, winning 15 of 17 games SU (11-6 ATS) since that time, including five straight victories to begin this month. They have topped 100 points in all five of these wins, three of which came against excellent teams (Miami, Indiana and Portland). The Rockets defeated the Blazers 118-113 as 6.5-point favorites on Sunday while holding them to just 40.6% shooting and forcing 20 turnovers.

Oklahoma City has been slumping, losing two straight, and five of its past eight games SU (2-6 ATS). The Thunder suffered an embarrassing 114-110 loss against the 12-point underdog Lakers on Sunday despite outrebounding them by 23 boards (59-36).

Houston will now embark on a three-game road trip, but the club is a strong 18-12 SU (16-14 ATS) when playing on the road this season. But Oklahoma City has been one of the best teams at home this season, going 26-6 SU (17-15 ATS) in front of its fans. The season series between these teams has gone the way of the Thunder so far, as they have won both games SU and ATS while playing once in each team’s arena.

After rolling to a 117-86 home blowout on Dec. 29, they went into Houston in their last matchup on Jan. 16 and held the Rockets to just 40.2% FG en route to a 104-92 victory as 2.5-point underdogs.
   
Going back three seasons, Oklahoma City holds a 10-5 SU record (8-7 ATS) in this series with 10 of the 15 games going under the total. Houston has been good to bettors this season after allowing 110+ points, going 12-3 ATS, while the Thunder are 15-5 ATS after failing to cover two of their previous three games this season.

On the injury front, the Rockets come in with no significant new injuries while Oklahoma City will be without SG Thabo Sefolosha (calf) for another 3-to-5 weeks.

Houston is one of the most dynamic and high-energy offenses in the league, ranking third in the league with 106.6 PPG on 47.5% FG (4th in NBA), including 111.0 PPG (48.9% FG) over their five-game winning streak. Their defense has allowed 101.6 PPG (17th in NBA) on just 43.8% FG (5th in league) and 34.6% threes (also 5th in NBA) this season, but has been much worse over 30 road games, giving up 104.5 PPG on 45.2% FG.

SG James Harden (24.9 PPG, 5.7 APG, 4.7 RPG, 1.5 SPG) is the driving force behind his team’s success and is coming off an incredible game against Portland on Sunday (41 points, 10 rebounds, 6 assists, 6 steals). That gives him 28.2 PPG (52% FG, 41% threes), 7.8 APG, 5.2 RPG and 2.6 SPG during Houston's five-game win streak. He has actually played poorly against his former team this season over two games, averaging 12.0 PPG (32% FG, 2-of-11 threes) with 5.5 APG and 5.0 RPG against the Thunder. Last season, he lit up his old teammates for 29.3 PPG (44% FG, 55% threes) over three meetings.

C Dwight Howard (18.9 PPG, 12.4 RPG, 1.8 BPG) has a double-double in three of his past four games, averaging 18.3 PPG (59% FG) and 12.0 RPG over this timeframe. But his paltry 10.0 PPG (35% FG, 2-of-9 FT) and 8.5 RPG against Oklahoma City this season has been much of the reason the Rockets have struggled in the matchup. But his 19.2 PPG (57% FG) with 13.2 RPG over 21 career games against them suggests he has a strong chance at a big game on Tuesday.

SF Chandler Parsons (16.5 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 3.9 APG) has averaged just 14.0 PPG over his past four games played and has had major trouble from behind the arc, making only 3-of-16 from long range. He has netted 12.4 PPG (42% FG) while grabbing 5.3 RPG with 1.6 SPG in eight career games (7 starts) against the Thunder.

Oklahoma City is producing 105.7 PPG (5th in NBA) on 47.5% FG (5th in league) this season, including an astronomical 118.3 PPG on 49.1% FG so far in March. The usually solid defense (99.2 PPG, 10th in NBA) has struggled during the current 3-5 slump, surrendering 110.3 PPG on 47.4% FG (41.9% threes) in these past eight games.

SF Kevin Durant (31.7 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.4 SPG) has carried this team on his back all season and recorded a triple-double (27 points, 12 assists, 10 rebounds) in the loss against the Lakers on Sunday. His dominant performances in the two games against Houston this season (34.5 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 6.0 APG) has led to two wins, and his strong play should be expected once again.

PG Russell Westbrook (21.2 PPG, 7.1 APG, 5.8 RPG, 1.9 SPG) had a near triple-double (20 points, 8 assists, 7 rebounds) on Sunday, but shot only 7-for-23 from the field in the loss, including 2-for-10 from three-point range. He has averaged 19.2 PPG (45% FG), 6.8 APG, 5.1 RPG and 1.4 SPG over 18 career games in this matchup, but missed both meetings this season with injury.

PF Serge Ibaka (15.2 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 2.5 BPG) also had a strong game against Los Angeles with 21 points, 15 rebounds, two blocks and two steals, and has at least two blocks in each of his past seven contests (2.7 BPG). His 14.5 PPG, 10.0 RPG and 3.5 BPG in two games against the Rockets this season are well above his marks of 11.4 PPG, 7.6 RPG and 2.9 BPG that he has over 16 career games (12 starts) against them.


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