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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26



Penn State at Ohio State
The Buckeyes look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 home games versus the Nittany Lions. Ohio State is the pick (-14 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Buckeyes favored by 19 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-14 1/2)

Game 111-112: Georgia Tech at Virginia (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 91.088; Virginia 84.173
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 7; 43
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 10; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+10); Under

Game 113-114: Connecticut at Central Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 66.671; Central Florida 101.139
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 34 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 22 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-22 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: Ball State at Akron (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 88.746; Akron 69.126
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 19 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Ball State by 10 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-10 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Miami (OH) at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 59.257; Ohio 80.515
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 21; 48
Vegas Line: Ohio by 25; 51
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+25); Under

Game 119-120: Buffalo at Kent State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 84.884; Kent State 74.868
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 10; 54
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1 1/2); Over

Game 121-122: Western Michigan at Massachusetts (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 61.122; Massachusetts 61.056
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+3); Under

Game 123-124: Houston at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 91.737; Rutgers 88.710
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 68
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 7; 61
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Over

Game 125-126: Boston College at North Carolina (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 86.841; North Carolina 85.208
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 1 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 7; 58
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7); Under

Game 127-128: Clemson at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 101.137; Maryland 91.831
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 9 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Clemson by 14; 60
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+14); Over

Game 129-130: Duke at Virginia Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 81.283; Virginia Tech 99.249
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 18; 42
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 13; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-13); Under

Game 131-132: Pittsburgh at Navy (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 88.175; Navy 79.115
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9; 47
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Under

Game 133-134: UAB at TX-San Antonio (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 70.532; TX-San Antonio 72.066
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 1 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 7; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+7); Over

Game 135-136: Temple at SMU (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 67.956; SMU 83.688
Dunkel Line: SMU by 15 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: SMU by 12; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-12); Under

Game 137-138: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 61.048; Northern Illinois 88.298
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 27; 72
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 30; 66
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-30); Over

Game 139-140: Arizona at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 98.762; Colorado 74.431
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 24 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Arizona by 14; 58
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-14); Under

Game 141-142: Vanderbilt at Texas A&M (12:21 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 90.771; Texas A&M 105.705
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 15; 73
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 18; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+18); Over

Game 143-144: Florida Atlantic at Auburn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 76.657; Auburn 98.072
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 21 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Auburn by 24; 51
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+24); Under

Game 145-146: Tennessee at Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 85.072; Alabama 119.631
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 34 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Alabama by 28; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-28); Over

Game 147-148: UCLA at Oregon (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 106.117; Oregon 121.731
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 15 1/2; 75
Vegas Line: Oregon by 23 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+23 1/2); Over

Game 149-150: Utah at USC (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 102.448; USC 95.149
Dunkel Line: Utah by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: USC by 7; 54
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7); Under

Game 151-152: Tulsa at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 75.551; Tulane 84.893
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+9 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: California at Washington (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 77.378; Washington 107.300
Dunkel Line: Washington by 30; 68
Vegas Line: Washington by 24 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-24 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: West Virginia at Kansas State (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 87.934; Kansas State 95.301
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 7 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 10 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+10 1/2); Over

Game 157-158: Michigan State at Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 102.451; Illinois 88.371
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14; 46
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 159-160: Wake Forest at Miami (FL) (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 70.898; Miami (FL) 102.326
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 31 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 22 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-22 1/2); Under

Game 161-162: North Carolina State at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 90.214; Florida State 111.928
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 21 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Florida State by 31 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (+31 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 98.691; Oklahoma 108.778
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 10; 65
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 6 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-6 1/2); Over

Game 165-166: Texas at TCU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 98.271; TCU 95.369
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3; 48
Vegas Line: TCU by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+2 1/2); Under

Game 167-168: Northwestern at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 95.037; Iowa 93.798
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Iowa by 4; 53
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+4); Under

Game 169-170: UNLV at Nevada (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 72.022; Nevada 81.614
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 9 1/2; 70
Vegas Line: Nevada by 6 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-6 1/2); Over

Game 171-172: Wyoming at San Jose State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 78.470; San Jose State 81.633
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 3; 76
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 7; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (+7); Over

Game 173-174: Stanford at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 109.777; Oregon State 95.617
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 14; 51
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-3 1/2); Under

Game 175-176: Troy at Western Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 69.980; Western Kentucky 83.042
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 13; 65
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-10 1/2); Over

Game 177-178: Notre Dame at Air Force (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 94.129; Air Force 77.720
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 16 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 20; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+20); Under

Game 179-180: Georgia State at UL-Monroe (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 59.393; UL-Monroe 67.175
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 8; 47
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 11 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+11 1/2); Under

Game 181-182: South Alabama at Texas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 77.201; Texas State 72.024
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 5; 56
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 1 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-1 1/2); Over

Game 183-184: Idaho at Mississippi (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 59.713; Mississippi 98.091
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 38 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 41 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+41 1/2); Over

Game 185-186: North Texas at Southern Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 81.327; Southern Mississippi 59.933
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 22 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: North Texas by 10 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-10 1/2); Under

Game 187-188: Louisiana Tech at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 67.256; Florida International 56.028
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 11; 46
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 5; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-5); Under

Game 189-190: South Carolina at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 105.229; Missouri 103.124
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 2; 56
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3; 52
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+3); Over

Game 191-192: Oklahoma State at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 96.414; Iowa State 89.532
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 7; 50
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 13 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+13 1/2); Under

Game 193-194: Baylor at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 119.121; Kansas 75.761
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 43 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Baylor by 34 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-34 1/2); Over

Game 195-196: Nebraska at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 97.482; Minnesota 90.273
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 7; 57
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: Louisville at South Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 101.146; South Florida 66.251
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 35; 42
Vegas Line: Louisville by 20; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-20); Under

Game 199-200: Toledo at Bowling Green (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 85.993; Bowling Green 86.873
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4; 56
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+4); Under

Game 201-202: Penn State at Ohio State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 91.417; Ohio State 110.698
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-14 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: UTEP at Rice (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 64.935; Rice 84.813
Dunkel Line: Rice by 20; 54
Vegas Line: Rice by 17; 58
Dunkel Pick: Rice (-17); Under

Game 205-206: Fresno State at San Diego State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 87.148; San Diego State 81.545
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 5 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 8 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+8 1/2); Over

Game 207-208: Colorado State at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 76.151; Hawaii 75.067
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4; 56
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+4); Over

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Boston at St. Louis
The Cardinals look to follow up their win in Game 2 and build on their 7-1 record in Joe Kelly's last 8 home starts. St. Louis is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110)

Game 955-956: Boston at St. Louis (8:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 16.411; St. Louis (Kelly) 17.899
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Over


Saskatchewan at Calgary
The Stampeders look to take advantage of a Saskatchewan team that is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games in Calgary. Calgary is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4)

Game 295-296: Montreal at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 116.148; Hamilton 115.283
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 1; 57
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 5; 53
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+5); Over

Game 297-298: Saskatchewan at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.134; Calgary 125.471
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 10 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4); Under


Washington at Calgary
The Capitals look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is coming off a 5-1 loss to Dallas and is 5-11 in its last 16 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Washington is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130)

Game 51-52: Edmonton at Phoenix (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.548; Phoenix 10.434
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+145); Over

Game 53-54: New Jersey at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.366; Boston 13.212
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-220); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-220); Under

Game 55-56: San Jose at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.842; Montreal 11.399
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-130); Over

Game 57-58: NY Rangers at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.314; Detroit 10.461
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 59-60: Buffalo at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.775; Tampa Bay 12.334
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-225); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-225); Under

Game 61-62: Philadelphia at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.126; NY Islanders 10.204
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120); Over

Game 63-64: Pittsburgh at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.626; Toronto 11.173
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 65-66: Winnipeg at Dallas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.614; Dallas 10.498
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+120); Under

Game 67-68: Minnesota at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.555; Chicago 12.987
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-190); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-190); Over

Game 69-70: St. Louis at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.290; Nashville 12.137
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+105); Under

Game 71-72: Washington at Calgary (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.882; Calgary 10.461
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130); Over

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Defensive connoisseurs might want to skip this battle between the nation’s 105th and 119tth-raked stop units. And with the scoreboard at Mackay Stadium likely spinning as do the slots at nearby Harrah’s, the potential absence of key UNLV RB Tim Cornett (709 YR; knee) might tip the offensive scales in host Nevada’s favor, especially since the Wolf Pack Pistol has scored 47 ppg in last five meetings.  Rebels failed to answer the bell last week at Fresno, and QB edge to Pack's versatile Cody Fajardo over Rebels' Caleb Herring, who looked shaky last week vs. Bulldogs.  Nevada 8-0 SU, 6-2 vs. line in Fremont Cannon battles since 2005.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Boston College vs North CarolinaFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Boston College doesn’t get much attention these days from the masses in college football. The Eagles used to be automatic for a bowl berth following the regular season. But the well went dry at Chestnut Hill, and the ugly 6-18 ledger for the last two seasons left BC as a nonentity coming into this campaign.
The 2013 Eagles are doing considerably better than the previous two editions and their game at Chapel Hill on Saturday is a major test. BC is 3-3 heading in, and a win here would be huge as far as achieving their goal of getting to a bowl is concerned.
Boston College is doing as well as they are thanks to a wealth of experience and a focus on the fundamentals. The Eagles don’t have the talent to overwhelm many teams, but they’re hanging tough by limiting mistakes and grinding for 60 minutes. Just ask Florida State and Clemson, who each got past the Eagles but had a far tougher time doing so than most envisioned.
North Carolina is having a rough time of it. The Tar Heels are a major disappointment at 1-5, and while the second half of their season schedule is far more manageable, one can’t help but wonder about this team’s mental state at this point.
This is also a lousy scheduling spot for North Carolina. They’re off a huge effort that all went for naught against Miami, and up next is the rivalry duel with North Carolina State. This therefore fits the parameters as far as the dreaded sandwich spot goes, particularly as these teams haven’t met since 2009. So even though they’re ACC rivals, it sure doesn’t have any kind of rivalry feel to it.
The early money has come in on the visitors, so the number isn’t as attractive as it was on Sunday night. But I still feel BC is worth going after as long as a TD is available. The teams power rate about even, but I think the motivation and scheduling each clearly favor the road team. Boston College plus the points is the play.

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Fresno State vs. San Diego StateFREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Aztecs have bounced back from an 0-3 start to the season by rattling off three straight wins, putting them just a game back of the Bulldogs in the Mountain West standings. While a loss to Eastern Illinois in their opener looks pretty ugly, you can't fault them much for losing to OSU and Oregon State.
The Bulldogs are 6-0, but two of those victories came by just a single point, and one of those was a miracle comeback to force overtime at home versus Rutgers. In fact, the only reason they won that game was because of a questionable coaching decision that saw the Scarlet Knights go for a two-point convert instead of tying the game in OT.
The public love Fresno State and it's 5th ranked offense, led by Derek Carr, younger brother of David Carr (Houston Texans 2002-2007). As much as they can score points though, their defense hasn't been able to keep anybody out of the endzone. The Bulldogs are allowing opponents an average of over 30 points per game, ranking 89th in the nation. These numbers are particularly alarming when you consider they haven't played any ranked teams, and they've surrendered a total of 65 points against the likes of Hawaii, Idaho and UNLV in their last three games.
Despite the fact that the Bulldogs have covered the points just once in six games, they are once again laying heavy chalk on the road Saturday night.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Red Dog Sports

Western Michigan vs. UMass    
Play: Under 46½

Western Michigan has played 2 overs and 6 unders while UMass has 0 overs and 7 unders. The Minutemen have struggled to score and that has led to all unders. WMU has had many totals set in the 50's since they do have a decent offense but I think we see a game in the 30-14 range that stays under the total.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Greg Shaker

Iowa St. +13

This line opened at Cris/BM at 17 and within minutes it was beat down to it's current level which is 13 at most outs and 12.5 at a couple of sharper one's. It's that time of the year when back bad football teams is not a good thing to do but are the Iowa Cyclones a bad team? They certainly were last week but this team has been competitive this year, especially here at Ames. They might be the best 1-5 team in the country and prior to last week had covered 3 straight. This will be the 3rd time they have faced the spread option so they certainly should have learned something, and the fact is, this one will be the 3 worst they have faced. Oklahoma State QB's have been throwing a lot of INT's and the Cowboys just are not as good as they were last year in many ways. Van Gundy does not even know at this point who will start as signal caller. They come into this affair at 0-6 ATS on their last 6 road trips and 1-7 ATS as well. This series has produced a 6-1 ATS Mark for the Home Team. And let's not forget that the last time OK State visited Ames they were ranked 2nd in the country as a 27 Point Favorite and were stunned with a 37-31 loss. Iowa State was humiliated last week by Baylor. I suspect that they will be practicing hard for this one and I am grabbing the points..

Pittsburgh -5

I'm not Terribly impressed with a lot of things concerning the Panthers but they do stop the run very well at just 3.8 YPC. Navy has trouble doing anything on defense and most likely going to be giving up a lot of points verses the very balanced offense they will face Saturday. This line has been wacky all week with an open of 6.5, down to 5, back up to 7, and now as low as 4.5 at Cris/BM. The Consensus Line is 5 and that is what we will go with here. And yes laying points on the road is not my usual...

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

JR O'Donnell

Boston College +7.5

BC Eagles to stay inside the 7.5 Saturday as we will fire on a Senior laden crew with a great coach from Temple Steve Addazio... The Press is chirping that these "Eagles still have an opportunity to achieve their goal of becoming bowl-eligible for the first time since 2010. The Eagles went toe to toe with the hottest team in the nation FSU...  48-34 as yes they hung a 34 spot on the Noles...

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Larry Ness

Texas Tech vs Oklahoma
Pick: Oklahoma

I’ve been a huge critic of Oklahoma’s Bob Stoops, calling him “Big Game Blob” and he sure proved me right once again, losing to Texas back on Oct 12 as nearly two-TD favorites, 36-20. That said, it’s not as if I can’t (and haven’t in the past), found times to play on his Oklahoma Sooners. One of those situations is this Saturday, when the Sooners host the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Red Raiders are led by first-time head coach Kliff Kingsbury (former QB at Lubbock), who took over an 8-5 team from last year.

Texas Tech began the 2013 season unranked in ANY preseason poll and totally ‘under the radar’ but as we head in the final weekend of of October, the Red Raiders check in at 7-0 (4-0 in the Big-12), ranked No. 10 in the AP and 10th in the first BCS standings of the year, as well. Kingsbury first named freshman walk-on Baker Mayfield his starting QB and Mayfield guided Texas Tech to five wins before suffering a knee injury in a 54-16 win over Kansas on Oct 5. So what happens? Kingsbury turns to another freshman, Davis Webb, who leads the team to two more wins.

Davis has completed 71 of 106 passes in his two starts, for 877 yards with five TDs and one INT. He’s become the first Red Raiders freshman to pass for at least 400 yards in his first two starts and in last week's 37-27 comeback win at West Virginia, his 462-yard performance broke Billy Joe Tolliver's freshman record of 422 yards set in 1985, as he helped erase an 11-point, third-quarter deficit. "The more reps he gets, the better he gets and the more confidence he gets," said Kingsbury, who played quarterback for the Red Raiders from 1999-2002. "It's encouraging to have a young QB like that and have guys step up around him and make those plays."

Now here’s the rub regarding Texas Tech. With TCU losing last week, every team Texas Tech has defeated in the Big 12 in 2013 (TCU, Kansas , Iowa St and West Va) has a losing record overall, as well as a combined 2-12 mark in Big 12 play! The Red Raiders still have Oklahoma St, Kansas St., Baylor and Texas after this meeting with Oklahoma and my prediction is, we won’t being seeing the Red Raiders for much longer in the national polls or the BCS standings (hold me to that!).

The Sooners (6-1, 3-1) lead the nation, allowing just 149.7 YPG passing yards and just held Kansas to 201 total yards, including only 16 yards through the air, the fewest passing yards they've allowed since beating Arkansas in the 2002 Cotton Bowl. The home team had won seven straight meetings in this series before the last two seasons, when the road teams came out victorious. You KNOW Stoops will remind his team that the last time the Red Raiders visited Norman, they ended Oklahoma’s 36-game home winning streak with a 41-38 victory as 29-point dogs. It was payback time last year in Lubbock and the Sooners ‘dusted’ the Red Raiders, 41-20.

Yes, Oklahoma got its ‘pound of flesh’ with that win but the 2011 home loss still has to ‘sting’ plus with Oklahoma's loss to Texas, Big Game Blob and the Sooners no longer have any margin for error in the team’s quest for a Big 12 title (and BCS Bowl bid). There will likely be other opportunities to go-against Bob Stoops and the Sooners but the situation is NOT here, up against a VERY overrated Texas Tech team. Lay the points.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Harry Bondi

NORTH CAROLINA -7 over Boston College

Last we saw Boston College, the team was hanging with Clemson at home in an eventual 24-14 loss as 24-point underdog. But don’t be fooled by that effort. This was a perfect spot for the Eagles, who clearly caught the Tigers looking past BC and ahead to its major showdown with Florida State the next week. Other than that game, BC has been overmatched in any game against a team with more team speed, as seen by losses Southern Cal (35-7) and Florida State (48-24). The Tar Heels will definitely have a speed advantage is this game and come in a bit underrated. Larry Fedora’s crew put forth its best effort of the season last Thursday night in a near upset of 7th-ranked Miami-Florida and despite the fact that the loss dropped the team to 1-5, there were some real positives that came out of the game, most notably the emergence of tight end Eric Ebron and tailback T.J. Logan. After playing three teams currently ranked in the top 20, the Tar Heels see an opportunity to get back into bowl game contention as their next three opponents are .500 or worse. The turnaround begins here, where NC is 10-6 ATS as a home favorite the last three seasons.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Strike Point Sports

Utah (+7) over USC

Apparently oddsmakers aren't getting the hint: this Trojans team isn't all that good. I know Southern Cal is home against another average Pac-12 team in Utah, but that still doesn't validate a struggling USC laying a touchdown in this game. The Utes, albeit at home, did beat a really good Stanford team. That's a lot more than USC can say as far as their best win of the season is concerned. I think this one will be fairly low scoring, and the points will be good. There's definite value in the underdog here because oddsmakers are overvaluing a team that has not proven itself thus far on the season. Give me the touchdown and Utah in Los Angeles.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

River City Sports

North Texas at Southern Miss.
Play: North Texas -11

The “play against” angle with Southern Miss is still in play. Last week, we cased an easy winner with ECU routing Southern Miss and we expect more of the same this week. Quite simply, Southern Miss struggles to score any points. Meanwhile, the Mean Green have won two in a row and are on the improve. The Golden Eagles only average 12 points per game, while allowing over 40 ppg. North Texas routed La Tech last week 28-13 and are on their second game of a back-to-back road scenario. Even with that and the fact they are a DD road favorite for the first time since 2003, we still like North Texas to get it done against a Southern Miss team that has thrown in the towel.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Sam Martin

Fresno St. at San Diego St.
Prediction: Fresno St.

Bulldogs come into this weekend unbeaten at 6-0, and should have an easy go of it this Saturday night against San Diego State. Fresno State has put up big offensive numbers again this year, scoring at least 38 points in every game, but big pointspreads have this team just 1-5 against the spread on the season.

That lack of success at the betting window finally gives us some line value here, with a double-digit win more than enough to cover this pointspread. That's exactly what we expect to see as San Diego State has given up big yardage against the better passing teams they've faced (already 360+ passing yards allowed on three occasions) and there's no letdown or lookahead for Fresno to be distracted.

Bulldogs won this game by 12 points as an 8-point favorite last year, and win by double-digits as a similarly-priced favorite this time around.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Tom Stryker

Notre Dame vs. Air Force    
Play: Notre Dame -19½

Before I get to this week's complimentary selection, I would like to personally thank those of you that invested in a subscription package. There have been a number of winning selections this football season and I'm working extremely hard to ensure that there are a lot more. Save big money when you pick up a day, week or month of service. Thanks again and now on to this week's free winner.

Since dropping back-to-back decisions to Navy in 2009 and 2010, Notre Dame has showed no mercy in its last four against military schools. The Irish have faced Army once, Air Force once and Navy twice since those blemishes and won and covered all four by the combined score of 192-60. That's an average beating of 48-15.

The Falcons looked great in their season-opening 38-13 win over Colgate. Unfortunately, that's been it this season for the Flyboys. The Force has quietly dropped six straight (1-4 ATS) by an average of 19.1 points per game and the X's and O's just don't help them in this mismatch.

Defensively, AFA is in trouble. The Falcons are ranked 116th in total defense (allow an avg of 488.7 ypg) and 113th in scoring (surrender an avg of 37.6 ppg). Even though Notre Dame's offense hasn't posted big numbers this year (avg 25.4 points and 374.3 ypg), quarterback Tommy Rees and the boys can break things open big time against AFA's Swiss cheese stop unit. As usual, Air Force's offensive strength is their runnings game (avg 268.6 ypg). Unfortunately, that smashes right into the muscle of the Fighting Irish "D". Against the run, UND's defensive front seven has an average of only 123.3 yards per game. Simply put, if Air Force can't run, they have no chance to even stay close.

In this series, the Irish hold a solid 12-2 SU and 9-5 ATS record including a strong 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS mark in Colorado Springs. With only Navy on deck, head coach Brian Kelly can open things up a bit on both sides of the ball and let the Dame flex their muscles a little bit. Take Notre Dame.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Bill Biles

Nebraska vs. Minnesota    
Play: Nebraska -10

Taylor Martinez comes back for Nebraska, and this is the perfect spot for him to shake off the rust. They will be a bit careful with Taylor in the early going but he will get it going in the second half completing passes to Abdullah who will record another 100 yard game.

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Brandon Shively

Toledo vs. Bowling Green    
Play: Bowling Green -3½

I said at the beginning of the season and will say it again, Bowling Green is the best team in the MAC and should finish the season with a top 20 ranking. Today, they have the benefit of a well needed bye week and this is a game that the seniors of Bowling Green have had circled. The last time Bowling Green beat Toledo was in 2009, so this game definitely means something to them.

Bowling Green is 4-0 SU at home this year and their defense has been terrific, only allowing an average of 9 ppg at home. Bowling Green improved their defense 109 yards from last year, and have the MAC's best defense again this year. The one bad game was @ Indiana, which we all know the Hoosiers can put up points, as we saw last week vs. Michigan.
Bowling Green has the situational advantage in this game. A week of rest with a revenge, and 19 returning starters, and I know HC Clawson will have his troops ready. Toledo is in off a 2OT win @ Navy, which I feel calls for a let-down today.

Toledo has a strong running game, but this is nothing new for Bowling Green. Last year they held Toledo's star running back Fluellen to 81 yards on the ground and I expect another stellar outing from Bowling Green's defense at home behind the home crowd. Bowling Green is only allowing 283 ypg at home this year and while Toledo will be their stiffest test yet, I do not project Toledo to get over 350 yards in this game. Quarterback Owens for Toledo does not have a great arm as evidenced by his 5 TD/ 6 INT mark this year, while Bowling Green has a double deuce attack that can score on the ground or through the air.

Overall, I feel like Bowling Green has a much better team (offense and defense), they are off a bye week, they are playing with revenge, and I will factor in the home crowd also as a factor. Bowling Green starts 10 juniors and seniors on the defensive side of the ball, and I really feel that defense will play a big factor in this game. Look for Toledo to make some turnovers and Bowling Green to capitalize. I expect a victory today in the 10-14 point range.

Home team is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 meetings and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Bowling Green is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Doug Upstone

Nebraska vs. Minnesota    
Play: Nebraska -10

On Saturday, Play On teams like Nebraska who are 3.5 to 10 point favorites, off a double digit road win, against opponent (Minnesota) who is off a road win. In the past five years, these teams are a perfect 28-0 SU and 24-4 ATS, 85.7 percent. The average margin of victory has been 19.3 points a contest!

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Freddy Wills

Tulsa vs. Tulane    
Play: Tulsa -2½

I'll take my chances with Tulsa this week who have an extra week to prepare for a must win game. Tulsa has been the conference's biggest disapointment while Tulane has been the biggest surprise. What does that mean? Well we have a 2-4 team favored on the road against a 5-2 team. Tulane offense has struggled big time so this is a nice match up for Tulsa and a very winnable game. Tulane is 109th in total yards and 115th in yards per play. Tulsa will attack an offensive line that's already allowed 22 sacks. Tulsa's pass rush is ranked 39th and they should get good push with linebacker Shawn Jackson and ends Alexander and Todd.

So why is Tulane favored? That's a great question part of it is that vegas knows the public will bet an under dog with a better record at home and part of it is that Tulane has played great on defense as they are holding opponents to under 3 yards per carry. That's the key to this game. Can Tulsa establish the run? I think they can part of Tulane's great stats are inflated because they played rushing offenses ranked 122nd, 88th, and 111th the last three weeks. Tulsa has 3 games with 200+ yards and are bigger and more physical up front and they feature an NFL caliber running back in Trey Watts.

Tulsa has dominated this series with 43-12 average score the last 8 meetings dating back to 2005. The game has never been within 24 points and although Tulane is making strides their offense is one of the worst in the league. They have relied heavily on turnovers and special teams and Tulsa should be able to win at least one of those battles. This is just a game that Tulsa has their backs against the wall with everything left ahead of them. They have had a very tough schedule to start and they'll benefit from their conference dominance where they have gone 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Jack Jones

Wake Forest +24

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have played their best football in their past two games heading into this one. They beat NC State 28-13 at home on October 5 despite being an 8-point underdog. Then, as a 4.5-point home dog to Maryland last week, they ripped the Terrapins 34-10. Quarterback Tanner Price has been playing his best football as well. He completed 26 of 36 passes for 231 yards and a touchdown against Maryland after going 24 of 39 for 268 yards and three touchdowns against NC State.

This is a huge letdown spot for Miami. It has a game at No. 2 Florida State on deck next weekend, and it won’t be able to help but look ahead to that contest. This is a Hurricanes team that has been playing careless football for weeks, and it could come back to bite them against Wake Forest if they don’t show up. Miami has committed exactly four turnovers in each of its last three contests. It needed a late touchdown to escape with a 27-23 win at North Carolina last week as an 8.5-point favorite.

I have been very impressed with Wake Forest’s defense this season. It has given up just 20.3 points and 367.7 yards per game to rank 37th in the country in total defense. After giving up 401 total yards to Georgia Tech on October 5, the Hurricanes surrendered 500 total yards to North Carolina last week. They have sprung some leaks on defense recently as well. Price could easily keep his solid play going against a Miami defense that gave up 395 passing yards to the Tar Heels.

The Demon Deacons are 4-1 against the spread in their last five October games. Wake Forest is 5-2 against the number in its last seven games after allowing more than 280 passing yards in its previous game. The last two meetings between Wake Forest and Miami have been decided by a combined seven points. I could easily see the Demon Deacons keeping this one close as Miami fails to show up with Florida State on deck. Bet Wake Forest Saturday.

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Re: Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday, October 26

Steve Janus

Washington Huskies -27

While the Huskies 29-point loss at Arizona State last week could have you thinking this team has thrown in the towel on the season, I wouldn’t be so quick to count this team out. Washington was coming off two emotional and very hard fought losses to Stanford and Oregon and likely had nothing left in the tank against the Sun Devils. I have to believe the veterans on this team, including senior quarterback Keith Price, won’t let this team quit.

I actually think this is a great spot to jump on Washington even with the huge spread. We saw Georgia Tech in a very similar spot last week. The Yellow Jackets had lost three straight games against quality opponents and came out an annihilated Syracuse 56-0. I look for the Huskies to take out their frustrations on a Cal team that simply isn’t very good. All six of the Golden Bears losses this season have come by at least 14-points and both of their two road games have resulted in defeats of at least 27 points.

A lot of people will look at the fact that the Cal comes into this game ranked 8th in the country in passing offense, averaging 359.9 ypg, and assume at worst they will be able to play catchup at the end. That hasn’t been the case in the past. Road underdogs of 21.5 to 31 points who are averaging more than 255 passing yards/game are just 20-51 (28.2%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Adding to this is that Washington comes in ranked 16th in the country against the pass, giving up just 194.9 ypg. Their weakness has been stopping the run, where they have allowed 179 or more yards in each of their last four games. The Golden Bears largest output o the ground all season is 149 yards.

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