NFL Trends Week 7

NFL Trends Week 7

NEW ENGLAND (5 - 1) at NY JETS (3 - 3) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 154-116 ATS (+26.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN DIEGO (3 - 3) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 6) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 22-3 ATS (+18.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON (2 - 4) at KANSAS CITY (6 - 0) - 10/20/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CINCINNATI (4 - 2) at DETROIT (4 - 2) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BUFFALO (2 - 4) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (4 - 2) at WASHINGTON (1 - 4) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 52-82 ATS (-38.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 69-95 ATS (-35.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 69-95 ATS (-35.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 69-95 ATS (-35.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS (3 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 3) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 153-116 ATS (+25.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ST LOUIS (3 - 3) at CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 131-166 ATS (-51.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 131-166 ATS (-51.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 94-130 ATS (-49.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TAMPA BAY (0 - 5) at ATLANTA (1 - 4) - 10/20/2013, 1:00 PM


Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 2) at TENNESSEE (3 - 3) - 10/20/2013, 4:05 PM


Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLEVELAND (3 - 3) at GREEN BAY (3 - 2) - 10/20/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BALTIMORE (3 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 4) - 10/20/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DENVER (6 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 2) - 10/20/2013, 8:30 PM


Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MINNESOTA (1 - 4) at NY GIANTS (0 - 6) - 10/21/2013, 8:40 PM


There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 7

CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington   
Washington is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
New England is 15-6-2 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road   
NY Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Jets last 8 games when playing at home against New England

DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road   
Philadelphia is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

ST. LOUIS vs. CAROLINA
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina   
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

SAN DIEGO vs. JACKSONVILLE

San Diego is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road   
Jacksonville is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

TAMPA BAY vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta   
Atlanta is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay

CINCINNATI vs. DETROIT
Cincinnati is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit   
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

BUFFALO vs. MIAMI
Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road   
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

SAN FRANCISCO vs. TENNESSEE
San Francisco is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

HOUSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games   
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

CLEVELAND vs. GREEN BAY

Cleveland is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games   
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Green Bay's last 25 games at home

BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road   
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing at home against Baltimore

DENVER vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games on the road   
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indianapolis's last 13 games at home

MINNESOTA vs. NY GIANTS

Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

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Re: NFL Trends Week 7

New England at New York Jets
New England: 7-3 OVER as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points
NY Jets: 16-4 ATS in home games off a home loss

San Diego at Jacksonville
San Diego: 22-3 ATS against AFC South division opponents
Jacksonville: 1-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Houston at Kansas City
Houston: 0-6 ATS in all games
Kansas City: 14-5 UNDER in home games

Cincinnati at Detroit
Cincinnati: 6-0 UNDER off a road win
Detroit: 0-6 ATS after a win by 10 or more points

Buffalo at Miami
Buffalo: 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home
Miami: 9-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses

Chicago at Washington
Chicago: 26-12 UNDER in road games after 2 or more consecutive ATS losses
Washington: 35-59 ATS as a home favorite

Dallas at Philadelphia
Dallas: 8-18 ATS against conference opponents
Philadelphia: 153-116 ATS against conference opponents

St Louis at Carolina
St Louis: 8-21 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Carolina: 51-31 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last gam

Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Tampa Bay: 19-4 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games
Atlanta: 15-32 ATS in home games after playing a game at home

San Francisco at Tennessee
San Francisco: 19-35 ATS in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points
Tennessee: 40-20 ATS in non-conference games

Cleveland at Green Bay
Cleveland: 1-5 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game
Green Bay: 15-5 ATS in home games

Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Baltimore: 19-8 UNDER in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards
Pittsburgh: 12-3 UNDER as a home favorite

Denver at Indianapolis
Denver: 1-10 ATS after scoring 25 points or more in 5 straight games
Indianapolis: 9-2 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

Minnesota at New York Giants
Minnesota: 5-1 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
NY Giants: 1-5 ATS in all games

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Re: NFL Trends Week 7

2-Minute Handicap
Playbook.com

Thursday, October 17

Seattle Series: 5-1 L6H…. 1-4 SU Thursdays
ARIZONA 9-1 w/div rev after allow 30 > pt vs div opp… 0-5 SUATS Thursdays
      
Sunday, October 20

New England Series: 4-1 L5 / 12-2 L14A … 5-11 Game Seven
NY JETS 5-0 H off DD SU loss vs. non-div conf opp… 4-0-1 HD Game Seven
      
San Diego 0-3 SUATS L3 non-div favs… 1-3 L4 ATS post Monday
JACKSONVILLE 5-0 after allow 35 > pts… 7-3 off BB SU DD losses … 7-1-1 O/U vs AFC West
      
Houston 9-2 as dogs off non-conf game…. 2-4 vs AFC West
KANSAS CITY 1-6 Game Seven vs < .500 non div opp… 2-6 as favs off BB SU wins
      
Cincinnati Series: 4-0 L4A… 2-7 SUATS Game Seven
DETROIT 5-1 vs AFC N off win… 4-8 SUATS Game Seven vs opp off win
      
Buffalo 10-0 as RD’s 3 > pts vs opp off BB SU losses… 1-6 in 1st of BB RG’s
MIAMI Series: 4-1 L5 … 1-4 div fav w/rest… 4-9 div HF’s
      
Chicago SERIES: 2-8 L10… 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS vs NFC E
WASHINGTON 6-1-2 after Dallas… 1-5 SUATS vs NFC N
      
Dallas 0-4 after Washington… 2-8 vs div opp Game 7 <
PHILADELPHIA SERIES: 4-1 L5… 0-10 H vs div off non-div RG… 0-5 before Giants
      
St Louis SERIES: 1-4 L5… 7-1 off SU win as dog +6 > pts
CAROLINA 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS H vs NFC w off win… 1-6 as non-div conf favs 4 > pts
      
Tampa Bay SERIES: 5-1 L6A… 2-8 vs .333 < opp
ATLANTA 11-1 as div fav off SU loss Games 5-8… 6-1 as favs in 2nd of BB HG’s
      
San Francisco 1-8 A off SU win vs opp off BB SU losses… 3-9 as non-con favs 3 > pts
TENNESSEE SERIES: 6-1 L7… 8-0 as non-conf dogs < 5 pts off SU loss
      
Cleveland 5-0 w/rev Game Seven… 3-1 A off loss vs NFC N
GREEN BAY 10-2 before Vikings… 1-3 SUATS H all-time vs AFC N
      
Baltimore SERIES: 5-1-2 L8A… 4-0 O/U before Bye Week
PITTSBURGH 0-5 H Off DD ATS win… 1-5 after Jets
      
Baltimore SERIES: 5-1-2 L8A… 4-0 O/U before Bye Week
PITTSBURGH 0-6 H off DD ATS win… 1-5 after Jets
      
Denver SERIES: 0-4 SUATS L4… 1-5 as favs vs AFC S
INDIANAPOLIS 7-1 as dogs > 5 pts vs > .500 opp Games 5-8… 13-2 as dogs 8 < pts vs opp off SU win 14 > pts
      
Monday, October 21

Minnesota Series: 3-0 L3 A… 4-0 A vs .333 < conf opp in Game 9 <
NEW YORK GIANTS 5-1 as Mon favs < 8 pts… 0-6 off BB ATS losses vs opp off SU fav loss … 1-4 L5 after Thursday games
      
ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 7

New England @ NY Jets

The Patriots are 20-12 ATS versus AFC opponents and 6-2 ATS as road favorites of 3½ to 7 points, but they’re also just 5-11 ATS when playing their 7th game of the season. The Jest are just 1-5 ATS off a double digit home loss, but they’re 17-6 ATS as a home dog of 4 points or less versus a divisional opponent off a win and 5-0 ATS at home off double digit straight up loss to a non-divisional opponent. Note in this series that the road team is 22-8-1 ATS the last 31 and New England is 12-2 ATS the last 14 meetings.

San Diego @ Jacksonville

The Chargers are an amazing 22-3 ATS versus AFC South opponents and 95-76 ATS overall on the road, but the Cahrgers are also 3-6 ATS in October, 9-15 ATS as a road favorite of 3½ to 7 points, 1-3 ATS playing after Monday night, and 0-3 as a non-divisional favorite. Jacksonville is 3-11 ATS as an underdog of 3½ to 9½ points, 12-21 ATS overall as an underdog and 6-12 ATS at home including 2-8 ATS the last 10. However, the Jaguars are 5-0 ATS after allowing 35+ points and 7-3 ATS off back to back double digit losses. Note the visiting team in San Diego games are 8-3-1 ATS lately.

Houston @ Kansas City

The Texans are 1-5 ATS as underdogs of 3½ to 9½ points, 3-12 ATS overall lately and 17-24 ATS in October. However, Houston is 21-11 ATS on grass, 35-18 ATS off 2 or more losses and 9-2 ATS as underdogs off a game versus an NFC opponent. Kansas City is 6-1 ATS after 2 or more wins and 7-2 ATS in October, but the Chiefs are also 0-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3½ to 7 points, 0-5 ATS as a favorite after back to back wins with the lasy win over a divisional opponent.

Cincinnati @ Detroit

The Bengals are 8-0 ATS as a single digit road dog and 6-2 ATS versus an NFC opponent, but they’re also 2-7 ATS in their 7th game of the season, 3-7-1 ATS versus winning teams and 0-4 ATS on the road lately. Detroit is 7-3 ATS in October, but 7-13 ATS versus winning teams, 8-14 ATS in dome games and 4-13-1 ATS after scoring 30 points or more. Note in the series that Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS at Detroit.

Buffalo @ Miami

The Bills are a 4-1 ATS underdogs of 3½ to 9 points and 10-0 ATS as road dogs of 3 points or more off back to back losses. However, the Bills are 5-12 ATS on the road and 9-15 ATS as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points. Miami is 73-96 ATS in home over the long haul, 9-17 ATS as home favorites of 7½ to 10 points, 0-7 ATS in October, 1-4 ATS as a divisional favorite offf a bye week and 4-9 ATS as a divisional home favorite. Note in this series that Miami is 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetngs and 4-1-1 ATS the last 6 at home, but note the underdogs in Miami games are 42-20.

Chicago @ Washington

The Bears are 4-10 ATS as road favorites of of 3 points or less, 10-18 ATS versus NFC opponents, 1-6 ATS on the road versus an NFC East opponent, but they’re 11-5-1 ATS on the road versus teams with a losing record. Washington is 69-95 ATS at home including 7-11 lately, 2-8 ATS in October, but they’re 6-1 ATS the game after playing Dallas. Note in the series Washington is 8-2 ATS the last 10 versus Chicago when playing in Washington.

Dallas @ Philadelphia

The Cowboys are 8-15 ATS in the favorite role, 8-18 ATS versus the NFC, 4-10 ATS versus divisional opponents, 5-15 ATS coming off a straight up win and 0-4 ATS after playing Washington. Philadelphia is 14-23 ATS overall lately, 3-21-1 ATS the last 28 at home and 0-10 ATS at home versus a divisional opponent off a non-divisional road game. Note in the series that the road team is 4-1 ATS the last 5 meetings.

St Louis @ Carolina

The Rams are 8-21 ATS as road underdogs of 3½ to 7 points, 71-93 ATS underdogs overall and 11-17 ATS versus NFC opponents. However, St Louis is 11-4 ATS off astraight up win of 14 points or more and 7-1 ATS off a straight win as an underdog of 6 points or more. Carolina is 17-28 ATS as home favorites of 3½ to 7 points, 0-5 ATS versus NFC West opponents, but 6-2 ATS at home versus an NFC West opponent off a win, In this series Carolina is 4-1 ATS the last 5 meetings.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

The Bucs are 3-11 ATS versus losing teams, 3-15 ATS off 2 or more losses, 11-17 ATS versus NFC South opponents, 14-22 ATS overall, 0-6 ATS in week 7 and 1-7 ATS versus divisional opponents off 2 or more straight up losses. Atlanta is 4-8 ATS versus a divisional opponents, but 7-3 ATS in October, 10-5 ATS after playing on Monday night, 11-1 ATS in October versus divisional foes off a loss and 11-5 ATS at home when coming off a loss. In this series the road team is 6-2-1 ATS the last 9 and Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS the last 6 trips to Atlanta.

San Francisco @ Tennessee

The 49ers are 14-5 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 9-2 ATS in October, 19-8 ATS on grass and 29-14 ATS overall lately. However, San Francisco is just 1-8 ATS the last 9 off a win versus an opponent off 2 or more losses. Tennessee is 8-3 ATS versus NFC West opponents, 40-20 ATS overall versus NFC opponents, 5-1-1 ATS off back to back losses including 4-0 in non-divisional games, but just 3-10 ATS versus winning teams lately. Note in the series Tennessee is 6-1 ATS the last 7 versus San Francisco.

Cleveland @ Green Bay

The Browns are 17-9 ATS as road underdogs of 10½ to 14 points, 3-1 ATS road dog off a loss versus an NFC North opponent, but just 3-7 ATS in October, 9-14 ATS overall versus NFC North opponents. Green Bay comes in as a 8-1 ATS home favorite of 10½ to 14 points, 15-5 ATS the last 20 at home overall, 19-10 ATS on grass, 8-3 ATS in October, 17-9 ATS versus AFC North opponents and 10-2 ATS the week before playing Minnesota. Note that the home team in Green Bay games is 11-1 ATS lately.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh

The Ravens are 10-5 ATS when the posted line is 3 points or less either way, but 3-9 ATS versus losing teams. Note Baltimore is 4-0 Over the total the week before a bye. Pittsburgh comes in 9-18 ATS versus AFC opponents, 14-23 ATS overall, 11-17 ATS as a favorite, but the Steelers are 0-6 ATS off a double digit ATS win and 1-5 ATS the game after playing the Jets. Note in the series the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS the last 13 and Baltimore is 5-1-2 ATS the last 8 trips to Pittsburgh.

Denver @ Indianapolis


The Broncos are 10-2 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 14-8 ATS overall as a favorite, 12-7 ATS on the road and5 ATS off 2 or more straight up wins. However, Denver is 3-10 ATS in October and 1-5 ATS as a favorite versus an AFC South opponent. The Colts are 13-6 ATS as a home dog of 3½ to 7 points, 7-2 ATS at home overall and 9-1 ATS off a straight up loss and 13-2 ATS as an underdog of less than 8 points versus an opponent off 14+ point straight up win. However, Indianapolis is 34-42 ATS as an underdog of 3½ to 9½ points and just 2-8 ATS after scoring 15 points or less.

Minnesota @ NY Giants

The Vikings are 14-8 ATS in the underdog role, but 2-8 ATS when playing on Monday night and 0-4 ATS as underdogs of 2 points or more versus an NFC East opponent off back to back losses.The Giants are 26-11-2 ATS in October, 7-2 ATs at home off a loss versus a losing team, 5-1 ATS as Monday night favorites of 8 points or less, but they’re just 3-8 ATS versus losing teams and 1-4 ATS after a Thursday night game. Note the Giants are 3-0 ATS versus Minnesota at home and the home teams in Minnesota games are 13-5 ATS

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Re: NFL Trends Week 7

Second half betting trends for Week 7
By Rob Veno
Sportsmemo.com

This week’s blog is a bit different than the previous weekly writings. I decided to go more specific this week and focused in on five Sunday NFL games that have some strong early season first half and second half betting trends. Let’s see if these continue to be money makers this weekend:   

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS and 0-5 O/U in second half play this year. The Buccaneers have only had one 2H total score more than 13 points. Tampa has scored one field goal in their last three second halves combined. They lost the 2H 6-0 three weeks ago at New England, 13-0 two weeks ago at home vs. Arizona and 17-3 last week at home against Philadelphia. 

Atlanta is 1-4 ATS and 4-1 O/U in the 2H this season. All four pointspread losses are either as pick ‘em or an underdog, their lone cover was as a favorite. In the Falcons last four games, the 2H totals have resulted in 27 or more points.

Baltimore @ Pittsburgh

Baltimore has been a tremendous second half team rattling off five consecutive straight up and ATS wins. Until last week’s 17-13 2H win and cover against Green Bay, the Ravens had won four straight second halves by double digits. The second half defense has been the difference, allowing only 26 2H points in their last five games.

Pittsburgh on the other hand has performed poorly against the second half spread going 1-4 with last week’s 10-0 victory over the Jets being their first. Of the Steelers four 2H losses, three have been as 2.5-3.5 point favorites while the other was as a 3.5 point underdog.

Buffalo @ Miami

The Bills have been a solid first half over play eclipsing the total in five of their first six games. Even with third string QB Thaddeus Lewis starting last week, the Bills-Bengals game reached 27 1H points and went over. Buffalo first halves are averaging 24.16 points per game with five of the six totaling 23 or more.

Miami has not developed much of a pattern where first halves are concerned but the second halves of their home games have been very high scoring. This will only be the third home game for the Dolphins but the first two have seen 27 & 30 points scored respectively with each game going over the 2H total.

St. Louis @ Carolina


St. Louis has had a knack for playing non-competitive first halves recently as their last five games have had double-digit score margins. The Rams have won the first half each of the last two weeks by 11 over Houston and 14 over Jacksonville but before that they went 0-3 ATS in the 1H losing by 11, 17, and 21.

Meanwhile, the Panthers have put together one of the strongest 1H trends in the NFL this year as the parlay of Carolina and the under has gone 5-0. Carolina’s 5-0 first half pointspread mark has seen their defense hold each and every opponent to 3 points or less (total of 12 points allowed in the first half this season) leading to five easy covers since the closing numbers have all been in the +1 to -2.5 range. That strong defensive effort has also been partly responsible for Carolina’s first halves averaging a total of only 10.6 points per contest.

Chicago @ Washington

The Bears have posted the league’s strongest first half totals mark by going 6-0 O/U in the first half. Every Chicago 1H has concluded with at least 24 1H points on the scoreboard and five of the six have cashed in “never in doubt” style exceeding the line by 3.5 points or more. In all, Chicago games have seen 201 first half points scored for an average of 33.5.

Washington has a perfect first half mark going as well, but theirs has to do with the point-spread as they’ve gone 0-5 SU and ATS in their contests thus far. The Redskins have lost just one game by less than four points and in four of the five they’ve missed covering by at least 4.5 points so they haven’t really been close. They have however, been a dynamic second half over team going 4-1 in that category.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 7

Gridiron Angles - Week 7
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND

The Jets are 10-0-1 ATS since Nov 19, 1995 as a home dog after a loss at home.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND

The Bills are 0-11 ATS since Nov 29, 1998 as a dog when their passing yards increased in each of the last two weeks.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND

The Bengals are 0-10 OU since Dec 24, 2011 after a road game in which AJ Green had more than 6 receptions.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND

The Rams are 11-0 ATS since 2008 if not 14+ point dogs, if they had a turnover margin of at least +2 last game.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM

Teams which have allowed between 700 and 775 yards passing over the past two games are 57-39-1 ATS. Active on Denver.

NFL O/U TREND

The Steelers are 0-13 OU since December 2006 at home when facing a team that has benefited from an average of less than 1.4 turnovers per game season-to-date.

PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP

Following Seattle’s win against Arizona Thursday there is still a whole whack of football to get through before Minnesota (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) hits New York for Monday’s game against the Giants (0-6 SU, 1-5 ATS). We can see that the line has already moved across a key number, though, to New York (-3.5) so for this week’s tip we will focus our attention here.

“Due factor” is the phrase around most water coolers but wasn’t New York “due” after the shutout loss to Carolina? There is another trend suggesting value on home teams following a Thursday nighter and this one makes sense. The players have had extra rest, coaches’ additional time to gameplan and without the hassle of travel the home side has no excuse for a weak effort.

This season, home teams are 7-1 ATS off a Thursday game including a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS mark when favored

But the Vikings were 3-5 straight-up on the road last year and so far Minnesota has lost both road games at Detroit and Chicago. Are they not “due?” The Vikes are 12-2 ATS off a blowout loss the past 12 years including a 5-1 ATS record on the road; that certainly adds support to the dog.

Minnesota has issues in the secondary and a new starter under center but they also have Adrian Peterson and the Giants struggle against the run. At +3.5 points or more, we like the VIKINGS to cover.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 7

StatFox Super Situations

NFL DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game 46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% 0.8 units )

NFL CHICAGO at WASHINGTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents), after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games 34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

NFL CLEVELAND at GREEN BAY
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (GREEN BAY) good rushing team (125 to 150 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game), after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% 20.2 units )

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NFL Trends & Angles – Week 7

As those of you that have followed us in the past know, the majority of our angles are contrarian in nature and not for the feint of heart, as many of them point to live underdogs and live ‘unders’ whenever we have total angles. Now, we have three new angles this week to replace three from last week that have no qualifiers for Week 7, but the “favorites off of bye” angle remains the only one that is not contrarian.

Our full-season angles go back to 2005, as that gives us a large enough sampling without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal.

Finally, you will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.

So here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 7, with all records being for the last eight seasons since 2005 plus the first six weeks of this season.

Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (78-56-5, 58.2% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. This angle has worked even better if the team on the ATS losing streak is now on the road (43-29-1, 59.7 percent), although we are not quite comfortable enough with that smallish sample size to present it as a stand-alone angle. Home teams have still been profitable at 35-27-4, 56.5 percent ATS. Qualifier: Houston +6½.

Play on any team that failed to cover the spread by 25 points or more in its last game (77-53-3, 59.2% ATS): The reason why this angle has worked so well over the years is a combination of professional teams not liking to be embarrassed and usually bouncing back strong, and the fact that bettors usually shy away from teams that just lost to the spread so badly, thus giving them inherent value the following week. Qualifiers: Houston +6½ and Minnesota +3 (Monday).

Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (87-50-4, 63.5% ATS): This is the one of our few angles that is not contrarian in nature. NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off oftentimes has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. Qualifiers: Atlanta -7 and Miami -8½.

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (182-117-6, 60.9% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started  to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially when now facing a familiar conference foe, which lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack the foe and what to expect on defense. Qualifier: St. Louis +6.

Play against any favorite of -7½ or more that lost straight up as a favorite in its last game (63-39, 61.8% ATS): Teams that are favored after losing as favorites in their previous game are often overrated teams, and this becomes especially true if they are favored by more than a touchdown the following week, as you can see by the record of this angle with a sampling of over 100 decisions. Qualifier: Buffalo +8½.

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Week 7 Trends from Dr. Bob

Things have gone from bad to worse for Houston, as the Texans have now lost 4 straight games and are 0-6 ATS this season after losing each of their last 3 games by 21 points or more, including last week as a 7½ point home favorite to a bad Rams team. There are a couple good contrary indicators favoring Houston this week, reminding us once again that the harder a team is to bet the better bet that team usually is.

Play on an underdog that lost their last game straight up as a favorite of more than 6 points if their opponent has a win percentage of .500 or higher. That’s 127-68-7 ATS.

If the team coming off the upset loss has a win percentage of less than .625 then the record is an even better 116-46-6 ATS.

Play on Houston.


I realize that it’s hard to play on a team that is 0-6 ATS but the value is on Houston’s side. In fact, that trend above is 5-0-1 ATS if the team has lost 5 or more consecutive games to the spread – which leads me to the next contrary angle.

Teams that have lost their last 5 games or more to the spread and are coming off a loss are 55% ATS over the last 35 years. The percentage gets much better if the opponent is a non-division opponent and if the record of the play on team is .375 or less since those would be two reasons for the opponent to take the game less seriously (teams will get up for other good teams are for division opponents). It also helps if our struggling team is not too much worse than their opponent, so it’s best to exclude double-digit underdogs. What’s left is the following.

Play on a team with a win percentage of .375 or less in a non-division game if they’ve lost 5 or more consecutive games to the spread and are not a double-digit underdog.

54-20-1 ATS, including 41-9 ATS if our play on team allowed 24 points or more in last week’s loss. That was the NY Giants last Thursday night and they covered at Chicago.

Play on Houston.


The following trend I wrote about a couple of weeks ago and it won with Dallas as a home dog against Denver and last week won again with San Diego over Indianapolis. I’m mentioning it again this week because it applies to 2 games.

Play against a road team that has scored 31 points or more and won in each of their two previous games (and played last week) if they are visiting a non-division opponent with a win percentage of less than .666 (teams with mediocre or poor win percentages are most likely to lead to a letdown).

33-76-4 ATS

Play against St. Louis and San Francisco.

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