Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, October 30

Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, October 30

Wunderdog

Milwaukee at New York Knicks
Pick: New York Knicks -7.5

The Knicks made a lot of progress a year ago, and this is a pivotal year as Melo, who has said he wants to test the free agent market, might be calling the Garden home for the last time. The Knicks have brought in former first rounder, Andrea Bargnani, and that should give them another good option on the floor. And with a healthier Amar'e Stoudemire, it should give the Knicks a bit more punch inside as well. The Bucks have a few nagging injury issues. The Bucks closed out last season a broken team at 8-17 ATS in their last 25, and was a brutal 6-22 ATS in their last 28 within the conference. The Knicks have turned the Garden into a formidable home court advantage, as they are 49-24 ATS here in their last 73. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the Knicks.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, October 30

Jeff Alexander

Sacramento Kings -3

I expect the Nuggets to take a step back this season as George Karl's up-tempo style is being dumped in favor of a more methodical approach by Brian Shaw. The Nugs could especially struggle early after losing Iguodala, Koufos and Brewer. Gallinari is out until December and Lawson and Chandler are expected to miss this contest as well. That's a lot of fire power not on the court. The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, and I believe this trend continues.

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Dave Price

Memphis Grizzlies +6

Memphis will be the hungrier team tonight as it goes after a little revenge after getting swept by San Antonio in last season's Western Conference Finals. The Grizzlies had success against the Spurs in the 2012-13 regular season, splitting four meetings and playing the Spurs to a four-point game in one of the defeats. Memphis is an attractive underdog investment because of how hard it defends. Tony Allen, Marc Gasol and Mike Conley are exceptional defenders, and they helped Memphis allow a league-low 89.3 points per game last season. This defense is a big reason why the Grizzlies are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 versus the Western Conference. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and I'll take the points here.

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LT Profits

St. Louis vs Boston
Pick : Cardinals +112

The Boston Red Sox now get two cracks at winning the World Series at home after taking a 3-2 series lead with a crucial road win over the St. Louis Cardinals in Game 5, but we look for the Cardinals to return the favor with a road win of their own here behind the sizzling Michael Wacha, who has allowed a miniscule three runs and 11 hits in 27 innings over four post-season starts! Wacha held these Red Sox to three hits in six innings with six strikeouts in Game 2 and he is virtually a must-play at an underdog price right now like he is here. Boston starter John Lackey battled inconsistency while going 10-13 during the regular season and he is facing a St. Louis lineup batting .270 vs. right-handers this year. In fact, the Cardinals are 75-36 in their last 111 games vs. right-handed starters.


Denver vs Sacramento
Pick : Under 205

The Denver Nuggets may have a new look this season, as after firing George Karl and losing Andre Iguodala to free agency, new coach Brian Shaw plans to implement a brand new offense that relies on half-court sets and stiff defense, a far cry from the run-and-gun team the Nuggets were under Karl. As for the Sacramento Kings, the good news is that, well, they are still in Sacramento after TIBCO software chairman Vivek Ranadive bought the team from the Maloof family. The bad news is that the Kings went 28-54 last season and traded away arguably their best player in Tyreke Evans, who filled the stat sheet by averaging 15.2 points, 3.5 assists and 4.4 rebounds while shooting 47.8 percent from the field last season. The biggest piece they got in return was the inconsistent Grevis Vasquez. The last 28 Kings’ game in October/November has averaged only 192.1 points.

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Brian Joseph

Memphis vs. Cincinnati
Play: Memphis +2.5

Cincinnati has been terrible on the road this year winning once against a horrendous Miami of Ohio team that seems to be incapable offensively. Memphis has played stoutly against Central Florida and Arkansas State at home and should win this game by 4. Play the dog.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, October 30

Playersbet

Boston/Toronto Under 190

If this was last year and we saw this same exact number we would still have to roll with the under. Boston is just not going to be that good this year. They lost 2 of their big 3, leaving Rondo all by himself. Not to mention Doc Rivers jumped shipped and headed west to LA. With KG and Pierce heading to Brooklyn, Boston offense takes a big time hit. Boston knows they will not be able to score like they did last year and will have to worry about where there offense will come from on given nights. Given all of this, their team defense has been the focal point. Boston has been built on strong defense for years. Toronto is going to be Toronto a middle of the pack team, no real improvements to make them stick out. We have this game played right around the 180′s leaving us room to spare. Lets roll with the under tonight.

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Bob Balfe

Boston Red Sox -120

There is no better pitcher in baseball right now then Cardinals Rookie Michael Wacha. Boston has two shots to become World Series champions, but in Game 7 the Cardinals will have a more favorable pitching matchup. The series must be won tonight. Wacha is still just a rookie and I believe will be one of the best pitchers in this league for a long time, but the pressure of a close out game in a world series might just be too much. The Red Sox have all of the momentum right now. Take Boston.

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Cincinnati -2.5 over MEMPHIS: Tough to see the Tigers winning this one. Yes they have a defense that has played tough this year, but their offense can't score as they come in ranked 98th in total offense and 107th in scoring offense, putting up just 20.2 ppg. Now on the defensive side the Tigers are 13th overall and 7th vs the run, but their pass defense is 65th and that plays to the strength of the Bearcats as they come in ranked 31st in passing offense, with 275.4 ypg through the air. Overall the Bearcats put up 34 ppg on offense, while their defense rates as one of the better in the nation, ranking 7th overall, 10th vs the pass, 13th vs the run, while allowing just 17.6 ppg, which is 10th in the Nation. This is one tough defense, going up against a very week offense. I just don't see the Tigers putting up enough points to get the win here.

Cincinnati/ Memphis Under 45: Pretty much the same reasons I like the side as I like the Under. Memphis won't score a whole lot on this tough Cincinnati defense, while a good Memphis defense will prevent the Bearcats from going wild in this one. 21-10 Cincinnati sounds about right for this one.

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Harry Bondi

CINCINNATI (-1) over Memphis

Since losing its starting quarterback for the season in Week 2 and seeing a player die in an awful car accident four weeks ago, the Bearcats have their mojo back. The team comes in on a two-game winning streak that has seen them score 40 points per game. Yes, the Memphis defense is playing very well, but the Tigers will have a difficult time keeping Cinci under 27 points here tonight and their offense has barely scored 20 points per game. This line is a bargain. Cinci rolls.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Wednesday, October 30

MLBPredictions

St Louis Cardinals Team Total Over 3

Basically all sportsbooks should offer team totals, especially during the World Series. This bet is for St Louis to score over 3 runs. If they score 3 runs it would be a push and our bet would be cancelled, 4 or more runs we win, and 2 or fewer runs and we lose. John Lackey will take the mound for Boston. He faced the Cardinals in Game 2 vs Wacha and the Cardinals won that game 4-2. Lackey went 6.1 innings allowing 5 hits and 3 earned runs with 6 strikeouts and 2 walks. He also pitched a scoreless inning of relief vs them in Game 4. During the postseason Lackey is 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA, .219 OBA and 0.95 WHIP. St Louis struggles against lefties for some reason, but they are one of the best hitting teams vs right handed pitcher. In the Cardinals two games with southpaw Lester starting they scored just 1 run in each, but against Boston's righties they scored 4, 5, and 2 runs. Overall the Cardinals have Craig, Molina, and Beltran hitting over .300 in this World Series. They've got some great numbers vs righties as well with Craig hitting .500, Molina hitting .417, Beltran .333, and Holliday .308. After that it falls off, but Manager Mike Matheny will have those four players hitting at the top of the lineup. I also like the fact that Allen Craight will be able to focus only on his plate appearances with the DH in play in Boston. We've seen Cardinals hitters step up in big games in the past, and I expect the same tonight with their backs against the wall. Take the Cards team total OVER 3 runs, as we hope Wacha can lead them to a big Game 6 victory and force a Halloween Night Game 7.

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