Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAF

Air Force at New Mexico
The Falcons look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games at New Mexico. Air Force is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+3)

Game 115-116: Louisville at Connecticut (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 97.999; Connecticut 72.737
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 25; 46
Vegas Line: Louisville by 28; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+28); Under

Game 117-118: Air Force at New Mexico (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 70.456; New Mexico 70.288
Dunkel Line: Even; 64
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+3); Over

NBA

Dallas at Minnesota
The Timberwolves look to bounce back from their 106-93 loss to Golden State on Wednesday and build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Minnesota is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Timberwolves favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4)

Game 501-502: New York at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.475; Charlotte 113.429
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5; 185
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Toronto at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 120.946; Indiana 123.202
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+9); Over

Game 505-506: Boston at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 112.861; Orlando 121.278
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 8 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-6 1/2); Under

Game 507-508: Cleveland at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 112.182; Philadelphia 117.263
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 5; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 3 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Brooklyn at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 116.904; Washington 119.343
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3; 197
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Over

Game 511-512: Oklahoma City at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.218; Detroit 119.144
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Utah at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 113.958; Chicago 119.140
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 13; 187
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+13); Over

Game 515-516: Dallas at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.574; Minnesota 124.780
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 209
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Under

Game 517-518: LA Lakers at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 114.206; New Orleans 115.915
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+9 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Golden State at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 120.983; San Antonio 132.532
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-9 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: Denver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.190; Phoenix 120.128
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4;
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 523-524: Sacramento at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 116.786; Portland 114.088
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+7 1/2); Over

NHL

Nashville at Winnipeg
The Predators look to build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games versus Winnipeg. Nashville is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+100)

Game 1-2: New Jersey at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.766; Toronto 12.422
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-180); Under

Game 3-4: Nashville at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.922; Winnipeg 10.981
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+100); Over

Game 5-6: Calgary at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.528; Colorado 10.615
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-270); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+230); Over

Game 7-8: Buffalo at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.642; Anaheim 12.361
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-320); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-320); Under

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

DUNKEL INDEX

NCAAB

Oregon vs. Georgetown
The Hoyas look to build on their 18-8 ATS record in their last 26 neutral site games. Georgetown is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoyas favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-4 1/2)

Game 525-526: Alabama vs. Oklahoma (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 69.003; Oklahoma 61.451
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 5
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-5)

Game 527-528: TCU vs. SMU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 52.271; SMU 54.730
Dunkel Line: SMU by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 10
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+10)

Game 529-530: Colorado vs. Baylor (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 62.616; Baylor 73.586
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 11
Vegas Line: Baylor by 4
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-4)

Game 531-532: Boston College at Providence (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 64.063; Providence 64.783
Dunkel Line: Providence by 1
Vegas Line: Providence by 3
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+3)

Game 533-534: Maryland vs. Connecticut (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 62.109; Connecticut 71.151
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 9
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-5 1/2)

Game 535-536: Delaware at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 52.856; Richmond 58.836
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 6
Vegas Line: Richmond by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+8 1/2)

Game 537-538: Illinois State at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 60.233; VCU 71.918
Dunkel Line: VCU by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+20 1/2)

Game 539-540: Cornell at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 43.663; Syracuse 78.440
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 35
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 26
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-26)

Game 541-542: Missouri State at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 50.159; Old Dominion 51.733
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+3)

Game 543-544: Miami (OH) at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 48.583; Notre Dame 71.216
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 20
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-20)

Game 545-546: Oregon vs. Georgetown (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 65.241; Georgetown 73.787
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-4 1/2)

Game 547-548: Buffalo at Texas A&M (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 55.179; Texas A&M 58.581
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+5 1/2)

Game 549-550: Detroit at South Alabama (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.935; South Alabama 63.530
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+8)

Game 551-552: WI-Milwaukee at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 44.232; Loyola-Chicago 52.336
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 8
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (-5 1/2)

Game 553-554: James Madison at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 56.218; Virginia 69.415
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 13
Vegas Line: Virginia by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+21 1/2)

Game 555-556: UL-Monroe at Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.221; Kansas 77.212
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 37
Vegas Line: Kansas by 28
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-28)

Game 557-558: St. John's vs. Wisconsin (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 59.107; Wisconsin 70.076
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 11
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-4 1/2)

Game 559-560: Troy at Mississippi (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 53.708; Mississippi 66.498
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 13
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+15 1/2)

Game 561-562: Texas State at Houston (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 51.782; Houston 61.266
Dunkel Line: Houston by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 6
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6)

Game 563-564: TX-Arlington at Boise State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 53.508; Boise State 68.189
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 18
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+18)

Game 565-566: USC at Utah State (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 58.143; Utah State 60.282
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 2
Vegas Line: Utah State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (+8 1/2)

Game 567-568: Oakland at North Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 48.882; North Carolina 72.883
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 24
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 17
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-17)

Game 569-570: NC-Wilmington at Iowa (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 44.964; Iowa 72.650
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa by 24 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-24 1/2)

Game 571-572: UC-Davis at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 51.401; Portland 49.726
Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Portland by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+4 1/2)

Game 573-574: Fresno State at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 62.782; UC-Irvine 57.263
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+5 1/2)

Game 575-576: Cal Poly at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.315; Arizona 72.827
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-17 1/2)

Game 577-578: UC-Riverside at San Diego State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 48.225; San Diego State 64.047
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 16
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 19
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+19)

Game 579-580: Pacific at Nevada (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 52.644; Nevada 61.230
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-6 1/2)

Game 581-582: Louisiana Tech at St. Mary's (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 57.652; St. Mary's 72.819
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 15
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-5 1/2)

Game 583-584: Drexel at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 57.163; UCLA 63.762
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 9
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+9)

Game 585-586: Air Force vs. Army (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 51.903; Army 57.806
Dunkel Line: Army by 6
Vegas Line: Army by 3
Dunkel Pick: Army (-3)

Game 587-588: The Citadel vs. VMI (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 41.397; VMI 48.805
Dunkel Line: VMI by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: VMI by 10
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+10)

Game 589-590: Florida International vs. Eastern Kentucky (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 50.059; Eastern Kentucky 57.695
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 5
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (-5)

Game 591-592: Youngstown State at Kennesaw State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 49.512; Kennesaw State 47.505
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 2
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Kennesaw State (+5)

Game 595-596: South Dakota State at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 53.603; San Diego 59.579
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 6
Vegas Line: San Diego by 4
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-4)

Game 597-598: Tennessee State at Hawaii (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 53.925; Hawaii 53.640
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (+8 1/2)

Game 599-600: Western Michigan vs. New Mexico State (2:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 53.254; New Mexico State 62.236
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 9
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-6 1/2)

Game 601-602: Appalachian State at NC State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 53.373; NC State 65.645
Dunkel Line: NC State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: NC State by 15
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+15)

Game 603-604: Davidson at Duke (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 61.747; Duke 79.838
Dunkel Line: Duke by 18
Vegas Line: Duke by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-15 1/2)

Game 605-606: Monmouth at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 41.222; Hofstra 51.228
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 10
Vegas Line: Hofstra by 6
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (-6)

Game 607-608: Wofford at Georgia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 54.003; Georgia 59.774
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 6
Vegas Line: Georgia by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+7 1/2)

Game 609-610: Jacksonville State at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 46.750; Bradley 59.481
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Bradley by 10
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-10)

Game 611-612: SIU Edwardsville at Arkansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU Edwardsville 43.274; Arkansas 62.708
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SIU Edwardsville (+22 1/2)

Game 613-614: NE-Omaha at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 43.356; Northern Illinois 45.385
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 2
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 5
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (+5)

Game 615-616: SE Missouri State at St. Louis (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 50.834; St. Louis 76.223
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 23
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-23)

Game 617-618: Murray State at Valparaiso (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 51.367; Valparaiso 66.806
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-6 1/2)

Game 619-620: Northern Colorado at Kansas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 54.993; Kansas State 64.949
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+12 1/2)

Game 621-622: Tennessee-Martin at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 37.953; Wyoming 57.328
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-15 1/2)

Game 623-624: Weber State at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 62.920; BYU 70.079
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7
Vegas Line: BYU by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+8 1/2)

Game 625-626: Portland State at UNLV (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 49.310; UNLV 63.117
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 14
Vegas Line: UNLV by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+16 1/2)

Game 631-632: Florida Gulf Coast at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 61.165; Nebraska 64.960
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 4
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-1 1/2)

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

NEW MEXICO -2.5 over Air Force: Neither defense is all that good, so that is a wash, but the Lobos do bring in a much better offense and they have the home field edge as well. The Lobos are 0-3 in their last 3 games, but 2-1 ATS in those games. Two of the losses were on the road at SDSU and Wyoming and those losses were by a combined 12 points, while Air Force lost to those two teams at home by a combined 40 points. Let's also note that Air Force is just 1-11 ATS when playing a conference opponent, when the Falcons are off a non-conference foe, including 0-2 ATS in that spot this year. Look for the Lobos to get a solid home win here.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Raphael Esparza

Louisville / Connecticut Over 49

So let's see: the Louisville Cardinals offense is averaging 31 points per game in its last four games, but the Connecticut Huskies defense is allowing 36.2 points per game this year. Both of these trends will hold up Friday night, and I see the Louisville Cardinals piling up the points on this sad Connecticut defense. Central Florida scored 62 points on the UConn defense, so what is Louisville and QB Teddy Bridgewater going to do Friday night? They might be able to cover this spread all by themselves! But Connecticut should be able to manage a score or two of their own, and that will get us over the posted number.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Red Dog Sports

Oakland vs. North Carolina
Play: Under 175

This is by far the highest total of the night. Look for this game to go under. I do expect plenty of points at the Dean Dome but it could end 96-77 and stay under.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Jim Feist

Sacramento vs. Portland
Play: Over 203

Portland is really running and gunning this season, averaging 105 ppg (5th), but they are giving up 105 ppg. They love to run and at home and the over is 16-5 in the Trail Blazers last 21 home games, 6-0 over the total playing on 2 days rest. Sacramento struggled on defense last year and is doing so again, giving up 100 ppg. The over is 7-1 in the Kings last 8 games playing on 2 days rest, plus 15-7-1 over the total following a S.U. loss. Look for a run and gun game with all these young legs and no defense; Play the Kings/Blazers over the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Dave Essler

Oakland +17

Yes, I totally get where North Carolina is ranked, who they are, and who their coach is. I also get that they play fast. But, two years ago they lost four players, all drafted in the first round, to the NBA (Zeller, Henson, Marshall, and Barnes). Then comes last season, and of course they lose Reggie Bullock to the Clippers. Trust me, by no means do I think they're in trouble. But, for Friday's game their going to be without Leslie McDonald and P.J. Hairston due to suspension. Both were either going to start or be counted on for big minutes.

Now to Oakland, who will play anyone, anywhere. Last season they started off playing Boise State, Michigan, and Pittsburgh, all games they covered, actually. They lost Drew Valentine, which is significant, but they've got one of the fastest tempos' in basketball, so they'll be glad to run with the Tar Heels. They do bring back Travis Bader, perhaps the most lethal three point shooter in the land, and do have SOME size inside with Corey Petros. They also added Tommie McCune, a transfer from West Virginia, who's long and has some size, and obviously has been exposed to big programs. They've added Dayton transfer, Ralph Hill, who sat out last season, and he can score from the perimeter or inside as well. Both these guys bring something to Oakland (inside game) they've never had.

Bottom line here is that Oakland will play this game for forty minutes, and I'd almost rather have them come in the back door against the bench, but they can hang, and they're playing a depleted team that runs, so my guess is Williams just wants the win and move on.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Marc Lawrence

Air Force vs. New Mexico
Pick: Air Force

Wow, a week ago we had already tossed the Flyboys into a mass grave and were heaping dirt atop their corpses when they broke a 21-21 halftime tie against Army and went on to score a 42-28 victory over the Black Knights. Yes, the Falcons were flying high after snapping a 7-game losing skid against the infantry, prompting SS Christian Spears to declare, “This is the best 2-7 has ever felt… it’s an awesome feeling.” Credit RB Anthony LaCoste – who actually played defensive back last season – for leading by example: a career-high 263 rushing yards and three touchdowns. The elusive LaCoste will continue his campaign to take over as the team’s featured RB against a porous New Mexico rush defense that gets ripped for a disturbing 6.3 YPC. Still, Troy Calhoun’s jet jockeys are riding a ridiculous 0-7 ATS losing streak in games after battling fellow military teams, plus they’ve lost their last seven games in a row when playing away from Colorado Springs. Meanwhile, following their close-but-no-cigar loss to San Diego State last Saturday, 2-6 New Mexico is now in the unenviable position of having to run the table to become bowl-eligible. That’s a tall order tonight as the Lobos are a dreadful 2-10 ATS in Weekday games. They’ve also lost the stats in their last three games – meaning they are ‘leaking oil’ – and we’re not about to trust a team like that as chalk. Current troubles aside, Air Force has absolutely mopped the floor with New Mexico in recent series history, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, including 5-0 SU the last five. Despite some not-so-attractive numbers in 2013, we’ll ride with the history dog in Albuquerque this evening.  We recommend a 1-unit play on Air Force.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Kyle Hunter

Texas Arlington vs. Boise State
Play: Boise State -18

The Boise State Broncos return a wealth of talent this year and they'll be a major player in the Mountain West Conference this season. Boise State returns 92.4% of their scoring from last year, including star Anthony Drmic. The Broncos are terrific at home and often roll over weaker teams. Last year, Boise State beat UT Arlington by 18 on the road. UT Arlington lost their top four players from last year, and now Boise State is only favored by 18 at home. This has a blowout written all over it. Look for Boise State to jump on Arlington early in this one and coast to a big win. Take Boise State.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Ray Monohan

Maryland vs.Connecticut    
Play: Connecticut -5½

The Huskies are looking to rejoin the elite on the hardwood and have the perimeter players to do so. Having the first game against Maryland isn’t exactly easing into things but with the best set of guards in the country, or close to it, I like them to be sharper, and better than the Terps in the opener.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Red Dog Sports

Nashville Predators vs. Winnipeg Jets    
Play: Nashville Predators +100 

Take Nashville +100. They are 8-5-2 and just won at Colorado and at Los Angeles. Winnipeg is just 6-9-2 and has lost 7 of their last 9 games. Nashville has won the last 4 meetings. Take the road team with value at +100.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday, November 8

Matt Fargo

USC vs. Utah State
Play: Over 139.5

This will be the head coaching debut for Andy Enfield at USC after making a name for himself at Florida-Gulf Coast following the magnificent NCAA Tournament run from a season ago. The Trojans do not bring a lot back this season so things could be very tough in Enfield's first year but I like the way this matchup works out as we could see his "Dunk City" uptempo style have success here. UCS faces a Utah St. team that has struggled on defense the last few years and there does not seem to be much improvement this season. The Aggies were very inconsistent and in a recent exhibition, Central Methodist shot 56.3 percent on the Aggies, including nearly 62 percent from three-point range. The good news is the offense scored 108 points and the offense will be the focal point again this season. The Aggies were banged up beyond belief a year ago but that will help them this season with depth and they should be able to score at will against USC. The Trojans will try and utilize full court pressure but with a brand new systems involving new players, it will be a work in progress. That will lead to easy baskets and if that doesn't happen, USC will drop into a soft zone that Utah St. can take advantage of. The Aggies have gone over in 21 of their last 28 home games and with this matchup on opening night, we should be seeing a ton of points.

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Rob Vinciletti

Brooklyn Nets vs. Washington Wizards
Play: Washington Wizards +2.5   

This the 4th highest rated play on our card but it is a three unit regular rated selection. We are playing against Brooklyn and any road favorite of 4 or less points with rest if they scored 90 or more points as a home favorite in their last game and are taking on an opponent, The Wizards in this case, that scored 100 or more on the road in their last game. These short road favorites are just 3-10 straight up and 1-12 to the spread since 1995. The Wizards are 14-2 to the spread at home off a win and have also covered 17 of 24 after a game where they scored 105 or more points. Both teams are off easy wins but The Nets have lost 25 of 34 vs teams who average 99 or more points per game. Were on Washington here.

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Jimmy Boyd

Providence -3

Providence was a much better team than Boston College last season. The Eagles may have won the matchup between these teams, but it was at Boston College and the victory came by just three points. This year Providence will play host and they return a wealth of talent from last year's team. The Friars posted a 19-15 record last season, and played in the Big East, a conference that featured nine teams winning 20+ games. The Eagles on the other hand were 16-17 including a 7-11 record in the ACC, a conference that was extremely top-heavy.

The Friars will have both Henton and Batts returning this season. The duo let the team in rebounds, and both players averaged double-digits in scoring. The Eagles only real threat in the paint is Ryan Anderson, but he is also second to last on the team in free throw percentage. The Eagles finished last season going 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games while the Friars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Providence returned more talent, and they are the better team. They should have no problem covering a three-point margin in this matchup.

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Doug Upstone

Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers    
Play: Indiana Pacers -8½

On Friday, Play On favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Indiana after two consecutive division victories. The logic is if a team has manufactured these wins, they have built a little momentum in meaningful matchups and this is likely to have a carryover effect. In the past five seasons, these teams are 35-11 ATS, 76.1 percent. Consider the Pacers to night.

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SPORTS WAGERS

NEW ORLEANS -105 over L.A. Lakers

Well, we had it all wrong last night. Instead of Dwight Howard wanting to stick it to the Lakers badly, it was the Lakers that wanted to stick it to Dwight Howard more. Consider that deed done in this year’s biggest upset so far. The Lakers went into Houston as a 13-point pooch and left with an extremely satisfying victory. L.A. now has impressive victories over the Clippers and Rockets without Kobe Bryant. That’s pretty sweet but we can spot a curious number when we see one and that has to apply here. That 9 points hanging over the Lakers head here sure looks appetizing and many folks are going to bite. Under normal circumstances, we’d scoop up those points also, as New Orleans is rarely favored in this range and when they were in their last home game against Phoenix, they lost outright.

Again, this line is an attempt by the oddsmakers to entice you to bet on the wrong side. After all, how can the Lakers be getting +9 in New Orleans? One of the criteria used by sharp bettors is the ability to recognize a curious number. The linesmakers are extremely tight in every number they put up in the NBA, in big college games and in the NFL. They are gambling that the Lakers got their satisfaction last night and will be out of energy and heart for this one. In a similar situation at the start of the season, the Lakers defeated the Clip Joint by 12 on opening night only to get whacked by 31 in Golden State the very next night. This one has that same odor and if you were leaning Lakers here, we urge you to be cautious. The line says so.   


WASHINGTON +131 over Brooklyn

As long as the Nets continue to be overvalued, we’ll continue to wager against them. Brooklyn is 0-2 on the road with a 21-point loss in Orlando and a four-point loss in Cleveland. In four games overall, the Nets have one notable win and it came in their home opener against Miami by a point. Their only other win occurred against the winless Jazz. Brooklyn is not playing aggressive basketball. They take way too many jump shots and that has led to several minutes of scoring droughts during games. The Nets host the Pacers tomorrow night at the Barclays Center, thus, this is another one of those look-ahead games that the Nets are likely to struggle in the entire year.

The Wizards got a much need win in Philadelphia on Tuesday after a 0-3 start. Three of the Wizards’ first four games have been on the road and now they play their second home game of the year. The Wizards were and still are expected to make the playoffs in the East, but this bumpy start has many doubting their ability and heart. However, Washington’s first win takes some weight off their shoulders. With an outstanding backcourt and that first victory out the way, there is simply too much talent for this team not to consistently nab victories at home. It starts here.

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SPORTS WAGERS

New Jersey +163 over TORONTO

OT Included. The Devils have gone 4-4 since opening the season with seven straight losses. They’re coming off a 3-0 win over the Flyers last night and they also had two impressive wins last week against the Bruins and Bolts. The Devils will play back-to-backs here but they were off since Sunday prior to last night and figure to have lots left in the tank for this one. Having lost five straight to the Maple Leafs also gives the Devils plenty of motivation.

To win consistently in this league you must have three things; strong defense, strong goaltending and strength up the middle. One out of three isn’t going to cut it for long and that’s precisely what the Maple Leafs employ right now. Toronto is missing two important centers and has opted to shift James Van Riemsdyk into the top spot. Toronto’s defense is the league’s weakest unit. Somehow, someway, the Leafs have managed to win twice as many games as they’ve lost mainly due to the outstanding goaltending of both James Reimer and Jonathan Bernier. Of course either one of them could have another strong game here against this offensively challenged visitor but there are more reasons to like the Devils as well. Coming off a 6-day layoff and returning home from a trip through the Canadian West Coast is a double-whammy against the Leafs, making this situation an extremely unfavorable one. The Leafs could be really flat tonight and even if they are not, the tag here on the Devils makes them a strong value play.

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Dave Mathews

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers
Play: Indiana Pacers -8.5

Indiana might be the best team in the NBA right now. They have one of the best players in Paul George, who is averaging 26 points per game. Toronto won't be able to handle Roy Hibbert and David West's physical play up front. Hibbert won the NBA's Defensive Player of the Year award last year for a reason. Toronto just lost at Charlotte by two as a road favorite. They aren't getting much from Rudy Gay, who is shooting just 33.7 percent from the field.

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Dave Cokin

SE Missouri State at St. Louis
Play: St. Louis

Southeast Missouri State has a real chance to make some noise in the OVC this season. But the Redhawks are being forced to open the campaign minus two vital cogs, and that likely means a blowout loss tonight at Saint Louis.

Tyler Stone and Nino Johnson won’t be in action for the first two SEMO games thanks to suspensions, and whatever shot this team had to compete with the powerful Billikens likely has vanished in the process. Stone and Johnson are the best players on the team and their absence means a serious lack of size and depth tonight.

Saint Louis lost a couple of key components from last year’s #4 NCAA Tournament seed, but I think they’ve got a chance to be an even better team this time around. Dwayne Evans is a legit Player of the Year candidate in the A-10, and the guard tandem of Jordair Jett and Mike McCall Jr. is top notch. There’s ample depth on hand as well for what is going to be a very good basketball team.

The number for this game is high, but with good reason. The only way I can see the visitors being even remotely competitive is if they knock down a load of threes. Second chance opportunities should be all but non-existent and I don’t expect the interior game, minus the two stars, to be effective at either end of the court.

The number is justifiably high tonight, but unless the Billikens play without focus, this looms as a big time blowout. I’ll lay the spot with Saint Louis to romp.

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Andrew Lange

Florida International vs. Eastern Kentucky
Recommendation: Eastern Kentucky -5

Despite losing head coach Richard Pitino and three starters it looks as if Florida International has enough talent to compete in C-USA. But as with a lot of teams that suffer offseason turnover (and in FIU's case postseason ineligibility), it is going to take some time. They draw a tough first game matchup against a very seasoned and difficult to prepare for Eastern Kentucky squad. Head coach Jeff Neubauer has a reputation of doing less with more but decided last season that he was going to bring in some speed and athleticism. He did just that an EKU won 25 games including 12-4 in OVC play. The Colonels return four starters from that group – the lone loss was all-league point guard Mike DiNunno but Neubauer is reportedly going to use senior Glen Cosey (15.2 ppg) and a JC recruit as the team's primary ball handlers. Overall, EKU is a veteran club that is extremely efficient (55% 2s, 35% 3s, 78% FTs) and with the influx of athletes runs a very aggressive 1-3-1 zone (6th nationally in TO rate last year). In the grand scheme of things, Eastern probably isn't going to have much value this year with expectations rather high but this is a favorable matchup and a cheap enough price to offer our support.

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