College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday, February 5
College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday, February 5
College Basketball Information
Nebraska won three of last four games, covered last six; they're 3-0 as a road underdog, with road losses by 10-6-4 points. Michigan (-5.5) won 71-70 in Lincoln Jan 9, despite going 3-9 on foul line; they shot 75.8% (25-33) inside arc in winning third in row against the Huskers by 16-15-1 point. Wolverines are 3-1 as home favorites, winning by 23-13-8-9 in Crisler Arena. Big Dozen double digit home favorite are 7-7 vs spread.
Oklahoma swept West Virginia LY, by 10-13 points; Sooners won four of last five games overall, are 4-1 as road underdogs- dogs are 7-2 vs the spread in their league games. West Virginia won three of last four games, winning last two home games by 6-10 points, after losing first two. Six of their nine league games were decided by 6 or less points. Big X home teams are 2-5 vs spread in games where spread was less than 4 points.
Third game in five nights for Delaware squad that won its last 11 games but is down two starters; Blue Hens are 2-3 as home favorite, with four of five CAA home wins by 7 or less points. CAA home favorites of 6 or less points are 4-14 vs spread. Charleston is 1-3 on CAA road, losing by 4-2-11 points; they're 1-5 vs spread in last six games, 1-1 as road dogs. Cougars allow opponents to shoot just 42.1% inside arc.
LaSalle/UMass both lost three of last four games; Explorers are 0-5 vs spread in their last five games, 1-2 on A-13 road, losing by 15-22 points. Minutemen are 17-4, 4-3 in league, have one A-13 win by more than five points. LaSalle won three in row, seven of last eight games with UMass, winning last four here by 9-11-21-7 points. Atlantic 13 home favorites of 7+ points are 8-11 against the spread.
St Joe's has almost no depth due to injuries; its bench played total of 34 minutes in last two games, tough wins over Dayton/UMass. Hawks lost last seven games with Saint Louis, dropping last four here by 11-9-4-12 points. A-13 favorites are 10-4 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Billikens are 7-0 in A-13 but got taken to OT by winless George Mason in last game; was that a red flag?
Akron was 10-19 from arc in 78-68 (+3.5) win at Eastern Michigan two weeks ago, its fourth win in row over Eagles by 14-30-8-10. Zips won three of last four games, are 1-2 as home favorites, winning at home by 7-27 points, with loss to Toledo. MAC single home favorites are 8-15 vs spread. EMU lost three of last four games, is 0-2 as road underdog in MAC, with road losses by 10-4 points.
Road team is 8-0 vs spread in Miami's ACC games; Hurricanes are 0-3 as home underdogs, losing by 1-10-21-11 points at home. Pitt is 2-3 in last five games after losing at home to Duke/Virginia last week; Panthers are 2-0-1 as road favorites, with road wins by 12-7-1-4 points. Miami's only two conference wins were on road at UNC/Ga Tech. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-7 vs spread.
Vanderbilt won its last three games, allowing 52.7 ppg; Commodores are 2-2 at home in SEC, losing to Kentucky/Ole Miss. Tennessee won three of last four games, is 4-1-1 vs spread in its last six; Vols are 2-2 on SEC road, with all four games decided by 8+ points. SEC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-3-1 vs spread. Tennessee won five of its last six vs Vandy, winning last three meetings by 7-11-12 points.
Wichita State (-11) held Indiana State to 35.5% inside arc in 68-48 home win Jan 18, its second win in row vs ISU after five losses. Shockers are 23-0, 3-1 as Valley road favorite, winning away games in conference by 15-3-15-17 points. MVC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-4-1 vs spread. Sycamores won three of last four games, are 4-0 at home in Valley- they're 1-1 as MVC dogs. Wichita one of two unbeatens in US.
California (+6.5) won 69-62 at Stanford Jan 2, its first win on Farm in four tries; Cardinal was 10-20 on foul line. Bears are 7-4 in last 11 series games, winning three of last four here- they upset #1 Arizona Saturday, snapping 3-game skid. Cal is 2-1 as home favorite, winning by 26-21-2 in Haas Pavilion, with loss to ASU. Stanford is 5-2 in last seven games. Pac-12 home teams are 15-9 in games where spread was 5 or less points.
San Diego State won its last 18 games since 69-60 loss to Arizona back on Nov 14; Aztecs (-6.5) beat Boise State 69-66 Jan 8 after jumping out to 26-8 lead- they're 6-1 vs Boise in MW play, with six of seven games decided by 6 or less points. Eliorraga got hurt Saturday, only played 10 minutes- he is a glue guy for Broncos. Mountain West home teams are 10-7 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points.
Portland (+8.5) ended 0-24 skid vs Gonzaga by beating them 82-73 at home Jan 9, making 8-14 from arc in game Zags never led. Portland lost its last 10 visits here, with seven of last eight by 17+ points. Gonzaga is 4-2 as WCC home favorite, with five of six wins by 14+ points- they've won last six games overall (4-2 vs spread). Portland is 2-3 in its last five games overall. WCC double digit home favorites are 5-6 vs spread.
New Mexico won seven in row, 14 of last 15 games with Wyoming, last of which was 72-69 in OT (-3.5) in Laramie Jan 8. Cowboys lost last 10 visits to The Pit, last six by 10+, but they've won five of last six games overall, are 2-1 as road underdogs- none of their three (5-3) MW losses are by more than 5 points. Lobos won last five games (4-1 vs spread). Mountain West double digit home favorites are 5-9 against spread.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Wednesday, February 5
San Diego State at Boise State
By Brian Edwards
San Diego State will hit the road tonight to play at Boise State in a crucial Mountain West scrap. The Aztecs will put their 18-game winning streak and perfect MWC record on the line against the Broncos, who are currently on the wrong side of the bubble and in dire need of a quality win.
As of early this morning, most books had Boise St. (15-7 straight up, 6-11 against the spread) installed as a one-point home favorite.
San Diego St. (19-2 SU, 10-7 ATS) has been an underdog three times, compiling a 2-1 record both SU and ATS. The Aztecs won 61-57 at Kansas as 10.5-point underdogs and also beat Creighton 86-80 as five-point 'dogs on a neutral court.
Steve Fisher's squad suffered its only defeat way back on Nov. 15 when it dropped a 69-60 decision to Arizona as a three-point home underdog. San Diego St. has thrived on the road with six outright victories and a 4-2 spread record. The Aztecs needed overtime to win 74-69 at Utah St. on Jan. 25.
SDS had taken the cash in three consecutive games until disappointing its backers in Saturday's 65-56 win over Colorado St. as an 11-point home 'chalk.' Xavier Thames led the winners with 24 points and seven rebounds. Winston Shepard added 17 points.
Boise St. is No. 58 in the RPI Rankings, so a win over the fifth-ranked Aztecks (AP, that is) with an RPI of 20 would be huge. Remember, the Broncos were in the NCAA Tournament last season, but they got smoked in the First Four in Dayton. With most of its nucleus returning, a second straight bid is the expectation for BSU in 2013-2014.
But Boise St. is just 5-4 in MWC action and it has hasn't beaten a Top-100 RPI opponents. In fact, the Broncos have lost all seven games against Top-100 foes. They have four regular-season games remaining against the RPI Top 100, so a win tonight is absolutely imperative.
On the other hand, San Diego St. has won six of seven games against the RPI's Top 100. The Aztecs might be without Josh Davis at BSU due to a knee injury that kept him out Saturday against the Rams. Davis averages 9.0 points and 11.6 rebounds per game.
BSU could be without starting guard Jeff Elorriaga, who is also a question mark due to a back ailment. Elorriaga averages 8.3 PPG and knocks 3's at a 47-percent clip.
BSU has won 11 of its 12 home games, but it has limped to an abysmal 2-6 spread record. The Broncos are led by Anthony Drmic, who is terrific perimeter shooter that can also put it on the floor and get to the rim. Drmic averages a team-best 17.0 PPG.
Although Drmic is its most prolific scorer, Boise St. goes as junior point guard Derrick Marks goes. Marks averages 15.8 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.6 steals per game. However, his 60/62 assists-to-turnovers ratio is unacceptable for a PG of his talent.
Boise St. is mired in a 1-4 ATS slump right now. The Broncos lost 73-69 at UNLV this past Saturday at Thomas & Mack Center. They failed to cover as two-point underdogs. Marks had a game-high 22 points, but he took nine more shots than any other teammate and Drmic got only five looks despite playing 31 minutes.
When these MWC rivals met on Jan. 8, San Diego St. won by a 69-66 count but BSU took the cash as a 5.5-point road underdog. Shepard and Thames shared team-high scoring honors with 16 points apiece. Marks finished with 21 points, four rebounds, three assists and a pair of blocked shots. Drmic added 17 points and 10 rebounds, but he made only 1-of-7 attempts from deep.
San Diego St. won two of three head-to-head meetings with BSU last year, but the Broncos won 69-65 as two-point home favorites late in the regular season. I remember this game vividly because I was watching with interest on BSU, which got a monster performance from Marks. He delivered at crunch time and tallied 27 points, nine rebounds, six assists and two blocked shots.
The 'under' has been a major money maker in San Diego St. games this year, going 13-3 overall.
The 'under' has cashed at a 10-5 overall clip for Boise St., going 4-2 in its home games.
CBS Sports Network will have the telecast at 9:15 p.m. Eastern.
B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets
George Washington is expecting to be without three key players in Wednesday's home game vs. Duquesne. Kethan Savage, Mo Creek and Joe McDonald couldn't go in Saturday's 75-65 loss at Dayton that ended a five-game winning streak both SU and ATS for the Colonials. Creek, the transfer from Indiana who has dealt with injuries galore throughout his collegiate career, is under the weather and 'doubtful' vs. Duquesne due to an illness (better than an injury, though). Creek averages a team-best 14.4 PPG. Savage, who isn't expected back until early March with a broken foot, averages 13.4 points, 4.6 boards and 2.7 dimes per contest. McDonald averages 8.1 points and 4.2 rebounds per game.
Louisville power forward Wayne Blackshear suffered a concussion at practice and didn't make the trip to Houston for tonight's AAC showdown. Blackshear, who averages 9.7 PPG, scored a season-high 23 points in a 91-52 home win over Houston a few weeks ago. -- The 'over' has hit in 10 of U of L's last 14 games. On the flip side, Houston has watched the 'under' go 11-5 overall, 5-2 in its home outings.
After serving one-game suspensions in Saturday's blowout loss at LSU, Arkansas has reinstated Michael Qualls (11.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG) and Alandise Harris (9.1 PPG, 3.6 RPG) for tonight's home game vs. Alabama. The Hogs are seven-point favorites against the Crimson Tide at Bud Walton Arena.
Minnesota has lost back-to-back games with leading scorer Andre Hollins (15.1 PPG) on the sidelines with a sprained ankle. Hollins will miss a third straight game tonight at Purdue. He suffered the injury in the opening minute of a home win over Wisconsin on Jan. 22.
Florida captured a 68-58 win over Missouri last night but failed to hook up its betting supporters as a 12.5-point home favorite. The 126 combined points dipped below the 131-point total. The result on the total improved the 'under' to 9-1-1 in UF's home games. Trailing by three at intermission after Mizzou's Jabari Brown untied the game with a deep trey at the buzzer, the Gators were listed as 8.5-point favorites for halftime wagers. That made the adjusted number UF -5.5, which turned out to be a comfortable winner. Michael Frazier was the catalyst with three 3-balls during a UF surge to gain some separation from the Tigers. UF senior PG Scottie Wilbekin scored a game-high 19 points. In his much-anticipated debut, Florida freshman center Chris Walker made his collegiate debut and looked good. Billy Donovan only played him for seven minutes, but Walker managed four points, two rebounds and two rejections. He altered several missed shots as well. The Holmes Co. High school product (Bonifay, Fla.) had two dunks on his only shot attempts, the second of which was an alley-hoop flush on a sweet pass from Kasey Hill that tied the game late in the first half before Brown's buzzer-beater.
Northwestern has won four of its last five games both SU and ATS, including three straight road wins as double-digit underdogs (at Indiana, at Wisconsin and at Minnesota). The Wildcats get some rest this week before a home Saturday vs. Nebraska.
Speaking of the Cornhuskers, they will be gunning for a fourth win in their last five games when they go on the road to face Michigan. Nebraska has covered the number in six straight games. Although the Cornhuskers are winless in four Big Ten road assignments, they have gone 3-1 ATS in those situations.