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Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 12

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 12

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Portland at LA Clippers
The Trail Blazers head to LA tonight where they are 2-5 ATS  in their last 7 games against the Clippers. LA is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7 1/2)

Game 701-702: Memphis at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.049; Orlando 117.927
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 182
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Dallas at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.344; Indiana 128.852
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 203
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Atlanta at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 115.812; Toronto 125.269
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 200
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6); Over

Game 707-708: San Antonio at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.045; Boston 110.150
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11; 185
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Charlotte at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 121.712; Brooklyn 120.846
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Cleveland at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.779; Detroit 115.360
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Sacramento at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.587; New York 123.044
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5; 203
Dunkel Pick: New York (-5); Under

Game 715-716: Denver at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.912; Minnesota 120.511
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2;  217
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 210
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6); Over

Game 717-718: New Orleans at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 118.968; Milwaukee 109.530
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: Washington at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 122.604; Houston 124.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9; 203
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9); Over

Game 721-722: Philadelphia at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 108.031; Utah 112.390
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 7 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Miami at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.813; Golden State 125.708
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 200
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 725-726: Portland at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.707; LA Clippers 128.568
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 220
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7 1/2); Over

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DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Duke at North Carolina
The Tar Heels look to stay hot as they come into tonight's matchup against Duke with a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games. North Carolina is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3)

Game 727-728: George Washington at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 65.907; VCU 69.525
Dunkel Line: VCU by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 7
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+7)

Game 729-730: Richmond at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 58.107; Duquesne 61.338
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 3
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (-1 1/2)

Game 731-732: Northeastern at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 51.438; NC-Wilmington 48.057
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+1 1/2)

Game 733-734: Rhode Island at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 54.966; Dayton 67.830
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 13
Vegas Line: Dayton by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-10 1/2)

Game 735-736: James Madison at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 49.102; Delaware 55.075
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 6
Vegas Line: Delaware by 8
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+8)

Game 737-738: George Mason at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 53.765; Massachusetts 67.712
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 14
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-11 1/2)

Game 739-740: Penn State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 61.611; Indiana 70.913
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana by 8
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8)

Game 741-742: Boston College at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 58.189; Georgia Tech 57.298
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2)

Game 743-744: Baylor at TCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 64.172; TCU 59.756
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 7
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7)

Game 745-746: Villanova at DePaul (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.798; DePaul 55.632
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 16
Vegas Line: Villanova by 13
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-13)

Game 747-748: Syracuse at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 73.282; Pittsburgh 76.046
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh

Game 749-750: Bowling Green at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 52.864; Kent State 52.907
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Kent State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+4 1/2)

Game 751-752: Eastern Michigan at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 53.309; Ball State 49.073
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 7
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+7)

Game 753-754: Akron at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 57.867; Western Michigan 57.022
Dunkel Line: Akron by 1
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+1 1/2)

Game 755-756: Ohio at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 57.807; Toledo 61.439
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 5
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+5)

Game 757-758: Buffalo at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.189; Miami (OH) 54.002
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo

Game 759-760: South Florida at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 54.933; Connecticut 75.672
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 15
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-15)

Game 761-762: Loyola-Chicago at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 50.946; Northern Iowa 62.904
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 12
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-10 1/2)

Game 763-764: Central Michigan at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.849; Northern Illinois 48.614
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 1
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+3)

Game 765-766: Illinois State at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 57.144; Evansville 53.662
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 4
Vegas Line: Evansville by 1
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+1)

Game 767-768: Drake at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 50.051; Missouri State 59.565
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-5)

Game 769-770: Indiana State at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 58.256; Bradley 53.018
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 5
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-2)

Game 771-772: Kentucky at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 72.023; Auburn 60.442
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-7 1/2)

Game 773-774: Vanderbilt at South Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 62.967; South Carolina 62.321
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+2)

Game 775-776: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 60.834; Oklahoma 73.481
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-9 1/2)

Game 777-778: Illinois at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 62.017; Nebraska 62.944
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 1
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+3 1/2)

Game 779-780: St. Bonaventure at Fordham (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 63.352; Fordham 53.896
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-5)

Game 781-782: Duke at North Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 74.199; North Carolina 75.349
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1
Vegas Line: Duke by 3
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3)

Game 783-784: Georgia at Mississippi State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 60.085; Mississippi State 60.891
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 1
Vegas Line: Georgia by 2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+2)

Game 785-786: Stanford at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 68.906; Washington 62.317
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-3)

Game 787-788: Central Florida at Memphis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 56.405; Memphis 73.722
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-15 1/2)

Game 789-790: LSU at Texas A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 62.084; Texas A&M 60.667
Dunkel Line: LSU by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 3
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+3)

Game 791-792: New Mexico at Boise State (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 63.230; Boise State 63.549
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Boise State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+2 1/2)

Game 793-794: Air Force at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 50.640; San Jose State 50.615
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Air Force by 2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+2)

Game 795-796: Fresno State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 58.953; Nevada 59.785
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1
Vegas Line: Nevada by 4
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4)

Game 797-798: California at Washington State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 64.938; Washington State 61.844
Dunkel Line: California by 3
Vegas Line: California by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+5 1/2)

Game 799-800: NC-Greensboro at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 43.258; Georgia Southern 49.277
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 6
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-4 1/2)

Game 801-802: Davidson at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 58.781; The Citadel 38.623
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 20
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 803-804: Tennessee-Martin at SE Missouri State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 40.584; SE-Missouri State 54.142
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-11 1/2)

Game 805-806: St. Peter's at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 45.388; Iona 63.337
Dunkel Line: Iona by 18
Vegas Line: Iona by 13
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-13)

Game 807-808: Elon at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 49.321; Furman 42.918
Dunkel Line: Elon by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

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SPORTS WAGERS

Sweden -111 over Czech Republic

Three-way betting. The Czechs have some great parts. They are loaded with some of the hardest working, grittiest and most difficult players to play against the NHL. Vladimir Sobotka is a constant pest that is relentlessly preventing the best lines in the NHL from scoring. Devils forwards Patrick Elias and Jaromir Jagr are both ageless. Elias is one of the best two-way forwards in the NHL and Jagr, well, he may be slow but he’s incredible at protecting the puck and finding the open man. They should make a video of Jagr throughout his career and show it to every kid that wants to play hockey and instruct that kid to, “work as hard as that guy and emulate your game after him”. The Czechs may be short on flash up front but they have a solid core of players throughout the lineup.

Unfortunately for the Czechs, they are not close to having the same talent as the Swedes, Russians, Canadians or Americans. Defensively, the Czechs top six are Marek Zidlicky, Tomas Kaberle Michal Rosival, Radko Gudas, Milan Michalek and Ladislav Smid. From a puck moving standpoint, an impressive group this is not. Ladislav Smid over Jan Hejda? Seriously? Smid is having a brutal year in Calgary while Hejda is having an all-star season in Colorado. These are mostly stay at home defensemen with the Czechs defensive depth rounded out by two European leaguers, unfamilar to North Americans. In net, the heavy workload will go to Winnipeg’s Ondrej Pavelec. If he’s not great, the Czechs will not defeat any of the other aforementioned powers in this tournament. Save percentage wise, Pavelec is one of the worst starters in the NHL. The Czechs backups are Alexander Salak, who could not crack either Florida or Chicago's lineup and is now a starter for St. Petersburg and Jakub Kovar who plays for Yekaterinburg Autombolist. As all the other contenders down to Switzerland can start a potentially world class goaltender, this must be seen as a major weak point for the Czechs. Finally, the big European ice surface is one that is not going to benefit the Czech’s style. They have put together a team that is better suited for North American rinks. That’s not to say they are going to be an easy out. The Czechs have the potential to be a big-time spoiler and could even grab a medal with the talent they have but weak goaltending and poor puck possession defensemen are huge obstacles to overcome when facing elite talent like they’ll see here.

Sweden is wickedly talented at every position. They have puck-dazzling skills up front, a mobile group of d-men with outstanding puck possession skills and a proven Olympic and NHL goaltender in Henrik Lundqvist. Lundqvist is really our only concern, despite many people insisting he’s still great. Still, given a choice between Lundqvist and Pavelec, we’d pick Lundqvist 100% of the time. Up front and led by the likes of Nicklas Backstrom, Gabriel Landeskog, Henrik Zetterberg, Alexander Steen and Gustav Nyquist, this group will cause chaos among opposing defenses. There are no glaring weaknesses on Team Sweden's roster besides perhaps a lack of physicality, which means if all goes to plan they should definitely threaten for gold. Sweden is the complete package (although the loss of Henrik Sedin is a blow) that includes a wealth of experience and pure hockey talent and we’ll step in on this group right away to win their opener.

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Marc LawrenceFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Antonio vs. BostonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: San AntonioFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Spurs meet Celtics in Beantown Wednesday night where success has been San Antonio's for the asking.  That's confirmed by Los Alamos' 16-6 SU and 15-7 ATS mark in Boston.  Better yet, the Spurs are 29-5 SU and 25-9 ATS in games of late when playing off a SU favorite loss in their last game, including 9-0 SUATS the last nine in games against foes off a win.  With that, look for more of the same this evening.  We recommend a 1-unit play on San Antonio.

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Jim Feist

Charlotte Bobcats vs. Brooklyn Nets    
Play: Charlotte Bobcats +7

These teams are in a playoff race, with the Nets in the No. 7 seed in the East and Charlotte No. 8. Charlotte is a young team that has turned a corner, on a 4-1 ATS run. They gave might San Antonio a go Sunday in a 104-100loss as Al Jefferson continued his recent surge with 26 points and Gerald Henderson scored 23. Jefferson is averaging 27.3 points and 11.8 rebounds while shooting 55.0 percent over the last 13 games. The Bobcats are 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 road games and 14-4 ATS against the NBA Atlantic division. Brooklyn is home but hasn't been tearing it up, on a 3-4 SU/ATS run, even losing on this floor to Toronto as a favorite. Charlotte is 4th in the NBA in points allowed, while Brooklyn is mediocre, 13th in points allowed, 21st in points scored, 29th in rebounding. Play the Charlotte.

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Cajun SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Sacramento Kings vs. New York KnicksFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: New York Knicks -5.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Wednesday’s NBA card features a few contests that offer us some decent value and the Kings – Knicks happen to be one of those games. The Knicks have been a Jekyll and Hyde type of team this season losing nineteen of their first twenty-nine against the number at home this season. Just when you think you can play against them they come up with margins of victory over the Celtics, Cavaliers and Nuggets that were twenty-six points or more. The Knicks are 14-3 against the number when facing a team with a win percentage range of twenty-five to forty percent during the second half of the season. The second half of the season is key here also because the Knicks are 56-37 against the spread during the second half of the season the last three years. The Pace-Tempo Matrix projects the Knicks with a transitional number of 38.44 with a conversion rate range of 39 to 43 percent. The BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 9.8 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 5.72 points with a current line range of -5 to -7. We want to Play ON NBA single-digit home favorites coming off a road SU/ATS loss facing an opponent who is currently riding at least a two-game SU/ATS losing skid with a BBMM projection differential of 5.20 points or more. These NBA home favorites are a blistering 24-11-2 ATS including a perfect 7-0 against the spread the last seven qualifying contests. With significant fundamental and situational advantages for the Knicks we will lay the points here as they perform another possible dismantling at MSG versus a Kings team who is searching for an identity. Lay the points

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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George Washington vs. VCUFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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George Washington is an under the radar type team that not many are taking about.  Too bad because the Colonials have won seven of eight and that includes a win over VCU at home, 76-66 as 1.5-point dogs back on January 14th.  Their latest win was an easy one over Fordham, 93-67 as 15-point chalk.  They outshot the Rams 59 percent to 32 percent and were 10 of 25 on three-pointers.  It was a similar story in the first meeting w/ VCU as GW held a 56 to 36 percent edge in shooting.  The Colonials' only loss over the last eight games came when they were missing three starters.
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Meanwhile, VCU has a huge showdown looming w/ St. Louis this weekend.  They are also off a loss to St. Joe's last weekend as they struggled to get the Hawks to play at the tempo they prefer and as a result didn't force many turnovers.  The GW Defense they go up against here has held three of its last four opponents under 33% shooting for the game.  Only 8-12 ATS as a favorite, VCU will win this game, but they won't cover.

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Ben Burns

Portland Trailblazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers    
Play: Los Angeles Clippers -7½

I like how this one sets up for the home team.

While the Clippers had the past two nights off, the Blazers are off a heartbreaker against OKC last night. They blew a lead and lost 98-95.

I was happy to see that result, as I had a ticket on the "under." I also immediately thought that Portland may struggle tonight. After all, that was a big game against the leading team in the Blazers' division, one they had a real opportunity to win.

Off back-to-back double-digit wins, the Clippers, who lost at Portland earlier, are playing well again now. They're 13-6 ATS their last 19 when attempting to avenge an earlier loss and 4-2 ATS (5-1 SU) on the season, after holding their previous opponent to 85 or fewer points. Consider LA.

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Red Dog Sports

Loyola-Chicago vs. Northern Iowa    
Play: Loyola-Chicago +10½

The visitors are off a 10-point home win over Illinois State and beat Northern Iowa in OT at home back in January. UNI is just 2-6 straight up in their last 8 and off a home loss to undefeated Wichita State in their last game.

Loyola-Chicago only lost by 12 at Wichita State and are led by Thomas, Osborne, White, Doyle and Crisman. Look for the underdog to stay within 10 points and cover.

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Brandon Shively

Penn State vs. Indiana    
Play: Penn State +8

I like Penn State in this spot tonight. Indiana is not a team that is capable of laying these points primarily because they turn the ball over too much at 15 times a game. When comparing shooting percentages, both teams matchup fairly evenly on the offensive and defensive end as well. Indiana is a team that tends to play to their level of competition also and I expect them to play a sloppy game tonight. It can be noted that Indiana is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Penn State has been a disappointment this year, but they have two talented guards along with a couple of guys that are willing to bang in the paint. Look for Newbill and Frazier to carry the load for the Nittany Lions and to do enough to keep this game in 3-4 point range. It can be noted that Penn State did beat Ohio State on the road a couple weeks ago on a Wednesday as Penn State somehow plays their best basketball on Wednesdays as they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games and a win on the road tonight is very much a possibility.


Philadelphia 76ers vs. Utah Jazz    
Play: Philadelphia 76ers +7½

The 76ers have been the laughing stock of the NBA their last two games losing by 43 and 45 points. This is the NBA and these guys are paid professionals. Most of these players come from winning backgrounds and I expect a much better effort tonight. They will be catching Utah on a back-to-back and Trey Burke isn't 100% either has he has been nursing a sore back and the 76ers have a good chance to keep this game within reach. Installing Utah as a 7 point favorite in this game is giving the Jazz way too much respect. They have only won 11 home games this year and only 4 of those games have come by more than 7 points. The Jazz are just not a good enough shooting team to be laying points I believe. I know it might be hard to do, but I fully expect Philly to hang in this game and cover this spread. They do have Arnette Moultrie finally healthy and he can give some quality minutes off the bench. Look for Philly to play with some pride tonight and cover this spread.
Play on Philly


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Rob Vinciletti

Boston College vs. Georgia Tech    
Play: Georgia Tech -2½

The Yellow Jackets look to sting a Boston College team they already defeated this season 68-60 on the road. In that game they dominated the boards 32-19. Tech will look to snap a 4 game spread losing streak and they are 5-0 this year vs losing teams and 4-1 at home vs Boston College. The Eagles are 1-12 with home loss revenge going 3-10 ats and 4-25 in lined road games. In games after allowing 80+ points they are a dismal 0-5 to the spread. Look for GA. Tech to take another from Boston College tonight.


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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 12

Justin Bay

George Mason vs. Massachusetts    
Play: George Mason +11½

George Mason
- Average 68.8 PPG
- Allow 71.5 PPG
- SOS: 102.7

UMass
- Average 77.3 PPG
- Allow 69.6 PPG
- SOS: 104

**According to our system, George Mason should be able to keep this to a seven point game.**

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta Hawks at Toronto RaptorsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Toronto RaptorsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Raptors are coming off a home win over the Pelicans, and bettors had to settle for a push in that game. They would win 108-101 as a seven point favorite, and tonight they are favored by a similar margin. They welcome the Atlanta Hawks to town, and Toronto may be catching the Hawks at a good time. Atlanta has lost four straight, and they have managed to score an average of just 86.5 points during that span. Fatigue could also be a factor, as the Hawks played last night in Chicago, losing to the Bulls by a score of 100-85. The Raptors are 10-3 over their last 13 home games, and they rank in the top 5 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing an average of just 97.1 points per game. Toronto is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight home games versus teams with a losing road record, and Atlanta is a team that really struggles on the road. Playing the final game before the All Star break is also a spot where the road team might not be motivated to give 100%.

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Stephen NoverFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Hawks / Raptors Under 200.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta has no stars anymore with Al Horford out for the season and Josh Smith and Joe Johnson long gone. The Hawks' lack of marquee scorers has really begun to show as they stagger into the All-Star break riding a four-game losing streak. During this span, Atlanta is averaging only 86.4 points a game. Point guard Jeff Teague has tried to take up the slack, but his play has regressed. His scoring is down four points a game this month. The Hawks are not a good road club - 9-16 SU, 11-14 ATS - and they're facing an underrated defense. Only four teams are surrendering fewer points per game than Toronto. The Raptors need a strong defense because their offense also lacks punch heavily reliant on streak shooting DeMar DeRozan. The Raptors rank 18th in scoring and 23rd in field goal percentage. They play far less up-tempo against Eastern Conference clubs. This is reflected in the under cashing in nine of their last 13 games versus Eastern foes. Toronto and the Los Angeles Clippers have had a couple huge scoring games, which might have altered perception about the Raptors and the over. The truth is the Raptors are a strong over team when playing athletic and quicker Western Conference clubs. The over has cashed 16 of 22 times in those situations for 73 percent. However, this is a showdown type matchup between Eastern Conference foes locked in a battle for playoff seeding to avoid meeting either Indiana or Miami in the first round. It's also the team's final game before the All-Star break so the defensive intensity should be up.


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Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Penn State at IndianaFOR  FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Penn StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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We believe there's a pretty good chance Indiana will win outright tonight at home against Penn State, but we don't believe they'll win in a blowout and we'll gladly take the generous points with the Nittany Lions here. PSU has covered the spread in two of their last three road games with a close one-point loss at Purdue (as a 7-point underdog) and an outright win at Ohio State (as a 13-point road dog).
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Hoosiers are one of the weaker teams in the conference and while they pulled a big upset against Michigan last week, they couldn't capitalize on the newly-gained momentum and fell by six points at Minnesota in their most recent contest. Both teams prefer a slower-paced game, which usually always favors the big underdogs as these games typically have less possessions and therefore less of a chance of running up the score.

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Duke vs. North CarolinaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DukeFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a free play on Duke over North Carolina Wednesday night as College Basketball's biggest rivalry is renewed.  Both teams come in hot as the 8th ranked Blue Devils are 7-1 SU/ATS their last eight games with the loss coming in overtime at Syracuse.  The underdog Tar Heels have won and covered five straight.
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Here are my keys to the game:FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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1.  Stepping Up - Save for a 12-point loss at the Carrier Dome against Syracuse, UNC has yet to really step up and play any of the big boys in the ACC.  Also remember that prior to this five-game win streak, they had gone 1-4 SU/0-5 ATS their previous five games.  They are still only 6-4 in conference play.  They lost both meetings last year against the Blue Devils.
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2. Too Much Offense - Duke leads the nation in offensive efficiency as they average 128.7 points per 100 possesions.  They shot 56% at Boston College Saturday, winning by 21 pts.
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3. X-Factor - Laying points hasn't been a problem for Coach K's charges as they are 14-7 ATS as favorites this season.

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Freddy Wills

Illinois vs. Nebraska    
Play: Nebraska -3

Illinois is not a good road team and that's an under statement. They are 2-5 on the road and are coming off a road win against Penn State, but they have not won back to back road games in 5 years. In road games this year they are shooting 35.3% from the field including 27.5% from 3. They only get to the FT line 12.9 times and are being out rebounded as well. I really do not see how Illinois can win this game unless Nebraska chokes.

Nebraska is not a great team by any means, but they have been a special team at home this year going 10-1. Their lone loss was against Michigan by 1 point. They recently beat Indiana, Minnesota, and Ohio State. They shoot 47.2% from the field, 37.3% from three while enjoying nearly 7 more FTA, courtesy of the refs/home crowd influence and they +2.6 in turnovers and +1.9 in rebound margin. They play good enough defense to get the job done especially against an Illinois team that has struggled big time on the road to score points.


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SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Sweden/Czech Republic Over 4½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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There are two games today to open the tournament. Latvia plays Switzerland and there’s this game that goes off at the same time. Lavtia has two NHL players on its roster while Switzerland has seven, including goaltender Jonas Hiller of the Ducks. We mention that because the total for the Latvia/Switzerland game is the same total as the Sweden/Czech Republic game. That’s ridiculous.
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Sweden and Czech Republic are both loaded with all-star caliber NHL talent up front. These teams are not put together like an NHL squad in that there are no checking lines or “fourth lines” to disrupt the opposition in any way. What we have here is four lines on both teams that feature scorers and point producers. The Czechs’ defense is a weak area that the Swedes figure to exploit. In terms of goaltending, that’s another weak area for the Czechs’ with Ondrej Pavelec getting the start. Pavelec has one of the NHL’s worst save percentages. For the Swedes, it’ll be Henrik Lundqvist and he’s having an average season because like every other goaltender on the planet, age and miles are beginning to catch up to him. The game is too fast for slowing down goaltenders and while that may be a little premature to suggest, Lundqvist looks nothing like he has the past few years and was showing signs of slowing down last season. In any event, Sweden and Czech Republic can’t be the same total as Latvia/Switzerland. That would be like an NFL game between Denver and Indy having the same total as a game between Seattle and San Francisco. Again, ridiculous. Play it over.
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Sweden -111 over Czech RepublicFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Three-way betting. The Czechs have some great parts. They are loaded with some of the hardest working, grittiest and most difficult players to play against the NHL. Vladimir Sobotka is a constant pest that is relentlessly preventing the best lines in the NHL from scoring. Devils forwards Patrick Elias and Jaromir Jagr are both ageless. Elias is one of the best two-way forwards in the NHL and Jagr, well, he may be slow but he’s incredible at protecting the puck and finding the open man. They should make a video of Jagr throughout his career and show it to every kid that wants to play hockey and instruct that kid to, “work as hard as that guy and emulate your game after him”. The Czechs may be short on flash up front but they have a solid core of players throughout the lineup.
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Unfortunately for the Czechs, they are not close to having the same talent as the Swedes, Russians, Canadians or Americans. Defensively, the Czechs top six are Marek Zidlicky, Tomas Kaberle Michal Rosival, Radko Gudas, Milan Michalek and Ladislav Smid. From a puck moving standpoint, an impressive group this is not. Ladislav Smid over Jan Hejda? Seriously? Smid is having a brutal year in Calgary while Hejda is having an all-star season in Colorado. These are mostly stay at home defensemen with the Czechs defensive depth rounded out by two European leaguers, unfamilar to North Americans. In net, the heavy workload will go to Winnipeg’s Ondrej Pavelec. If he’s not great, the Czechs will not defeat any of the other aforementioned powers in this tournament. Save percentage wise, Pavelec is one of the worst starters in the NHL. The Czechs backups are Alexander Salak, who could not crack either Florida or Chicago's lineup and is now a starter for St. Petersburg and Jakub Kovar who plays for Yekaterinburg Autombolist. As all the other contenders down to Switzerland can start a potentially world class goaltender, this must be seen as a major weak point for the Czechs. Finally, the big European ice surface is one that is not going to benefit the Czech’s style. They have put together a team that is better suited for North American rinks. That’s not to say they are going to be an easy out. The Czechs have the potential to be a big-time spoiler and could even grab a medal with the talent they have but weak goaltending and poor puck possession defensemen are huge obstacles to overcome when facing elite talent like they’ll see here.
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Sweden is wickedly talented at every position. They have puck-dazzling skills up front, a mobile group of d-men with outstanding puck possession skills and a proven Olympic and NHL goaltender in Henrik Lundqvist. Lundqvist is really our only concern, despite many people insisting he’s still great. Still, given a choice between Lundqvist and Pavelec, we’d pick Lundqvist 100% of the time. Up front and led by the likes of Nicklas Backstrom, Gabriel Landeskog, Henrik Zetterberg, Alexander Steen and Gustav Nyquist, this group will cause chaos among opposing defenses. There are no glaring weaknesses on Team Sweden's roster besides perhaps a lack of physicality, which means if all goes to plan they should definitely threaten for gold. Sweden is the complete package (although the loss of Henrik Sedin is a blow) that includes a wealth of experience and pure hockey talent and we’ll step in on this group right away to win their opener.

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EZWINNERS

Syracuse +1

Pittsburgh let one get away the first time these two teams met in Syracuse, so I'm sure a lot of people like the Panthers to knock off the number one team in the nation, but I'm not one of them. I like Syracuse to keep the undefeated season alive in another close one. Play on Syracuse

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DAVE COKIN

AIR FORCE AT SAN JOSE STATE
PLAY: AIR FORCE -1.5

There’s not much on the line tonight as Air Force takes on San Jose State. Both the Falcons and Spartans are mired in nasty losing streaks. But there’s at least an opportunity for a rare win for either side tonight, so this actually could end up being a pretty good basketball game.

Air Force has dropped six in a row since defeating, you guessed it, San Jose State. The Falcons have also notched conference wins over Utah State and they stunned UNLV on the road, so they at least know what it’s like to win.

San Jose State was at 6-6 heading into the new year. Since the calendar flipped to 2014, the Spartans are 0-11, and nearly all the losses have been decisive. The only close calls were against Colorado State and a very lazy on that day New Mexico entry. All the others have been double digits, so this team isn’t even getting close right now.

I’m pretty sure we’ll get the ultimate effort from the home team tonight. The Spartans have to know this is their best chance to get a league win, and it logically follows that they’ll be treating this as a really big game. But the truth is they appear to be so far behind the rest of the league that going winless in the MWC looks like a reality.

San Jose has one other thing going for them here. This team lives and dies with the three-ball. That’s their offense. The Spartans love to launch, and Air Force is a team that can be very vulnerable to the long range missiles.

Unfortunately for San Jose, they have been very much off target with those threes in league play. The Spartans are also basically unable to stop anything, and even in the midst of a bad run, Air Force is still doing a good job of setting up high percentage looks.

In matchups such as these, I’ll usually side with what is at least the more reliable fundamental team. If San Jose enjoys a breakout night on the treys, this probably goes down the drain. But I don’t see that as a likelihood, so I’m willing to buy the better basic basketball side, and I’ll back Air Force to get away with the win and cover.

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