Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, December 28

Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, December 28

DUNKEL INDEX

Miami (FL) vs. Louisville
The Cardinals bring a 12-2 ATS record in their last 14 games against ACC opponents as they face the Hurricanes in today's Russell Athletic Bowl. Louisville is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3)

Game 223-224: Rutgers vs. Notre Dame (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 70.366; Notre Dame 98.894
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 28 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 15; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-15); Under

Game 225-226: Cincinnati vs. North Carolina (3:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 94.040; North Carolina 94.290
Dunkel Line: Even; 62
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3); Over

Game 227-228: Miami (FL) vs. Louisville (6:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 84.791; Louisville 97.430
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 56
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3); Under

Game 229-230: Michigan vs. Kansas State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 96.329; Kansas State 96.945
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 4; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4); Under

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DUNKEL INDEX

NBA

Dallas at Chicago
The Mavericks come into tonight's game at Chicago with a  28-11 ATS record in their last 39 road games. Dallas is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-2)

Game 501-502: Cleveland at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 111.179; Boston 122.239
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 11; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.087; Washington 118.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3; 203
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Over

Game 505-506: Brooklyn at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 112.246; Indiana 130.505
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 18 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 13 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-13 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: New York at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.658; Toronto 117.493
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Charlotte at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 118.136; Atlanta 121.650
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+6 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: New Orleans at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.365; Houston 124.937
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 10 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9; 210
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9); Over

Game 513-514: Dallas at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.227; Chicago 114.418
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-2); Over

Game 515-516: Denver at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.445; Memphis 115.483
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3); Under

Game 517-518: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.998; Milwaukee 114.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+7 1/2); Under

Game 519-520: Philadelphia at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 104.835; Phoenix 123.411
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 18 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-11); Over

Game 521-522: Miami at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.381; Portland 125.935
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+5 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Utah at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 113.336; LA Clippers 129.237
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 16; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-13 1/2); Over

NHL

Boston at Ottawa
The Bruins look to follow up last night's 5-0 win over the Senators and take advantage of Ottawa's 0-8 record in its last 8 games when playing with 0 days of rest. Boston is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135)

Game 51-52: Detroit at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.770; Florida 10.326
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 53-54: Montreal at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.187; Tampa Bay 10.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+110); Over

Game 55-56: Boston at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.626; Ottawa 10.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

Game 57-58: New Jersey at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.808; NY Islanders 10.015
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+115); Over

Game 59-60: Chicago at St. Louis (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.989; St. Louis 10.838
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+120); Under

Game 61-62: Phoenix at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 10.658; Anaheim 12.570
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-170); Over

Game 63-64: Los Angeles at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.672; Nashville 9.986
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-160); Over

Game 65-66: Philadelphia at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.785; Edmonton 11.843
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+100); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, December 28

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NCAAB

Louisville at Kentucky
The Cardinals head to Lexington to face a Kentucky team that is coming off a 93-80 win over Belmont and is 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in the previous game. Louisville is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-2 1/2)

Game 525-526: Florida International at Georgetown (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 54.079; Georgetown 69.029
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 15; 131
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 18; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+18); Under

Game 527-528: Villanova at Syracuse (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 72.613; Syracuse 78.978
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 6 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 4; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-4); Over

Game 529-530: Eastern Michigan at Duke (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 52.321; Duke 77.140
Dunkel Line: Duke by 25; 153
Vegas Line: Duke by 17 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-17 1/2); Over

Game 531-532: Southern Mississippi at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 57.271; Rhode Island 56.474
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 1
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+4)

Game 533-534: Harvard at Fordham (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 59.254; Fordham 55.832
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Harvard by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+6 1/2)

Game 535-536: Illinois-Chicago vs. Illinois (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.430; Illinois 65.019
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 13
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-13)

Game 537-538: UC-Irvine at Arizona State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 54.452; Arizona State 69.674
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 15
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-10 1/2)

Game 539-540: Columbia vs. St. John's (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 57.192; St. John's 63.534
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 9
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+9)

Game 541-542: Nebraska at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 59.143; Cincinnati 72.797
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 11
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-11)

Game 543-544: George Washington at Hofstra (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 60.437; Hofstra 53.251
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 7
Vegas Line: George Washington by 10
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+10)

Game 545-546: Louisville at Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 78.570; Kentucky 72.324
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 6; 152
Vegas Line: Louisville by 2 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-2 1/2); Over

Game 547-548: Akron at South Carolina (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 61.596; South Carolina 54.794
Dunkel Line: Akron by 7
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+1 1/2)

Game 549-550: BYU at Loyola-Marymount (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 70.025; Loyola-Marymount 56.994
Dunkel Line: BYU by 13
Vegas Line: BYU by 6
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-6)

Game 551-552: Wake Forest at Xavier (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 62.758; Xavier 65.090
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+7 1/2)

Game 553-554: Tulane vs. Kansas State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 45.627; Kansas State 65.260
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-13 1/2)

Game 555-556: Providence at Massachusetts (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 62.908; Massachusetts 67.853
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5; 137
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 10; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (+10); Under

Game 557-558: Old Dominion at Richmond (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 51.968; Richmond 59.999
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 8
Vegas Line: Richmond by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+11 1/2)

Game 559-560: Cleveland State at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 53.919; Kent State 61.745
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 8
Vegas Line: Kent State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-2 1/2)

Game 561-562: Boston College vs. VCU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 53.660; VCU 66.249
Dunkel Line: VCU by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-9 1/2)

Game 563-564: South Florida at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 54.566; Bradley 55.848
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 1
Vegas Line: South Florida by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+1 1/2)

Game 565-566: Missouri at NC State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 65.384; NC State 69.348
Dunkel Line: NC State by 4
Vegas Line: NC State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-2 1/2)

Game 567-568: San Diego at Pepperdine (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 57.863; Pepperdine 51.610
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 6
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+1 1/2)

Game 569-570: Santa Clara at Gonzaga (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 55.727; Gonzaga 69.418
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+16 1/2)

Game 571-572: San Francisco at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 51.220; Portland 62.071
Dunkel Line: Portland by 11
Vegas Line: Portland by 8
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-8)

Game 573-574: Alabama at UCLA (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 62.062; UCLA 72.836
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-8 1/2)

Game 575-576: Georgia at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 59.909; Colorado 69.878
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 10
Vegas Line: Colorado by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+14 1/2)

Game 577-578: CS-Fullerton at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 49.648; UNLV 68.131
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: UNLV by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-13 1/2)

Game 579-580: Long Beach State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 52.139; Nevada 53.983
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 4
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+4)

Game 581-582: Alcorn State vs. Denver (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 39.912; Denver 52.701
Dunkel Line: Denver by 13
Vegas Line: Denver by 16
Dunkel Pick: Alcorn State (+16)

Game 583-584: Western Illinois at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 48.962; UTEP 62.732
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 14
Vegas Line: UTEP by 12
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-12)

Game 585-586: NC-Greensboro at Virginia Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 44.350; Virginia Tech 56.415
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 12
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+14 1/2)

Game 587-588: Eastern Washington at Connecticut (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 48.677; Connecticut 71.410
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 22 1/2; 143
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 19; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-19); Over

Game 589-590: Belmont at Indiana State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.675; Indiana State 63.763
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 8
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-6)

Game 591-592: Samford at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 44.824; Marquette 65.303
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Marquette by 24
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+24)

Game 593-594: Cornell at St. Peter's (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 38.538; St. Peter's 43.710
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 5
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (+8 1/2)

Game 595-596: Tennessee State at Eastern Illinois (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 42.740; Eastern Illinois 48.481
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (-2)

Game 597-598: Furman at California (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 41.632; California 62.192
Dunkel Line: California by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 24
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+24)

Game 599-600: Iona at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 53.635; Northern Iowa 63.460
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 6
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-6)

Game 611-612: Jackson State at Memphis (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jackson State 50.126; Memphis 68.223
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 18; 135
Vegas Line: Memphis by 21 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jackson State (+21 1/2); Under

Game 613-614: NJIT at Butler (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NJIT 43.913; Butler 68.353
Dunkel Line: Butler by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-21 1/2)

Game 615-616: Prairie View at Wisconsin (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Prairie View 36.860; Wisconsin 76.667
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 40
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 33
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-33)

Game 617-618: New Orleans at Michigan State (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 40.562; Michigan State 68.709
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 28
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 30 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+30 1/2)

Game 619-620: Mississippi Valley State at Washington State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi Valley State 39.061; Washington State 55.435
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 19
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi Valley State (+19)

Game 621-622: TX-Corpus Christi at Minnesota (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Corpus Christi 45.562; Minnesota 71.125
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-23 1/2)

Game 623-624: South Alabama at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 53.690; New Mexico State 68.861
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 15
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-11 1/2)

Game 625-626: Holy Cross at Michigan (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 55.636; Michigan 68.212
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan by 16
Dunkel Pick: Holy Cross (+16)

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Teddy CoversFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Michigan vs. Kansas StateFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: MichiganFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan’s starting QB Devin Gardner has been sidelined throughout the Wolverines bowl practices, suffering from a nasty case of turf toe.  According to a pre-Christmas report from the Detroit News, Gardner is not likely to play in the Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl against Kansas State. 
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Head coach Brady Hoke’s quote upon arriving with the team in Arizona on Monday: “It’s kind of day to day. But right now, if we were playing tonight he would not play. We’re going into it that Shane (Morris) will be the guy.”
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While Gardner had a very ‘up and down’ campaign, he only threw three interceptions in their final eight games (compared to 14 TD passes) and he rushed for 11 touchdowns this season.  The ‘good’ Gardner made Michigan’s offense nearly unstoppable; throwing for more than 500 yards against Indiana and 451 against Ohio State.  But the ‘bad’ Gardner struggled in losses to Iowa, Michigan State and Nebraska along with narrow wins against Akron and UConn.
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Morris might be pretty good.  After all, he was one of the Top 5 QB recruits in the nation, talked about in the same breath as Penn State’s Christian Hackenberg, well ahead of the likes of Cal’s Jared Goff and LSU’s Anthony Jennings.  He didn’t get any meaningful playing time this year, with brief showings in their blowout win over Central Michigan and their blowout loss at Michigan State.  The book on Morris is that he has a big arm poised for success in the Wolverines pro-style offense.  But he’s not a mobile QB, we don’t know if he can take hits or read defenses effectively.  He’s a huge X-factor, plain and simple.
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Morris success is likely predicated on the ability of Michigan’s offensive line to protect him.  The Wolverines have a likely Top 20 pick in the upcoming NFL draft in tackle Taylor Lewan, and they certainly weren’t short on talent surrounding him.  But this offensive line got destroyed repeatedly, particularly their interior linemen where six guys earned starts at the three guard/center positions and none of them were effective.  The result?  The Wolverines averaged just 3.2 yards per carry this season, consistently unable to run the football.
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Michigan’s other big weakness this year was their struggles rushing the passer, exposing a secondary that really lacked playmakers.  A defense that allowed 17 and 20 points per game in coordinator Greg Mattison’s first two years on the job gave up 26 ppg this year; repeatedly unable to get stops when it mattered most – in the fourth quarter.
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The good news for Michigan is that Kansas State is every bit as flawed as they are, and from a ‘pure talent’ or an ‘NFL prospect’ perspective, the Wildcats rank well below the Wolverines.  Safety Ty Zimmerman is likely to be their first player taken in the draft, and he might not go until Day 3.  And Zimmerman might be the only guy on the team that gets drafted!
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I respect Bill Snyder as much as any coach in college football this side of Nick Saban, but I don’t see why Kansas State is favored by more than a field goal here.  Besides a mediocre talent base, the Wildcats also lack a single signature win this year.  The only two bowl teams they beat were Sun Belt squad Louisiana-Lafayette and a Texas Tech team that was in the midst of a five game skid.
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Wildcats QB Jake Waters only threw 15 TD’s against a slate of relatively weak Big 12 defenses.  WR Tyler Lockett was their lone playmaker on the outside and RB John Hubert did very little against the better defenses that he faced; combining for just 113 yards in four games against Texas, Oklahoma St, TCU and Oklahoma.  And the K-State stop unit allowed 30+ on five separate occasions, not an elite ‘shut down’ unit.
INSTEAD OF LEACHING OFF OTHERS WORK GO GET IT YOURSELF VIKESFAG
Snyder has enjoyed tremendous regular season success, but his Wildcats have been outmatched in every recent bowl game: 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five tries.  I won’t call for that nasty little streak to end this year either.  Take Michigan.

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Tony KarpinskiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers vs. Notre DameFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Rutgers +14FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers comes into the game with sophomore Rb Paul James and his prime 9 Tds. They have a fragile defense that needs to get their act together, and especially in this game, they have given up 32.5 over the last 4 games. So if they don’t play better defense this could get ugly in a hurry. The Scarlet Knights have been atrocious defending the passing game, having given up 3,596 yards through the air this season. Which for Notre Dame fans means they could be a happy team at the end of this one. Even after a mostly disappointing year, after last years miracle run, they still have the spotty QB Tommy Rees leading the team with his 27 TD passes. Notre Dame appears as if it should handle Rutgers, but they can't take the game lightly still the same, and they dont blow teams out, bottom line. This could turn into a grinding dogfight in the cold weather, if Notre Dame doesn’t come out hard and ready to play. Notre Dame is 5-6-1 ATS on the season and I dont expect them to cover here.

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DB ConsensusFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers vs Notre DameFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: Notre Dame -14FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers really struggles to move the ball, and against Notre Dame's stout front it will be a long day. Rutgers ranks #100 in the FBS in rushing yards per game(133.7), #88 in total yards per game (375.9), and #73 in points per game(27.4) The Irish are the #31 defense in points (22.9) and #45 in yards per game(377). Notre Dame chose this bowl over offers from Hawaii and others and will be excited to play here. Coach Kelly has stated it's important for recruiting to have a strong bowl game as ND moves into the ACC.

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Jason SharpeFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Notre Dame (-14) over RutgersFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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There might not be a bigger mismatch in this entire college bowl season than this game here. Notre Dame played against nine bowl opponents this season and ended up holding their own, going 8-4 overall on the season. In fact it’s safe to say this is one of the easier games that the Irish have played this year. Rutgers struggled quite a bit this season, needing a win in their last game of the year to qualify for a bowl game with six wins. The defense is what has really let this group down as the Scarlet Knights gave up 52 points to Cincinnati, 41 to UCF, 49 to Houston, 52 to SMU and 52 more to Fresno State. Of the five bowl teams that they played, they failed to beat one of them. Take Notre Dame minus the points here.

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Jim FeistFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan vs. Kansas StFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 55½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan scored 41 on Ohio State the last game and gave up 42, but the under is 5-1 in the Wolverines last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. And this Michigan offense has been mostly awful of late, scoring 6, 13, 9, and 14 points in regulation the previous four games. And for this game they have to go with a freshman QB as Devin Gardner (turf toe) won't play. Kansas State has a good defense and is a run-first offense, 4-1 under the total in the Wildcats last 5 neutral site games. The under is also 4-0 in the Wildcats last four games on grass and this shapes up as a defensive battle.

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Joe GavazziFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers +14.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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We made a lot of money this year fading the Rutgers' pass defense, playing on Houston, Cincinnati and UCF. Those failures are all part of the recent Rutgers' runs which finds the Knights to be 4-11, 1-6 ATS. It is also that leaky pass defense that led Rutgers HC Flood to fire his DC. That potential positive for Rutgers is more than offset by the fact that Notre Dame HC Kelly has lost both of his coordinators. But the overwhelming handicap in this game must fall to the fact that nearly one year after playing in the BCS Title game at the end of last season; the Fighting Irish have been relegated to suiting up in the not so sunny climate of Yankee Stadium in late December.

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Sports Insights

Citrus Bowl: Miami/Louisville over 56.5 – This should have no problem getting over. Strong math support and when Louisville plays someone that can score, they throw more often, which is a good thing for them because Bridgewater is the best QB in the country IMO.

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Hollywood SportsFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cincinnati Bearcats at North CarolinaFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Cincinnati BearcatsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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It may be tempting to take the Tar Heels (6-6) in this contest with the game being played in the Bank of America stadium in downtown Charlotte but geographical advantages like that in bowl games can be overestimated (as Bowling Green found out against Pittsburgh in Thursday's Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl in nearby Detroit. The troubling deeper metric for North Carolina this season is they were actually out-first downed by their opponents.
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Cincinnati (9-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped by Louisville by a 31-24 margin but this team has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games coming off a loss. Additionally, the Bearcats have exceeded point spread expectations in 14 of their last 19 opportunities against non-conference opponents. Take the points with Cincy in this one.

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Jimmy BoydFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado -14FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Buffaloes 10 game win streak was snapped in their last game as they lost by just five points against an Oklahoma State team that many have picked to win the NCAA Tournament this year. The only two losses Colorado has this season have come on a neutral court against ranked opponents. This weekend they play host to Georgia, and home court advantage is a huge difference maker when playing in high altitude.
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The Buffaloes have been an outstanding rebounding team, grabbing an average of 40.4 boards per game. They are scoring 86.9 points per game overall, and both of those areas give them a significant advantage over the Bulldogs. Georgia has yet to face a ranked opponent, and this will be their first traditional road game of the season. Expectations are low for this Bulldogs team that has four losses on the season.
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The Buffaloes are 6-0 ATS in their last six non-conference games, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games. They face a Bulldogs team that is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games following three or more consecutive games played at home. With Georgia struggling to get through a relatively soft schedule and the Buffaloes dominating their opponents the way they have, Colorado is an easy call in this matchup.

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Rob VincilettiFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Akron vs. South CarolinaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Akron +1½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Akron has revenge against South Carolina as these two met on Christmas day and Akron was beat by 10 as a 5 point favorite by South Carolina. Today Akron will look to serve up revenge. They are 6-2 ats at home with revenge and are 24-2 straight up vs teas with a losing record. Akron has also covered 3 of the last 4 vs SEC Teams. South Carolina has lost 30 of the last 43 vs teams with a winning record and are a terrible 7-19 to the spread as a home favorite of 3 or less, including 0-4 the last four. In games after allowing 60 or less South Carolina is just 5-12 straight up. Look for Akron to get the win and cover.


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Freddy WillsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Rutgers vs. Notre DameFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Looking at this game Notre Dame can not be excited to be here and the fact that they were 116th in plays per game this year I'm not worried about them running up the score. Meanwhile Rutgers has been elite at stopping the run even against some of the better teams on their schedule like Arkansas who is a very good running team. That does not fit Notre Dame well because they have struggled to run the ball and when they put up a ton of points this year it had more to do with them being able to run the ball. Rutgers is one of the worst pass defenses they have faced ranked 111th in QB rating and fits Tommy Rees well, but the 3 other bad pass defenses he faced ranked 124th, 104th, and 101st where he put up 45, 28, and 38 points two of those games were at home and not one of those teams was in the top 80 in run defense. Tommy Rees is better when he has play action and a balanced attack. I see Notre Dame between 28 and 35 points while I see Rutgers between 10 and 17 and even at 35-17 we are still under the total. The under is 15-3 in Rutgers last 18 games following a SU win by 20+ and 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Independent teams while Notre Dame is 35-15-1 on the under in their last 51 on grass.

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Carlo CampanellaFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan vs. Kansas StateFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Kansas State -5½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Michigan (7-5) lost 4 of their last 5 games and backed into Saturday's Buffalo Wild Wing's Bowl. Michigan lost their final game to rival Ohio State by 1 point, 42-41, in an emotional heartbreaking loss. We find Michigan at 0-7 ATS after losing their previous game by 3 points or less. Now they'll make that west coast trip to Arizona and face a Kansas State (7-5) squad that's on a 5-1 winning streak and their only loss came to Bowl-caliber Oklahoma. Expect K-State to dominate the line of scrimmage, as they averaged 180 rushing yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry this season! That's trouble for a smaller, Michigan defensive line that allowed 128 or more rushing yards in their last 6 games.

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Bryan LeonardFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Virginia Tech -14.5FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Somehow the Spartans have managed a 6-7 record on the season. Games against the likes of High Point, Chowan, Greensboro and Claflin will do that for a team. The most impressive win on the season came against 4-9 James Madison. NC Greensboro is being outscored by 9.9 points per game against a very weak schedule. They have no shot blockers inside and they permit an effective field goal percentage of 53.8%. This is not a good basketball team. Virginia Tech is 7-4 on the season but is off an embarrassing loss to in-state rival VCU by 30 points. With only Maryland Eastern Shore on deck you can believe that James Johnson will have his group in top form here. This is an excellent rebounding team who permits just 44.2% in effective field goals. The Hokies are a much better team than they showed a week ago and we expect this game to be well in hand by the half.

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Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cincinnati Bearcats at North CarolinaSERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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It may be tempting to take the Tar Heels (6-6) in this contest with the game being played in the Bank of America stadium in downtown Charlotte -- but geographical advantages like that in bowl games can be overestimated (as Bowling Green found out against Pittsburgh in Thursday's Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl in nearby Detroit. The troubling deeper metric for North Carolina this season is they were actually out-first downed by their opponents.
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Cincinnati (9-3) saw their six-game winning streak snapped by Louisville by a 31-24 margin -- but this team has rebounded to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games coming off a loss. Additionally, the Bearcats have exceeded point spread expectations in 14 of their last 19 opportunities against non-conference opponents. Take the points with Cincy in this one.

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Red Dog SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami vs. LouisvilleFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Under 58FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Miami played some high scoring games but they have injured RB Duke Johnson and an inconsistent passing game. Louisville has a solid defense as their last few games saw 54, 41, 33, 41, 37, 73, 37 and 40 points combined with their opponent. That doesn't include a 72-0 win over a small school. Look for this game to stay under as there could be some rust after being off for over three weeks.

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Justin Bay

Tulane vs. Kansas State    
Play: Kansas State -13½

Tulane
- Power Rating: 94.2
- Average 71 PPG
- Allow 74.6 PPG
- SOS: 96

Kansas State
- Power Rating: 106.7
- Average 66.5 PPG
- Allow 59.6 PPG
- SOS: 100.7

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Bruce MarshallFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Flyers at OilersFORFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pick Over 5 ½FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Expect some goals to be scored at Rexall Place if the Flyers and Oilers continue recent patterns. Which include “overs” in 7 of the last 12 games for host Edmonton and an 8-1-1 “over” mark in its last ten games for Philly. Interesting dynamics with the Flyers likely up against former GK Ilya Bryzgalov., although he has not been especially effective in limited work this season with the Oilers (2-4-0 with a 2.80 GAA in eight games). We’ll tryst the recent “over” trends, especially as they relate to the Flyers. For this matchup.

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