Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

SPORTS WAGERSFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
IOWA STATE -6½ over BaylorFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Always be cautious when backing high ranked teams taking back significant points. That’s precisely the situation here with the seventh, one-loss Bears taking back a margin. Baylor is 12-1 overall with only loss occurring against #2 Syracuse. The Bears are shooting a sizzling .504 from the field this season and they’re also ranked highly in several other key categories. Baylor has a win over then #3 Kentucky and they have scored 80 points or more in four straight games. Why then, is this highly ranked team getting so many points? The oddsmakers have made this number far too enticing and again, we warn you that it’s a big red flag. Incidentally, this will be Baylor’s first true road game of the season and the line suggests they are in line to get smacked.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The undefeated Cyclones are one of the most difficult offensive teams in the country to game plan for. Further, Coach Fred Hoiberg is a master at exploiting mismatches. Iowa State plays with great spacing and has players so versatile that the Cyclones can invert their offense. It’s not uncommon for their frontcourt players -- Georges Niang or Melvin Ejim -- to be isolated in the middle of the floor or on the wing while point guard DeAndre Kane is posted up against a smaller defender. This is a team that shares the basketball. Niang can overpower defenders on the block and if doubled is a willing passer. Hoiberg empowers his players, yet they rarely abuse that trust by taking an ill-advised shot. Dustin Hogue, Naz Long and Matt Thomas all shoot the ball with range, enhancing Iowa State's spacing. They collectively average 20 assists a game while shooting 49.1 percent from the field and 37.3 percent from long distance. This is a team that is built with a purpose that has very few flaws, if any at all. Indeed the Cyclones have had some close calls that include a four-point win over Boise State, a three-point win over Iowa and a 2-point win over BYU but their overall average margin of victory has been by 15 points and this line suggests this one will be close to that.   
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
VIRGINIA TECH +12½ over SyracuseFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Orange Coach Jim Boeheim takes plenty of criticism but he’s one of the most underappreciated coaches in the history of college basketball. He’s an excellent recruiter, an excellent evaluator and a creative offensive coach. His consistency and continuity are second to none. He always has players ready to step up and rarely has to rely on more than one freshman. This season’s squad is no exception.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Orange lost Michael Carter-Williams, Brandon Triche (a four-year starter) and James Southerland (who waited until his junior season to become a contributor) from last season's squad. And you know what? It hasn't been a problem. Sophomore Jerami Grant has emerged as a potential superstar. C.J. Fair, a former role player, has developed as a senior into the ACC preseason Player of the Year. Trevor Cooney redshirted and paid his dues as a backup and now is a confident scorer as well as one of the nation’s best cutters. The combination of Rakeem Christmas, Baye Moussa Keita and DaJuan Coleman share the minutes upfront. This season’s freshman impact player is point guard Tyler Ennis. He’s been handed the ball and in typical Boeheim fashion has delivered. Syracuse has jumped out to a 14-0 start and is now ranked #2 in the country. When playing undefeated, high ranked teams, you are always going to pay a premium and that seldom comes recommended. As a result of their 14-0 start, combined with their outstanding pedigree, the Orange have become perhaps the most overvalued team in college basketball. They are a poor rebounding squad (ranked 206th), and they are ranked 144th in points per game and that’s after playing a rather easy out-of-conference schedule. Syracuse has played one true road game this season and it resulted in a narrow five-point win over the Johnnies.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
One thing we know for sure is that the Hokies are a great rebounding team and should easily win that battle on their home floor. Va Tech does have a couple of disturbing losses this season but they are still 10-4 and this now becomes its biggest game of the young season. We’re not suggesting that the Hokies are a threat in the ACC because they are not. They went 6-19 in the conference last year and that was with ACC player of the year Erick Green. They will be hard-pressed to duplicate that win total this season but they figure to be more competitive with two juniors and two seniors in the starting lineup. Va Tech has a win over West Virginia and Miami and they have a one-point loss against Seton Hall. They have also played #1 Michigan State and lost by 19 but the Orange are not nearly as good as the Spartans and Va Tech had a six-point lead at one point before the bottom fell out. That was nine games ago and this now becomes a case of selling extremely high on the overpriced Orangemen.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pass NBAFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

WunderdogFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia at ClevelandFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Philadelphia +4.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
There was nothing pretty about the last time the Philadelphia 76ers stepped on the floor. They were beaten badly by Minnesota by 31 points. That will have bettors running away from this team, but hold on. Teams that are bad defensively and allow over 103 points per game, and are off a 20-point loss or more actually come back strong to cover 56% of their next games (over 500 games in the sample). Good or bad, professional athletes don't like to be crushed, and usually come back with a strong effort. The Cavaliers put a lot of energy in their last game here vs. an elite Indiana team, and disappointingly, came up 4 points short, so their focus here vs the lowly Sixers should be lacking. The Cavs sport just a 6-20-1 ATS mark when playing on one day of rest in their last 27. Play on Philadelphia.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

NHL PredictionsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
New York Islanders +131FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Maple Leafs are coming off a 7-1 loss at home Saturday night vs the Rangers, and despite winning 3 of their last 4 games they are not playing good hockey. Toronto has given up the following shots against over their last 7 games: 35, 38, 43, 35, 43, 43, and 50. The latest three numbers of 50, 43, and 43 were their shots against in their last three games. It it tough to win hockey games when you're giving up that many scoring opportunities, and I could see that continuing tonight vs the Islanders who have won 4 of their last 5 games overall, including a 7-3 win over Dallas last night. New York is playing pretty good hockey lately and they've gotten 31+ shots on goal in 6 straight games. The Islanders didn't get into Toronto until late last night due to poor weather and will miss their morning skate, but coming off a big win last night I expect them to be fine for tonight's game. The Islanders like playing in Toronto winning 3 of their last 4 meetings in Toronto. The Leafs did take the first meeting between these two teams this year, but the Islanders out shot the Leafs 37-24 in that game. Note that the Leafs are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a home loss of 3+ goals, and 3-9 in their last 12 games after scoring 2 goals or fewer in their previous game. This game should be a pick'em price, so I will go with the team playing better hockey right now at a good underdog price.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Lightning / Jets Over 5.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Tonight's game between the Lightning and Jets features another case of a star goalie being absent, only this time I am looking to take advantage of it. Ben Bishop, who in many peoples opinions got snubbed from Team USA, will sit this one out with an injury that is day-to-day. Bishop has been spectacular for the Lightning and a major reason for why they are still a competitive team without Steven Stamkos. Bishop enters January 7th with a sub 2.00 GAA, but his backup, Andres Lindback, has struggled mightily. He boasts a record of 3-8-1 and 3.21 GAA with a .883% save percentage. It appears Bishop's injury isn't serious, or else this season would probably take a turn down the toilet for Tampa. Although, even with Stamkos out, the Lightning have still been solid on the offensive end. They are averaging 2.71 goals per game, which would be higher with Stamkos, but still a solid number. Lindback has had a porous season, but the Jets have been a liability on defense. Most notably recently, where they have given up 14 goals in their last three games played. The Jets surrender an average of 2.91 goals a game. I think getting plus money with the OVER is a bet that is worth a serious look here. Without Bishop in net we should see a major decline in goaltending from the Lightning.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Sean Murphy

Toronto vs. Indiana
Pick: Indiana

Raptors have gone a perfect 2-0 ATS in this series this season, but I believe that streak comes to an end in Indiana tonight.

The Pacers won't overlook Toronto this time around. The Raptors have of course turned their season around since dealing Rudy Gay to Sacramento. They check in having won seven of their last nine games - eight of those ATS.

Of course, the memory of a 95-82 loss in Toronto on New Year's Day is still fresh in the minds of the Pacers. This is a great spot for them to get back at the Raps, having gone a stellar 16-1 SU at home this season, outscoring the opposition by nearly 15 points per game. Against opponents from their own conference, the Pacers are winning by an average margin of nearly 10 ppg.

Toronto has put forth gritty performance after gritty performance lately, and will undoubtedly hang around for a while in this one. But ultimately, I look for the Pacers to stretch the margin in the second half and cruise to a double-digit victory. T

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

John Ryan

Cincinnati at Houston
Play: Cincinnati

The simulator shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game by 11 or more points. This is an abbreviated research report, but shows you a taste of what I provide for the Top rated 10* Titans. SIM projects that Cincinnati will make between 40 and 46% of their shots, will have 4+ more rebounds, and will score between 67 and 74 points. In past games, Cincinnati is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons; 42-17 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Houston plays a packed in zone defense and are not aggressive in generating steals and forcing turnovers. They rely instead on solid defense and rebounding. This plays to the strengths of the Bearcats noting they are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when facing low pressure defensive teams forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last three seasons. Take Cincinnati.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Tony George

Ohio State vs. Michigan State    
Play: Ohio State +5½

Battle of heavyweights here tonight, with #3 OSU versus #4 MSU with a ton of points, especially for two defensive minded teams and coaches. This is a MONSTER Matchup on TV that will showcase a somewhat boring game if you do not like defense.

The Buckeyes, unlike their big brother in football, play defense and have held opponents to under 60 ppg on the season and in their last 5 games have averaged 55 ppg allowed, and on the road this year have allowed just 52 ppg. Something has to give because Sparty is scoring 84 ppg on offense in their last 5 games. OSU is not without talent on offense but in a heated rivalry like this, 2 great coaches and 2 teams littered with some awesome talent, giving a superior defensive unit 5.5 points is a take for the Buckeyes, even on the road here.

Tom Izzo brings the boys home after 2 Double Digit blowouts on the road at Penn State and Indiana, but they will find the sledding tougher tonight against a stingy Ohio St team who just destroyed Nebraska by 29 points at home. Ohio State is undefeated and 3-0 away from Columbus and I will gladly take the points here in what should be a very tight game. OSU has taken the last 2 and this gamne has went under in 6 out of the last 7 and the total is sitting at 128.5. Grab the points here, as I think Sparty at home with double revenge is tough to look past on the money line but getting the points looks tasty! .

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Jack Jones

Dallas Mavericks -9½

The Los Angeles Lakers are in shambles right now with all of their injures. They are without Kobe Bryant, Steve Blake, Steve Nash, Jordan Farmar and Xavier Henry. All of the trade rumors surrounding Pau Gasol have been a distraction, too.

The result has been the worst stretch of basketball that the Lakers have played this season. They have lost seven of their last eight games overall, including four by 15 points or more. They lost at Golden State (83-102), at Phoenix (90-117), versus Milwaukee (79-94) and versus Denver (115-137).

I fully expect the Mavericks to put a similar beat down on them tonight. Dallas comes in highly motivated after losing each of its last two games at home to the Clippers and Knicks. These teams played once this season with the Mavericks coming away with a 123-104 home victory on November 5. Another win in the 19-point range is likely in store tonight.

The Lakers are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. up-tempo teams who average 83 or more shots per game. The Mavericks are 30-16 ATS in their last 46 games versus up-tempo teams who average 83 or more shots per game. Los Angeles is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.

The Lakers are 4-16 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last three years. Los Angeles is 18-38 ATS in its last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than 60%. Dallas is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Mavericks Tuesday.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Steve Rosen

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks    
Play: Dallas Mavericks -9½

The injury-riddled Lakers have lost seven of eight, including a 137-115 loss to Denver on Sunday. The Lakers' only win during their rough stretch came against the lowly Utah Jazz, and they're dealing with injuries to guards Kobe Bryant, Steve Nash, Steve Blake and Jordan Farmar and forward Xavier Henry, as well as the distraction of constant trade rumors surrounding center Pau Gasol. Lakers are 6-10 on road while Dallas is 11-6 at home! They already played this season as Dallas won by 19! take the mavs

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Freddy Wills

Ohio State vs. Michigan State    
Play: Ohio State +5½

I really think this is a tight match up throughout with both teams knowing this is not just another game. Ohio State can win on the road and Michigan State already proved they can lose at home (see UNC). I expect a well played game by both with the game coming down to the final possession so I'll take the points in this one as a value play.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Jeff Alexander

Indiana Pacers -8½

The Pacers defeated the Cavs by only four points last game, and I was on the Cavs +8.5 in that one as I was sure Indiana would be looking ahead to this revenge game. Indiana lost by double-digits at Toronto on New Year's Day, and it will be out for some serious revenge tonight. The Pacers are 8-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. They are 19-7 ATS as a favorite this season, including 10-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Pacers are also 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games. Bet Indiana.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Dave Price

Michigan State -5

At home and motivated by back-to-back losses to Ohio State, the Spartans will take care of business tonight. Ohio State has been tremendous on the defensive end, holding opponents to 54.9 points per game. However, Michigan State is a perfect 9-0 ATS the last three seasons versus excellent defensive teams that hold their opponents to 57.0 points per game or less. The Spartans haven't just defeated these teams, they've crushed them by an average of 13.1 points. It is also worth noting that the home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the four meetings, and the Spartans are 19-8 ATS all-time under coach Izzo as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6.0 points, winning these games by an average score of 70.8 to 61.9. Lay the points.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

AC Dinero

Syracuse vs. Virginia Tech
Play: Virginia Tech +12.5

Syracuse travels to Virginia after an ugly home win over Miami. They shoot the ball a little better, but the Hokies have been tougher on the defensive side of the ball. Virginia Tech is well rested, and has the edge on the boards as well as the more productive bench. Look for the Hokies to keep it close in front of the home crowd in the ACC road debut of the Orange.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Chris Jordan

My free play for Tuesday night is on the LSU Tigers laying a cheap price to Tennessee, as the Volunteers will struggle with this one being at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge.

LSU is in after a second-rate effort last Saturday, and should be motivated with this being the Southeastern Conference opener and it being at home against Tennessee.

The Tigers come into this one with a 9-3 record overall after a disappointing 74-70 loss to Rhode Island on Saturday; Tennessee, meanwhile, ran its record to 9-4 with a 98-51 victory over Tusculum College. Excuse me, who? The Volunteers have won three straight, but prior to Tusculum, it was an 82-67 win over Morehead State. And as much respect as I have for Morehead St., this is a major step up as far as the level of competition is concerned, and the Volunteers are 0-2 in their two true road games.

LSU closed out last year's campaign on an 8-3 ATS run in conference play and is also on a 6-1 ATS win streak following a loss. The Tigers are also on a 7-3 ATS win streak in this series.

Take the Tigers tonight.

3♦ LSU

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Jeff Benton

Tuesday freebie goes on the Blazers as the road favorite against the Kings.

Portland has cooled off a little, as the Blazers head to Sacto losers of 3 of their last 5, and they have also dropped 8 of their last 10 against the spread.

Nothing like a stop in against the Kings to get Portland feeling healthy again, because as bad a Portland has been, Sacramento can lay claim to being worse.

The Kings have dropped 9 of their last 13 straight up, and are a money-burning 6-13 against the spread on their home hardwood this year.

Portland has dominated in the series, winning 3 straight and 4 of the last 6. The Blazers are also on an 8-2 spread run their last 10 visits to California.

Look for the Blazers to get back to their winning ways with the road win and cover tonight.

3♦ PORTLAND

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Craig Davis

Tuesday's free play winner is Michigan State at home over Ohio State.

First major test of the year for the Bucks and I'm not sure they're quite ready for it. Don't get me wrong... I don't believe for a minute they are intimidated by the Breslin Center in East Lansing as they've played there several times and have actually had some success in the recent past.

But to date, the Spartans are a little more battle-tested as the Bucks have had a softer non-conference schedule than in year's past. Granted, Marquette and Notre Dame aren't a stroll in the park... but it's also not like playing Kentucky or North Carolina either.

Michigan State is also playing on some revenge as the Buckeyes beat Sparty in the Big 10 Title game for the second time in three years at the end of last season.

The Spartans have two major advantages (other than home court) in tonight's game that OSU must address if they want to stay in this game.

1. Post defense. OSU has been torn up by bigger offensive players and are getting outrebounded down there way too often.

2. Free throws. The Bucks are not a good free throw shooting team (second to last in the Big 10) while MSU can knock down clutch shots from the stripe when the game is on the line.

Take Michigan State in round 1 of this entertaining matchup to win by 9.

3♦ MICHIGAN STATE

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Scott Delaney

My free winner for Tuesday night is in the NBA, where I am playing the Portland Trail Blazers, laying the points in Sacramento to the Kings in a Western Conference showdown between two old school rivals. They no longer play in the same division, but the fire is still there, and Portland knows it can't take a trip into Sactown lightly.

I know the Blazers have lost three of their last five games, but this is a good spot for them, as they've already swept back-to-back games against these Kings back in November, winning 101-94 in Portland and 96-85 in Sacramento.

The Kings come into this one having lost two straight at home to Philadelphia and Charlotte, and now must play a team with the second-best record in the Western Conference.

Portland has covered nine of its last 12 against losing teams and five of seven after a straight-up loss, while the Kings are mired in a 6-13 ATS home skid. The Blazers have covered 11 of their last 15 meetings with Sacramento.

5♦ PORTLAND

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Brad Wilton

Revenge time for Indiana, as the Pacers suffered a rather lopsided loss in their New Year's Day setback in Toronto, 95-82 at the hands of the upstart Raptors.

At 16-1 straight up at home, hard to imagine Indiana losing outright again to Toronto, so the question then becomes can the Pacers cover this impost?

I say they can. Indiana is 12-5 against the spread at home this year, and they do come into this revenge game having covered 7 of their last 9 games overall.

Toronto is on a nice run of their own, going 5-1 straight up their last 6, while covering in all 6 of those games (Indiana win included!), but that fact means the Raptors will have the utmost attention of Frank Vogel and his Pacers.

Revenge time tonight at Bankers Life Field House!

Play on Indiana.

3♦ INDIANA

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

King Creole

Tennessee +3

Sharp ATS players can argue that the WRONG team is favored in this SEC game on Tuesday evening. And it just happens to be the FIRST conference game for both teams. The VOLUNTEERS have dominated this series with the Tigers. Tennessee has gone a perfect 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings... winning by an average of +12.3 ppg. The DOG in this series has also gone 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Unfortunately for the host Tigers, they'll be facing a SURGING Volunteer team that comes in off 3 straight wins in a row... and by an average margin of +16.7 ppg. And the visiting Vols should enjoy a HUGE advantage on the boards, as their rebound advantage of nearly +10.0 per-game would attest.

Tennessee is historically a GREAT road underdogs when taking on fellow conference opponents. The VOLUNTEERS have gone 29-14-1 ATS since 2004 as conference road underdogs. And that includes a nearly-perfect 7-1 ATS in the last two seasons. Meanwhile, the LSU TIGERS have gone 8-19-1 ATS since 2005 as home favorites when playing off a SU loss.

In that last loss at home, The Tigers were BIG favs of -13.5 against Rhode Island... and went down 74 to 70.
1-6-1 ATS since 2009: All SEC Conference home favorites of < 8 pts (Lsu) playing off a SU loss in which they were a favorite of > 6 pts.

Sealing the deal is the current Conference ATS patterns that apply in this season alone.
College Basketball CONFERENCE road underdogs playing off a SU win (TENNESSEE) have gone 8-1 ATS this season versus any opponent off a SU loss (Lsu).

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Andre Gomes

Washington Wizards PK

With all their key players healthy, the Wizards are IMO a better team than the Bobcats and I expect them to confirm this on the court tonight.

Going to what it matters; the matchup between these two teams is extremely favorable to the Wizards…

I've watched WAS's last game against the Warriors as I went w/ OVER in that game, and the Wizards offense played really well until the half time. John Wall was aggressive and he created plenty of good looks for his teammates. Obviously, the Wizards couldn't stop the Warriors as well, but when GSW is "in the zone", they are really tough to stop offensively.

In the second half, GSW started strong, got some separation just to watch the Wizards missing wide open shot after wide open shot. WAS L3 games went 5-24, 4-12, 6-20 behind the line, but note that they are keep getting "good looks", they are simply missing those shots.

Tonight they will face a Bobcats defense that is predicated to protect the basket but struggles heavily to defend the perimeter. We are dealing w/ #28 ranked 3pts defense in the league, allowing their opponents to shot 37.7%! In L10 games, CHA is allowing 40.4%, so sooner or later, the Wizards shooters will enjoy a decent game, and tonight they have a favorable matchup to explore.

On the other side, I think the Wizards defense will be able to slow down Kemba Walker, and with Walker not having a good game, the Bobcats really can't generate enough offense to be competitive. In the last game against the Kings, Walker dominated the game against a soft perimeter defense that couldn't protect the basket. Well, WAS is ranked #2 in the league defending Pick n Rolls ball handler plays, and this is the play that CHA NEEDS to be efficient. @SAC, CHA had 1.00 PPP 12-23 FG in P&R BH plays and no wonder they were able to score 113 points.

Finally, we are dealing with the Bobcats returning home after a long west coast road trip - physical/mental spot that usually is primed for a letdown.

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, January 7

Greg Shaker

Rhode Island +7

The Line: This line has been up and down dropping to to 6.5 and has seen 7.5 as well but back to the original number at this writing. My best guess is that it will settle lower than what it is not but fairly stable throughout the betting window.

Why We Bet It: There is no doubt that the Rams have been a major pain in the ass for St Louis with 5 consecutive straight-up wins dating back to the 2010 season. They actually match-up well again this year with this team and even have the better bench which is important as we get into conference play. St Louis has another quality team this year, winning a lot of games both at home and on the road. But road numbers have not been as good as when they play on their court where they simply take care of the ball better. That is the primary reason why they are just 2-4 ATS when traveling this year, different results in previous years. This has been a Dog series the last few years and it has also been an UNDER series. That gives us even more value with these points tonight. Other factors lend itself to our number being St Louis -3.3 and that's good enough for me to play it on what will have to be a 3 Possession cover by the road conference team here..

Biggest Concerns: No major concerns here except for the fact that we would be getting a better number had URI not beat LSU just 3 days ago.

Added Notes: You can bet this one for the Full 2% down to +6 and then decrease to 1% beyond that..

Blade
useravatar
Online
208166 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44342
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275550
Average Posts Per Hour:
4.3
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3460
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2321

Online: 
Blade

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com