Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

John Ryan

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Orlando Magic    
Play: Los Angeles Lakers +1½

The simulator shows a high probability that the Lakers will win this game. They have lost 14 of the last 17 games, but this is a matchup they have a strong opportunity to get a much needed win. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-8 ATS mark for 80% winners since 2008. Play on road underdogs (LA LAKERS) that are average shooting teams making between 43.5 and 45.5% of their shot attempts and is now facing an average defensive team allowing between 43.5 and 45.5% shooting, and after a game allowing a shooting percentage of 55% or higher. Magic are an imperfect 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when facing weak rebounding teams that are getting outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game this season. Moreover, the Magic are a big time money burner in home games installed as favorites sporting a 2-11 ATS mark over the past two seasons. The Lakers have been playing well on this 7-game road trip covering the first five games and gave the Heat a very tough test last night in Miami. Orlando is a far cry in terms of talent and defensive intensity and the Lakers have a ton of positive momentum entering this game. Take the Lakers.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Rob Vinciletti

Quinnipiac vs. Iona    
Play: Iona -6

Iona comes in off a solid home favored win and cover vs Siena. Tonight they host Quinnipiac who defeated them a littler over 2 weeks ago by 12 points. Iona will have revenge on their mind here at home tonight and they are 10-0 with road loss revenge. As a home favorite from -3.5 to -6 they are 4-0 to the spread. Quinnipiac won an covered at home vs Niagara in their last game. However they have not played well in the second half of a season vs winning teams as they are 1-7 to the spread. Look for the Iona Gaels to emerge with a win and cover here at home tonight.


Rob Vinciletti's Featured Package

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland CavaliersREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Cleveland CavaliersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
This is more of a play "against" Milwaukee than it is "on" Cleveland, however it is important to note that the Cavs have been playing much better since they acquired Luol Deng from the Bulls a few weeks back. Still, we'll focus on the Bucks who will be playing their fourth game in as many cities in the last week, and coming off a rare victory two nights ago in a three-point home win against Detroit.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
That win snapped a nine-game losing streak, and we'll fade them and expect a blowout loss tonight in the obvious letdown spot - especially with Milwaukee returning home tonight after this game is over. Bucks are 0-6 against the spread this season after an outright underdog victory, and they are just 4-18 straight up on the road losing by 10 ppg.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Hollywood Sports

Minnesota at Golden State
Prediction: Under

Minnesota (20-21) enters this game coming off a 112-97 win at Utah -- and they have then played 7 of their last 10 games Under the Total after a double-digit victory. Additionally, the T-Wolves have played 4 straight games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Golden State (26-17) looks to rebound from a 102-94 loss to Indiana and they have played 7 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a loss. Additionally, while Minnesota is jut 8-13 on the road and the Warriors have played 6 of their last 7 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage below 40% on the road. Take the Under in this one.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Steve Janus

Pacers/Kings Under 197

I don't see these two teams reaching the total set in this one. Indiana is coming off an embarrassing 24-point loss at Phoenix where they allowed a season-high 124-points. The Pacers are a team on a mission this season and they have really responded well to a loss. Only once all season has Indiana lost consecutive games and most importantly are allowing a mere 84.6 ppg after a defeat. That's nearly 11-points fewer than their season average allowed of 95.5 ppg. Making this an even stronger play is the Kings are expected to be without their two best scorers in DeMarcus Cousins and Rudy Gay.

Something else to keep in mind is that there's a good chance the game will be a blowout, given the Pacers are a 11.5-point road favorite. Anytime there's a blowout the game typically tends to go under the total.

The UNDER is 13-4 in their last 17 games after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games, 15-7 in their last 22 when playing against a team with a losing record and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Jeff Alexander

Minnesota T-Wolves +4

Minnesota will be extremely motivated and focused tonight as it looks to snap a 7-game skid in the series. I like its chances of doing so against a Minnesota team that really dominates the glass. Golden State is a good rebounding team as well, but it is 0-7 ATS this season versus teams like Minnesota that outrebound opponents by an average of 3.0 rebounds per game or more. The Warriors have lost to these teams by 5.3 points on average. Andrew Bogut and David Lee are both banged-up and listed as questionable, which means the Warriors will likely have a tough time cleaning up the glass. Golden State is just 6-11-1 ATS at home this season. The T-Wolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. Bet Minnesota.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Dave Price

Dallas Mavericks +2

Brooklyn finally has something going, but its three-game win streak is in serious danger with Dallas in town tonight. The Mavs check in off a loss in Toronto, but no team has been a better investment in bounce-back spots. The Mavs are an impressive 39-17 ATS in their last 56 games following a loss, which means they take no defeat lightly. Dallas has also been one of the best road bets in basketball at 39-16 ATS in its last 55 on the highway. They are even on a 36-16 ATS run in road games versus teams like the Nets that sport a winning record at home. Dallas was embarrassed 113-96 at home late last season in the last matchup between these teams, and you can bet a team as motivated by defeats as the Mavs hasn't forgotten. Take the points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Bruce Marshall

Capitals at Devils
Pick: Under

It's no secret that Washington has had problems scoring goals on the road for a while now. Indeed, top scorer Alex Ovechkin scores about one goal on the road for every three that he scores at home in Verizon Center. Now Ovechkin is hurting, and the Caps are staring down the barrel of their six loss in seven games, having scored just one goal or less in five of their last six games regardless of the site. For New Jersey, the goalie combination of Cory Schneider and Martin Brodeur has worked well this season, and Schneider was between the pipes in the recent 7-1 win over St. Louis. Can't count on many goals being scored tonight at the Pru Center.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

DB Consensus

Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic
Pick: Los Angeles Lakers

Orlando lost 12 of its last 13 games. Lakers lost 8 of their last 10 games, but covered last 6. Head to Head: LAL are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando. Credit to the Lakers for playing tough through so many injuries. We like them to get the W against a poor East opponent tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

AC Dinero

Detroit vs. Wisc Milwaukee
Play: Wisc Milwaukee -3

Wisconsin Milwaukee returns home off 3 straight road games to take on a Detroit team that has lost 4 in a row. We'll back the home team on the fact that Detroit is a woeful 40% from the floor shooting team. It is difficult to win on the road shooting the ball like that

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Nelly

Suns -3.5

The Suns are 15-6 at home this season but Phoenix is still not being respected like a quality team in the Western Conference. The Suns are basically being valued as an equal team to the 20-21 Wizards as just a slight home favorite. Washington has been playing well with wins in four of the last six games and the Wizards have proven capable of beating top teams. Washington enters this game off an overtime loss and this will be the first road game in almost two weeks. Phoenix has won nine of the last 12 home games with at least 101 points scored in all but one of those games and the Suns have covered in nearly 68 percent of their games this season. Washington’s scoring takes a big dip in road games though the Wizards have shaken off the ugly road numbers of the past two seasons. Washington is a losing ATS team against winning teams however and the Suns are 5-1 ATS this season as a favorite of less than five points. Phoenix strongly out-rates Washington in efficiency on offense and the numbers are pretty similar on defense even with the Suns allowing 101 points per game on the season. Washington allows 46 percent shooting and has struggled defending the 3-point shot.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

SPORTS WAGERS

Nashville +102 over CALGARY

OT included. Calgary is coming off a 3-2 victory over the Coyotes but that was a rare win for this franchise and a rare outburst of goals. Calgary’s 114 goals scored are the worst in the West and only ahead of the Sabres in the East. Prior to scoring three on Mike Smith, the Flames had scored two goals or less in nine straight games. From December 27 until January 9, a string of seven games, Calgary was shut out in five of those seven games. The Flames bring a strong work ethic almost every night but their lack of offense and talent makes them an instant fade when they are the chalk against a team that plays as sound defensively as the Predators.

The Preds won in Vancouver last night and that victory would mean zilch if they lost here. Nashville has now won two in a row and four of its last five contests. Prior to last night’s 2-1 victory over the Canucks, the Predators scored four goals or more in four straight. Playing the tail-end of back-to-backs is not an issue either, as Nashville is 4-4 in those situations and they’re playing as good right now as they have been all year. With a surplus of quality forwards, the Preds can balance their four lines equally and withstand back-to-backs or three in four as well as any team in the business. Aside from Pekka Rinne being out, the Predators roster is full of healthy skaters with nobody else on the rack. Devan Dubnyk’s .895 save percentage and 3.36 GAA is misleading. He played behind an atrocious defense in Edmonton that was constantly leaving him hung out to dry for years. No goaltender could thrive under those circumstances for an extended period of time but all those difficult saves and bombardment of shots is very likely going to serve this talented goaltender well. Preds coach Barry Trotz openly stated that Dubnyk picked up a lot of “bad habits” in Edmonton but goaltending guru coach Mitch Korn has been working extensively with Dubnyk over the past few days and he should be raring to go for this one. The Predators front office seldom makes a bad move and picking up an undervalued Dubnyk could pay big dividends. The formula now becomes: goalie who is much better than his numbers + traditionally strong defensive team + serious motivation from everyone to win = profit. The Predators are 4-0 in their last four games vs. a team with a losing record and that number figures to climb here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

SPORTS WAGERS

ORLANDO -1½ over L.A. Lakers

Give the Lakers credit for a game effort last night in a nationally televised showdown in Miami. The Lakers played their hearts out, battled back and just fell short. That was L.A.’s fifth straight on the road. This will be its sixth straight and they will conclude its seven-game road trip Sunday afternoon in New York in another nationally televised game. This game is sandwiched between Miami and New York. Additionally, the Lakers stock is high with five road covers in a row while the Magic are a team that nobody wants a part of right now. That’s usually the best time to step in.

Orlando is on the verge of snapping out of its horrendous funk. Playing its third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs, the Magic had a one point lead and the ball with 30 seconds remaining in the game on Wednesday against Atlanta. They ended up losing that game but they rallied from 19 down to take the lead and it’s something they can build off of. With just one victory over its last 13 games, Orlando is among the most undervalued teams in the Association. This now becomes an outstanding buy low opportunity in an extremely favorable spot. Orlando’s starting five is too good to be losing games at this pace. With Victor Oladipo continually stuffing the stat sheet (in the triple-OT loss against the Bulls, Oladipo finished with 35 points, eight assists, four rebounds, three steals and one block in 57 minutes) and a healthy cast around him (Arron Afflalo, Jameer Nelson, Glen Davis, Tobias Harris), the Magic figure to leave nothing on the table in this extremely winnable contest.


Washington +143 over PHOENIX

The Suns' last five losses have come by five points or fewer but they've managed a respectable 5-6 record since losing Eric Bledsoe to knee surgery. On Sunday, Phoenix beat Denver for the third time this season and moved within two victories of matching last season's win total. They followed that victory with a resounding 124-100 win over Indiana on Wednesday to move within one victory of last year’s win total. What the Suns have accomplished this season is nothing short of remarkable but this is a letdown spot right before embarking on a four-game trip that begins Sunday in Cleveland. The Suns are a big public play tonight after whacking the Pacers and that’s not the best time to be backing a public favorite.

Washington is an erratic squad but they have proven numerous times that when focused they can defeat anyone. Just last week the Wizards defeated the Heat once and the Bulls twice before losing to Detroit and Boston. That said, everything here points to a Phoenix win. The Suns continue to be much more potent offensively at home, where they've won four of five and are 15-6 on the season. They average 109.2 points while shooting 39.5 percent from 3-point range at US Airways Center and are coming off a game in which they shot 54 % and went 11 of 16 from 3-point range against the league’s best defense. Why then, are the Suns just a 3½-point choice against a middle of the pack East team? In many cases the line dictates the play. In this case, the small line strongly suggests that the Suns are in a difficult spot and one the Wizards can take advantage of.

Pass CBB

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Teddy Covers

San Antonio vs. Atlanta
Pick: Atlanta

The Spurs have a host of under-the-radar injuries that leave them vulnerable in the road favorite’s role tonight.  Danny Green won’t affect a pointspread by even a half point, but when he’s not available, the Spurs three point shooting takes a big hit.

Tiago Splitter doesn’t affect a pointspread either, but when he’s not healthy, the Spurs really miss their best low post player off the bench.  And Kawhi Leonard’s absence doesn’t affect the pointspread in any meaningful way, but when he’s out, the Spurs really miss his defense and passing abilities.

All three guys are out for San Antonio tonight.  And point guard Tony Parker isn’t healthy either, dealing with the lingering effects of a badly bruised shin. That’s bad news against the Hawks, a team the Spurs have struggled to beat in recent meetings.  In fact each of the last two meetings between these two teams – including one last month – have been decided by a single basket.

Hawks head coach Mike Budenholzer was Greg Popovich’s lead assistant last year, a guy who really knows the strengths and weaknesses for San Antonio.  And Budenholzer’s team is in excellent current form winning four of their last six including outright upsets over the Pacers, Heat and Rockets.  They’re live for the outright upset here as well!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Nelly

Toronto Raptors - over Philadelphia 76ers

Laying points on the road can be risky but the 76ers enter this home test coming off a big win at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday. Philadelphia has only won 14 games all season and just two games in the last nine games. Philadelphia is 8-12 at home on the season but four of those wins have come in overtime as the record easily could be even worse for the 76ers. These teams have played twice this season with Toronto winning by 10 and 8 respectively. Only five times all season has Philadelphia held an opponent to fewer than 100 points as the 76ers are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, allowing 110 points per game on average. Toronto has actually moved into the top six in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Philadelphia is just 7-13 ATS at home this season and the 76ers are 7-19 ATS when dogged by less than nine points. Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS at home against winning teams and Toronto has taken care of business against lesser teams going 12-7 ATS against below .500 squads while also going 14-7 ATS on the road this season.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Erin Rynning

Dallas at Brooklyn
Play: Brooklyn -2

Brooklyn continues to hit its stride winning and covering the pointspread in 8 of its last 9 games. Defense has been the catalyst for the Nets as over the nine games they’ve held the opposition to 42.6% shooting, and 92 points per game. In comparison the Nets started the campaign 10-21, while allowing 46% shooting and 102.4 points per game. In addition, they just got back All-Star point guard Deron Williams who missed the prior five games. Williams has looked strong coming off the bench, while giving the Nets a dose of energy. Realistically, the Nets really only need to break into the top six of the Eastern Conference for playoff positioning in order to avoid Miami and Indiana in the first round. Meanwhile, the Mavericks continue to boast a solid 25-19 record, as they’ve largely tred to outscore the opposition on a nightly basis. As a result they are a bottom 10 defensive team with the majority of their roster is littered with average defensive players. In their last five games, the Mavericks allowed a whopping 127 and 129 points which shouts to their shortcomings. As we approach the All-Star break finding the fresher team can provide the extra value when it comes to winning and losing. The Mavericks have played a packed schedule in 2014 with 13 games already, while the Nets have played just nine. Look for the fresher Nets to win with defense tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Vermont/Stony Brook Under 129.5: Both of these teams come into this game playing lockdown defense and that should lead to a low scoring game. Vermont Comes in allowing 64.3 ppg on the year, but in their last 7 games they have allowed just 47.2 ppg, while not allowing more than 59 points in any of those games. Stony Brook has allowed 67.7 ppg on the year, but on just 40.2% shooting and they have allowed just 58.4 ppg on 38.7% shooting in their last 5 games. These teams are used to low scoring games as 7 of the last 8 meetings have produced no more than 124 points. I see this one coming in right around 120 at best.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

Harry Bondi

CHARLOTTE (+4) over NY Knicks

Knicks have dropped 5 in a row and are sniping at each other again. New Yorkers have been lousy all season but particularly at home where they are 7-15 both straight up and ATS. Bobcats have won two in a row over Toronto and the Los Angeles Clippers and have finally gotten big man Al Jefferson into the mix. He is averaging 21 points and 11 rebounds in 12 January games and should have his way down low against a weak Knicks front line. Dissension has once again crept into the New York locker room this time in the person of J.R. Smith who told reporters after the Knicks last game "We're playing better on the road than we are at home, ain't nobody looking forward to playing at home". Even usually stoic New York center Tyson Chandler spoke up after the last game openly questioning why the Knicks don't play better defense. "We got a lot of things wrong defensively," Chandler told the New York Post. "I think we should've maybe been more aggressive. It seems like we don't want to play." What! Chrlotte always plays the Knicks tough going 5-1 ATS their last six meetings so let's take the Bobcats for the outright win!

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

OC Dooley

Wizards +3.5

The intangible surrounds host Phoenix who is in a classic emotional “letdown” position on the heels of a rare national ESPN appearance back on Wednesday when in front of the home fans they drilled an opponent with the league’s best record (Indiana) in a 124-100 blowout.  In that stunning result the Suns were led by the same Gerald Green (23 points) who used to wear a Pacers uniform.  Following a horrible campaign that resulted in 57 different losses Phoenix entered this campaign with very low expectations as most prognosticators picked them to finish at the bottom of the Western Conference.  Despite a roster that does NOT include one All-Star performer the Suns have been one of several surprise teams out west and currently hold the #7 overall position in what is a stacked conference.  The ODDSMAKERS have made a loud statement casting Phoenix as a relatively small home favorite tonight even though visiting Washington has a below .500 overall record and just lost at home versus an lowly opponent (Boston).  In addition the Wizards have recently been a costly investment (2-6 current “spread” slide including four in a row).  But in a Wednesday home loss Wizards young star John Wall (28 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists) for the third time in his career pulled off a TRIPLE-DOUBLE in what was a spectacular performance.  For those into percentages here is an UNDEFEATED season-long angle which has seen Washington go an unscathed “9-0” ATS/ROAD if their prior outing was in front of their own fans.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, January 24

The Duke's Sports

Lakers +2.5

I realize the Lakers are injury riddled and unrested going into this one; however, their bench, led by Nick Young, is producing. And Gasol and Jodie Meeks are holding up well at the shooting end to keep them in games; as a result, they've covered six straight, including two outright road wins and took Chicago into OT at Chicago. Moreover, they hung with Miami yesterday. We'll look for this patchwork Lakers team to give Orlando trouble. The Magic are equally poor defensively in the bottom tier of the league, and even worse offensively in scoring while weak on the boards. Without Vucevic (concussion), the Magic have gone 1-8 and we'll look for that void in the middle to remain a problem for Orlando tonight. Magic just 12-25 ATS at home vs under .500 road teams and they're 6-13 ATS at home. Lakers are 5-2 ATS on 0 days rest, 4-0 ATS off a SU loss and covered five straight on road. Lakers the call.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
213628 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44822
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
280731
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.9
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3560
Newest User:
Derek
Members Online:
2
Guests Online:
2074

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com