College Football Betting News and Notes Monday, December 23

College Football Betting News and Notes Monday, December 23

OHIO U (7 - 5) vs. E CAROLINA (9 - 3) - 12/23/2013, 2:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Ohio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games
East Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Ohio at E Carolina
Ohio: 0-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival
E Carolina: 7-0 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points
College Football Betting Trends - Tue, Dec. 24

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Monday, December 23

Beef O'Brady's Bowl Preview

Beef O'Brady's Bowl

Matchup: Ohio (7-5, 6-6 ATS) vs. East Carolina (9-3, 6-6 ATS)
Location: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida

Opening Line: East Carolina -12.5
Current Line: East Carolina -13
Percentage of Action: 75% East Carolina

Key Betting Trends:
Ohio: 0-8 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last three seasons
East Carolina: 6-0 off a road loss last three seasons

Analysis: Ohio went into this season with high hopes, but watched them shatter along the way. Last year, they were a +6.5 dog in last year’s bowl matchup, and came away with a blowout victory. East Carolina also was a +6.5 dog for their bowl last year, but came up short. Heavy early action is on the Pirates, resulting in a half-point bump for the line. Still, giving that many points during bowl season is cause for reflection, so going against the public might be your best option here.

Lean: Ohio

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Monday, December 23

Beef O'Brady Bowl

9-3 East Carolina played three games decided by less than 14 points, as eight of nine Pirate wins were by 14+; ECU is 5-4 as favorite, covering last three tries- they're 3-3 when laying double digits. Pirates lost last four bowl games, giving up 94 points in last two. 7-5 Ohio lost its first three November games by combined score of 123-16, then beat woeful UMass in finale; Bobcats are in fifth straight bowl, upsetting Utah State, ULM last two years. Ohio is 1-3 vs spread when getting points. Six of last seven ECU games, four of last six Ohio games went over the total. MAC road underdogs are 12-16 vs spread in non-league games; C-USA favorites are 5-8 vs spread, 2-2 away from home. Both teams have QBs with experience; Ohio's QB is Tyler Tettleton (dad was MLB catcher). C-USA teams won this bowl last two years after losing previous three; only one of the five games was decided by less than ten points.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Monday, December 23

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl: What Bettors Need to Know

East Carolina Pirates vs. Ohio Bobcats (+14, 62)


1. Two experienced, productive quarterbacks bring high-octane offenses to the Beef ‘O’ Brady’s Bowl at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. on Monday, Dec. 23. Junior Shane Carden threw 55 touchdown passes – 19 to standout junior receiver Justin Hardy -- in the last two seasons for East Carolina, which averaged 40.4 points this season. Ohio senior Tyler Tettleton recorded 66 scoring strikes in three years at the helm and the Bobcats scored 38 or more five times in the last nine games.

2. One key will be which team can get to the quarterback and disrupt the passing game. The Pirates have registered 35 sacks, tied for 14th in the nation, and allowed 28 while Ohio boasts 34 sacks and has given up 16.

3. East Carolina is looking to snap a four-game losing streak in bowls while trying to improve an 8-10 overall record. Ohio plays in its fifth straight bowl and has won the last two, including 45-14 over Louisiana-Monroe at the Independence Bowl in 2012.

LINE: East Carolina opened -12.5 and is now -14. The total opened 61.5 and is up to 62.

ABOUT EAST CAROLINA (9-3, 6-2 Conference-USA): Hardy averaged 8.8 receptions – fifth in the nation -- for 1,218 yards and eight scores and is only 19 receiving yards shy of 3,000 in his career. If Ohio decides to devote extra attention to Hardy, receiver Isaiah Jones (54 receptions, 556 yards) or running back Vintavious Cooper (995 rushing yards, 11 TDs) can hurt the Bobcats. East Carolina, which owns victories over North Carolina and North Carolina State, is led on defense by senior LB Derrell Johnson (7.5 sacks).

ABOUT OHIO (7-5, 4-4 Mid-American): The Bobcats snapped a three-game losing streak by totaling 461 yards in a 51-23 home victory over Massachusetts in the regular-season finale. Tettleton has completed 33-of-48 passes for 551 yards and four touchdowns with one interception in his two bowl outings, and he'll look often for Donte Foster, who has 63 catches and 858 yards this season. Beau Blankenship, who ran for four touchdowns and 104 yards in last year’s bowl game, totaled 844 yards this season – 124 versus UMass – and owns 24 career rushing TDs.


* Pirates are 9-0 ATS in their last nine games following a S.U. loss.
* Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. CUSA.
* Over is 4-1 in Pirates last five Bowl games.
* Under is 6-1-1 in Bobcats last eight neutral site games.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Monday, December 23

Beef O'Brady's Bowl

East Carolina Pirates (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. Ohio Bobcats (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) Line: East Carolina -14, Total: 62.5

East Carolina enters Monday's Beef O'Brady’s Bowl as a double-digit favorite against an Ohio team that has lost three of its past four games.

The Pirates went 9-3 SU this season despite getting crushed in their final contest of the season against slight favorite Marshall, 59-28. That snapped a five-game winning streak for them in which they were 4-1 ATS. Overall, they went 6-5-1 ATS, but were just 2-4 ATS in non-home games. Ohio’s 51-23 win against Massachusetts to end its season was its first ATS win in five contests, with the Bobcats going 6-6 ATS over the entire year and 2-3 ATS on the road. Both schools provide big reasons to bet against them, as over the past three years, East Carolina is 0-8 ATS against teams with a winning record. But in this same timeframe, Ohio is 0-8 ATS after scoring 42+ points in its previous game. These teams have met just twice in the past 20 years, both in the late 1990's, with ECU winning both games. But the Pirates are just 1-6 SU in their past seven bowl games (dating back to 2001), while the Bobcats have won bowl games in each of the past two seasons, including a 45-14 blowout of Louisiana-Monroe in last year's Independence Bowl.

The Pirates have a prolific offense that ranked 10th nationally in passing yards (331.5 YPG) and 11th in points with 40.4 per game. Junior QB Shane Carden (3,866 pass yards, 32 TD, 10 INT) leads the attack, completing an extremely impressive 71% of his passes this season for 7.7 YPA. He isn’t really a threat with his legs, averaging 0.8 YPC, but it’s worth noting he has also rushed for 10 TD. Before a horrible game at Marshall to end the season (0 pass TD, 3 INT), Carden had thrown at least three touchdowns in five straight contests. On the ground, senior RB Vintavious Cooper (995 rush yards, 4.9 YPC, 11 TD) does most of the work, and he’s come on strong late with 122.3 rushing YPG on 6.4 YPC and 5 TD over the past three contests. Carden’s No. 1 receiving option is junior WR Justin Hardy, who has caught 105 passes for 1,218 yards and eight touchdowns. Ten different Pirates have hauled in touchdown passes this season. ECU’s defense isn’t bad either, giving up 25.2 PPG, and holding six of the 12 opponents to 17 points or less. The Pirates stop the run pretty effectively (117 YPG on 3.3 YPC) while opposing quarterbacks are completing 60% of their passes for 246 YPG. ECU has forced at least one turnover in 11 of 12 games this year, totaling 21 takeaways for the season.

Ohio's offense is pretty lackluster with only 28.0 PPG (72nd in nation) with 136.3 rushing YPG (96th in FBS) and 238.5 passing YPG (58th in nation). Senior QB Tyler Tettleton has had a strong career for the Bobcats, completing 63% of his passes for 2,623 yards (7.9 YPA), 20 TD and 9 INT in his final season. But since the start of November, he has thrown for just 148.5 YPG, 3 TD and 3 INT over four games. Tettleton has two top targets in senior WR Donte Foster (63 catches, 858 yards, 6 TD), and junior WR Chase Cochran, who has a ridiculous 20.5 yards per catch for 656 yards and four touchdowns. In last year's Independence Bowl, Cochran gained 162 yards on just three catches (54.0 avg.) including a 68-yard touchdown. RB Beau Blankenship (844 rush yards, 4.6 YPC, 5 TD) also had a monster bowl game last year with four touchdowns and 104 rushing yards on 5.5 YPC. The senior is coming off one of his best games of the year as well, rushing for 124 yards on only 13 carries (9.5 YPC), including a 50-yard TD scamper in the first minute of the game against UMass. He defers many red-zone carries to fellow senior RB Ryan Boykin, who has only 399 rushing yards on 3.9 YPC, but seven touchdowns. The Bobcats defense has been average this season, allowing 26.7 PPG (66th in nation), while giving up 180 rushing YPG on 4.4 YPC and 212 passing YPG on a 58% completion rate.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Monday, December 23

Beef O'Brady's Bowl
By Brian Edwards

The MAC and Conference USA will collide Monday night at The Trop in St. Petersburg. East Carolina will take on Ohio at the venue that houses the Tampa Bay Rays in the Beef O’Brady’s Bowl.

As of Sunday afternoon, most books had East Carolina (9-3 straight up, 6-6 against the spread) installed as a 14-point favorite. Gamblers can back the Bobcats to win outright for a +425 payout (risk $100 to win $425).

The total was 62 or 62 ½ early Sunday afternoon. However, the number moved to 63 ½ at a few spots later in the day, and LVH was all the way up to 64.

For first-half wagers, ECU is favored by 7 ½ with a total of 32.

Ruffin McNeill’s squad has won eight of its nine games by 14 points or more. The Pirates won by double-digit margins at North Carolina (55-31) and at North Carolina St. (42-28) during the regular season.

ECU had won five consecutive games, going 4-1 ATS, until getting spanked 59-28 at Marshall on Nov. 29. Junior QB Shane Carden was intercepted three times and the Pirates couldn’t recover from a 24-0 deficit early in the second quarter.

Carden’s erratic performance against the Thundering Herd was atypical. He had a 24/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio in the eight previous games. For the season, Carden completed 71 percent of his passes for 3,866 yards with a 32/10 TD-INT ratio. He also ran for 10 scores.

Justin Hardy is Carden’s favorite target. The junior WR hauled in 105 receptions for 1,218 yards and eight TDs. Vintavious Cooper gets the bulk of the carries when ECU turns to the ground game. He produced 995 rushing yards and 11 TDs, averaging 4.9 yards per carry.

Ohio (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) lost three of its last four games, including defeats by margins of 27,49 and 31 points. The Bobcats avoided a four-game losing streak in their regular-season finale, trouncing UMass 51-23 as 19.5-point home favorites.

Tyler Tettleton threw for 243 yards and a pair of TDs, while Beau Blankenship ran 13 times for 124 yards and one TD.

Tettleton has decent numbers but in my mind, he had a disappointing senior campaign. In Ohio’s five losses, the offense scored only 23 combined points. Tettleton had a 20/9 TD-INT ratio, but Frank Solich would’ve rather had his 18/4 numbers from 2012.

Blankenship rushed for a team-high 844 yards and five TDs. The second-team All MAC selection in 2012 will need to come up with a solid performance in order for Ohio to keep ECU’s aerial attack off the field.

Ohio went 1-3 both SU and ATS as an underdog this year. The Bobcats got smashed 49-7 at Louisville in their only double-digit ‘dog situation.

ECU has covered the number in four of its last five games in the favorite role.

The ‘under’ is 8-4 overall for Ohio. On the other hand, the ‘over’ has hit in four straight for ECU and six of its last seven. The ‘over’ finished 8-4 overall for the Pirates.

These schools haven’t met since 1998 when East Carolina won a 21-14 decision at Ohio as a 1.5-point road ‘chalk.’

ESPN will have the telecast at 2:00 p.m. Eastern.

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