College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 6
College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 6
College Basketball Information
Cincinnati won its last 14 games; they're 10-0 in AAC, 3-2 as favorite at home- they won last two games by total of 8 points. Bearcats are 4-3 in its last seven games with UConn, but Huskies won three of last four in this gym. UConn won five of last six games since getting swept down in Texas, winning last two road games, at Memphis/Rutgers. AAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-2 vs spread.
Home side won seven of last eight LSU-Georgia games, with LSU 5-2 in last seven, but losers in last two visits to Athens by 20-9 points. Dawgs lost last three games but are 3-1 at home in SEC, with only loss by 5 to Vandy- home teams are 6-2 vs spread in their SEC games. LSU lost its only two SEC road games, by 14 at Ole Miss, 2 at Alabama. SEC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 10-3-1 vs spread.
Georgia State (-11.5) waxed Ark-Little Rock 99-73 at home Jan 18, with Panthers making 15-34 from arc in game they led 59-29 at half. State is 9-0 in Sun Belt, 4-0 as road favorite, winning away games by 10-23-7-8 points- this is their third game in six nights. UALR won three of its last four games, is 3-1 at home in league, with only loss by 13 to Troy. Sun Belt home underdogs are 3-7 against the spread.
Louisiana Tech is 7-2 in C-USA, 4-0 as home favorites, winning home games by 20-34-20-21 points; Bulldogs are holding foes to 22.6% from arc, #1 in C-USA. First road game in 19 days for Tulsa team that won three of last four games- they split first two conference road games, losing by 4 at Charlotte, winning at Marshall. C-USA home favorites of more than 8 points are 14-5 vs spread.
Utah is 3-6 in Pac-12, but only one of six losses was by more than four points; they're 3-1 at home in Pac-12, winning by 11-18-5 points. Utes (+2.5) lost 59-57 at Washington Jan 8; Utah was 1-15 from arc, in game where both teams shot 52%+ inside arc. Washington lost its last four at home by 9-26-12-5 points; they're 2-2 as road underdogs. Pac-12 home favorites of 9+ points are 10-7 vs spread.
Oregon beat Arizona last two years, by 2-4 points; they're 5-2 against spread in last seven visits to Tucson, but are 2-6 in last eight games, 2-3 on road, with losses by 9-8-4 points. Arizona lost first game of season at Cal Saturday and lost big man Ashley for season; they're 2-3 as home favorites, winning by 35-9-23-12-9 points. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 9-7 vs spread.
Cal-Irvine (-1.5) beat Long Beach 46-44 Jan 9, in brickfest where Irvine scored only 3 points in last 10:00 of game, and both teams shot 38% or less inside arc. UCI won last three series games by 3-7-2 points; they're 1-2 as home favorites, winning by 18-6 points, losing to Hawai'i in OT. Big West home favorites of 7 or less points are 2-6 vs spread. 49ers are on 4-game win streak, winning last two on road, at Cal Poly/Hawai'i.
San Francisco won seven of last eight games with San Diego, winning its last four visits here by 2-10-11-13 points. Dons (-7) won 64-62 in first meeting at home Jan 18, going 6-11 from arc, only 12-22 on line. Toreros covered five of last six games (3-3 SU); they're 2-2 at home, winning by 7-18 points, losing to Pepperdine/Pacific. WCC home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-1 vs spread. Dons are 2-2 as WCC road dogs.
St Mary's (-10) crushed LMU 89-61 at home Jan 25; they've won three in row, 14 of last 15 vs Lions, winning last seven visits here, with six of seven wins by 11+ points. WCC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 2-3 vs spread. Gaels lost three of last four road games- favorites covered four of their five road games. LMU lost eight of last nine games, after its 2-0 WCC start; they lost last two home games, by 14-10 points.
Arizona State won three in row, nine of last ten games vs Oregon State, winning last five in Tempe by 10+ points; Sun Devils won last three at home by 19-4-21 points; they're 3-2 as Pac-12 favorites. Beavers won three of last four games, are 1-2 as road underdogs, losing road games by 6-11-6 points, with only win at Washington State. Pac-12 home faves of 8 or less points are 9-8 against the spread.
Belmont lost 79-74 at Murray State LY, then beat Racers 70-68 in OT in OVC tourney; Bruins got upset at Tennessee Tech last game, are 1-3 as OVC home favorite, winning home games by 11-2-14-3 points. OVC home favorites of 8 or less points are 14-12 vs spread. Murray is 8-1 in OVC, with only loss by 7 at Edwardsville; they won SU at EKU in its only game as conference underdog.
Fort Wayne (-1.5) beat South Dakota State 82-75 at home Jan 11, ending 7-game series skid; Mastodons shot 65% inside arc, survived State's 10 of 22 shooting from arc. Fort Wayne lost last six visits here, last three all by 26+ points- they're 6-1 in Summit, winning at Denver, losing by 14 at South Dakota. Summit League home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-3. Jackrabbits lost last two home games, to Omaha/North Dakota St.
Weber State (-2) won 72-60 at North Dakota Jan 11, making 9-17 from arc; they're 4-0 vs UND in Big Sky play, including 76-74 win in league tourney LY. Wildcats are 2-4 as home favorites, four of six home wins by 7 or less points. North Dakota won/covered four of its last six five games, is 2-2 on road, losing by 13 at Montana, 2 at Portland State. Big Sky home favorites of 9 or less points are 13-10-1 vs spread.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 6
Thursday's Pac-12 Action
By David Schwab
Second-ranked Arizona is still in control of the Pac-12 regular season title, but last Saturday's stunning two-point loss to California as a six-point road favorite has suddenly opened the door for a few other contenders in the conference. This Thursday, the Wildcats will be back in action against Oregon as part of a Pac-12 double-header that features Oregon State on the road against Arizona State in the nightcap.
Oregon Ducks at No. 2 Arizona Wildcats
The Ducks made some noise in the non-conference portion of their schedule with a perfect 12-0 straight-up record that included a 7-3-1 record against the spread. They started conference play with a tight two-point victory over Utah as 2½-point road favorites, but it has been a train wreck ever since with just two SU victories in their last eight games. Oregon has failed to cover in 10 of its last 11 games and the total has stayed UNDER in its last five outings.
Scoring has not been an issue for this team with an average of 84.7 points per game while shooting 47.2 percent from the field. This is the sixth-highest scoring total in the nation, but the Ducks are ranked 298th in Division I in points allowed; giving-up an average of 75.4 PPG. They have tightened things up in their last three outings by holding Washington State and USC to a combined 110 points in two wins and UCLA to 70 points in a close two-point loss.
Arizona's loss to Cal was the fourth straight game it failed to cover the spread. It is now 21-1 SU overall with an 8-1 mark in conference play, but this recent slide has dropped it to 13-8 ATS. The Wildcats are 8-5 ATS at home and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of 12 home games with a posted line. They are 4-5 ATS against the Pac-12 this season and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of those nine games. One injury note, starting forward Brandon Ashley (11.5 PPG, 5.8 RPG) was lost for the season after hurting his foot in Saturday's loss.
The Wildcats are averaging 73.5 PPG and shooting a respectable 47.2 percent from the field, but defense has been their strong suit by holding opposing teams to just 56.8 PPG and to 37.6 percent shooting from the field. They are pulling down a total of 39.2 rebounds a game with 25.5 coming on defense, which is the second-highest total in the nation. This is one of the main reasons that the total has stayed UNDER in 15 of 20 games this year.
Arizona opened as an 11.5-point home favorite for Thursday night's battle.
The Wildcats have covered just twice in their last seven home games against Oregon and the total has stayed UNDER in five of those contests. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings overall.
Oregon State Beavers at Arizona State Sun Devils
Oregon State improved to 5-4 both SU and ATS in conference play with this past Saturday's 71-67 victory over UCLA as a five-point home underdog. It is now 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) in its last five games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of those contests. The Beavers are 13-8 SU overall with a 9-8-1 record ATS. They have failed to cover in four of their seven previous road games and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games on the road.
The Beavers are ranked 14th in the nation shooting the ball with a field goal percentage of 49 perfect and they are an above-average scoring team with 77 points a game. The main thing holding this team back from being one of the best in the Pac-12 this season is a defense that is allowing an average of 73.7 PPG. Sunday's victory over the Bruins was just second time Oregon State held an opponent to less than 70 points in its last eight games. It has also had its issues under the boards with an average of 34.6 rebounds a game.
The Sun Devils' three-game SU winning streak came to an end with a 76-70 loss to Stanford as 5 ½-point road underdogs this past Saturday. The loss dropped them to 5-4 in conference play and 16-6 overall. They have gone 4-5 ATS against the Pac-12 and the total has gone OVER in five of their last six conference games. Arizona State has covered in six of 10 home games this season and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of those contests.
This team cruised through the non-conference portion of its schedule with just two losses in 13 games, but it has struggled with consistency from one game to the next against the Pac-12. Arizona State relies heavily on Jahii Carson (42.4 percent) and Jermaine Marshall's (47.5 percent) ability to hit 3-point shots, so if they both get cold it often times finds itself in trouble. Defensively, the Sun Devils are holding teams to an average of 66.9 PPG, but they have allowed 72 points or more in five of their last six games.
The Sun Devils opened as 8.5-point home favorites against Oregon State but the line quickly dropped to 7.
The Beavers are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games of this conference clash including a 1-4 mark ATS in their last five trips to Arizona State. The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings in Tempe.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, February 6
UConn at Cincinnati
By Brian Edwards
Cincinnati (20-2 straight up, 10-7 against the spread) will put its perfect 10-0 AAC record on the line tonight when it takes on Connecticut. The Bearcats will also have a 14-game winning streak at stake vs. the Huskies.
As of early this morning, most betting shops had Cincinnati listed as a five-point home favorite.
Mick Cronin's team hasn't tasted defeat since a December 14 loss at Xavier. Cincy got its best win of the season last week when it went into Louisville and captured a 69-66 win as a nine-point road underdog. The Bearcats hooked up money-line supporters with a generous payout in the +360 range.
Sean Kilpatrick scored a game-high 28 points against U of L. The senior guard was money from the free-throw line at crunch time. Kilpatrick made all 11 of his attempts from the charity stripe, including four on his team's last two possessions. Justin Jackson returned from an ankle injury suffered at Temple two Sundays ago to play like a beast against the defending champs.
Jackson was injured and couldn't play at U of L in the Yum! Center last season, and Rick Pitino's team took advantage of Jackson's absence and dealt out a beatdown. Not last week, though. Jackson scored 11 points, grabbed nine rebounds, dished out three assists, blocked two shots and made a pair of steals in 37 workmanlike minutes.
After the big win at U of L, Sunday's noon tip against South Florida was a vintage letdown spot for Cincy. The Bearcats had to play South Florida to the wire before escaping with a 50-45 triumph. The Bearcats were never a threat to cover the expensive price (-15.5). Kilpatrick scored a game-high 18 points, while Jackson finished with 15 points, six rebounds and three blocked shots.
Connecticut (17-4 SU, 10-9 ATS) has won three in a row and six of its last seven both SU and ATS. The Huskies destroyed Houston by an 80-41 count to take the cash as 13-point home favorites. Shabazz Napier led the way with 19 points, seven rebounds and three assists.
Napier is most likely on his way to earning first-team All-American honors. He hit a buzzer beater to beat Florida and leads his team in four key categories. Napier paces the Huskies in scoring (17.9 points per game), rebounding (6.0 RPG), assists (5.7 APG) and steals (1.9).
UConn has been an underdog three times this season, going 1-2 both SU and ATS. The Huskies won outright at Memphis, but they failed to cover as 'dogs in defeats vs. Louisville and at SMU.
Cincy is unbeaten in 15 home games with a 7-2 spread record. The Bearcats are 3-0 ATS as single-digit home 'chalk.'
The 'under' has been a major money maker in Cincinnati games over the last three seasons. The 'under' started 13-1 for the Bearcats this year before the 'over' emerged in back-to-back games. However, in Saturday's narrow, non-covering home win over South Florida, the 'under' was once again an easy winner.
The 'under' is on a 27-5 run in the last 32 games for Cronin's team, which ranks fourth in the nation in scoring defense by allowing only 56.7 PPG. The 'under' is 8-1 in Cincy's nine lined home games this year.
The 'over' is on an 8-2 run in UConn's last 10 games with a total. The 'over' has hit in all five of its road assignments this year.
ESPN will provide the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.
B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets
Michigan State will take on a vastly improved Penn State team Thursday at Breslin Center. The Spartans are expecting to get senior center Adreian Payne back into the lineup after an eight-game absence due to a foot injury. Payne, who averages 16.2 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, has been upgraded to 'probable.' The Nittany Lions have won three straight games, including a stunning triumph at Ohio State last week. Most spots have installed Tom Izzo's team as a 13-point home favorite.
Boise State blew a 14-point lead with 13:37 left in the second half and eventually took a crushing home loss to San Diego State last night. Xavier Thames ignited the Aztecs' comeback and Dwayne Polee II finished the job with a dagger 3-pointer with four ticks remaining. BSU's Derrick Marks missed a potential game-winning three at the buzzer. Steve Fisher's team won its 19th consecutive game by a 67-65 count, hooking up its backers as a two-point underdog. Thames scored 23 points for the Aztecs, who will remain a candidate for a No. 1 seed if they keep winning. As for the Broncos, their hopes of a second straight at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament went out the window with the defeat. BSU is winless in eight games against RPI Top-100 opponents.
I've been saying for weeks that Kevin Stallings is doing a helluva job with a depleted Vandy team that plays just six players for most part, with a seventh playing 6-8 minutes per game. Nevertheless, the Commodores have won four in a row with three of those victories as underdogs for nice money-line payouts. I was on Vandy last night and in last week's win at Georgia. The 'Dores held off Tennessee 64-60 at Memorial Gym as 5.5-point home 'dogs.
Wichita State stayed undefeated and took the cash in one of the toughest testers left on its regular-season slate. The Shockers went into Indiana State and seized a 65-58 win as 4.5-point road favorites.
Pitt avoided a three-game losing streak by beating Miami 59-55 last night in Coral Gables. The Panthers needed overtime to get out unscathed, but their backers had to rip up tickets as 5.5-point favorites.
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