Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Harry Bondi

New England / Carolina Over 40.5

There is a developing trend of non-conference games going over in the NFL this season that we simply won't step in front of here tonight. Following two more overs yesterday (Detroit v. Pittsburgh and Arizona v. Jacksonville), non-conference match-ups have gone over 37 out of 48 games (77%) this season. The Patriots have also gone over in 20 of their last 29 road games and we expect their no-huddle offense to cause problems for the Panthers tonight. Carolina, meanwhile, has exactly the kind of offense to take advantage of a banged-up New England stop unit. Go over.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Sam Martin

Portland Trail Blazers at Brooklyn Nets
Prediction: Portland Trail Blazers

Linesmakers have yet to catch up to Portland, as they have reeled off six wins in a row and covered the spread in five of those games. Despite that hot streak they are listed as the underdog tonight against a beat up Brooklyn squad that is coming home off a West Coast trip.

Nets averaging 9 points less per game offensively than the Trailblazers while Portland gives up fewer points per game defensively. Being away from home hasn't hurt Portland on this trip beating Boston and Toronto by comfortable margins. Nets overrated at this point of the season and we'll jump on the line value backing the road dog to win outright.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Jack Jones

Bobcats/Bulls Under 180.5

I fully expect a defensive battle between the Charlotte Bobcats and Chicago Bulls tonight. That has been nothing new in this series as the Bobcats and Bulls have gone UNDER the total in each of their last five meetings.

In fact, all five meetings have seen 180 or fewer combined points. That's important when you consider tonight's posted total of 180.5. They have combined to average 171.4 points in their last five meetings, which is roughly 9 points lest than tonight's total.

Both teams play at extremely slow paces. Charlotte ranks 28th in pace at 94.4 possessions per game, while Chicago ranks 21st at 96.4 possessions per contest. Neither team has been very efficient offensively, either. The Bulls rank 20th in offensive efficiency at 98.9 points per 100 possessions, while the Bobcats rank 28th at 93.7 points per 100 possessions.

Chicago and Charlotte have been two of the better teams in the league defensively this season. Chicago ranks 3rd in defensive efficiency, allowing a mere 92.9 points per 100 possessions. Charlotte is a surprising 11th in defensive efficiency, yielding 100.0 points per 100 possessions.

Charlotte is 29-13 to the UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 60-26-2 in Bobcats last 88 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 4-1 in Bulls last five games overall. The UNDER is 4-1 in Bulls last five home games. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Doug Upstone

Anaheim Ducks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins    
Play: Anaheim Ducks +140

Two very good teams in minor slumps meet up in Pittsburgh tonight. The Penguins are not playing well right now, dropping 4 or their last 5 and scoring only one goal per game in each of those losses. Some value on Anaheim tonight as Pittsburgh just isn't in their groove just yet. Play the Ducks.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Dave Price

LA Clippers -8.5

This is a difficult spot for Memphis, which will be playing its second road game in as many days and its third in four days. To make matters worse, it is matched up against a L.A. squad that is rested and hungry. You might recall that Memphis knocked the Clippers out of the playoffs last season. L.A. took a 2-0 series lead but lost the next four. You better believe seeing this Memphis team brings back bad memories. The Clippers will be out to send a message to the Grizzlies of what will happen if they were to meet again in the playoffs. The Clippers are 5-0 at home where they are winning by 9.4 points on average. They are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Grizzlies are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Bruce Marshall

Flames at Jets
Pick: Over

Solid goaltending is a must in the NHL, but it’s also one reason that Calgary is continuing to flounder. Conceding 3.7-0 goals per game, second worst to only Edmonton, the Flames have thus been a good “over” candidate this season, going that way in 9 of their last 12 games. Winnipeg has not been trending “over” as consistently but is scoring bunches of goals lately, averaging 4.25 goals their past four at MTS Centre, with Dustin Byfuglien scoring all four of his goals on the season over the last four games, including three in the past two.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Larry Ness

Miami Florida at Coll Of Charleston
Pick: Coll Of Charleston

Miami (Fla) rebounded from an opening loss to win two straight and hits the road for the first time against College of Charleston on Monday. The Hurricanes shot the ball better in their 84-69 victory over Texas Southern on Thursday and had at least five players score in double figures for the second game in a row. Jim Larranaga will be tested this season, as Miami lost its top-six scorers form last year’s team, one which won both the regular and postseason championships of the ACC. Rion Brown (6.4 PPG) is the only returning player to start a game last season and the only returning player who averaged more than two points.

The College of Charleston moves up to the CAA this season (longtime member of the Southern Conference) and head coach Doug Wojcik (a guard who played with David Robinson at Navy) knows matching last year’s 24-11 record is likely unrealistic (team was picked third in the preseason Colonial Athletic Association poll). The Cougars have opened 1-2 but have the talent to get the best of rebuilding Miami in this one, as the ‘Canes play on the road for the first time this season.

Rick Barry’s youngest son, Canyon (great name), redshirted last year and has come out strong as a freshman, leading the team at 18.0 PPG. He’s a 6-6 shooting guard and is paired with freshman PG Chealey (12.0 PPG). The 6-6 Hall is a fifth-year senior (10.3-8.0) and is joined up front by the 6-9 Baru (9.0-9.0) and the 6-7 Thomas (6.7-4.0). Miami has been greatly helped by 6-9 DePaul transfer Kirk (16.3-7.7) and a 6-7 JC transfer, Kelly (9.0-4.3). Brown (13.0-8.3) and Adams (12.0-4.0) are 6-6 guards, joined by freshman Lecomte (11.0) and Reed (7.0). Miami will get better as the year progresses (all Larranaga teams do) but in its first road game, gets tripped up. Take Charleston.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Joe Gavazzi

New England Patriots +3

Last Sunday, the Carolina defense erased the final question marks from the minds of their doubters. The Panthers entered the game at San Francisco on a 4-0 ATS run. Their opponents, however, had all been losing teams. The questions lingered: were the Panthers fat after stuffing themselves on cupcakes? They were playing on the strong home field of a 49ers team who was coming off their bye week and was on a 5-0 ATS run. But as the game wore on, it was clear the Panthers could go toe to toe with the powerful 49ers. The end result was a 10-9 Carolina victory in which they held San Fran to just 151 yards. Now, the Panthers enter on a 5-0 SU ATS run in which they have covered by 72 points, with a +8 net TO margin in those games. The surprising defense has led the way. For the season, they are allowing just 13 PPG and 283 YPG. They are controlling the point of attack, outrushing opponents by an average of 127-82. On this field, Carolina has been even more dominant allowing 4 opponents the total of only 37 points. Now, they are faced with a major challenge against the New England Patriots. When we last left New England, WRs Amendola and Gronkowski were returning to full health. QB Brady was leading an offense that put up 55 points and over 600 yards against the once vaunted Pittsburgh Steelers. Now, the Brady/Belichick combo has had 2 weeks to prepare for a 2 week primetime gauntlet which finds the 49ers facing Carolina tonight and hosting the Broncos on SNF next week. Be sure the Panthers have caught the attention of New England and the appropriate game plan is in place. We never stand in the way of New England in this role, and neither should you. In the L10Y, New England is 18-4-2 ATS (8-1 ATS L4Y) as road dog


Portland Trail Blazers +3

The Nets are a hurting bunch of aging veterans. Kirilenko, Garnett, Pierce and Brook Lopez are struggling with nagging injuries which may keep them out of the lineup or with limited playing time. Tonight, they must play their first game in the ET zone, following a West Coast swing that ended late Sunday night. Far prefer our meal ticket, the Portland Trailblazers whose now healthy lineup includes Lillard, Matthews, Batum, Aldridge and Lopez. They have covered 7 straight games and won 6 consecutive games. In that winning streak, the Blazers have knocked down 46% of their triples. Ride the winning hot hand.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Chris Jordan

On a 7-2-1 run with complimentary releases after a 2-0 Sweep on Sunday, giving you the Over in the Jets/Bills game and the Lakers in blowout fashion over the Pistons last night. Tonight I like Eastern Michigan over Cleveland State.

Now if you remember, one of my college basketball winners last week was on Cleveland State, as I delivered the Vikings on the road as a 300♦ winner. Tonight I am going against them, as they're still on the road, and will face a very tough Eagles team.

And while the Vikings have been doing their share of traveling, the Eagles continue their home slate that has opened their 2013-14 campaign. The Eagles are on a 3-0 run to start the season, including last Thursday's win over Robert Morris, 69-64.

Displaing resilience, the Eagles overcame an 11-point, first-half deficit thanks to the play of Ray Lee and Karrington Ward, who helped their team take back control of the game by halftime, and lead a second-half charge. Lee scored a career-best 21 points, while Ward notched the first double-double of the season for EMU, and the first of his career.

And what I like most about this team is how the offense has clicked on all cylinders since Game 1. The Eagles have drained 15 three-pointers over their first three games, as they're shooting 41.7 percent from beyond the arc.

I like the make-up of Cleveland State's roster, but I don't think it can hang in this one tonight.

3♦ EASTERN MICHIGAN

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Jeff Benton

Monday's freebie is the Thunder to blow out the Nuggets.

OKC is "only" 6-3 this season, but they are back at home after a 92-79 win and cover in Milwaukee, and they happen to be 3-0 straight up on their home hardwood early this season.

Denver has had their struggles away from home early this season, going just 1-3 straight up, while dropping 2 of their last 3 on the road against the spread.

Russell Westbrook has been shaky off the rust from his knee injury, and he will remind his teammates that they have dropped the last 3 series meetings against the Nuggets both straight up and against the spread.

Look for some revenge tonight, as the Thunder get up for the big double-digit home win and cover.

3♦ OKLAHOMA CITY

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Craig Davis

Free play tonight is Philadelphia.

Yes, I realize Dallas is unbeaten at home, winning by an average of 11-12 points at American Airlines Arena. But I'm not worried about the Sixers winning the game... only covering the double digit number.

I'm not saying Dallas isn't capable of winning this game by double figures, but the Sixers are one of the few teams that can stay with Dallas, offensively, and get into a shootout till the bitter end.

Only three times this season have the Sixers lost by more than 12 points, and all three of those losses were against teams with much better defense than Dallas plays with.

The Mavs have a new team and a new attitude, even though it really goes against what Rick Carlisle is all about. He won the title with the Mavs in 2011 by stepping up the defensive efforts of Nowitzki, Kidd, and even Jason Terry.

But he's also a coach who knows how to adjust to the talent he's got on board.

Dallas will score a bunch, but the Sixers should keep pace and finish within 12 points of the Mavs tonight.

Take Philly as your free play of the day.

4♦ PHILADELPHIA

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Scott Delaney

On the heels of my yesterday's freebie winner on the under in the Saints/49ers game, tonight's free winner is from pro hoops, and is on the Golden State Warriors, minus the points at the Utah Jazz.

If Golden State wants to be treated like a contender, it needs to start acting like one.

On the road.

The Warriors hit Salt Lake City tonight and should be in a good position to win and cover against a Utah team that is just 1-10 on the year, including Saturday's loss to Golden State, in Oakland.

The Warriors looked stellar in dominating from wire-to-wire at Oracle Arena, where it improved to 5-0. Golden State is averaging 110.8 points and shooting 52.5 percent while making half of its shots from beyond the arc at home.

Crazy as this is to say, something I didn't think I might not ever say - the Jazz are the worst team in the league. Utah has lost two straight since its only win and currently has the worst record in the league. The Jazz rank last in the NBA in scoring at 88.7 points per game and are the only team averaging more turnovers (18.7) than assists (17.6).

I fully expect to see the Warriors push the pace and force themselves into an uptempo game to take the Jazz out of their rhythm immediately.

The Warriors file into Salt Lake on ATS win streaks of 8-2 against Northwest teams, 10-3 on the highway and 18-7 overall. On the other hand, the Jazz are just 2-7 ATS after losing on the wood and 1-4 when hosting the Warriors.

Play Golden State in this one, as it rolls to the huge win.

4♦ GOLDEN STATE

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Brad Wilton

Winning games has not been a problem for the Golden State Warriors who just swept their three game home stand straight up, but they did drop their last pair against the spread. Now they are hitting the road to face the 1-10 Utah Jazz, and I feel they are laying a few points too many.

The Jazz may have lost 102-88 on Saturday night in Oakland to the same Warriors team they are facing tonight, but they did cover getting +15 1/2 points. Utah has now covered 3 straight on the season, and they have also covered their last 3 in this series against the Warriors.

Golden State will do just enough to win this game, but will look for the Jazzmen to once again cover in the backend of this home-and-home affair.

1♦ UTAH

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Brett Atkins

My free winner for tonight is in college basketball, where I like the SMU Mustangs to cover and potentially win outright at Arkansas, against the Razorbacks. Does anyone else realize that SMU now has two of the most successful college coaches in the two most popular intercollegiate athletics?

June Jones has been in place for years with the football program, and now Larry Brown is embarking on his second season in charge of the Mustangs. And now that Brown will be coaching his very first recruiting class, there's a certain buzz around campus, and there is even a bit of expectation for the program, in the inaugural American Athletic Conference season.

All five starters returned to the roster, there's a new stadium for the Mustangs and again, Brown is calling the shots.

I know this is SMU's first true road game of the season, but the Mustangs are 2-0 after a neutral-site win over TCU (69-61) to start the season. They come into this one after a home victory against Rhode Island (89-58) on Nov. 11.

And what you have to admire about Brown is he's getting everyone involved early on, getting them the experience they'll need. Nine Mustangs are averaging at least 6.0 points per game, while the team is averaging 79.0 points per game. And just Nic Moore is the only Mustang averaging douuble figures (16.5 ppg), so that tells me this is a well-rounded group playing as a team.

I like my chances against an unassuming Arkansas team that will be shocked to see how well the Mustangs play.

3♦ SMU

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Sean Michaels

8-3 roll with comp plays after telling you to buy the half-point down on the Bears yesterday in Chicago's OT win against Baltimore. For Monday's play I'm heading to the NBA and backing Dallas (-12) at home against Philadelphia.

After falling to 1-4 on the road with Friday's 110-104 loss at Miami, I was impressed with how the Mavericks bounced back the following night with a 108-100 win at Orlando. Now they're back home, where they are a perfect 4-0.

In those four home wins, the Mavericks have downed the Hawks 118-109, beaten Memphis 111-99, stopped the Lakers 123-104 and topped Washington 105-95. Doing the math for you, that's an average of 114 points scored per game and an average winning margin of 10 points a game.

The Sixers arrive off crushing road losses at Atlanta (113-103) and New Orleans (135-98). They like to play up-tempo, but the result has been too many turnovers and too few defensive stops. Philadelphia has allowed 135, 113, 117, 109 and 127 points in its last five games. In fact, just ONCE this entire season the Sixers have held an opponent under 102 points.

Dallas has won seven in a row at home in the series. The Mavericks, like the 76ers, have five players averaging double-figures in scoring, but their experience, homecourt edge and backcourt duo of Monta Ellis and Jose Calderon prove to be the difference in a double-digit rout.

3♦ DALLAS

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Charlie Scott

New England Patriots vs. Carolina Panthers
Play: New England Patriots +3

This is probably a square bet, but squares Win to ! Carolina off their biggest win of the Year at Niners and now get the Patriots on Monday Night. Carolina is a young Team and I don't know how they will handle success. In the past the Patriots as a dog under Belichick Cover is all that needs to be written. Big mismatch in Coaching and Pats have the QB edge and are dogs !

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

River City Sharps

Monmouth / Seton Hall Under 154

We like this game to go under the posted total. Both teams are coming off tough losses in their last game, highlighted by Seton Hall dropping a game at Mercer, where they committed 23 turnovers. SETON HALL is 16-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The Sharps like that trend and think it holds serve tonight.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

Andre Gomes

Oklahoma City Thunder -9

It's good that Oklahoma City faced a shorthanded Milwaukee team, as they would have lost the game against the Bucks at 100%. Oklahoma City showed a clear lack of energy and they were coming from tough road games at LA against the Clippers and at Golden State and so, they couldn't handle the spot very well. They struggled everywhere offensively with just 17 assists: they were poor down low and both Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook couldn't even get 10 FT attempts, something that shows their clear lack of aggression during the game. Thanks to that, Milwaukee was able to keep fighting for the win, even though they had pretty much no inside game with Zaza Pachulia shooting 3-13 FG! Milwaukee managed to get some offensive production from transitions with 16 fast break points and some outside shooting via O.J. Mayo. Oklahoma City's tired starters were clearly saved by their bench, with their main five bench players (Collison, Lamb, Adams, Jackson and Fisher) having net positives of +16, +10, +10, +11 and +5, while the best of the starting five was Westbrook with a +8!

Denver is coming from a clear loss at Houston, where their defense was horrible. Of course starting a frontcourt formed by J.J. Hickson and Kenneth Faried is a bad idea for any team that wants to have a good defensive performance, as they both struggle on protecting the basket and on their defensive positioning. However, Denver's guards weren't much better on defense. Houston's backcourt did whatever they wanted on offense, with easy pick and rolls and a kick out game that worked perfectly with Houston shooting 9-21 3pts, but also 23-30 (77%) FG near the basket! Of course Denver's offense also created some good production, as Houston's perimeter defense is very soft and so, Denver's most aggressive players had success against them: Ty Lawson with 11-19 FG and Wilson Chandler with 5-10 FG, but that wasn't enough especially because Dwight Howard had a good day at the free throw line with 17-24 FT!

I believe Oklahoma City's effort tonight will be much better. They are coming back home and they will be facing a divisional rival, so I expect them to be fired up for tonight. With Denver struggling to stop the opposing guards to have big games against them, I believe that the Nuggets will heavily struggle against Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, especially because Denver's Head Coach Brian Shaw will start once again Hickson and Faried in the frontcourt and they won't protect the basket at all. Also Serge Ibaka has been playing on a beast mode and he will have the edge over Faried, who is far from his best right now. Denver's offense is still quite inconsistent, as Brian Shaw is yet to find the right rotations on the team, so with their bad shooting, I expect Oklahoma City to pack the paint and defend them well. Therefore, I believe Oklahoma City will pick up an easy win tonight and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday, November 18

OC Dooley

Vermont +13

One can argue the line for this particular clash is not high enough considering that Vermont is coming off a horrible loss versus an opponent (Bryant College) who is virtually unknown.  Vermont also due to a myriad of injuries has only NINE healthy players for tonight’s contest.  It is one thing to have a reduced roster, but it is even worse when that contingent is in the middle of a seven-game marathon on the road.  Host Providence is not only from a power-conference, they enter the game undefeated (3-0) where for the most part they have dominated.  But my research indicates that dating all the way back to the 1997 season after leading the previous game by at least 15 points at halftime, Providence has struggled (11-29 ATS) to cash betting tickets.  Tonight marks only the fifth time that Vermont has had a chance to face Providence and they are 0-4 so far.  The most recent meeting in this series was in 2009 when Providence humiliated Vermont by a 106-64 final count.  However the prior 3 clashes were relatively competitive and I am looking for more of the same this evening.  In the past three years if their prior game was played on the road, Vermont is UNDEFEATED where it counts (7-0 ATS) which makes this an excellent percentage underdog wager.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207942 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44321
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275347
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.7
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3458
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
1888

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com