College Basketball Betting News and Notes Saturday, December 21
College Basketball Betting News and Notes Saturday, December 21
College Basketball: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Georgetown vs Kansas
The Jayhawks rebounded from their back-2-back losses against Colorado and Florida by stomping UNM 80-63 as 7.5 point favorite moving the mark to 7-3 SU on the campaign, 4-6 against-the-oddsmaker. Freshman Andrew Wiggins (15.9) and his supporting cast are netting 77.4 per/game but give up 67.9 on 40.4% from the field. Hoyas suffering a season opening loss to Oregon and a setback against cup-cake Northeastern have put aside the blemishes with six consecutive victories moving it's record to 7-2 (4-4 ATS). Sophomore Smith-Rivera (16.9) and Markel Starks (15.7) are the primary scorers for Hoyas who net 76.6 points/game on 48.9% shooting while allowing opponents 64.8 per/contest on a nation 5th best 36.7% shooting. Jayhawks ridding a sparkling 30-1 (17-13 ATS) stretch on home court will be tough to topple in front of the frenzied crowd. But, Hoyas with it's solid defensive play could turn this into a nail-bitter. The lean is Georgetown knowing Hoyas hit the hardwood 6-1 ATS as an underdog and the Jayhawks are already 0-4 ATS this season held under 80 points.
Michigan State vs Texas
Texas has quietly opened the season with ten wins in its first 11 games including an 86-83 upset win over UNC on Wednesday. Longhorns have performed well at both ends of the court this season. Texas is shooting at a modest 44.4% this season, but is averaging an impressive 79.5 points/game. On the defensive side Longhorns limit foes to 69.7 PPG on a smart 39.3% shooting. Rick Barnes' Longhorns present a stiff challenge for Spartans netting 81.1 per/contest and without top player Gary Harris (17.6 PPG). Horns 8-2 ATS on home court, 2-0-1 ATS last three vs Spartans, 5-1-1 ATS last seven vs Big Ten are worth a second look.
Oklahoma State vs Colorado
A pair of top-25 teams square off in Las Vegas Saturday in the MGM Grand Showdown when Oklahoma State takes on Colorado. Pokes 10-1 (4-3 ATS) on the campaign net 87.2 points/game on a sharp 49.5% shooting and are powered by four double-digit scorers lead by NBA prospect Marcus Smart (18.0). Defensively, Pokes allow 62.6 per/contest on 37.7% from the filed. The 10-1 (7-3 ATS) Buffaloes rattling off ten straight wins since opened the season with a loss to Baylor are not as productive on the offensive end scoring 77.3 PPG but hold their own defensively allowing opponents 65.4 on 41.0% from the field. Like Pokes, the Buffaloes have four players dropping double-digits per contest with Spencer Dinwiddle the catalyst at 15.5 PPG. Buffs losing Roberson a ferocious player on defense and the boards from last years 21-12 (19-14 ATS) team are at a disadvantage facing Poke's returning four starters and 95 percent of its scoring production (71.8) from last year's 24-9 (17-16 ATS) squad. Lean is Oklahoma State who are 6-1 ATS vs Pac-12 including 3-0 ATS running the hardwood vs Colorado and 6-3 ATS L9 in December.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Saturday, December 21
NCAAB Betting: Saturday's Top 25 Cheat Sheet
Saturday may be the opening day of Bowl Season, but there is still a jam-packed slate of college hoops. Here's a look at all the Top 25 betting action Saturday:
Belmont Bruins at Kentucky Wildcats
Belmont has had no trouble scoring this season (80.1 points per game), but the biggest hurdle the Bruins will face in Lexington is on the glass. No Belmont player averages more than five rebounds per game, and Rick Byrd’s squad is ranked 308th nationally in rebounding at 32.3.
It’s no secret that Kentucky’s biggest question coming into this season was whether its uber-talented roster could figure out how to play together, and so far the jury is still out. Randle has been extraordinary as expected (17.2 points, 11.4 rebounds), while Aaron and Andrew Harrison have averaged 14.4 and 10.9 points respectively, but the offense still doesn’t quite feel like it’s running full throttle for Calipari yet. The Wildcats have broken 80 points just once in their last six games.
* Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last five overall.
* Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Georgetown Hoyas at Kansas State Wildcats
The Hoyas had a good learning experience through the first nine games and coach John Thompson III said they have soaked up a lot of knowledge. “I think we’re figuring out, as a group, how to skin a cat,” Thompson said on the team’s website. “We’re figuring out what to look for, what not to look for, what we do and don’t do well.”
Freshman-heavy Kansas has lost three of its last five contests, but is unbeaten in three games on its home court at Allen Fieldhouse where the Jayhawks are 164-8 since coach Bill Self took over in 2003-04. Self is mixing and matching with his deep but young squad while looking for the right rotation with the Big 12 season around the corner.
* Under is 4-1 in Jayhawks last five vs. Big East.
* Hoyas are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. Big 12.
* Under is 4-0 in Hoyas last four Saturday games.
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Florida State Seminoles
Game to be played at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Florida
The raw numbers are nothing less than gaudy for the Minutemen, who have all five starters averaging double figures and are shooting 49.2 percent for the year. It all runs through point guard Chaz Williams, who is scoring 16.3 points per game and ranks second nationally in assists at 7.9. His most common target has been Cady Lalanne, who has been a force in the paint at 14.4 points, 9.6 rebounds and 2.8 blocks for the Minutemen.
The Seminoles haven’t scored a ton this season, but have been efficient — ranking 13th nationally in field goal percentage at 50.4. White has been a key component with 14.2 points and a 54.9 rate from the floor, but the Seminole guards have been surprisingly accurate as well. Both Ian Miller (14.9 points) and Aaron Thomas (11.8 points) are just under 49 percent from the field.
* Minutemen are 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games.
* Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Atlantic 10.
* Under is 4-1 in Seminoles last five overall.
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Kansas St. Wildcats
Game to be played at Intrust Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas
The Zags are proficient both inside and outside and have scored 90 or more points five times while averaging 87.5 per game. Five of Gonzaga’s top six scorers are shooting better than 52 percent from the field. Gonzaga defeated Kansas State 68-52 in Seattle last season for its lone win in three all-time meetings with the Wildcats.
Kansas State senses an opportunity to bolster up the resume and seeks its sixth straight victory when it faces No. 15 Gonzaga on a neutral court in the Wichita Wildcat Classic. The Wildcats don’t have a true signature win yet this season and the powerful Bulldogs sure meet the qualifications of a quality victory. Freshman guard Marcus Foster has been an immediate hit and has scored in double digits in nine straight games while averaging a team-leading 14.4 points.
* Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last four Saturday games.
* Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last five neutral site games.
* Under is 10-1 in Wildcats last 11 overall.
Michigan State Spartans at Texas Longhorns
Michigan State pulled away for a 67-56 home win over a Texas team that struggled to a 16-18 record a year ago, but Spartans coach Tom Izzo expects a much-improved Longhorns team to await his squad in Austin. "It's funny, there's always teams that there's addition by subtraction," Izzo told reporters. "They had a couple guys that they got rid of - pretty talented guys, too, by the way - and this is a much better team than the one they had last year. Much better." The Spartans have been without star guard Gary Harris (ankle) for three of the past four games and his status is uncertain for Saturday, while Matt Costello (mononucleosis) remains sidelined indefinitely.
Texas has a shot to notch consecutive wins against ranked opponents for the first time in nearly three years when it hosts No. 5 Michigan State on Saturday. Coming off an 86-83 win at No. 18 North Carolina on Wednesday, the Longhorns are after their first back-to-back wins over top-25 teams since taking down No. 13 Missouri and No. 16 Texas A&M in January 2011.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Spartans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Over is 8-2 in Longhorns last 10 home games.
Rider Broncs at Villanova Wildcats
The Broncs shot 53.2 percent from the field and Zedric Sadler recorded 20 points and eight rebounds in last weekend's 79-58 victory over Wagner. Anthony Myles leads the team in scoring (18.7) and has finished in double figures in eight of his first nine games this season. Daniel Stewart tops the Broncs in rebounds (54), steals (12), blocks (eight) and free throws made (65).
No. 12 Villanova looks to keep its perfect record intact when it hosts Rider on Saturday. The Wildcats have reeled off 10 consecutive victories to begin the campaign, including two over ranked foes Kansas and Iowa, on their way to winning the Battle 4 Atlantis championship. Villanova is off to its best start in eight seasons, but coach Jay Wright is wary of complacency within his squad, saying: "You can start this way and if you don't get better you can slip, and if you slip you don't necessarily get it back."
* Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
* Over is 5-0 in Broncs last five overall.
* Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Fresno State Bulldogs at Florida Gators
Game to be played at the BB& Center in Sunrise, Florida
The Bulldogs are coming off back-to-back losses to Pac-12 members California and Utah, but received a bit of a boost when Tyler Johnson returned last game after missing the previous four with a right foot injury. Johnson is averaging 14 points, one of five players in double figures for Fresno State. If the Bulldogs hope to stay with Florida, they’ll need a better start from leading scorer Marvelle Harris, who missed his first eight shots in Saturday’s loss to California before finishing 5-for-18.
Florida can afford to exhale just a bit as the No. 17 Gators prepare to play Fresno State on Saturday afternoon at the Orange Bowl Basketball Classic in Sunrise, Fla. Florida is coming off the toughest three-game stretch of the regular season and the Gators fared pretty well, beating No. 19 Kansas and No. 14 Memphis after falling to No. 10 Connecticut. Florida continues to get phenomenal production from 6-6 forward Casey Prather, who is averaging a team-high 18.7 points and has emerged as a front-runner for SEC Player of the Year.
* Under is 5-0 in Gators last five Saturday games.
* Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
Davidson Wildcats at North Carolina Tar Heels
Attempting to upset North Carolina becomes even more of an arduous task if both De'Mon Brooks (16.8 points, 6.4 rebounds) and Tom Droney (13.1 average) aren’t in uniform. Brooks was the Southern Conference Preseason Player of the Year and has missed six straight games with his ailment while Droney injured a foot against Niagara on Dec. 11 and missed an ensuing loss to Drexel.
North Carolina has guard Leslie McDonald back on the court but remains without P.J. Hairston, last season’s leading scorer, as the No. 18 Tar Heels enter Saturday’s matchup with visiting Davidson. Both players were suspended for receiving impermissible benefits and McDonald was reinstated prior to Wednesday’s loss to Texas and school officials are hoping to finalize Hairston’s situation within the week. The Tar Heels are looking to bounce back after a disappointing effort against the Longhorns.
* Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last five road games.
* Tar Heels are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Missouri Tigers
While the Tigers are undefeated, the Illini have been dinged by two tough losses - 67-64 at Georgia Tech and 71-64 against Oregon - in games they led in the second half. Guard Joseph Bertrand (10.7 points, 5.3 rebounds) has played well against Missouri, including 19 points on 9-of-9 shooting as a sophomore, but Tracy Abrams (11.5 points, 3.4 assists) played sparingly against the Tigers as a freshman and was saddled with foul trouble last year.
Despite the lack of continuity - Missouri returned only one starter from last year - the Tigers are off to a great start in large part because of Tulsa transfer Jordan Clarkson (19.4 points, 3.9 assists). Clarkson and Brown are one of six sets of teammates in the nation averaging at least 19 points apiece. Missouri has been especially tough at the defensive end recently, holding West Virginia (85.1 points per game) and UCLA (90.6) a combined 35 points below their season averages in a pair of 80-71 wins before keeping Western Michigan 10.6 points under its average in a 66-60 victory Sunday.
* Under is 4-1 in Tigers last five overall.
* Fighting Illini are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games.
* Fighting Illini are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four neutral site games.
Louisville Cardinals at Florida International Golden Panthers
The Cardinal, who are beginning a four-game road trip, won all five games of their recent homestand by margins of 31, 28, 39, 16 and 30 points. Jones (wrist) returned from a one-game absence against Missouri State and scored nine points in 19 minutes off the bench. Talented sophomore forward Montrezl Harrell, who had 17 points and eight rebounds against the Bears, has only one double-double in 11 games this season.
Florida International's scoring attack is explosive yet balanced, with former Cardinals forward Rakeem Buckles among four players averaging double figures. Buckles, who played his first three seasons for Louisville before sitting out last year per NCAA transfer rules, is fulfilling the promise that he never really showed with the Cardinals. Buckles is averaging 14.7 points, 10.5 rebounds and 1.8 blocks with season highs of 26 points, 17 rebounds and eight blocks. Murphy leads the team in scoring at 16.3 points and has surpassed 20 points in five of his last seven games.
* Under is 4-0 in Golden Panthers last four home games.
* Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a ATS win.
* Golden Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Game to be played at Madison Square Garden in New York, New York
Garrick Sherman is the lone big man in the starting lineup for the Fighting Irish and he’s made big strides this season as well. The 6-11 center has more than doubled his scoring average to 14.3 and is doing the same with his rebounding (7.5). Of course, he’s also playing 10 minutes more a game, but his improvement can also be seen at the free throw line, where he’s off to a 75.5 percent start after shooting 66 percent last season and 36.7 as a sophomore at Michigan State in 2011-12.
Ohio State probably can’t afford a second straight sluggish effort Saturday when the No. 2 Buckeyes meet Notre Dame in their final game at the Gotham Classic at Madison Square Garden in New York. Ohio State had 13 turnovers and seven assists, shot their lowest percentage in a month and had trouble keeping Delaware from getting to the rim Wednesday. The Buckeyes still won by double digits for the 11th time this season.
* Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 4-0 in Buckeyes last four neutral site games.
* Over is 5-1 in Fighting Irish last six neutral site games.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks at Memphis Tigers
This game is the Redhawks' Super Bowl, as they have no other ranked opponents on their schedule. Southeast Missouri State has a two-headed scoring attack led by Jarekious Bradley and Tyler Stone, who combine to average more than 37 points and 16 rebounds. Bradley (19.5 points, 7.7 rebounds) is also the team's most consistent 3-point shooter at 40.7 percent, while Stone (18.1 points, 8.8 rebounds) leads the Redhawks with 1.5 blocks.
The Tigers, meanwhile, have scored at least 70 points in every game this year despite not shooting particularly well from the foul line or the 3-point arc. Even after the hard-fought loss to Florida, coach Josh Pastner feels pretty good about his team. "This was a high level game. It felt like a Sweet 16 game," Pastner said. "All you can ask for is to have the ball in your hand to tie or win the game and that's what we had and it didn't go our way, but give Florida credit. We'll grow from this and get better."
* Redhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Under is 4-1 in Tigers last five overall.
McNeese State Cowboys at San Diego State Aztecs
The Cowboys have certainly become road weary. In the midst of a nine-game road swing, McNeese State hasn't played a home game since beating Louisiana College on Nov. 15. McNeese State is 0-6 on the road and is scoring 66.7 points a game which ranks 296th nationally.
Despite the absence of a pair of star forwards San Diego State embarrassed Southern Utah last time out. The 23rd-ranked Aztecs aim for their 44th consecutive win against non-conference opponents at home when they entertain McNeese State on Saturday. Xavier Thames, who scored 16 points for the Aztecs in their humbling 76-39 of Southern Utah leads the squad in scoring at 17.2 points.
* Under is 4-0 in Aztecs last four overall.
* Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
* Aztecs are 48-22-1 ATS in their last 71 Saturday games.
Brigham Young Cougars at Oregon Ducks
The Cougars boast an impressive backcourt, but their top four guards - Kyle Collinsworth, Matt Carlino, Tyler Haws and Frank Bartley IV - combined to shoot 9-for-42 from the field against Utah. Haws averages a team-high 22.3 points and has scored in double figures in 25 consecutive games. Freshman center Eric Mika, averaging 14.1 points and 6.4 points, recorded his second career double-double against Utah before being ejected for a flagrant foul midway through the second half.
Oregon remained unbeaten with a 91-63 win over UC Irvine on Tuesday in the season debut of point guard Dominic Artis and forward Ben Carter, who were each suspended for the first nine games for selling team apparel. The Ducks rank second in the nation at 89.3 points per game and have had at least four players with 10-plus points in each of the last seven games.
* Over is 9-1 in Ducks last 10 overall.
* Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Ducks are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes
The Cowboys haven't reached their average of 87.2 points - 11th in the country through games played Wednesday - in five games, but have handled slower paces well in winning four of them. Marcus Smart, a 6-4 sophomore who averages a team-best 18 points while contributing 4.8 rebounds and a team-high 3.8 assists, should be well-rested after scoring only eight points and taking five shots in 27 minutes against Delaware State.
The Buffaloes are leaving Colorado for the first time since their season-opening setback in Dallas after playing eight home games and road contests at Air Force and Colorado State. Sophomore Josh Scott, who averages 12.4 points and a team-best 8.6 rebounds, has provided a more physical presence down low after adding bulk to his 6-10 frame during the offseason and is the key to preventing Oklahoma State from driving the lane at will.
* Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in Buffaloes last six vs. Big 12.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Saturday, December 21
College Basketball Information
Kansas is the third-least experienced team in US; they're 2-3 in last five games, but this is their first game in Lawrence in 29 days; Jayhawks lost three of four vs top 30 teams, but are 4-3 vs top 100's. This is first true road game for Georgetown, which is 2-2 on neutral courts, losing by 7 to Oregon, 8 to Northeastern; Hoyas are #7 in country in eFG% (42.0%).
Middle Tennessee is 63-16 in last 2+ years, 8-3 this year,. 1-3 vs teams in top 105, beating Akron by 7, losing by 20-12-9 to Florida-Belmont-Ole Miss. Blue Raiders turn ball over 19.7% of time, shoot 31.9% from arc. Cincinnati slogged thru 44-43 win over Pitt in NYC Tuesday- that snapped a 2-game skid. Bearcats force TOs 26.9% of time (#2 in US).
10-0 UMass has pair of 12-point true road wins, at EMichigan/Ohio U; they've played a top 60 schedule, are #49 in experience, making 40.8% from arc. Florida State is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2-1-10 points to Michigan-Florida-Minnesta, with win over VCU; they turn ball over 22% of time- they beat a decent Charlotte team by 44 in last game.
Texas was just 14-24 from line in 67-56 loss at Michigan State, a game Longhorns led 33-28 at half; Texas just beat UNC for 4th time in its last five meetings Wednesday, its 6th win in row. Texas' only loss was by 4 to BYU on neutral floor. Harris missed last three games for 9-1 Michigan State, which lost to UNC at home, its only loss in four top 100 games.
7-2 LSU's last four games were all decided by 7 or less points; Tigers got good 71-69 win at Texas Tech Wednesday, game they never trailed in. LSU is 2-2 vs top 100 teams, beating St Joe's by 17, Butler by 2. UAB is 9-2, 2-1 vs top 100 teams, despite forcing turnovers less (11.8%) than any team in US- they won by 5 at Northeastern in only true away game.
Virginia Tech hasn't played in 13 days since winning ACC opener by a point in OT at Miami; Hokies are #5 in US, making 43.9% from arc but they turn it over 19.1% (#198), bad news vs VCU squad that leads US, forcing TOs 27.2% of time. Rams are 2-3 vs teams ranked #105 or better winning at Virginia by 3, Belmont by 13. Big difference with VCU being on two days' rest, Tech on 13 days'.
Missouri beat Illinois last four years on neutral court in St Louis-- 10-0 Tigers beat West Va/UCLA (both 80-71) in only top 100 games so far this year. Tigers don't get lot of assists but make 56.9% inside arc; that suggests good dribble penetration. Illini are 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with 61-59 win at UNLV and losses at Ga Tech/Oregon, both on foreign soil.
Alabama lost four of its last six games; they're 0-4 vs teams in top 100, with 72-67 home loss to Wichita in last game Tuesday. Tide defends on arc well (25.7%), forces TOs 20.% (#71), but they're 0-5 in games that were decided by 10 or less points. first true road game for a Xavier team that went 0-3 in Atlantis tourney but beat rival Cincinnati by 17 in last game a week ago.
11-0 Ohio State won by 17 at Marquette in only trip outside Columbus this season; Buckeyes are #2 in US in defensive FG (41.1%), allowing 24.7% shooting from arc (#1 in US). Notre Dame is 1-3 against top 100 , losing by 13-5-4 points to Indiana State, Iowa, North Dakota St- they beat Indiana on neutral court last game, but teams shoot 38.3% from arc against them, which is dangerous vs Ohio State, which is 4-0 vs teams in top 100, but all four wins by 12+ points.
Michigan played for national title LY, is 6-4 now, 2-3 in last five games; they're 1-3 vs top 40 teams, beating Florida State by hoop, loaing by 7-10-2 points to Iowa State/Duke/Arizona. Stanford had super 53-51 win at UConn Wednesday, holding Huskies to 13 second half points- this is same Stanford team that scored 103 at home against BYU........and lost.
New Mexico got upset by New Mexico State Tuesday after losing by 17 to Kansas; Lobos are making just 29.3% from arc- they're 3-3 vs top 100 teams, 0-2 vs top 40 teams, also losing by 16 to UMass. Marquette lost all four games vs top 50 teams; best team they beat was 76-60 win over #64 GW. Eagles play good defense (44eFG%), can't shoot (30.2% 3's)
10-0 Oregon is 3-0 vs top 100 teams, winning by 7-10-7 points; Ducks' depth got huge boost with return of PG Artis last game- they lost by 14 to BYU two years ago. Oregon is #4 in US, making 44.1% from arc, #11 inside arc (56.5%). BYU is 4-4 in last eight games after 81-64 loss to its rival Utah; Cougars are 3-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2-13-9-17.
Colorado won its last ten games since losing opener to Baylor in Dallas; Buffs won at Air Force/Colorado State, are #1 in country on defensive boards- they're 3-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Kansas/UCSB/Harvard at home. Oklahoma State is 4-1 vs top 100 teams, losing to Memphis by 5 on neutral court- they force turnovers 22.5% of time, #18 in country.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Saturday, December 21
Saturday's Late-Night Tips
By David Schwab
This Saturday's college basketball schedule is filled with a number of intriguing matchups involving Top 25 teams, but at the top of the list is a showdown between two ranked teams when No. 20 Colorado squares off against No. 7 Oklahoma State in the inaugural MGM Grand Showcase to Benefit Coaches vs. Cancer Tournament. Saturday's double-header at the MGM Grand also features a matchup between Marquette and New Mexico on the undercard in what should be a great night of basketball. Another game of interest this Saturday pits BYU on the road against No. 13 Oregon.
MGM Grand Showcase
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. New Mexico Lobos
The Golden Eagles have come out on top in all seven of the games they were expected to win and they were underdogs in all four of their losses for a very predictable 7-4 straight up start. They are 6-3 against the spread and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last five games. Marquette is averaging 73.5 points a game while shooting 45.4 percent from the field. It has done a great job controlling the boards with 41.1 rebounds a game. Davante Gardner has led the way with 14.4 points and 6.7 rebounds a game.
New Mexico jumped out to a 7-1 SU start, but it comes into this matchup mired in a two-game losing streak. The Lobos were blown out 80-63 against then-No. 13 Kansas as 7½-point underdogs and they dropped a 67-61 decision to rival New Mexico State as nine-point home favorites. They are now just 2-5 ATS this season with the total staying UNDER in four of the seven games. New Mexico matches up well in this contest with 77.7 points and 41.4 rebounds a game and it also has a pair of prime time scorers in Cameron Bairstow and Kendall Williams, who have combined for 40.1 points a game.
This will be the first meeting between these two in recent memory, but the Golden Eagles come in with a 6-1 mark ATS in their last seven nonconference games, while the Lobos are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games outside the conference.
This game opened as a Pick 'em but the early money has made Marquette a short ½-point favorite.
No. 20 Colorado Buffaloes vs. No. 7 Oklahoma State Cowboys
The Buffaloes will take center stage at the MGM Grand riding a 10-game winning streak after falling to No. 12 Baylor in their season opener. They have been a profitable team to wager on with a 7-3 record ATS and the total has now gone OVER in six of their last eight games. A big reason for this early success has been the play of Spencer Dinwiddie, who leads the team in scoring with 15.5 points while shooting a solid 47.1 percent from the floor. He also leads the team in assists with four a game. Colorado, as a team, is averaging 77.3 points and 40.4 rebounds a game.
Oklahoma State is also sporting a 10-1 SU mark in its first 11 games. Its lone loss was a 73-68 setback to No. 15 Memphis on Dec. 1 as a six-point favorite. The Cowboys are 4-3 ATS with the total staying UNDER in four of the seven games. They have been able to run away from teams with an average of 87.2 points a game while shooting a solid 49.5 percent from the field. Oklahoma State is deep with scorers with five players scoring in double figures led by Marcus Smart’s 18 points a game.
These two teams are very familiar with one another since Colorado was in the Big 12 a couple years ago. Coming into this showdown the Cowboys are 3-1 both SU and ATS in the last four meetings. Take a closer look at the total line in this one given that it has gone OVER in six of the last eight games between the two.
Oklahoma State has been installed as a six-point favorite against Colorado. The Buffaloes have gone 1-1 both SU and ATS as underdogs this season.
BYU Cougars vs. No. 13 Oregon Ducks
The Cougars have dropped two of their last three games to fall to 8-4 SU and just 3-6 ATS. Last Saturday they were hammered by Utah 81-64 as 2½-point road favorites and prior to that they lost to No. 22 Massachusetts 105-96 on Dec. 7 as 3½-point underdogs on the road. To turn things around on the road in this game, BYU will need a big night from Tyler Haws. He is averaging 22.3 points and 5.2 rebounds a game. Matt Carlino has also been a big part of the Cougars’ offense with 16.2 points and 5.1 assists.
Oregon will put its 10-game winning streak to start the season on the line this Saturday night as well as its highly profitable 8-0-1 record versus the number. The Ducks have also been a solid play on the total line with seven of eight games going OVER the closing line. This will be one of their toughest tests on the year although they have already beaten Georgetown and Ole Miss as underdogs. One of the biggest reasons for this early success is an offense that is averaging 89.3 points a game while shooting a lights-out 52.6 percent from the field. Joseph Young has led the way with 19.3 points a game while hitting 55.5 percent of his shots from the field and 47.7 percent from three-point range.
These two last met in 2011 with BYU coming away with a 79-65 victory as an 8 ½-point home favorite. The Cougars are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games on the road and Oregon has covered in eight of their last 11 home games.
Oddsmakers opened the Ducks as 6½-point home favorites over the Cougars.
Re: College Basketball Betting News and Notes Saturday, December 21
College Basketball Preview
By Joe Gavazzi
Thompson still juggling combinations and looking for best rotation as indicated by a lethargic win, no cover, efforts vs. Colgate and Elon. That is a bit dichotomous to his 25-15 ATS December log. This bureau has correctly predicted the last 3 Kansas games as Bill Self molds Frosh Jayhawks, Wiggins, Embiid, Seldon, and Mason into what many preseason prognosticators predicted. This has been a sweet spot for the Jayhawks who are 26-10 as home chalk of -6 to -12, while it is the first true road game for the Hoyas. Do any students remain for this game to rock Allen FH?
The Purple Aces got caught in a midweek sandwich between Xavier and Butler when they lost to a decent Jackson St. team on this court 57-51. In the 7th year for HC Simmons, these Purple Aces at 6-5 SU seem mired for the middle of the Valley once again. Defense will be the difference in this contest. The Aces allow 72 PPG on 45% shooting. The more things change, the more they remain the same at Butler. Positive ratios in rebounding, TO/A, and TOs combine with a defense that allows just 64/43/30 characterizes the Butler way. First year HC Miller is well aware of the necessity of these non con wins, now that his team has stepped into the Big East. Led by emerging offense force Dunham and the experience of Marshall, this is a far more cohesive group that a one dimensional Purple Aces team who relies exclusively on Balentine. Bulldogs enter on a 5-0 ATS run, including 4 straight away from Indianapolis.
Michigan State -2.5
Following a 16-18 SU year of last, I anticipated a huge bounceback season for 6th year Texas HC Barnes. The Longhorns have not disappointed breaking from the gate at 10-1 SU, 6-2 ATS. They enter today on a 6 game win streak. At their Erwin Center home, they are 7-0 SU this season, running the mark to 50-9 SU, 3+Y. But, this bureau always considers fading home dogs against an opponent off a win, when our home team has pulled a double digit underdog upset. Such as Texas did midweek in defeating N. Carolina 86-83 as +11. In the Spartans first true road game, they will need all hands on deck including lead guard Harris who has been compromised with an ankle injury. But with the Spartans lone loss coming at home to this same N. Carolina team that Texas defeated, there is a huge psychological and emotional edge for the Spartans in this one.
Annual December border rivalry was won by Missouri 82-73 last year. Never thrilled backing undefeated away/neutral teams at this point in the season. But, the Tigers appear to be the right SIDE as 3rd year HC Haith has done a remarkable job in molding his newcomers with a limited returning roster. The Tigers defense has allowed just 38% from the field, 27% from the arc with a +10 rebound margin. That nicely complements their 50% shooting. Must note, one of Haith’s greatest accomplishments is a 36-16 ATS mark (including 3-0 ATS this year) in neutral court games. The Illini 60/39 defense will be severely tested in this, as they were in their lone 2 step-up games, a 7 point neutral loss to Oregon and a 3 point road loss to Georgia Tech.
Ohio State -7
Following a trio of home games against Delaware, Bryant and N. Dak St. (an outright loss) in which the Fighting Irish went 0-3 ATS, Brey’s bunch responded with their best game of the year last Saturday, a 79-72 neutral court victory as 4 point underdog against rival Indiana. Now, the Fighting Irish must carry the ACC banner against one of the best the Big 10 has to offer. The Notre Dame defensive numbers are unremarkable this year compared to the tough Buckeyes. For the year, the Ohio St. defense allows just 56/37/25. Needless to say, this 11-0 SU team features positive rebound, TO, and assist numbers. Key advantage will come in the backcourt where Buckeye defenders will smother the perimeter power of Notre Dame, keying easy baskets in transition, much as they did in their lone trip away from Columbus where they won at Marquette 52-35.
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