College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, January 16
College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, January 16
College Basketball Information
Georgia State won last seven games, with four of last five on road; they won first three Sun Belt games by 9-10-23 points, while protecting ball better than anyone in US (12.9% turnover rate), while forcing turnovers 21.9% of time. Arkansas State is 0-4 vs top 100 teams,; all losses were by 12+ points; Red Wolves make 39.4% of 3's, #26 in nation. Sun Belt home favorites are 4-10 vs spread.
Missouri made 11-21 from arc in 81-59 drubbing of Vanderbilt LY, first SEC series meeting; game was 49-20 at half. Tigers won its two games on road, by 4 at NC State, 2 at Auburn. Commodores lost three of last four games, losing at Alabama by 5, to Kentucky by 9 here in first two conference games. SEC home teams are 6-2-1 vs spread in games with spread of 5 or less points.
Memphis won five of last six games, but loss was to Cincinnati in only AAC home game; Tigers are shooting just 29.4% from arc, but they get turnovers 22.7% of time, leading to shorter possesions (0:15.8, #31 in US). UConn is 1-2 in true road games winning by 12 at Washington, but losing at Houston/SMU in AAC games. Huskies are making 41.4% on arc. AAC home favorites of 6+ points are 4-6 vs spread.
Colorado has horrible injury luck, losing star Dinwiddie for year, frosh Fletcher for six weeks; this will be emotional game for them after losing to UCLA by 13-3 points in first two Pac-12 meetings. UCLA lost by 9 at Missouri in only true road game, back on Dec 7; Bruins are shooting 41% from arc (#12 in US), 55% inside it, but they haven't left LA much. Pac-12 home dogs of less than 5 points are 4-3 vs spread.
Ohio State won its last six games with Minnesota, winning last two here by 13-10 points; Buckeyes lost last two games to Michigan State/Iowa after a 15-0 start- they split pair of road games, winning at Purdue by 9, losing in OT in East Lansing. Big Dozen home underdogs are 3-4, 0-3 if getting less than 4 points. Gophers split first four conference games- all four games were decided by 3 or less points, or in OT.
BYU won three of four WCC meetings with San Francisco, winning by 1-4 in its visits here; home team won all five of Cougars WCC games so far this year- BYU lost by 11 at LMU, 6 at Pepperdine, before winning last three games at home. USF is 4-2 in WCC with two OT wins- they got whacked at Gonzaga/St Mary's, but beat Pepperdine/LMU at home. WCC favorites are 8-3 if spread was five or less points.
Arizona won five of last six games with Arizona State, winning last three in Tucson by 11-17-15 points; Wildcats play great defense (#2 eFG% in US) and share ball well with McConnell at PG- they also rebound 41% of their own missed shots. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 4-3 vs spread. ASU is 13-4 with three losses by 11+ points; Carson is terrific PG, but rest of team isn't athletic enough for this opponent.
Gonzaga won last 20 games with Pepperdine, but they had similar win streak vs Portland and lost to Pilots last week; Zags' last eight wins here were all by 10+ points. Waves are 4-2 in WCC, beating San Diego, BYU in only two road games. Zags won by 4 at West Virginia, lost at Portland in their only two true road games. WCC home underdogs are 3-2, 3-0 if they're getting 6+ points.
USC won two of first three Pac-12 games with Utah, winning here by 17 LY, then losing to Utes in Pac-12 tourney; Trojans lost first three games in league this year by 34-19-20 points- they're shooting 21.7% from arc, turning ball over 23.2% of time in league games. Pac-12 home favorites are 7-6, 4-3 if laying double digits. Utah is 1-3 in Pac-12 with all three losses by 3 or less points- they make 57.7% of 2's, #1 in country.
Long Beach State won last five games with UCSB, winning last three in Thunderdome by 16-23-7 points, but 49ers overscheduled again (played #2 schedule to this point), are just 3-11 vs D-I teams- they've played 10 top 100 teams already. Gauchos lost Big West opener at home by 8 to Cal Poly, but they also beat Cal in this gym and Cal is good- UCSB has made 38.6% from arc so far- they were 2-17 against Cal Poly.
Belmont beat Eastern Kentucky by 7-11 points in their first season in OVC; Bruins are 4-0 in OVC this year, with three wins by 11+ points and road wins by 13-15 at SE Missouri/UT-Martin. EKU are forcing turnovers 23.4% (#9) oif time; they're 2-2 in OVC, losing to Murray St. in OVC home opener. OVC home favorites of 3 or less points are 3-2 vs spread. Belmont's offensive eFG% of 58.0% is #2 in country.
North Dakota State hammered Neb-Omaha by 44-27 points LY; Bison are 3-1 at home vs D-I teams, losing to Southern Miss by point- they're making 56.9% of 2's but aren't great defensive team. Omaha is improved this year- they lost by 8 at Iowa, 3 at UNLV and beat Nevada in Reno; Mavericks force turnovers 20.8% of time, make 78.7% of free throws, #2 in country they also forcer turnovers 20.8% of time.
Fort Wayne is 4-4 on road, with all four wins vs teams ranked at #227 or lower; Mastodons make 38.9% of 3's (#32), won their first two Summit games over ND State/SD State, both at home. Fort Wayne is 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 150, beating North Dakota State last week. Denver runs Princeton offense, which can be tough to prepare for; they've lost four of last six games, with last three losses by 5 or less points or in OT.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, January 16
Thursday's Pac-12 Tips
By Brian Edwards
UCLA at Colorado
As of early this morning, most betting shops had UCLA (13-3 straight up, 9-6 against the spread) installed as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 153.
UCLA is off to a 2-1 start in Pac-12 play with home wins over USC and Arizona St. sandwiched between a 79-75 home loss to undefeated Arizona. The Bruins bounced back from the loss to the Wildcats and blasted Arizona St. 87-72 on Sunday at Pauley Pavilion. Zach Lavine scored a team-high 19 points, while Kyle Anderson nearly went for a triple-double with 17 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists.
Anderson is enjoying a sensational season to date. The sophomore forward has length, a gorgeous shooting touch and the ability to penetrate off the bounce. Anderson is averaging team-highs in rebounds (9.3 RPG), assists (6.6 APG) and blocks (0.9 BPG). He is scoring at an average of 15.3 PPG while making 52.2 percent of his shots from the field and 48.0 percent from behind the 3-point line.
Colorado (14-3 SU, 9-7 ATS) took a huge hit Sunday when its best player Spencer Dinwiddie was lost for the season with a torn ACL. Dinwiddie, a 6-6 junior slasher, was leading the Buffaloes in scoring (14.7 PPG), assists (3.8 APG) and steals (1.5 SPG).
CU is mired in a 1-5 ATS slump. After Dinwiddie went down Sunday at Washington, the Buffs never recovered and lost 71-54 as four-point road 'chalk.' Josh Scott had a team-best 15 points, while Wesley Gordon finished with 11 points, 13 boards and four blocked shots.
The 'over' is 8-7 overall for CU, 6-4 in its home games. The Buffs have seen the 'over' go 4-2 in their last six outings.
Totals have been an overall wash (7-7) for the Bruins, but they have seen three consecutive 'overs.' Steve Alford's team who the 'under' cash in its only true road assignment of the season, an 80-71 loss at Missouri.
Tad Boyle's team is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this year. In its lone home 'dog situation, Colorado beat Kansas 75-72 as a 1.5-point puppy.
Since joining the Pac-12, CU has lost both head-to-head meetings against UCLA both SU and ATS. The 'over' hit in contests.
The Pac-12 Network will provide television coverage at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
Arizona State at Arizona
As of early this morning, most books had Arizona (17-0 SU, 12-4 ATS) listed as a 12-point favorite with a total of 133. Gamblers can take the Sun Devils on the money line for a +600 return (risk $100 to win $600).
Sean Miller's team has been a double-digit favorite 12 times this year, compiling an 8-4 spread record. The Wildcats have cashed tickets at a 6-1 clip in their last seven lined games. They own a 7-3 ATS mark at home.
Arizona is coming off of Sunday's 73-53 win at Southern Cal as a 13-point road favorite. T.J. McConnell and Brandon Ashley scored a 19 points apiece for the Wildcats. Nick Johnson added 15 points and five steals, while freshman sensation Aaron Gordon chipped in with 12 points and eight rebounds.
Arizona State (13-4 SU, 9-6 ATS) has failed to cover the number in both previous underdog situations. The Sun Devils got smashed at UCLA (87-72) and vs. Creighton (88-60) on a neutral court.
ASU is 2-2 both SU and ATS in Pac-12 action. Herb Sendek's squad has blowout victories vs. Washington St. and Southern Cal, but it got beat by the Bruins and lost at home to Washington as a 10.5-point 'chalk.'
ASU is led by sophomore guard Jahii Carson, who is averaging 18.1 PPG and is splashing the nets from deep at a 46.0 percent clip. Penn St. transfer Jermaine Marshall is averaging 15.6 PPG.
The 'under' is 11-4 overall for Arizona, 7-2 in its nine lined home games. The Wildcats have seen the 'under' cash at a 10-2 clip in their last 12 lined outings.
The 'under' is 11-3 overall for ASU, 8-1 in its last nine lined games.
Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1.
B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets
Xavier rallied from a 17-point second-half deficit last night to beat Georgetown 80-67 as a five-point home favorite. The Musketeers outscored the Hoyas 44-14 in the last 15 minutes.
Navy has suspended its leading scorer and assists man for the rest of the season. Tilman Dunbar, who was averaging 11.9 points and 5.0 assists per game, and sophomore guard Phil Guglielmo are done for the year for a violation of Naval academy rules.
Despite a plethora of talent, Baylor looks like a bubble team again. Scott Drew is becoming notorious for recruiting future NBA players and failing to develop team chemistry with those talented players. Last night was a classic example as an inferior Texas Tech team jumped all over the Bears early and often. The Red Raiders led 43-22 at intermission and cruised to victory as 4.5-point home underdogs.
Louisville will be without starting point guard Chris Jones tonight when it hosts Houston in an AAC showdown. Jones, who is averaging 11.1 points and 2.9 assists per game, is dealing with an oblique injury.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Thursday, January 16
Arizona State at Arizona: What Bettors Need to Know
Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)
Top-ranked Arizona looks to remain unbeaten Thursday when the Wildcats host in-state rival Arizona State, which is coming off a 15-point loss at UCLA. While Arizona is off to the best start in school history, the Sun Devils have been plagued by inconsistent play. Point guard Jahii Carson led Arizona State to a 7-1 start, but the 5-10 sophomore has shot 34.8 percent from the field and averaged 14.4 points and 1.8 assists over the last five games.
Carson is hoping to bounce back from a dismal effort against UCLA last Sunday, when he scored nine points on 4-of-17 shooting in 30 minutes. “(Carson) didn’t play anywhere near his capability and that certainly has a tremendous impact on our team because he’s such a key player for us,” coach Herb Sendek told reporters. The Sun Devils need a huge game from Carson against Arizona, which ranks fourth nationally in scoring defense (56 points per game) while shooting 48.7 percent from the field.
LINE: The Wildcats opened as 11.5-point home faves.
ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (13-4, 2-2 Pac-12): With Carson drawing most of the media attention, it’s easy to overlook the impact of guard Jermaine Marshall, who is the team’s second-leading scorer (15.6) while shooting 49.2 percent. “He’s one of our conference’s best guards,” Arizona coach Sean Miller told reporters. “Statistically speaking, when Arizona State’s at their best he seems to have a big night. He’s a kid who can score. Not just a shooter but somebody who can score.” The frontline is led by 7-2 center Jordan Bachynski, who has nine double-doubles this season.
ABOUT ARIZONA (17-0, 4-0): Freshman forward Aaron Gordon, named as the USA Basketball Male Athlete of the Year earlier this week, leads a dominant frontcourt that includes Brandon Ashley, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and 7-foot center Kaleb Tarczewski. Versatile guard Nick Johnson, who has averaged 13.8 points while shooting 51.4 percent in four career games against the Sun Devils, needs eight points to become the 48th member of Arizona’s 1,000-point club. Johnson plays three different positions and leads the Arizona defense, which has held opponents to 28 percent shooting from beyond the arc.
* Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six Thursday games.
* Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
1. Arizona leads the all-time series 144-80, including a 5-1 mark over the past six games.
2. Arizona State G Shaquielle McKissic is averaging 12.3 points and six rebounds over the past eight games.
3. The Wildcats are 31-7 in Pac-12 games at the McKale Center under Miller.