Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Toronto at Sacramento
The Raptors are coming off a 94-79 win over Utah and head into Sacramento tonight with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games following a SU win by more than 10 points. Toronto is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1)

Game 701-702: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 110.143; Philadelphia 106.288
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 4; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-2); Under

Game 703-704: LA Lakers at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 109.637; Cleveland 112.866
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 3; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+6 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: San Antonio at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 125.726; Washington 121.111
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Under

Game 707-708: Portland at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.989; New York 123.083
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+2 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Detroit at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.275; Orlando 112.576
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+3 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Minnesota at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 122.288; Oklahoma City 133.276
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City 9; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under

Game 713-714: Dallas at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.913; Memphis 123.460
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Phoenix at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.941; Houston 124.651
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Atlanta at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.843; New Orleans 120.390
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 203
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Milwaukee at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 107.398; Denver 123.746
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 16 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 12 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-12 1/2); Under

Game 721-722: Toronto at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 122.269; Sacramento 119.401
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 200
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1); Under

Game 723-724: Miami at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 117.681; LA Clippers 128.139
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2); Over

NHL

Chicago at Anaheim
The Blackhawks head to Anaheim tonight to face a Ducks team that is 18-3 in its last 21 home games when the total is set at 5 1/2. Anaheim is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120)

Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.778; Buffalo 11.694
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+175); Under

Game 3-4: Chicago at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.127; Anaheim 12.667
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-120); Over

Game 5-6: Dallas at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.408; San Jose 11.899
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-200); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Wichita State at Indiana State
The Shockers take their 23-0 record on the road to Indiana State tonight to face a Sycamores team that is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus teams with a winning SU record. Indiana State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Shockers favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+4 1/2)

Game 725-726: Nebraska at Michigan (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 63.679; Michigan 74.778
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 11; 143
Vegas Line: Michigan by 13; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+13); Over

Game 727-728: Boston College at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 59.496; Virginia 70.387
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 11; 118
Vegas Line: Virginia by 14; 124
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+14); Under

Game 729-730: Oklahoma at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 69.333; West Virginia 66.642
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 2 1/2; 162
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 2 1/2; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (+2 1/2); Over

Game 731-732: Hofstra at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 45.694; Northeastern 57.259
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (-8 1/2)

Game 733-734: College of Charleston at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.018; Delaware 55.811
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 3
Vegas Line: Delaware by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (+5 1/2)

Game 735-736: St. Bonaventure at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 63.352; Richmond 63.376
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Richmond by 3
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+3)

Game 737-738: Dayton at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 61.941; George Mason 56.624
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Dayton by 3
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-3)

Game 739-740: LaSalle at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.620; Massachusetts 70.024
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 12 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-7 1/2); Under

Game 741-742: William & Mary at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 51.324; NC-Wilmington 49.202
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+3 1/2)

Game 743-744: St. Louis at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 65.366; St. Joseph's 66.769
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 1; 134
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+1)

Game 745-746: Ball State at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 44.880; Buffalo 62.302
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-14 1/2)

Game 747-748: Eastern Michigan at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.634; Akron 58.115
Dunkel Line: Akron by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 5
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+5)

Game 749-750: South Florida at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 58.336; Central Florida 60.240
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 2; 130
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+4); Under

Game 751-752: Bowling Green at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 49.913; Toledo 64.439
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 12
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-12)

Game 753-754: Duquesne at George Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 52.523; George Washington 69.907
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (-10 1/2)

Game 755-756: Kent State at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 51.676; Central Michigan 47.240
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-2)

Game 757-758: Ohio at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 57.807; Western Michigan 54.322
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 1
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-1)

Game 759-760: Pittsburgh at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 73.327; Miami (FL) 66.102
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 115
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 122
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4 1/2); Under

Game 761-762: Youngstown State at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 53.780; Wright State 62.149
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-6)

Game 763-764: Auburn at South Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 61.549; South Carolina 61.312
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+2 1/2)

Game 765-766: Alabama at Arkansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 57.070; Arkansas 71.067
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 14
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-7 1/2)

Game 767-768: Tennessee at Vanderbilt (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 68.307; Vanderbilt 61.972
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-4 1/2)

Game 769-770: Illinois-Chicago at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.410; WI-Green Bay 63.372
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 14
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+16 1/2)

Game 771-772: Northern Iowa at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 58.709; Illinois State 56.623
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa

Game 773-774: Missouri State at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 54.427; Evansville 53.366
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 1
Vegas Line: Evansville by 2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+2)

Game 775-776: Wichita State at Indiana State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 65.761; Indiana State 64.421
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 1 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 4 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 777-778: Minnesota at Purdue (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 64.150; Purdue 67.830
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 3 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-2); Under

Game 779-780: Stanford at California (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 65.871; California 71.174
Dunkel Line: California by 5 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: California by 3 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-3 1/2); Under

Game 781-782: Louisville at Houston (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 74.620; Houston 62.584
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12; 149
Vegas Line: Louisville by 14 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+14 1/2); Over

Game 783-784: Virginia Tech at Florida State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 49.727; Florida State 70.735
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 21
Vegas Line: Florida State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-15)

Game 785-786: Mississippi State at Texas A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 55.726; Texas A&M 64.429
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-7)

Game 787-788: Nevada at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 60.183; Utah State 59.539
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1
Vegas Line: Utah State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+7)

Game 789-790: Fresno State at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 53.727; Air Force 59.399
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+1 1/2)

Game 791-792: San Diego State at Boise State (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 64.824; Boise State 68.185
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 3 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Boise State by 1 1/2; 133
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-1 1/2); Under

Game 793-794: Washington State at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 52.241; Colorado 69.081
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 17; 121
Vegas Line: Colorado by 10 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-10 1/2); Under

Game 795-796: Portland at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 56.152; Gonzaga 73.281
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 17
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 15
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-15)

Game 797-798: UNLV at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 62.869; Colorado State 61.665
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 1
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+1 1/2)

Game 799-800: Wyoming at New Mexico (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 56.972; New Mexico 68.797
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 12; 133
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-10 1/2); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

Scott Spreitzer

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers    
Play: Cleveland Cavaliers -6½

Cleveland has been "no great shakes," but at least there are signs of life and the same cannot easily be said about the L.A. Lakers. When your starting five includes Steve Blake, the aging and oft-injured Steve Nash, Ryan Kelly, Jodie Meeks, and Robert Sacre, you have some major issues. The starting-five scored a grand total of 27 points for L.A., and yes Wesley Johnson and Nick Young saw a lot of time off the bench last night, but you get the picture. The Lakers were crushed on the glass and turned the ball over 16 times in last night's loss in Minneapolis. Los Angeles has now lost seven straight games, giving up over 108 ppg. A contest against the Lakers should prove "just what the doctor ordered" for the Cavaliers. Besides the injuries to Kobe and Pau Gasol, Jodie Meeks is questionable after injuring his ankle last night, while Jordan Hill is questionable suffering from headaches, and Steve Nash is not expected to play as he eases back into game shape. The depth-shy Lakers already struggle on the road against uptempo teams, those that average at least 83 shots per game, covering just 9 of the last 31 in this spot. More of the same. I'm recommending a play on the Cavaliers, minus the points on Wednesday.

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Jimmy Boyd

Boston Celtics -2

I like the favorite in a matchup featuring two of the leagues worst teams. Boston is coming into this game following a confidence boosting win over the Orlando Magic. The Celtics are up against a 76ers team that has lost three consecutive games, and six of their last seven. Philadelphia's defense has been bad all season, but it has been absolutely horrible in their last five games. The 76ers are yielding 112.8 points per game to their opponents over their past five games.

Boston comes into this matchup with an equally poor record, but they have been playing better basketball recently. The Celtics have surrendered a mere 91.6 points per game to division opponents this season, and they are allowing 96.8 points per game over their last five games. Philadelphia is 10 games below .500 against the spread when playing at home, while Boston is two games above .500 against the spread when playing on the road. Boston's struggling offense should get a big boost in production when facing the league's worst scoring defense tonight.

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Jim Feist

Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Clippers    
Play: Los Angeles Clippers -1

The Clippers are off a loss at Denver by one point but a very good bounce back team, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a spread loss. Into town comes LeBron James and the Miami Heat, so you know the crowd is going to be wild to beat the defending champs. Miami is a long way from home, once again a weak rebounding team, 30th in the NBA. They are starting a 6 game trip here on a 2-5 ATS run. he LA Clippers are No. 4 in the West with a dynamite offense, No. 2 in the NBA in points scored and very strong on defense for new coach Doc Rivers. LA is home and rested and the Clippers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games playing on one days rest. The home crowd will be fired up and when these teams meet it's been all home court, with the home team 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings and the Miami Heat is 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Los Angeles. Play the LA Clippers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

Rob Vinciletti

San Antonio Spurs vs. Washington Wizards    
Play: Washington Wizards

Washington applies to a nice system we use that plays on non conference home teams with 1 day of rest if they covered the spread at home in their last game, provided the line was within 3 points of pick and they scored 100 or more points. If their opponent tonight, The Spurs won and covered as a road favorite in their last game. This system has cashed close to 90% the past few seasons. The Spurs continue to deal with a myriad of injuries and could get beat by anyone on any night until they recover some of their better players. Washington has won 6 of 7 off a win of 10 or more and has covered the last 4 vs winning teams. Look for the Wizards to take this one tonight.


Rob Vinciletti's Featured Package

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

Justin Bay

Auburn vs. South Carolina    
Play: Auburn +2½

Auburn
- Average 73.3 PPG
- Allow 71 PPG
- SOS: 101.8

South Carolina
- Average 71.2 PPG
- Allow 70.9 PPG
- SOS: 102.8

**Tyrone Johnson is out indefinitely with a foot injury (Averages 27 minutes per game and 11 PPG for the Gamecocks.**

**According to our system, we have Auburn winning this game straight up with Tyrone Johnson in the lineup so with him being out this pick looks even better.**

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Larry Ness

Auburn at South Carolina
Pick: South Carolina

Auburn features one of nation’s top scoring duos in guards Chris Denson (19.5 PPG) and K.T. Harrell (19.2 PPG) but no other player is able to average as much as 9.0 PPG. the Tigers opened SEC play 0-2 but have won two in a row, as they travel to South Carolina on Wednesday. Surprisingly, Auburn placed FIVE players in double figures in a victory over Georgia at home on Saturday,as Denson and Harrell combined for 34 points.

Auburn in is now 2-6 in SEC play, one game better than the Gamecocks, who at 1-7, sit in last place in the SEC. South Carolina lost guard Tyrone Johnson (11.2-3.4 APG) to a broken foot on Jan 15 but the team has shown signs of being competitive in FOUR of its past five contests. The Gamecocks lost 75-71 Saturday to third-place Mississippi, lost to the Rebels by one point two weeks ago, pushed Missouri in an eight-point loss and recorded its lone conference triumph in a blowout of Texas A&M.

6-5 freshman swingman Sindarius Thornwell, the team's leading scorer at 13.4 PPG, has been on a recent scoring binge, averaging 20.2 PPG the last five, while also averaging 5.6 RPG and 4.2 APG. Senior guard Brenton Williams (13.3 PPG) has averaged 22.5 PPG his last four, including nailing 16 three-pointers over his last three games. Freshman guard Duane Notice (7.5-2.9 APG) has shown flashes of brilliance (games of 14 and 19 points) and moments of struggle (games of two and four points).

All in all, the Gamecocks have a backcourt to compete well up against Auburn's Denson and Harrell. South Carolina also owns a solid 6-5 small forward in Carrera (7.0-5.1) plus a trio of big men in the 6-9 Henry, the 6-7 Kacinas and the 6-11 Chatkevicius, who combine to average about 14.5 PPG and 12 RPG.

I will back South Craolina here, against the poor traveling Tigers. Auburn is 0-5 SU in true road games this year, while also losing by 19 points to Illinois in Atlanta. Auburn lost by 29 at Iowa St early on and then has lost all four road games in the SEC, the last three by an average margin of 12.7 PPG.

It's almost a exact repeat of LY for Auburn, which won its first SEC road game, then lost its final eight, before losing its first SEC tourney game at Tennessee to A&M. Auburn lost those nine SEC games (eight road / one neutral) by an average margin of 12.8 PPG. Sound familiar?

I will note that Auburn's lone SEC road win last season did come 74-71 at South Carolina but shouldn't that even make it tougher on the Tigers this time around? That's my bet.

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Marc Lawrence

Portland Trailblazers at New York Knicks
Pick: New York Knicks

We study long and hard to come up with these difficult scheduling spots and here’s another one: the Blazers defeated the Knicks by 11 points in Portland earlier this season and are 5-10 ATS in games against teams they beat earlier this campaign. Meanwhile, the home lovin’ Knicks return home after a 1-game road trip which was preceded by an 8-game home stand, while the Blazers had lost four of their last six games at press time, with three of those losses by 13 or more points. So, are the petals falling off the Rose for the Trail Blazers? Well, we won’t go that far, but much like the Heat, very good teams can become a bit disinterested in the middle of an excruciatingly long regular season… and we’re right there to pick up the pieces (or petals, if you prefer). Remember that the Knicks are riding a ‘Melo wave right now and are 10-4 ATS at home in this series (7-2 ATS with revenge). New York is also 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after playing the Bucks and 7-2 ATS before the Nuggets. And as usual, a clincher lurks nearby: the Knicks are 18-9 SU and 19-8 ATS at MSG with same-season revenge versus Western Conference foes, including 6-1 SUATS in the last seven meetings. Toss in Portland's puny 2-12 ATS mark on the Wednesday night road and all the pieces are in place. We recommend a 1-unit play on New York.

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Don Best Consensus

Pittsburgh at Miami Florida
Pick: Pittsburgh

The Canes have lost to much talent and experience to compete against the leagues better teams. Their last victory over a team that offered a betting line was Georgia Tech 3 weeks ago. Home Court Advantage ?? Not exactly, Miami has a 1-8 ATS record in their last 9 home games. This play is more of a fade against the Hurricanes more than it is respect for the Panthers.

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Ken Thomson

Indiana St. +4.5

I love the way Coach Marshall's Shockers play the game on Defense.  On offense they are Blue Collar and rely on defensive breakdowns from their opponents.  They help aid those breakdowns by good solid ball movement.  Cleanthony Early has been steady all season and sophomore Ron Baker has been his usual opportunistic self.  Mix in the magician at point guard, Fred VanVleet and you have a team that is ( 23-0 ) with a shot at a one seed.  Jake Odum leads five double digit scorers for the Sycamores and Terra Haute will be rocking at Larry Bird's Alma mater as long as the snow doesn't wreak havoc on travel conditions.  Arop, Gant, Smith and Cummings who had 22 points in the opening game at Wichita, combine with Odum to make this team a legit threat to win this game outright.  If the Shockers sidestep this minefield they should run the table.  I'm calling the outright upset for Indiana State!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

River City Sharps

West Virginia -2

Of course this one jumped off the sheet last night when we first look at the lines. We have West Virginia in the role of unranked home favorite over Oklahoma, ranked road dog of less than 3 points. As many of our long time clients know, this is about an automatic plays for us (unless there is an unusual circumstance, injury, etc) The home teams wins and covers in this spot about 75% of the time, so it's just not a system you want to buck. Couple that with the fact that the Mountaineers are playing some of their basketball of the year with back-to-back wins at Baylor and this weekend over Kansas State. West Virginia is averaging 83 ppg at home, while Oklahoma only musters 75.8 ppg on the road. We can look at the stats all day, but this really is a system play.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

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1* Boise St -2FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The #5 ranked San Diego State Aztecs come into this game with a 19-1 record and a perfect 8-0 record in the conference but yet find themselves a small underdog in this game and I believe for good reason. Boise State is excellent at defending the home court as they are 15-7 overall, but just one of those losses came on their home court which was a 52-50 set back against Wyoming on January 11th. The Broncos have also played San Diego State very tough. Boise State won this match up at home last year and have lost by a combined six point in their three visits to San Diego since joining the Mountain West. The Aztecs are a great defensive team, one of the best in the country, but offensivly this team can really struggle to put the ball in the basket as they are just 231st on the country in field goal percentage at 43.5%. ESPN will be calling this an upset, but it really won't be from a betting perspective. Lay the points.

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Carlos Salazar

Miami Heat AT LA Clippers
Play: LA Clippers -1.5

Carlos is betting against the Heat on Wednesday as he see this as a game that Wade might take a rest on. The Clippers will be plenty motivated on the home court to give the Heat their best. Play on the LA Clippers laying the point and a half.


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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, February 5

DAVE COKIN
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
SAN DIEGO STATE AT BOISE STATE
PLAY: BOISE STATE -1.5
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There’s no way of knowing for sure how any team will respond in the next game following an epic collapse. That’s definitely a big question tonight as Boise State plays host to San Diego State in a key Mountain West Conference matchup.
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The Broncos really blew it on Saturday at UNLV, completely falling apart down the stretch in what was a horrible beat for any Boise State bettors. They now have to gather themselves as the best team in the league comes calling.
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What leads me to think Boise State will rebound is that it was their best player who let them down the most on Saturday. Derrick Marks clanked a couple of free throws and then missed an easy look from maybe 12 feet. Marks left the T&M with goat horns attached, and good players usually come back in a big way after a game like that.
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It’s never easy to go against the Aztecs in a short number situation. This team has its flaws on offense to be sure, but they’re just plain nasty on defense. SDSU also has a true closer in Xavier Thames, who has become a bigger star than I thought he would be and is as cool as the flip side of the pillow when it matters most.
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There are a couple of injury issues in this game, with Davis a question for the Aztecs and Elorriaga possibly out for Boise State. Elorriaga is a good shooter, but really not much else for the Broncos. He’s basically a DH to borrow some baseball terminology. Davis is vital to the Aztecs as he can really dominate the glass at both ends of the court. If Davis cannot go, it’s a big loss for the Aztecs.
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The number here is a good indicator for me. San Diego State is one of the top ranked teams in the land, and yet they’re a dog to a team that’s 15-7 overall, but only 7-7 in its last 14 outings. I feel the line is set to encourage action on the San Diego State side, and as anyone who has followed me over the years already likely knows, I like fading public dogs. There’s still nothing easy about bucking the Aztecs at any time, but I’m siding with Boise State tonight.

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Ray Monohan

Saint Louis Billikens -1

There are few teams going better than the Billikens right now who are leading the A10 standings and have won 14 in a row. They do tend to play close games but these guys are winners thanks to experience and a defense that only gives up 59ppg. It is that formula which makes them such a good road team, 7-0 SU in true road games. With a very small number in this one all you have to do is bank on them winning against a good but not great St. Joe’s squad. They probably won’t blow them out but it won’t come down to the last possession either.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Stars at SharksFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Stars have played themselves back into contention for a playoff spot, sitting two points back of eighth place Vancouver. Dallas has won five of it's last seven overall, allowing opponents to score just nine goals during that span. Kari Lehtonen has a pair of shutouts, and he's posted a 1.50 GAA while winning four of his last six starts. He'll be between the pipes tonight in San Jose, facing a Sharks team that has really struggled of late. San Jose has lost four of it's last five games, scoring just five goals during that span. The power-play has been a sore spot for the Sharks, as they have scored just once in their last 21 chances. With both clubs badly needing these points, I expect to see a tight, gritty game here tonight, with scoring chances coming at a premium.

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Bryan PowerFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Minnesota vs. Oklahoma CityFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MinnesotaFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The T'wolves won by 10 points last night, but that was the Lakers and they are still one game under .500.  As I've detailed ad nauseam, the numbers just don't match up when it comes to Minnesota's YTD point differential and their record.  They are +4.4 PPG for the year, 7th best in the league, and for the sake of comparison Portland (who is +4.6 PPG) is 20 games over .500.  In fact, all six teams above the T'wolves in point differential are all at least 15 games over .500.  While may patience is wearing somewhat thin w/ this team when it comes to making a sustained run, I feel there are an excellent value tonight catching this many points.
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Oklahoma City is also probably due to start "giving some back" as they are 11-1 SU L12 and 9-3 ATS.  After losing in Washington over the weekend, they rebounded w/ a win over red-hot win Memphis Monday here at home.   But last time these teams played, it was a four-point game up in Minnesota.  That's worth noting b/c the T'wolves are 9-2 ATS this season seeking revenge for a home loss.  Look for the underdog to keep this one close.

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Wunderdog

San Antonio at Washington
Pick: San Antonio +1

It is hard to go against this San Antonio team under any circumstances, as they have been an elite team for well over a decade. And the one sure thing you can count on with this team is that they show up every night. The Spurs have no problem playing on the road where thy own a 17-5 mark on the season, and they own an 11-1 straight-up mark this year on the road when facing a team with a winning percentage of less than .520. Washington has played better of late, but could be facing a letdown after a big win vs. Portland here in their last game. The Spurs are 43-19-1 ATS in their last 63 vs. the East, and own an 18-6-2 ATS mark vs. Washington in the last 26 meetings, including 6-0 ATS last six here. Play on San Antonio.

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Teddy Covers 

Auburn at South Carolina
Play: South Carolina -2.5

Auburn hasn’t won a road game this year, and they’re riding a 1-8 ATS streak on the highway dating back to last year.  Tony Barbee’s squad lacks veteran depth, and they’ve been abysmal defensively once they leave the friendly confines of Auburn Arena; particularly on the perimeter where they’ve allowed opponents to shoot 40 percent from three point land. 

And Auburn is a tad bit fat and happy off back-to-back home wins, their first two wins in SEC play.  Even after those wins, the Tigers are still just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 against conference foes; a consistent pointspread underachiever.  And the Tigers biggest weakness offensively – turnovers in bunches; with an 0.63 assist-to-turnover ratio on the road this year – plays right into the Gamecocks defensive strength.

Sure, South Carolina doesn’t deserve to be favored against many teams; just 1-7 SU in SEC play.  But they’re clearly getting better.  They led at Ole Miss by 15 in the 2nd half last weekend before a late collapse, and beat Texas A&M by 28 in their last game on this floor.  Head coach Frank Martin: “I think we’re a much better team as the season has progressed. I think our guys believe in who we can become. We’ve got a lot of good kids.”

Frosh point guard Duane Notice talking about the late collapse at Ole Miss: “As a unit, we’ve just got to refrain from being discouraged. I feel like we’re doing a good job of that, so I feel like, in the future when we have games under our control, we’ll be able to win them at the end of games and not make silly turnovers, mistakes or letdowns. We’ll be able to get stops that put us in position to win games.”  I couldn’t agree more!

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