Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, January 15

Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, January 15

DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Denver at Golden State
The Warriors host a Denver team that is coming off a 118-103 loss at Utah and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. Golden State is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-7)

Game 701-702: Chicago at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.489; Orlando 111.009
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Miami at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.281; Washington 114.600
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-5 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Charlotte at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.371; Philadelphia 109.648
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-1); Over

Game 707-708: Toronto at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 125.124; Boston 115.286
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 196
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4); Under

Game 709-710: Houston at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 119.806; New Orleans 112.658
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 7; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5; 205
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-5); Under

Game 711-712: Sacramento at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 118.825; Minnesota 125.831
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 217 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+9 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Memphis at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.148; Milwaukee 112.202
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 5; 187
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5); Under

Game 715-716: Utah at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.904; San Antonio 129.764
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 13; 214
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 717-718: LA Lakers at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 105.406; Phoenix 122.261
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 17; 196
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 719-720: Cleveland at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 110.786; Portland 129.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 18 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 11; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-11); Over

Game 721-722: Denver at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 113.724; Golden State 130.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 17; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 7; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-7); Under

Game 723-724: Dallas at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.397; LA Clippers 122.394
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+5); Over

NHL

Vancouver at Anaheim
The Canucks are coming off a 1-0 loss at LA and face an Anaheim team that is 7-0 in its last 7 games when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Anaheim is the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-175)

Game 51-52: Buffalo at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.670; Toronto 9.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+150); Under

Game 53-54: Washington at Pittsburgh (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.452; Pittsburgh 12.047
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200); Over

Game 55-56: Vancouver at Anaheim (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.687; Anaheim 12.727
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-175); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, January 15

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Florida State at Miami (FL)
The Seminoles head to Miami tonight where the Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Florida State is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Seminoles favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-1 1/2)

Game 725-726: Massachusetts at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 63.721; George Mason 61.677
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 2; 142
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 5; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+5); Over

Game 727-728: Rhode Island at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 52.614; LaSalle 64.946
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-8 1/2)

Game 729-730: Auburn at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 59.585; Tennessee 68.275
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 13
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+13)

Game 731-732: Northeastern at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 48.845; James Madison 53.907
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 5
Vegas Line: James Madison by 3
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (-3)

Game 733-734: Duquesne at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 50.695; St. Joseph's 65.652
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 15
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 12
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-12)

Game 735-736: Clemson at Virginia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 60.547; Virginia Tech 59.402
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1; 121
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3 1/2; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+3 1/2); Under

Game 737-738: Georgetown at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 63.805; Xavier 72.988
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 9; 142
Vegas Line: Xavier by 6; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-6); Over

Game 739-740: Notre Dame at Maryland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 61.007; Maryland 67.089
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 6; 140
Vegas Line: Maryland by 4; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-4); Under

Game 741-742: Central Florida at Rutgers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 57.158; Rutgers 62.614
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-3 1/2)

Game 743-744: Missouri State at Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 50.903; Indiana State 64.871
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 14
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-10)

Game 745-746: Central Michigan at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.365; Bowling Green 51.249
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 3
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+6 1/2)

Game 747-748: Buffalo at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.801; Toledo 62.261
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 8
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+8)

Game 749-750: Miami (OH) at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 51.190; Akron 56.563
Dunkel Line: Akron by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 10
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+10)

Game 751-752: Valparaiso at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 55.837; Detroit 55.898
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+2)

Game 753-754: Hofstra at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 43.194; NC-Wilmington 49.654
Dunkel Line: NC-Wilmington by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (-4 1/2)

Game 755-756: William & Mary at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 54.454; Delaware 58.669
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 4
Vegas Line: Delaware by 7
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+7)

Game 757-758: Michigan State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 75.057; Northwestern 59.914
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 15
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 759-760: South Florida at SMU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 53.281; SMU 68.231
Dunkel Line: SMU by 15
Vegas Line: SMU by 11
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-11)

Game 761-762: Kent State at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 54.490; Northern Illinois 46.330
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 8
Vegas Line: Kent State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-5)

Game 763-764: TCU at Oklahoma State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 53.477; Oklahoma State 77.580
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 24; 154
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 22; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-22); Over

Game 765-766: Ball State at Ohio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 45.876; Ohio 58.437
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+14 1/2)

Game 767-768: Drake at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 57.195; Loyola-Chicago 56.734
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Drake by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+3 1/2)

Game 769-770: Evansville at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 51.229; Illinois State 55.024
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 4
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+7 1/2)

Game 771-772: Mississippi State at Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 54.581; Alabama 64.599
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 10
Vegas Line: Alabama by 12
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+12)

Game 773-774: South Carolina at Texas A&M (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 57.733; Texas A&M 65.591
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 8
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 6
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-6)

Game 775-776: St. Bonaventure at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 57.799; St. Louis 71.945
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 14; 133
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 10 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-10 1/2); Under

Game 777-778: Florida State at Miami (FL) (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 67.413; Miami (FL) 63.807
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 3 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: Florida State by 1 1/2; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-1 1/2); Under

Game 779-780: NC State at Wake Forest (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 65.119; Wake Forest 63.795
Dunkel Line: NC State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+2 1/2)

Game 781-782: Dayton at Fordham (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 62.773; Fordham 57.642
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5
Vegas Line: Dayton by 7
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+7)

Game 783-784: Baylor at Texas Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 70.156; Texas Tech 62.517
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 7 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Baylor by 4; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-4); Under

Game 785-786: LSU at Mississippi (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 64.707; Mississippi 64.955
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 3
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+3)

Game 787-788: UNLV at New Mexico (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 65.097; New Mexico 66.953
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+8 1/2)

Game 789-790: Colorado State at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 57.444; Utah State 66.274
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 9
Vegas Line: Utah State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-7)

Game 791-792: Purdue at Illinois (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 63.410; Illinois 66.438
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 3
Vegas Line: Illinois by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+5 1/2)

Game 793-794: San Jose State at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 46.597; Air Force 58.843
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Air Force by 7
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-7)

Game 795-796: Fresno State at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 56.211; San Diego State 70.388
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 14
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+15 1/2)

Game 797-798: Washington State at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 58.093; Stanford 66.909
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 9
Vegas Line: Stanford by 11
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+11)

Game 799-800: Washington at California (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 60.291; California 72.906
Dunkel Line: California by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 9
Dunkel Pick: California (-9)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, January 15

Red Dog Sports

Vancouver Canucks vs. Anaheim Ducks    
Play: Vancouver Canucks +157

Taking a shot on the big underdog as Vancouver played at Anaheim and lost 4-3 in OT back on January 5th. The Canucks are a solid 12-8-4 on the road. Their last four games have been decided by just one goal:

Lost at LA 1-0
Won vs. St. Louis 2-1
Lost vs. Pitt 5-4
Lost at Anaheim 4-3 (OT)

Anaheim is an amazing 19-0-2 at home and off a 1-0 game against an injured Detroit team. Plenty of value on the road underdog. Small play on Vancouver +157

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Jim Feist

Mavericks at Clippers
Play: Clippers

The LA Clippers are playing defense, 12th in the NBA in points allowed and 9th in field goal shooting defense. Clearly the new coaching staff is teaching these guys how to play defense and it's paying off. And the offense is Top 10 even without guard Chris Paul. Blake Griffin got 33 points and 12 rebounds in a 123-87 victory that was the Clippers' largest ever over the Lakers, their third straight win and fifth in six games. The Clippers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. the Western Conference. They improved to 17-3 at home, second-best in the NBA. The Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points. LA is well rested, not having played since Friday. Dallas is in town and there is no 'D' in Dallas, allowing 101.5 ppg -- 22nd in the NBA and 46% shooting by opponents (also ranked 22nd). They hung on to top New Orleans this week at home but allowed 40 third quarter points and 70 second half points! That won't cut it against elite teams. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a spread win, plus re 1-4 ATS against a team with a winning percentage above .600. And when these teams meet the favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Play the LA Clippers.

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Bryan Power

Miami vs. Washington
Pick: Miami

This matchup is a clear case of "wrong place, wrong time" for the Wizards at home Wednesday night.

It's a rare instance of the Heat coming off back to back losses here as they prepare to visit the Nation's Capital.  After losing to the Knicks Thursday night, they got caught playing w/out rest in Brooklyn and fell again. Both were national TV games.  This will be the third time this season that Miami is coming into a game off B2B losses.  Both previous times they have come back and won by double digits, the first instance coming against these Wizards all the way back in November.  The other saw them beat Minnesota by 21 in early December.

Washington hasn't had much luck through the years here at home against the Heat franchise, or recently for that matter.  They are just 8-27 ATS the last 35 times playing host to Miami.  They have lost four in a row overall to their Southeast Division rival, three of those coming by double digits.  They are just 3-9 L12 vs. the Heat and two of the wins came in games LeBron James missed.  Having had several days off (visited White House), the Heat should come in ready to dominate.

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Marc Lawrence

Kent St. vs. Northern Illinois
Pick: Kent St.

In two seasons at Kent State, HC Rob Senderoff has put his name in the record books – but not in a good way. In the 10 years prior to Senderoff’s arrival, the Golden Flashes reached the NCAA Tournament five times and never finished back-to-back seasons without winning a division title until their recent drought under Senderoff. Currently off to a decent 9-6 start for the current campaign, they should crack the double-digit win barrier tonight against the outmanned Huskies. At first glance, NIU’s 6-7 record doesn’t seem like much – until we see that the sled dogs are coming off a miserable 5-25 mark from last year! Despite its ‘improvement’, however, Northern Illinois has not fared well at all in this series: when the Huskies upended the Flashes last January, 67-65, as 5.5-point home dogs, it snapped a dominating 11-game win skein by KSU. By the numbers, NIU is a not-so-encouraging 2-15 SU and 6-11 ATS against the electrified eagles from northeast Ohio. Even worse for the hosts, they’re a sorry 2-13 ATS in their last 15 home games, including 0-5 SUATS in MAC contests. In a classic ‘Willy’ (winner versus loser revenge from last season), we’ll look for the Flashes to power their way to a double-digit win – and grab the ATS gold to boot. We recommend a 1-unit play on Kent State.

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Carlos Salazar

Nuggets at Warriors
Play: Over 214

Denver has gone over the total in 6 of the last 7 games they have played and Carlos see the total going over once more on Wednesday against Golden St. Over is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Golden State.


Carlos Salazar's Featured Package

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Ben BurnsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cleveland vs. PortlandFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: PortlandFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The schedule favors the home team in this one.SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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While the Blazers had the past few days off, the Cavs are off a hard-fought win at LA last night.
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Tonight, in addition to playing the second of back-to-back games, the Cavs will be playing  their third road game in the past four days.
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The Cavs have enjoyed some success at home, when playing the second of b2b games. However, the last time that they played a road game, after playing the previous night, they lost by 16, a 100-84 setback at Chicago.
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Prior to that, the previous two times that they played a road game, after playing the previous night, they lost by seven and 30 points, respectively.
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Even with last night's win, the Cavs are still 6-14 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, despite some recent non-covers, the Blazers are still 7-3 ATS the last 10 times that they were listed as home favorites in the 9.5 to 12 range. Don't be surprised if they improve on those stats with a double-digit win tonight. Consider Portland.

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Jesse SchuleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto vs. BostonFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: UnderFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto Raptors are in Boston tonight, looking to build on their lead at the top of the Atlantic Division. Toronto has won eight of it's last 10 games, and the recipe for their success has been solid defense.
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Seven of the Raptors last 10 games have gone under the total, and they have held opponents below 100 points in eight of those games. Toronto ranks third in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, holding opponents to 96.4 points per game on the season.
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The Celtics themselves are above average defensively, holding opponents to an average of fewer than 100 points per game, but they have only scored 100+ points twice in their last nine games.
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The total for tonight's contest is higher than it was in any of the last nine meetings between these two teams, and we could see them struggle to hit such a high number.

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Rickie RobbinsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee BucksSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Memphis Grizzlies -5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Bucks have lost their last six games and will still be licking their wounds after getting trounced by the Raptors by 22 points on Tuesday. Ersan Illyasova had a monster game of 29 points and nine rebounds, but after falling by 38-24 heading into the second quarter, the Bucks looked deflated and could do little to slow down the red-hot Raptors. With the loss, Milwaukee drop to 7-30 overall and 4-16 on the road.
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Meanwhile, the Grizzlies will be going for a fourth straight win after taking down the Thunder by 90-87 last night. Courtney Lee led the team with 24 points, while Zach Randolph added 23 points and 13 rebounds, but the highlight of the night belonged to Marc Gasol who returned to the court and had 12 points and four rebounds in 24 minutes as he works his way back into game shape. Defensively, the Grizzlies couldn't do much to slow down Kevin Durant who poured in 37 points, but they kept everyone else under 34 percent to grind their way to a hard-fought win.
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In ATS trends, the Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a win and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall, while the Bucks are 22-48 ATS in their last 70 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a loss.
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Head to head, the Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Milwaukee.
You have to be a real optimist to take the Bucks against any team these days. I'm more of a realist and will happily follow the betting public and take the Grizzlies to win and cover tonight.

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Oskeim SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Georgetown at XavierFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: XavierFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Xavier is a profitable 11-0 SU and 7-2 ATS at home this season where the Musketeers are averaging 77.3 points per game on 48.8% shooting from the field. Overall, Xavier is 8.5 points per game better than average offensively, which is certainly good enough to exploit a Georgetown defense that is yielding 73.0 points per game on the road. Xavier also possesses a solid defense that is allowing 66.4 points per game to teams that would combine to average 73.4 points per game, thereby making the Musketeers 7.0 points per game better than average defensively. Overall, Xavier possesses a 3.9 points per game advantage defensively over the Hoyas' offense that is 4.1 points per game better than average (73.7 points per game against teams that would combine to allow 69.6 points per game). Georgetown will also be playing without center Joshua Smith, who has academic issues and is expected to miss tonight's contest. Smith is third on the team in scoring with 11.5 points per game and is averaging 19:55 minutes per game on the year. From a technical standpoint, Xavier is 17-5 ATS versus conference opponents over the last two seasons, and the Musketeers roster is much better suited for the Big East Conference so I expect their point spread success to continue in 2014. With Xavier standing at 13-4 ATS after covering the point spread in five or more consecutive games, lay the points with the Musketeers and invest with confidence.

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Charlie ScottFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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UNLV vs. New MexicoFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: UNLV +8.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Nice scheduling spot/situation for the Rebels. UNLV off 2 consecutive s/u losses to start Mountain West Conference play have had a week off to get pissed off and prepare for New Mexico Tonight and then play at SDST this weekend. UNLV really needs a Win Tonight ! UNLV used their week off to get back to basics and fundamentals and to re-learn help defense. New Mexico is good, and play 4 Upperclassman, However they have been playing Mountain West games close and haven't been able to blow anyone out. UNLV does have talented players to compete, they just don't play well together. I expect UNLV to keep it close !

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Baylor vs. Texas TechFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Baylor -4FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Baylor has been blowing everyone out this season, much like the Football program did early on. Tonight they are in a solid spot vs an inept Texas Tech team that ranks 151 in the RPI Scale. Baylor has won and covered the last 4 meetings and 13 points was the lowest margin of victory as these games have been blowouts. Baylor should have no problem here as they have won all 10 games vs teams ranked worse than 100 in the RPI Scale. Texas Tech is 0-6 with just 1 spread in as a home dog from +3.5 to +6 and has lost 41 of the last 47 vs teams with a winning record, including a dismal 30 of 45 to the spread in this role. They are 0-7 vs top 100 teams and have dropped 14 of 18 vs teams who average 77 or more points per game, so we will lay a few points here with Baylor.


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EZWINNERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Lakers +10FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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I'm going to fade the Suns once again in this match up with the Lakers. Phoenix is back home for the first time in over a week and this will be their sixth game in nine nights. They are coming off of a tremendous effort in the fourth quarter at New York which forced the game into overtime where they lost 98-96. Now a tired Suns team that is in the notorioulsy bad spot of the first home game after a long road trip and are laying points. Phoneix shot the ball horribly on the road trip and tired legs probobly were part of the reason why the Suns missed their last tweleve shots of the game, including an 0 for 7 shooting performance in overtime. Phoenix was already shooting badly on the road trip and only managed to connect on 35.5% percent from the field at New York which is their worst shooting game of the season. The Lakers have lost ten out of their last eleven games, and were hammered by 27 points in their last trip to Phoenix which I think gives us value in this line as the Suns were favored by 7.5 points in the last meeting. Phoenix is 0-7 against the spread in the last seven home games following a road trip of a week or longer. Take the points.

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DAVE COKINFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
SAN JOSE STATE AT AIR FORCESERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
PLAY: AIR FORCE -7FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Jose State hits the road following a pair of very narrow conference losses at home. The Spartans took both Colorado State and New Mexico to the wire before going down. I’ll give them credit for hanging very tough in those games, although I also have to believe they’re getting taken a little lightly by some of the their MWC brethren.
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That doesn’t figure to be the case tonight. Air Force figures to be geared up for this clash after dropping is last two league games. The Falcons started conference play off with a pair of stunning wins, as hey nipped Utah State and got the upset at UNLV. They won’t want to fall below .500 with another loss tonight on the heels of defeats to Fresno State and San Diego State.
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The Spartans are the type of team I like to fade on the road, as they absolutely live and die by the three. San Jose just can’t figure out how to create higher percentage looks, and that’s evidenced by their 42% accuracy on deuces, one of the worst marks in the game. The good news for San Jose is that Air Force is lousy at defensing the three, so you can count on the Spartans launching from long range at every opportunity tonight.
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Here’s the bad news for the visitors. Air Force is actually the more accurate long range shooting team, and the Falcons are far superior at running sets that result in good inside looks. The Falcons are not physically gifted, but they almost all play with intelligence.
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If the stat matchup looks decent for Air Force, I think the situation is even better. It’s a tough spot for San Jose off the two big efforts at home, and this is a team not good enough to overcome potential down scenarios. I also have to believe San Jose could have some very tough times in their initial road trips around the MWC. I really don’t see this game being especially close when sizing up all the numbers and variables, so I’ll be looking to spot the points tonight with Air Force.

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Rob VenoFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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South Carolina at Texas A&MFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: South Carolina +7FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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No denying the strong effort level being put forth by the youthful Gamecocks of late so I fully expect that with ample time to prepare they’ll bring it once again tonight. The question becomes is that enough to overcome slip under the +7 underdog price. Having three days of preparation figures to help the Gamecocks with the immediate style change facing them in this game. Last Saturday’s opponent LSU plays very fast and currently sits at #46 in the nation according to the KenPom adjusted tempo rankings. Their 73.9 possessions per game is six more than the 67.9 averaged by Texas A&M which sits at #300. South Carolina did have some turnover problems committing 19 in the high octane LSU contest but they were able to negate that by forcing 19 of their own. It’s difficult right now to say what type of style they’re more adept at playing because their performances have been so scattered but it’s apparent they’re capable of being competitive at any tempo.
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Texas A&M is a confident group now sitting at 2-0 in SEC play off a pair surprising season opening victories over Arkansas and at Tennessee. The stark differences between those opponents indicates that the methodical, sometimes frustratingly slow nature of the Aggies is working against all styles. A&M totally took high flying Arkansas out of their element on this floor last week in their 69-53 blowout win and then bounced back with a win over the interior physicality presented by Tennessee.
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Texas A&M doesn’t pose quite the same inside size threat that LSU dominated South Carolina with four days ago but they do have an advantage. On Saturday, the trio of LSU size players led the team in scoring as all posted double digits. Tonight’s main combatant is 6-9 Kourtney Roberson whose body type is extremely similar to Bayou Bengals star Johnny O’Bryant. He’ll be tough to contend with but A&M doesn’t have an additional pair of interior studs to go with him the way LSU did. The Aggies leading scorer at 10.9 ppg is 6-8 Jamal Jones who is more of a stretch PF than low post force.
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Sorting through this handicap from the fundamental angle, the key to the game will be South Carolina’s discipline. A&M executes their methodical style very well and they’ll force the Gamecocks to play all 35 seconds of the shot clock. On offense, South Carolina does not shoot the ball well as their 42.9 FG% is last in the SEC. There will be no surplus of easy baskets so getting good shots against the Aggies stingy defense is a must. From a situational stance, South Carolina could have the edge here. They are a hungry and developing team in a situation which now seen enough road venues (including Florida’s O’Dome last week) to not be intimidated by this one. The Aggies are also in that tenuous spot of immediately exceeding expectations in league play where a bit of over confidence or a potential correction could surface here. Both teams are stepping down in class after facing a pair of tough opponents but the spot seems to favor South Carolina. Without much of a talent gap between these teams, prefer to take +7 which could be magnified in a low scoring game.

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Wunderdog

Northeastern at James Madison
Pick: Northeastern +5.5

Getting wins have been hard to come by for the Northeastern Huskies. They are a paltry 4-13 on the season, and are still looking for their first road victory. They have played a very difficult schedule with games against Georgetown, Vanderbilt, VCU, and Florida State. James Madison is just 6-11, and when you compare the schedules, Northeastern has had a much tougher one. As a result, these teams are a lot closer than the line indicates. The Huskies have produced a solid 17-7 ATS mark off an ATS loss, as well as 5-1 ATS after a dreadful offensive game of scoring 50 or less. The Dukes have failed in their last four at home, and Northeastern looks to be the better team. Play on Northeastern.

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Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Dallas vs. L.A. ClippersFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: DallasFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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From a pointspread perspective, the Dallas Mavericks have played much better on the road (12-7 ATS) than they have at home (9-11 ATS) for extended stretches this season.  They’ve been good underdogs as well, cashing at a 60% clip for the year when catching three points or more.
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And the Mavs absolutely have this game circled after blowing a late lead against the Clippers when these two teams met in Dallas just two weeks ago.  Dallas led by six with less than five minutes to play before a 16-2 Clippers run turned victory into defeat in a game where the Mavs hung 70 by halftime.
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Mavs guard Monta Ellis talking about the rematch: “I think our mindset is different heading into  this game on a three game winning streak.”  And with Dallas getting solid production off the bench from the likes of Vince Carter and Wayne Ellington, this Ellis quote is worth mentioning as well: “If they (the bench) continue to keep that up, we can make a run.”
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The Clippers are in a classic flat spot here.  They absolutely annihilated their arch-rival, the Lakers, in their last game; a supremely satisfying victory for a team that has struggled in that series for decades.  Then, they had four days off in a row; ‘fat and happy’ time.  This is one game where I expect Chris Paul’s on-floor leadership to be sorely missed…… Take the Mavericks.

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Sam MartinFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Denver at Golden StateFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: OverFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Two explosive offenses meet up tonight with Denver and Golden State. The linesmakers are begging for "Under action" with this high total, but we're not fooled with the Nuggets scoring 100+ points in seven straight games four of which saw them score 110+ points and three saw the Nuggets post 120 or more.
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Golden State has gone over the total 30 of the last 39 games after a home win by three points or less, and they will be very comfortable with the fast tempo here at home where they average 105 points per game. With both teams looking to push the ball at every opportunity, we believe both teams will far exceed their season point averages as this one sails well over the total!

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Utah Jazz +13FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Spurs have struggled to meet oddsmakers expectations when facing a Northwest division opponent. They are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games, and I do not expect them to buck that trend against the Jazz in this game. Utah has been hot recently winning four of their last six games straight up, and they have covered the spread in five of their last seven games. The offense is rolling right now, scoring an average of 105.4 points per game over their last five games.
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This matchup fits into a system to play against favorites of 10 or more points like San Antonio when they have a winning record on the season and are coming off three or more consecutive wins. This system identifies teams that are being overvalued by the oddsmakers, and it has resulted in a 139-91 (60%) ATS record over the last five seasons. This matchup fits the criteria of a second system to play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Utah when they are revenging a loss where their opponent scored 100 points or more, and their opponent is coming off a game where they won straight up as a favorite but failed to cover the spread. This system is 46-20 (70%) ATS over the last five seasons.

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