Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Dave Essler

Western Carolina +8

First off, V-Tech is not Oregon, and after playing the Ducks this game should simply not be intimidating to the Catamounts at all. They bring back their entire team, while V-Tech lost at home to UC Upstate. USU doesn't suck, but losing at home to them is simply inexcusable. The Hokies then get their mojo up to play a big game against West Virginia, and of course win it. There simply has to be some sort of letdown here. They lose Erick Green, who pretty much did everything for them last year, including playing almost 90% of the teams' minutes. That just can't be replaced in a hurry.  And even with Greem the Hokies had a huge problem protecting the basketball last year. Western Carolina is small, but they're not strangers to playing big games on the road. They shoot three's well, shoot free throws well (although don't get to the line as often as I would like), and because of they're quickness tend to defend the perimeter well. With all that in mind, it's my contention that this is not a fast-paced, high scoring game, meaning this is just far too many points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

UCLA -3 over Washington: UCLA is a tough team at home and while Washington has been a good team this year, they have played better at home than on the road and have struggled vs the top teams in the Pac-12. UCLA averages 559.8 ypg and 49.8 ppg on their home field this year, while the Huskies have averaged just 438.7 ypg and have scored 28.7 ppg on the road. UCLA has a nice defensive edge at home, as well, as they have allowed just 16.5 ppg on this field, while Washington has allowed 36 ppg on the road. UCLA has won the last 7 in this series at home and by an average of 13.9 ppg and they should make it 8 in a row here, with a win of at least 7 points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Richard Witt

UL Lafayette at Arkansas
Play: Arkansas -10.5

Looms lotta points to lay at first glance, but Hogs have been devastating at Bud Walton Arena under Mike Anderson's direction, and while Lafayette's superior to the typical non-con visitor here, can't see Cajuns making a dent in final double-digit margin for hosts.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Bruce Marshall

Nevada vs. San Francisco
Pick: San Francisco

Encouraging early developments from both locales.  Nevada buoyed by midweek comeback win at Cal Poly, as UTEP transfer G Mike Perez (46% treys in early going) looking like a better complement to star Wolf Pack sr. Deonte Burton (22.5 ppg) than the departed Malik Story, whose bipolar performances made Nevada very difficult to chart.  And David Carter’s frontline appears refreshed after the coach ran off several unproductive elements in the summer.  But not sure Pack can keep pace with go-go USF scoring 93 ppg in first week and hitting on all cylinders after 91-82 midweek win over capable Cleveland State.  Savvy PG Cody Doolin (9 apg) spoiled for choice by variety of weapons at his disposal, now augmented by instant offense 6-7 juco Kruze Pinkins (14 ppg in first two; just 18 minutes pg!).  If price doesn’t float into DDs, value seems to rest with Bill Russell’s resurgent alma mater.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

John Ryan

Detroit at Sacramento
Prediction: Under

The simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 195 points will be scored. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 23-5 'UNDER' mark for 82% winners since 2007. Play 'under' the posted total with home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) after a blowout win by 15 points or more and is now facing an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more two straight games. Detroit is 30-15 UNDER (+13.5 Units) after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1996. Detroit has had six-of-eight games play 'OVER' the posted total and have lost four straight games allowing 99 or more points. In their last loss 113-95 at Golden State they allowed 60% shooting and had just 42 boards. Now they are facing an opponent that is off a most impressive in over the Nets, but has had major troubles scoring points. Kings rank 25th averaging 94.4 PPG and rank 8th allowing 98.1 PPG. This game simply takes on a slower more methodical pace that favors both teams to have a shot at a win. Take the 'UNDER'

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Jack Jones

Minnesota Timberwolves -1

The Minnesota Timberwolves are the real deal in 2013. After suffering countless injuries over the past couple of seasons, they simply weren't able to live up to their potential. Now healthy, the Timberwolves' overall talent is starting to show en route to a 6-3 start in 2013.

Kevin Love has scored 23 or more points in all but one game. His points-plus-rebounds-plus-assists average of 46.4 leads the league. Ricky Rubio leads the NBA with 3.3 steals per game, and his 9.7 assists is among the league leaders. Kevin Martin is matching a career high with 24.6 points per game.

Denver has gotten it together of late, winning three of its last four games overall. However, those three wins have come against the Hawks, Jazz and Lakers, who are three below-average teams in this league. Minnesota's three losses have come against the Clippers, Warriors and Cavaliers, with two of them coming by a combined three points.

Minnesota is 22-11 ATS versus up-tempo teams who average 83 or more shots per game over the last two seasons. The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. Minnesota is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after scoring 100 or more points in its previous game. The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Timberwolves Friday.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Nelly

Boston Celtics + over Portland Trailblazers

The Blazers are on a roll with a 6-2 record on the season, currently the second best mark in the Western Conference. Portland has always held a great home court and five of the eight games this season have come at home. In road games the Blazers have lost at Phoenix and won in Denver and Sacramento and this is the first east coast game of the season and it comes on the heels of a big revenge win over the Suns on Wednesday night. Boston started the season with an ugly 0-4 record but Brad Stevens and a short-handed squad still without Rajon Rondo has turned around with wins in four of the last five games. They swept a Magic team that looks greatly improved and they had a big win in Miami. On Wednesday Boston had a letdown loss at home against Charlotte, scoring just 83 points and shooting less than 38 percent. Charlotte had a massive edge at the free throw line and on the boards in that game while committing just 12 turnovers. This should be a good spot for the Celtics to bounce back and there is value with the home underdog. Boston has been exceptional defensively this season, allowing less than 96 points per game and holding foes to less than 30 percent 3-point shooting. Despite the hot start for Portland the defense has struggled allowing 46 percent shooting as the Blazers have been out-shot on the season despite the great record. Almost 78 percent of the scoring comes from the starters for Portland as this is not a team with great depth and the home team has won in seven of the last nine meetings between these teams as the cross country trip is tough to overcome.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Red Dog Sports

Columbia vs. Michigan St
Play Under 154

Michigan State is off a battle with Kentucky on Tuesday and now has a letdown game on a Friday night. Columbia has played 11 unders/ 5 overs in its last 16 non-conference games. The Spartans have scored more points than usual in their two games but now they face a average Ivy League squad. Ken Pom has this game at 76-55 (131 points).

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Larry Ness

Georgia Tech at Georgia
Pick: Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech travels to Georgia on Friday in a matchup of in-state rivals, neither of which have made much ‘noise’ as of late. In fact, the two programs have combined for two just NCAA Tournament appearances in the past five seasons. The Yellow Jackets have won the last two meetings, and a victory would give Georgia Tech its first three-game winning streak in the series since 1992-94. Book it!

Georgia did return SIX of its top-eight top scorers from last year’s team but the team’s No. 1 scorer, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, averaged 18.5 PPG, while no other player averaged as much as 8.0 PPG. It figures to be another LONG season for Mark Fox, who must really miss his days in Reno, where he led Nevada to three straight NCAA trips.

Meanwhile, three freshmen led Georgia Tech in scoring last season, guard Georges-Hunt (10.8) plus forwards Carter (9.9-6.7) and Holsey (8.8-4.7). Also returning was 6-11 senior center Miller (8.4-6.6) plus Tennessee transfer, guard Trae Golden (13.6 & 12.1 PPG his last two years with the Vols) is eligible, so the Yellow Jackets suddenly have a pretty good nucleus. Surely one good enough to take down the Bulldogs, even in Athens.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Chris Jordan

My free winner for tonight is on the Los Angeles Lakers, plus the points at home against the Memphis Grizzlies.

Once we get by the brother vs. brother matchup - that being Marc Gasol and Pau Gasol - this has the makings to be a pretty good basketball game. One team - the Grizzlies - has underachieved at 3-5, while the other - the Lakers - are seemingly overachieving with a 4-6 mark.

Los Angeles has been without Kobe Bryant (Achilles') and will be without Steve Nash (back), yet for some reason we're seeing some of the Lakers' best work against top quality teams and under duress.

The Lakers have hit 40.6 percent from behind the arc this season thus far, and something tells me on a Friday night at Staples, with the crowd livened up to rattle a vulnerable Grizzlies team that has yet to win on the road, this is a good spot to play Los Angeles.

Take the home dog.

4♦ L.A. LAKERS

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Jeff Benton

Your Friday freebie is the Boston Celtics as the small home underdog as they play host to the Portland Trail Blazers.

Break up the Blazers! Portland comes to Beantown having won 4 straight, but Boston has actually played a little better than expected under new coach Brad Stevens, as the C's can level their season mark at .500 with the outright win tonight.

Boston had their 4 game winning streak snapped the other night against Charlotte, but the Celtics are a money-turning 5-1 against the spread their last 6 games, and they have been able to cover 6 of the last 8 series meetings on the parquet floor versus Portland.

The Blazers will be playing 7 of their next 9 games on the road, starting with tonight's contest, and while they would like to get this road swing off on the right foot, 9 straight losses in Boston is a tough hill to climb.

Take the Celts plus the points.

2♦ BOSTON

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Craig Davis

Friday's comp play comes in the NBA on the San Antonio Spurs.

Growing up in the 80s and 90s, I remember when Utah was one of the toughest places in the NBA for the opposition to play.

Jerry Sloan roaming the sidelines, Karl Malone dominating inside. Stockton and Hornacek making things difficult on the perimeter. Yep, those days are long gone.

Now I barely recognize the 2013 version of the Utah Jazz. No more Al Jefferson. No more Paul Millsap. Now we hear names like Hayward, Favors, Jefferson, etc.

It took them eight games to garner their first win of the season... a 111-105 decision over the young New Orleans Pelicans. That made their home record 1-4 on the season... and I can't remember the last time the Jazz were that far under .500 at home, ever!!

As for the Spurs, they're on the other end of the spectrum... 8-1 overall, 4-1 on the road, and picking up where they left off last year.

Tony Parker is still Tony Parker. Tim Duncan has been up and down but still a pest in the paint. Kawhi Leonard is getting better and better. The Spurs are just a veteran group trying to make sure they get back to the Finals because they feel like they have some unfinished business to take care of.

They will light up the Utah sky tonight. Take San Antonio over the Jazz by a dozen.

2♦ SAN ANTONIO

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Scott Delaney

My free winner tonight is on the San Francisco Dons laying the points to the UNR Wolfpack in college basketball.

San Francisco has opened the season 2-0, and should have no trouble opening up 3-0 for the first time since the 1992-93 season. The Dons had their hands full with Cleveland State on Wednesday, but used a 17-1 run against to negate a 66-57 deficit with 8:40 left, and open up a 74-67 lead with 5:30 left in the game.

The Dons have a well-to-do roster that is averaging 93.0 points per game just two games into the season, is shooting 52 percent from the floor -  including 42 percent from three-point range - and has outrebounded its first two opponents 35.0-29.0.

Even better, is the depth I'm seeing early on from this team, which is getting an average of 39.5 points per game after the reserves contributed with 44 against Notre Dame de Namur and 35 versus Cleveland State.

I'm not sold one bit on a rebuilding UNR team that will struggle in the preseason, and likely during Mountain West play. Take the Dons tonight.

2♦ SAN FRANCISCO

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Brad Wilton

Going to go with the Miami Heat as the home favorite over the Dallas Mavericks.

Dallas comes into South Beach with a 1-3 straight up road mark this season, but are 0-3 against the spread when installed as the road underdog.

As for Miami, LeBron gave the team a wake-up call after getting nipped by the Celtics on their home court six days ago, and they responded with a clocking of the Milwaukee Bucks three days ago.

Look for a similar clocking tonight, as Miami has won all four series meetings since losing to Dallas in the Finals back in 2011, and they have covered in three of those four wins.

Miami is off to a 4-1 start against the spread at home, and I think it is safe to say that record moves to 5-1 after this game versus the visiting Mavs.

2♦ MIAMI

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Brett Atkins

My free winner tonight is in College Hoops, with Nebraska-Omaha catching double digits from UNLV in Vegas tonight.

Tuesday night the Runnin' Rebels were handed a devastating home loss from Cal Santa Barbara, and looked confused along the way. It is not what coach Dave Rice envisioned for his team, and the Rebs certainly did not look like a team in sync. Their zone offense was horrendous, and quite frankly, I'm not sure the whole live-by-the-3-die-by-the-3 works with this team anymore. Not once in the game did the Rebels catch fire.

Nebraska-Omaha, on the other hand, caught fire - and then some - Wednesday night in a 30-point win over Missouri-Kansas City, 101-71. Okay, so the Kangaroos aren't the Runnin' Rebels, but UNLV didn't look like the Runnin' Rebels the other night, either.

And after lackluster exhibition games against Dixie State and Adams State, then the debacle against UCSB, the only thing to go on with the Rebs is their blowout win against Portland State. And trust me, the Vikings are no Nebraska-Omaha.

Get the point?

Take the double digits in this one.

5♦ NEBRASKA-OMAHA

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

LT Profits

San Jose State vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Pick: San Jose State +7

The San Jose State Spartans have lost 15 straight, as the team basically quit on its former coach dropping the last 14 games last year after senior leading scorer James Kinney was suspended. The Spartans then lost the season opener this year to Santa Clara, but it received good outings from the two starting freshmen that have joined three returning starters, especially Rashad Muhammad, who scored 15 points in his college debut. San Jose now takes a dip in class vs. the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers, who are 1-1 but were gift-wrapped an upset win at Davidson by outscoring the Wildcats 32-11 from the foul line. The Panthers were weak on both sides of the ball last year going 8-24 and early indications are they have not improved, ranking 221st in offensive efficiency and 213th in defensive efficiency after two games. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 3-8-1 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS win.


Washington vs UCLA
Pick : Over 60

Two great offenses that match up well with the opposing defenses face off Friday with the Washington Huskies visiting the UCLA Bruins. UCLA has only been stopped by the two best defenses in the Pac-12 so far in Stanford and Oregon, as the Bruins are averaging 43.6 points and 517.6 total yards in their other seven games, all of them victories. UCLA also expects to get running back Jordan James back, which is good news vs. the 77th ranked Washington run defense. The Huskies have actually been better offensively overall, averaging 37.2 points and a whopping 515.9 yards over the whole season. Washington has yet to be held below 24 points, even scoring 24 points vs. Oregon and 28 vs. Stanford. Washington averages 229.0 rushing yards and is facing an 81st ranked UCLA rushing defense. The ‘over’ is 4-0 in the last four UCLA games after it allowed more than 200 rushing yards in its previous game.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Harry Bondi

Washington / UCLA Under 61

A pair of high flying offenses face off at the Rose Bowl tonight but we think the linesmaker has over inflated the number and will go under the total of 61. Both of these teams feature solid rushing attacks and while both offenses and QB's are outstanding, both defenses are much improved. These two schools also have a history of low scoring games as evidenced by the fact that five of the last six games have gone under the posted total. We look for that to continue tonight. Take UNDER the total of 61 in tonight's Pac-12 showdown.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

OC Dooley

Georgia Tech -1.5

Even though this is a traditional rivalry the fact that we have a “road” favorite is a testament to the current status of the Yellow Jackets.  In recent seasons it has been an annual late November event where the Georgia Bulldogs easily defeat the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets who simply have not had sufficient talent to keep up with a Southeast Conference foe.  But the situation on the hardwood is different as it is the Yellow Jackets of Tech with the more accomplished roster that has FOURTEEN different players from “in state” which is a testament to excellent recruiting.  In fact Georgia Tech has the most in-state players of any roster in Division I basketball this season.  The Georgia Bulldogs are a home underdog tonight as they are in the process of re-establishing themselves without do-everything star Kentavious Caldwell-Pope who ended up as an NBA lottery pick.  In the career of the current Georgia Bulldogs head coach following a game where they were beaten badly on the boards by 15+ rebounds, his teams have gone a disastrous 2-13 ATS/HOME

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

The Duke's Sports

Phoenix +1

Underachieving Nets haven't adapted to HC Kidd's coaching as Garnett is struggling on both ends of the floor grasping system. And the road woes should continue for the Nets tonight. Phoenix has been an overachiever with Hornacek who has the Suns playing great defense (allowing 95.2 ppg) while getting them to run an efficient offense with non marquee names; as a result, the Suns are defending their home court well and should deliver here after coming off a road loss (cover) against a vengeful Portland team on Wednesday. I like the way Bledsoe runs the offense and Lopez is developing into a top notch big man. And the Morris twins add quality depth off the bench. Phoenix should stay undefeated ATS on their home floor.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 15

Andre Gomes

Bucks / Pacers Over 183

Milwaukee is currently dealing with a lot of injuries, so much that it's possible that they will have to start the following lineup: Zaza Pachulia, Ekpe Udoh, Kris Middleton, O.J. Mayo and Nate Wolters. So many injury problems in Milwaukee will in my opinion lead to a very good game from Indiana's offense. The Pacers have been great on offense over their last two with 110 and 113 offensive ratings, while having 24/13 and 25/13 A/TO ratios! Their perimeter has been excellent, with Paul George, Lance Stephenson and George Hill dominating the Grizzlies! The only area where Indiana's offense wasn't great was down low with 38 points in the paint on each of their last two games, while having subpar shooting numbers. However, they faced Brooklyn and Memphis, two good interior defenses, while they will face a depleted Bucks frontcourt tonight. Therefore, I believe Indiana will have a huge offensive game tonight, as Milwaukee's guards won't be able to handle Indiana's guards, something that will give a lot of space to the Pacers' frontcourt players who won't have problems in scoring a bunch of easy points down low tonight.

On the other hand, Milwaukee will have to base their offense on long range shooting, especially via their two main perimeter shooters: O.J. Mayo and Gary Neal. Indiana is coming from some tough games and considering the fact that they will have a huge offensive game tonight, they won't have to make a big effort on defense, something that will allow Milwaukee to score a respectable amount of points as well. Therefore, I believe this game will be a relatively high scoring contest, especially due to Indiana's big offensive game and so, I'll be taking the Over in here.


Timberwolves / Nuggets Under 210

Denver is coming from a home win against the Lakers, but they weren't convincing at all in that win. Their perimeter shooting was poor as usual, with only Randy Foye and Wilson Chandler being a bit more consistent on long range shooting. What saved the Nuggets were their 23 offensive rebounds, as even their decision to pound the Lakers down low didn't work greatly, as they shot just 19-37 (51.4%) FG at the rim and 9-19 FG from 4-9 feet. Considering that they struggled to be effective in the paint against a Lakers undersized team that was on a back to back spot, these aren't good news when they will be facing a much tougher Minnesota team tonight.

First of all, Minnesota is #1 in the league on transition defense, so Denver won't be able to score their usual fast break points and that's going to be a massive problem for them tonight, as their outside shooting is poor, their offense on half court is also very unimaginative, so they generally need to be effective down low and on transition to have good offensive games. As that won't likely happen tonight, I believe Denver will struggle on offense in here. On the other side, I expect Minnesota's offense to suffer a letdown tonight, after a massive offensive game at home against Cleveland last Wednesday. Minnesota was completely "in the zone" in that game, with Corey Brewer shooting 5-5 3pts and Robbie Hummel on his first start ever shooting 2-4 3pts! Even Ricky Rubio shot 1-1 3pts! No way they will have two back to back performances like this! Denver's transition defense was ridiculous at Phoenix where they allowed 37 fast break points to the Suns. Their head coach Brian Shaw was so furious at his team that Denver bounced back to allow just 8 and 5 fast break points on their last two games. I also believe that Denver's athletic frontcourt will cause problems to the Wolves' offense, as when they aren't able to put the ball with quality down low, they struggle to generate any kind of offensive flow. Therefore, I believe we have the right spot and matchup to take the Under in here.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
206865 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44216
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
274372
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.8
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3445
Newest User:
Laurrie Branum
Members Online:
1
Guests Online:
2099

Online: 
Doug

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com