Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, November 21

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, November 21

OC Dooley

Clippers +5.5

It was one year ago when the “other” team based in Los Angeles went 0-3 versus an Oklahoma City contingent with collectively some of the best talent in the Western Conference.  But the dynamic changed quickly in the offseason when the Clippers gained the rights to new head coach Doc Rivers and it was just eight days ago when the team finally broke through on the scoreboard versus the Thunder.  On what is a busy football night for those who take a peek at this TNT televised contest keep an eye out for superstar Chris Paul who has reeled off ELEVEN consecutive double-doubles which is something the league has not seen since Magic Johnson (1990-91) pulled off the trick.  Almost singlehanded Paul lifted the Clippers to victory last time on the floor registering 16 points in the fourth quarter alone.  Paul who leads the league in average assists per contest (12’) is joined by big man Blake Griffin who is coming off a superlative performance (20 points, 10 rebounds) and is working on a “double double” streak of 5 consecutive contests.  My research indicates that when you have a home team like Oklahoma City coming off a “non cover” where the squad won outright on the scoreboard cast as a favorite, the VISITING side has successfully covered the spread at a 72-PERCENT long term clip which of course favors the Clippers.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, November 21

Dr Bob

CENTRAL FLORIDA (-18) 40 Rutgers 23

My math model favors Rutgers by 20 points but Rutgers applies to a 66-18-1 ATS bounce-back situation. That makes the side tricky to pick but I do lean over the 59 1/2 points.


Rice (-17) 42 UAB 25

I don't have an opinion on the side of this game, as my math model favors Rice by only 14 1/2 points but UAB applies to a 58-103-4 ATS big home dog situation that is based on their recent bad play (which I've already accounted for in my model). I will lean over the 63 1/2 points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Thursday, November 21

Dr Bob

COLORADO (-14) over UC Santa Barbara

Colorado applies to a 210-110-11 ATS early season situation that has been winning again this season and that same angle applied to the Buffs for a Best Bet win a few days ago. However, I think the line has been over adjusted for UCSB star Alan Williams being out, as I get 12 points even if he is worth 3 1/2 points. I'll lean with the Buffs and I'd take Colorado in a 2-Star Best Bet if the line goes down to -13 or less.

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