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Inside the Stats

Inside the Stats

Inside the Stats
By Marc Lawrence

Let’s take a look at what’s happening on the hardwood as we enter this weekend.

All results are ATS (Against the Spread) through Jan.15, unless noted otherwise.

Hot, Hot, Hot

Pay close attention to teams that are streaking ATS.  Streaks can be a gravy train to the winner’s circle.  Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding hot streaks (minimum seven results):

Air Force 7-1
Arizona 6-1
Creighton 8-1
Harvard 7-1
Kansas State 7-1
Michigan State 7-1
Xavier 8-0

Not, Not, Not

Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend riding cold ATS streaks (minimum seven results):

Akron 1-6
Boston College 1-8
Drexel 1-8
LSU 1-7-1
Marquette 1-6
Marshall 1-6
Middle Tennessee State 1-6
North Carolina 1-6
Oregon 1-6
Penn State 0-7
South Alabama 1-8
St. Johns 1-6
Texas State 1-6

Top Underdogs

These have been the best underdogs in all games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

Dayton 4-0
Houston 5-1
Kent State 4-0
Utah 4-0
Xavier 4-0

The worst underdogs this season have been:

Boston College 1-6
Colorado State 1-5
LaSalle 0-4
Northwestern 1-8
South Alabama 1-8
Texas State 1-7
Valparaiso 1-5

Chalk Talk

These have been the best favorites in all games played versus fellow Division-1 foes:

Harvard 7-0-1
Pacific 6-1
Texas Tech 4-0

The worst favorites this season have been:

Bradley 0-4-1
Loyola Chicago 0-6
Notre Dame 1-7-1

Defense Dominates

Once again here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin.  Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:

Defensive Field Goal Percentage
1. Clemson 35.9
2. Florida State 36.3
3. SMU 36.5
4. Iowa 36.8
5. Arizona 37.1

Rebounding Margin
1. Quinnipiac +13.6
2. Kentucky +13.6
3. Indiana +12.2
4. UAB +12.1
5. Arizona +11.9

Here is a list of the Top 5 NBA defensive teams:

Scoring Defense
1. Pacers 88.1
2. Bulls 91.9
3. Raptors 96.4
4. Spurs 96.4
5. Bobcats 96.6

Rebounding Margin
1. Thunder +5.1
2. Pacers +4.5
3. Warriors +4.1
4. Trailblazers +3.6
5. Grizzlies +3.5

Turn Up The Heat

After winning back-to-back NBA championships, the Miami Heat’s glory days have turned into gory ways this season.

Consider: in games versus losing teams last season Miami was 43-4 SU and 29-18 ATS.

This season they are 16-9 SU and 10-15 ATS against the same, including 0-8 ATS in games in which their losing opponent is off a win.

After dropping its 3rd game in a row for the first time this campaign in a loss at Washington (after partying with the President at the White House) this past Wednesday, it’s time for the Heat to turn it up if they wish to complete a three-peat.

Stat of the Week

The Sacramento Kings are 15-1 OVER away in games versus Southwest Division opponents (Friday at Memphis).

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