English Breakfast: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

English Breakfast: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet

English Breakfast: Premier League Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

League leaders Arsenal were shellacked 6-3 to Manchester City and the gap at the top of the table has shrunk. Sunday's fixture list is highlighted by a pair of clubs that will look to move closer to the Gunners as seventh-placed Tottenham host fifth-placed Liverpool.

We talk to Aron Black of Bet365 about the action coming in on some of Sunday's hottest fixtures.

Norwich v Swansea (+180, +230, +175)

Why bet Norwich: With the way they have played, it's hard to believe that a win versus Swansea could put the Canaries in the top 10 (depending on Aston Villa's result). The side has been playing reasonably well and is coming off a very good 2-0 away-victory over West Brom.

Key players out/doubtful: Elliott Bennett, Robert Snodgrass, Alexander Tettey, Anthony Pilkington

Why bet Swansea: With seven points in their last four matches, we are beginning to see the Swans play up to the standard we've expected the past couple of seasons. They currently sit 10th in the table but are the top club in terms of possession. The Swans hold the ball at a fantastic rate of 59.7 percent.

Key players out/doubtful: Angel Rangel, Leon Britton, Álvaro

2012-13 fixture result: Norwich 2, Swansea 2

Key betting note: Swansea and Norwich have played over the 2.5 goal total in their last five meetings (all competitions).


Aston Villa v Manchester United (+375, +275, -120)

Why bet Aston Villa: The Villains were playing well, but suffered an embarrassing 2-0 loss to Fulham at Craven Cottage last time out. The side has been erratic from the outset, but still sit just three points behind Sunday's opponent. History is certainly not on their side, however, as Villa has won just once in the last 35 league matches with the Red Devils.

Key players out/doubtful: Fabian Delph, Charles N'Zogbia, Jores Okore

Why bet Manchester United: Wayne Rooney is back after a suspension, but Robin Van Persie will miss about one month with a thigh injury. Rooney has excelled playing in the slot behind the striker, but will more than likely lead the line for United here. Shinji Kagawa could feature in the No. 10 role, but if United is to collect three points, it will be Rooney who is key.

Key players out/doubtful: Robin van Persie, Michael Carrick, Darren Fletcher

2012-13 fixture result: Aston Villa 2, Manchester United 3

Key betting note: United have scored at least two goals in its last four Premier League matches away from Old Trafford.

Where the action is: "The pressure on David Moyes is showing, and he finds himself having to defend all sorts of criticism, but this is the job he took, and this is the reality of a big club like Man United’s expectations. At the prices, its hard to see how Man United are odds on faves, however, many would look to the adage that United have only ever lost 3 games in a row in the prem 3 times, and not since 2001, so most are taking the view that backing Unitedd is worthy given that stat. Action is largely two-way, with Villa seeing some good support at +375, but United is seeing more than six times that at -120. Rooney leads the First Goalscorer market at +350, and To Score Anytime at +105, with Christian Benteke priced at +600 and +188 respectively. Over/Under 2.5 Total Goals sees mostly over action at -118."


Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool (+145, +250, +200)

Why bet Tottenham: Spurs are back in decent form after posting back-to-back losses to Newcastle and Manchester City. They've drawn one and won twice in their last three matches and this matchup versus the Reds at White Hart Lane could tell us just what this Spurs team is all about. They seemingly have Liverpool's number at the Lane recently, posting six victories in seven matches on home turf.

Key players out/doubtful: Jan Vertonghen, Younes Kaboul, Emmanuel Adebayor

Why be Liverpool: After Man City, nobody scores more than the Reds. They've won their last two games by a combined scoreline of 9-2 and superstar Luis Suárez is playing some of the best football on the planet. The Uruguayan has 15 goals in just 10 Premier League appearances this season and each goal seems to be of the highest quality. The Reds will be well rested with no European football this season and despite Tottenham's success versus the Reds at White Hart Lane, Spurs are not very good at home this season. They have just 11 points from seven home games on the campaign.

Key players out/doubtful: José Enrique, Steven Gerrard, Daniel Sturridge

2012-13 fixture result: Tottenham 2, Liverpool 1

Key betting note: 17 of Liverpool's previous 20 away matches have gone over the 2.5 goal total.

Where the action is: "The day's marquee game sees a Spurs side who were struggling somewhat a few weeks ago, but have since had a good draw against Man United and wins at both Fulham and Sunderland to put them back in the race for the top 4. Action is pretty split down the middle for either side to win, with bits and pieces on the Draw. Goalscorer markets are firmly siding with Suarez to continue his amazing 15 goal tally from only 10 Premier League games, although Liverpool are underdogs for the match, Suarez is leading the betting to be First Goalscorer at +450 and To Score Anytime at 13/10. For Spurs, with his recent Hat Trick, Roberto Soldado also sees action at +500 First and +150 Anytime."

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