Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

LA Clippers at Oklahoma City
The Thunder (43-13) host a Clippers team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Oklahoma City is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2)

Game 801-802: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 120.743; Oklahoma City 128.600
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Over

Game 803-804: Chicago at Miami (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 122.788; Miami 124.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+7); Under

Game 805-806: Orlando at Toronto (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 119.501; Toronto 122.226
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 11; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+11); Under

Game 807-808: Washington at Cleveland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.501; Cleveland 116.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 1; 196
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-1); Over

Game 809-810: Sacramento at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.456; Denver 118.923
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3 1/2); Over

Game 811-812: Houston at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.038; Phoenix 125.897
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+2); Under

Game 813-814: Minnesota at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.511; Portland 124.727
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4); Under

Game 815-816: Brooklyn at LA Lakers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 117.783; LA Lakers 117.540
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+3); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Purdue at Nebraska
The Boilermakers hit the road to face Nebraska today looking to bounce back from a 94-79 loss to Michigan State on Thursday and carrying an 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Purdue is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Cornhuskers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6)

Game 817-818: Purdue at Nebraska (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 64.085; Nebraska 66.944
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3; 134
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 6; 137
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+6); Under

Game 819-820: Michigan State at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 68.778; Michigan 77.868
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9; 141
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-2); Over

Game 821-822: Yale at Columbia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 51.394; Columbia 57.875
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 6 1/2; 123
Vegas Line: Columbia by 2 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (-2 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 49.159; Central Michigan 52.641
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-1 1/2)

Game 825-826: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.598; Western Michigan 61.829
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 3
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-3)

Game 827-828: Bowling Green at Miami (OH) (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 50.433; Miami (OH) 55.379
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 5
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-2)

Game 829-830: SMU at Connecticut (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 66.511; Connecticut 78.143
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 11 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 6 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-6 1/2); Over

Game 831-832: Drexel at Delaware (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 52.742; Delaware 54.805
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+4 1/2)

Game 833-834: Seton Hall at Creighton (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 61.651; Creighton 79.760
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 18; 143
Vegas Line: Creighton by 13 1/2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-13 1/2); Under

Game 835-836: Illinois State at Northern Iowa (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 52.357; Northern Iowa 62.312
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-7)

Game 837-838: Ball State at Toledo (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 43.480; Toledo 63.082
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 17
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-17)

Game 839-840: Florida State at Pittsburgh (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 61.523; Pittsburgh 74.352
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13; 136
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-8); Over

Game 841-842: Providence at Butler (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 64.077; Butler 62.686
Dunkel Line: Providence by 1 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Butler by 1; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (+1); Over

Game 843-844: USC at California (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 54.865; California 71.330
Dunkel Line: California by 16 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: California by 13 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-13 1/2); Under

Game 845-846: Arizona State at Utah (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 68.681; Utah 68.807
Dunkel Line: Even; 134
Vegas Line: Utah by 4 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 847-848: Washington State at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 54.939; Oregon 67.332
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 12 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15; 139
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+15); Over

Game 849-850: Chattanooga at NC-Greensboro (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 48.567; NC-Greensboro 47.669
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 1
Vegas Line: NC-Greensboro by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+1 1/2)

Game 851-852: Iona at Marist (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 59.337; Marist 55.966
Dunkel Line: Iona by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+5 1/2)

Game 853-854: Siena at Rider (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.748; Rider 54.743
Dunkel Line: Rider by 6
Vegas Line: Rider by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-4)

Game 861-862: Bucknell at Boston U (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 47.071; Boston U 60.177
Dunkel Line: Boston U by 13; 128
Vegas Line: Boston U by 7; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston U (-7); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Art Aronson

Sacramento Kings at Denver Nuggets
Prediction: Denver Nuggets -2½

The Nuggets are coming off a stretch of games that saw them play seven of five games on the road and if you mix that with an injury to star guard Ty Lawson it?s not surprising the team has gone a bit of a losing stretch. However, the team has finally returned home to start a three game home stand with a game against a beatable Sacramento Kings team and I fully expect it to take care of business here. The Nuggets have a winning record at home (14-12) and have won two of their last three there despite some of these struggles. The Sacramento Kings to its? credit, earned a nice win over a struggling and road tripping Boston team last night. I think it a little much to ask them to win the very next night again on the road against a conference opponent that is desperate to get a win in front of their home fans. The Nuggets are a strong 4-0 the last three seasons against Sacramento at home and has won seven of the last eight meetings overall. Sacramento as a team is just 7-19 SU in road games this season. Lay the short points with the Nuggets who should earn the win and cover the spread along the way.

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Scott Spreitzer

Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction: Washington Wizards +1

A nice addition to the Wizards' roster bringing John Wall some help in the form of Andre Miller. The veteran's abilities will allow Wall to rest a bit more than normal and his leadership skills are as good as Washington has on the floor. Washington played last night and the starters saw a decent amount of playing time, but the Wizards are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 when playing in the second of back-to-back nights and they're 9-3 ATS even when starters topped 160 combined minutes of action like they did last night. The Cavaliers have been playing well, winning six straight before the 98-91 loss to Toronto last time out. However, we should point out that the final four wins came against the dregs of the NBA, and they have covered just one of their last six off a SU loss. Cleveland beat Washington 115-113 to kick off the six-game win streak. The Cavs made 51% of their shots that night and out-scored the Wizards 29-16 from the FT line, yet still only won by a basket. But Washington has been "money" on the road this season (19-8 ATS) and I believe with the addition of Miller, they have just taken a full step forward, making them a better entry than they were the last time these teams met. I'm recommending a play on the Wizards on Sunday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Rob Vinciletti

Arizona State vs. Utah    
Play: Utah -3½

The Utes have covered 5 straight in the series the last 3 seasons. Three of those wins were here at home. They have been solid at home going 16-2 and winning by an average 21 points per game. As a favorite this season they have won 11 of 12 and covered 9 of those games. They have revenge for a close loss and we note that they are 20-6 to the spread with road loss revenge. In their last game they are off a rare home loss and will look to rebound here vs an Arizona St team that is 0-3 ats as a road dog from +3.5 to +6 and has failed to cover 4 of 5 this month. In the Second half the Sun Devils have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 vs winning teams and are 0-4 ats in that time span vs teams who average more than 76 points per game. Look for Utah to bounce back and get the win and cover.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Jim Feist

Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers
Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers

The Washington Wizards looked to improve their #5 seeding in the Eastern Conference by picking up backup point guard Andre Miller. Miller will backup John Wall and add veteran depth to the club. The Wizards are in 5th place in the east but still two games below .500 entering Saturday evening's contest (26-28). In fact, the Wizards had identical records at home and away (13-14) as of Saturday. Wall leads the club in scoring (19.9 ppg) on a team that sits 18th in the league in points per game average (99.5). The Wizards also in the tough spot of playing the second of back-to-back spot here as they hosted New Orleans on Saturday evening. The club has struggled of late, going just 2-5 their last seven (before the Pelicans contest). And this afternoon they face a rejuvenated Cleveland club. The Cavaliers fired GM Chris Gant and a once porous defense has since stiffened up. The Cavaliers had been allowing an average of 111 points per game during a recent six-game losing streak. Since then, they are 6-1 S/U and 7-0 ATS and haven't allowed over 99 points. Cleveland has actually done well covering in this series, going 2-1 this season and 8-2 the last 10 meetings. The Cavaliers are playing with lots of confidence right now and I expect that to continue here on Sunday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Don Best Consensus

Washington State at Oregon
Pick: Oregon 1st Half

Washington State is just a bad team overall, losing 9 of their last 10. The points don't help them much, they are just 3-7 ATS in those games. The Cougars are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games. Oregon plays a fast pace but sometimes poor defense. We like them to come out with great energy at home and go into the break up 10.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Marc Lawrence

Illinois State at Northern Iowa
Pick: Northern Iowa

The Panthers host the Redbirds in a Missouri Valley clash at the McLeod Center in Cedar Falls when Northern Iowa stands 18-4 SU and 14-8 ATS in it last twenty-two conference games. They also take the court looking to avenge a 76-65 loss as a road favorite at Illinois State 18 days ago knowing they are 6-1 SUATS at home in conference revenge from a double-digit loss. With the Red Birds off a revenge win over Missouri State and 0-10 SU - with 5 straight pointspread losses - in game after facing the Bears, and having another same season revenger on deck with Indiana State, we'll be prowling with the Panthers here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Northern Iowa.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Bruce Marshall

Minnesota Timberwolves at Portland Trailblazers
Pick: Portland Trailblazers

After splitting the first two meetings as home teams held serve, Portland made the Roger Federer-like breakthrough with 7-point win and cover at Target Center on Feb. 8 when LaMarcus Aldridge paced Blazers with 26 points. T-wolves were very shorthanded that night, however, with Kevin Love sitting out and long-term absentees Nikola Pekovic and Kevin Martin not available, either. Love is now back in the fold, but Pekovic and Martin are still sidelined, and some insiders are wondering about the potency of the Minnesota lineup as the limitations of PG Ricky Rubio (who isn't much of a shooter) are becoming harder for Rick Adelman to camouflage. Aldridge is now hurting (groin strain) and an unlikely participant for Portland, but Minny has not been able to slow the Blazers transition game, which has scored a hefty 114 ppg in the three previous meetings (all "over" as well). Blazers' smaller, non-Aldridge lineup was competitive in recent losses vs. high-caliber Thunder, Clips, and Spurs.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

David Glisan

Oklahoma City -4.5

At first glance this should be a tight game between two of the top teams in the Western Conference.  The Thunder are leading the San Antonio Spurs by 3.5 games with the Clippers 6.5 games back.  In actuality this isn't a great time for the Clippers to be taking a trip to 'America's Heartland'.  OKC got embarrassed by Miami on national television last Thursday as they resumed play after the All Star Break and the Thunder are 5-2 SU/ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this season.  The Clippers are 0-2 SU/ATS since the All Star Break and have failed to cover in their last seven games against opponents with a winning percentage of .600 or higher.  OKC has responded well to tough challenges--even with the Miami loss they're 16-8 ATS YTD against winning teams. Thunder have won and covered four of the last five head to head including three of the last four at home.  Chris Paul should play (injured thumb last game, listed as 'probable') but this looks to me like a 'statement' game for a proud Thunder side against a Clippers' team that hasn't done well stepping up in class.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Nick Parsons

Nets vs. Lakers
Pick: Under

Here’s a tough spot for Brooklyn; it plays in Golden State on Saturday night, a team that it beat 102-98 in January, before then transitioning for a game 24 hours later vs. a Lakers side which it lost to at home in November.

Emotions will be high for the Nets on both nights; I believe this will have a negative impact on Brooklyn’s energy on Sunday and look for the team to come out with a more deliberate game plan, running a lot of half court sets on offense to take advantage of its mismatches in the paint. A slower game = less shots and less shots = less points.

The home side broke a four game losing streak with a convincing 101-92 win over the Celtics on Friday. With a game vs. the Pacers on Tuesday, here’s a perfect opponent for the home side to punch another one into the win column against (note that LA would beat Brooklyn 99-94 in the earlier match-up; I’m definitely expecting a similar combined score between these two inconsistent clubs tonight).

Note that Brooklyn has seen the total go “under” the number in eight of 13 this year in revenging a home loss vs. an opponent.

And note that LA has seen the total dip below the posted number in three of five as a home dog of 3 points or less.

The situation, the numbers and the trends all point to a lower-scoring defensive battle; consider a second look at the under in this match-up.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Larry Ness

SMU at Connecticut
Play: Connecticut

Many eyebrows were raised when SMU named Larry Brown as its new head coach two seasons ago but the proof is in the pudding. The Mustangs snuck into the bottom of the AP's top-25 two Mondays ago (1st ranking since the 1984-85 season) and at 21-6 overall (10-4 American Athletic Conference), are looking to make the NCAA tournament for the first time since 1993. SMU will have plenty of opportunities to strengthen its resume in the near future, with THREE of its final four regular-season games coming against current top-25 teams.

That stretch begins today, as SMU invades Gampel Pavilion in Storrs to take on UConn. The Huskies are 21-5 (9-4 in the AAC) and ranked No. 21 in the current AP poll.This game against the Huskies presents a good chance for the Mustangs to help secure a "Big Dance" invite, as do upcoming matchups with No. 11 Louisville and No. 22 Memphis in the final week of the regular season. SMU is 3-1 vs ranked opponents this season, including a 74-65 victory over then-No. 17 UConn back on Jan 4.

That contest marked the debut of the new Moody Coliseum and building christeners are usually 'home-cooked meals' of the highest order! UConn's superberb guard duo of Napier (17.9-6.1-5.5) and Boatright (12.5-3.4-3.6) should well-remember their poor efforts. Napier scored only two points in the first half and Boatwright sat on the bench for most of the second half with foul trouble.

Brown has molded a group of new players this year at SMU into a well-balanced unit led by 5-9 guard Nic Moore (14.1), an Illinois St transfer and 6-9 Villanova transfer Kennedy (11.7-7.0). However, UConn averages 75.7 points and leads the league in three-point shooting percentage (39.5%). The Huskies are 12-2 SU at home, outscoring opponents on average, 78.5-to-60.7 PPG. Napier and Boatright are helped on the perimeter by a trio of guards in Giffey (7.9), Kromah (7.3) and Calhoun (5.3). Up front, the 6-9 Daniels (13.2-5.4) is the star, supported by the 7-0 Brimah (4.3-2.9) and the 6-10 Nolan (3.9-2.5)

UConn matches SMU's depth and here at home, wins with "room to spare" in this "payback situation."

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

John Ryan

SMU at UConn
Play: SMU

The simulator shows a high probability that SMU will lose this game by fewer than 6 points. I also believe they can win this game SU. So, as is the case with many of my 10* Top Rated Titan releases, I will use a combination wager combining a 4* amount using the line and a 1* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a  140-82 mark good for 63% winners since 2008. Play against any team (CONNECTICUT) that has been a hot team having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread and is a top-level team winning >= 80% of games played and now playing a solid team winning 60% to 80% of their games. SIM projects that SMU will have 14 to 18 turnovers. In past games, SMU is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when they commit 14 to 18 turnovers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Moreover, SMU is a near-perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when facing strong shooting teams making >=45% of their shots this season. Take SMU.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Jimmy Boyd

Western Michigan -3

The stat sheet indicates a blowout taking place in this game. The Eastern Michigan Eagles are averaging a mere 62.5 points per game on the road this season. They face a Western Michigan team that is scoring an impressive 77.5 points per game at home. The Western Michigan defense will also be one of the better units Eastern Michigan has seen this season. The Eagles opponents have a defensive scoring average of 70.5 points per game, and the Broncos come into this matchup surrendering a mere 66.3 points per game.

I think we are getting a lot of value with Western Michigan because of what took place in the first matchup of the season between these teams. The Eagles had home court advantage in that game and picked up a 19 point win. That game is in no way an indication of the talent difference between these teams. Western Michigan had an uncharacteristically poor shooting performance in that matchup. They simply could not get shots to fall, and their 28.6 percent from the field is the only reason that matchup resulted in a loss the way it did. That game was an anomaly and a shooting performance like that will not take place again.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Dave Price

Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5

Motivated by Thursday's ugly 103-81 home loss to Miami, Oklahoma City will show the Clippers no mercy this afternoon. One thing you don't want to do is go against the Thunder when they're checking in off an upset loss. That's because they are 20-8 ATS in this spot the last two seasons with an average winning margin of 8.9 points. The Clippers haven't been a good investment of late against playoff-caliber competition, going 0-6 ATS in their last six games versus teams carrying a win percentage greater than .600. Consider that the Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Clippers have also had their struggles with Oklahoma City. They have lost four of the last five meetings with three of the losses coming by six points or more. They have also lost five of their last six in Oklahoma City with the five defeats coming by an average of 14.0 points. Lay the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Dennis Macklin

Siena vs. Rider    
Play: Rider -4

Neither of these teams are very much but think that Rider is the right side here. The Broncos have lost four of five but have been battling the conference best. They get a much softer touch here and figure to be sharp having lost the first meeting 62-47, scoring just two points in the first ten minutes of that one. Rider had won the three previous meetings rather easily including the last two on this floor by double-digits. Call this one 75-60 Rider.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Patrick Webb

Michigan State vs. Michigan    
Play: Michigan State +112

MSU should get some revenge for the loss at home to Michigan earlier this seaoson. MSU lost without two key contributors- Dawson (who is still out) and Adreian Payne who is back and coming off a very strong performance vs. Purdue. Michigan upset MSU in the last meeting by neutralizing the Spartans on the glass and getting to the foul line 30 times, a number they are unlikely to match.

Both of these teams have strong perimeter attacks, but the Spartans five game trends are stronger on both the offensive and defensive end and the Spartans are getting 5 more rebounds per game compared to their opponents. Michigan's Nik Stauskas has been limited over the last 5 games and is scoring only 9 points per game in their last three losses (7 points below his season average). If MSU can lock down Stauskas and force Michigan's younger players to carry the load offensively they should control this game from the tip.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Tom Grassi

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder    
Play: Los Angeles Clippers +5

Early Sunday action has two teams looking to win their first game since returning after the All-Star break. Both teams are potential contenders for the Western Conference title, but both have fallen victim to slow starts after some time off.

The Los Angeles Clippers have two games under their belt, both as favorites, but lost them outright. Meanwhile, the Thunder are looking to wipe the egg off their faces after being embarrassed at home Thursday night against the Heat.

Los Angeles has been a team in the past that has been able to bounce back following a straight up loss, and even better when that has defeat came in the role of a favorite. In addition, they’ve usually put up a good fight they’ve traveled to Oklahoma City

When you takes those factors into account, and realize that the line has dropped a half-point, even with the Thunder getting strong support from the betting public, we’ll take the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Jeff Alexander

Northern Iowa -7

Illinois State has not been a good investment on the road where it is 0-4 SU and ATS in its last 4 with an average losing margin of 12.0 points. Its road woes are nothing new. The Redbirds are 5-13 ATS in road games against conference opponents the last two seasons. Northern Iowa is strong at home and is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home games versus teams that have a losing road record. The Panthers have won 9 straight at home in the series with the two most recent wins coming by 15 and 8 points. Bet Northern Iowa.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, February 23

Doug Upstone

Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa    
Play: Northern Iowa -7

On Sunday, Play On favorites like Northern Iowa after going under the total by 18 or more points in their last three games, who have win percentage of 40% to 49% on the season, playing a winning team. The reasoning behind this free play is if a losing squad could be favored despite not being particularly good offensively, they are due for a sharper effort and are 45-17 ATS since 2009.

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