Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 12

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 12

Antony DineroFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Chargers at BroncosFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Broncos -8FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Chargers aren't going to have a healthy Ryan Mathews today, since running with a bum ankle is likely to get the injury-prone back banged up some other way. As a result, Philip Rivers will have to throw for San Diego to be successful, which opens the door to a certain shootout between him and Peyton Manning. Back the over as today's top NFL play. For the in-game parlay, you've got to trust Manning's ability to get the Broncos in to the right plays at home. Lay the points with Denver.

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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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San Francisco 49ers vs. Carolina PanthersSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: San Francisco 49ers PkFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a brutal scheduling spot for the 49ers, who must play their third consecutive road game, including traveling east on consecutive weekends for this 10 AM body time start. Conversely, the Panthers are well rested after outrushing Atlanta 134-76 in a 21-20 season ending victory, their third straight. An earlier meeting of these two on this field resulted in a hard fought Panther victory 10-9, in which they outrushed the 49ers 250-151. Though that defeat for the 49ers was followed by a 23-20 loss at New Orleans, San Fran has won 7 consecutive games since that time, the longest win streak of any playoff contender. Last week, they again proved their mettle with a 23-20 hard fought victory at Green Bay. These teams are virtual statistical images of each other, including being led by the new wave of NFL prototypical QB, such as Kaepernick and Newton. In the final analysis, the preference of this bureau is for the greater playoff experience of the 49ers and their signal caller. This is the fifth playoff game for Kaepernick, while Carolina has not appeared in the playoffs for 5 years. Though the weekend’s most pleasant weather will be in Carolina, much like the first meeting, I expect the defenses to dominate resulting in a lower scoring contest.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 12

Greg Shaker

Arizona / USC Over 138

I have 142.7 and playing 1% here. USC cannot compete with the Wildcats in a half court situation. They WILL push the action tonight. This number is up from 137 and it happened pretty quickly as these CBB Totals do do a lot. I'm playing it now.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 12

Jeff Scott SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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3 UNIT PLAYFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Purdue/ Nebraska Under 145: I really don't see the Huskers coming up with enough points to put this game over. They average just 59 ppg on the road and just 59.8 ppg in their last 4 overall. The Huskers haven't scored more than 59 points on the road in their last 3 games and have put up just 55 ppg in their 2 road games vs Big 10 opponents.  The Boilers do allow 68.8 ppg at home, but on just 39% shooting and Nebraska shoots a mere 35.9 from the field on the road. The Huskers defense is not all that good and they do allow 78,8 ppg on the road, but they have played better defense of late, allowing just 71.8 ppg in their last 5 overall. I really don't expect more than 62 or 63 from the Huskers in this one and that means that Purdue will have to put up at least 83 for this game to go over. I don't see that either. 71-63 sounds about right for this one.

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Monmouth at CanisiusFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play:Monmouth +10.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Familiarity between these new MAAC opponents will be minimal since they have not faced each other yet this season. Youthful Monmouth squad has gone to a unique lineup which features three guards and a pair of 6’10” true freshman centers. Using a pair of big men in an up-tempo system (73.0 possessions per game overall, 74.8 in league play) wouldn’t seem to be a good fit but with this alignment, Monmouth won at high octane Niagara Friday night 85-74. Head coach King Rice is confident that playing the duo of Chris Brady and Zac Tillman together will continue to make the Hawks better. Monmouth shot 63% from the field in the win but that’s far above their poor season average of 39.5%. Defensively, they’ve been sound over the past eight games allowing only Quinnipiac to shoot above 44% from the field.
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Canisius played their third consecutive tight contest Friday night defeating Rider in double OT 94-91 on a buzzer beating three by star Billy Baron. The Golden Griffins haven’t had much trouble offensively in conference play averaging 79.6 ppg on 46.9% shooting but they have had problems defensively yielding 73.6 ppg & 45.3% from the floor. What makes the defensive numbers so glaring is the fact that four of Canisius five league games have been played against three of the MAAC’s four worst offenses. Despite Monmouth’s inconsistent shooting, those numbers indicate they can score 73 or more in this game. The Hawks commitment to 40 minutes of high energy effort has led to a current 5-1 ats streak. The only contest they’ve lost by this price was against Quinnipiac eight days ago and that includes a trip to league kingpin Manhattan. Canisius has the best player on the floor here in Baron, they’re definitely the more experienced group and they have home court but this opponent is shaping up to be a pesky one in their initial MAAC campaign. This game is also important to HC Rice who was recruited long ago by Canisius head coach Jim Baron and has a pupil/teacher relationship with him. Tough to bank on young teams coming through twice in three days on the road because of their inherent inconsistencies but Canisius is off a double OT thriller and Monmouth is playing pretty well right now. Visitor may not win straight up but taking the +10.5 is worth a shot.

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Brian EdwardsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Xavier at CreightonFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Xavier +8.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Xavier has been an underdog three times this season, compiling a 3-0 spread record with a pair of outright wins vs. Cincinnati (64-47) and at Alabama (77-74). The only outright defeat came in a 77-74 loss to Iowa in overtime as a six-point underdog.
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Chris Mack's team has a 13-3 straight-up record and a 10-4 against-the-spread mark. Xavier will take an eight-game winning streak into Omaha on Sunday to face Creighton. Most books have the Bluejays favored by -8.5.
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Xavier has the better RPI (#27) compared to Creighton (#35). The Musketeers have covered the spread in six consecutive games, including triumphs over Marquette, Butler and St. John's to start 3-0 in their debut season in the Big East.
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Xavier has played a tough schedule with a pair of wins over RPI Top-50 opponents, including a win over Tennessee. The Musketeers have won seven of 10 games versus foes in the RPI's Top 100. They have only lost one game by more than six, a 64-49 defeat against Tennessee when the Vols were in revenge mode.
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Creighton won't be at full strength. Sixth-year senior guard Grant Gibbs is out for the next 4-6 weeks after dislocating his kneecap in a win over DePaul earlier this week. Doug McDermott, the All-American forward who is a legit candidate for national Player of the Year honors, will play despite slightly spraining his shoulder and bruising his rotator cuff against DePaul.
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I think Xavier is a live underdog with better-than-decent chance of winning outright. I'm all over the Musketeers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 12

Wunderdog

Iowa at Ohio State
Pick: Ohio St -6.5

A giant Big 10 battle between two Top 20 teams. One weakness for Iowa is they are not big in the frontcourt, and that weakness shows up on the road where they are winless. That will be a concern against the No. 3 ranked Ohio State Buckeyes, who shoot 47% as a team behind 6-11 junior center Amir Williams and 6-8 LaQuinton Ross pounding the frontcourt. Ohio State is off a close loss in OT at Michigan State and is a great bounce back team, 9-4 ATS following a loss. And it was their first defeat of the season, so they will not be kind to their visitors. Ohio State has won the last eight games against Iowa in the series, the longest winning streak for the Buckeyes over Iowa all-time.  Thad Matta is 11-4 overall vs. the Hawkeyes, and Ohio State is 7-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. Throw in the fact that the Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Big Ten and grab the home court. Play the Ohio State Buckeyes.

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UCLA -6.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The host Bruins may have an excellent 12-3 overall record out of the gate, but they have not helped themselves in “visibility” tilts had the promise of drawing prospective recruits to a once-dominant program that is now run by a head coach (Steve Alford) who has had previous success as both a player and leader being originally trained by the fiery Bob Knight.  UCLA’s initial appearance on the ESPN family of networks was a trip east to New York’s famed Madison Square Garden where they were drilled by an 80-63 final count against mighty Duke.  On Thursday of this week the Bruins once again had an ESPN national appearance this time on their own hardwood (Pauley Pavilion) and once again lost on the scoreboard this time as a home underdog against an opponent (Arizona) who currently has the #1 overall ranking in the land.  Even though this late night tilt will not be drawing much national attention, the Bruins do have a sizeable advantage against Arizona State who is playing just their second ROAD game since the beginning of December (12/6).  The Sun Devils back on Wednesday did win by a large 19 point margin but it was “only” against the same USC contingent that the Bruins drilled by a 107-73 count earlier this month.  The UCLA Bruins have actually “alternated” spread wins-and-losses in FIVE consecutive outings and are due to an ATS triumph late this evening

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Sunday, January 12

River City Sharps

Utah -2.5

We really like a nice "bounceback" situation tonight in the Pac-12 as Utah takes on Washington State. The Utes lost a heartbreaker on Thursday night, dropping a two point decision to Washington. Meanwhile, Washington State is 0-3 already in their Pac 12 campaign as they dropped a one point game to Colorado, a game where they were an 8.5 point dog. Utah is 8-1 ATS this season and 9-2 ATS off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. The Cougars have really been struggling on the offensive end, especially in the last five games. They are only averaging 55.6 ppg over the last five while Utah is averaging 83.6 ppg on the year. This game looks like a mismatch and we think the bounceback tonight comes from the Utes as they get a much needed road win.

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