NFL Trends Week 6

NFL Trends Week 6

OAKLAND (2 - 3) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 0) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


PHILADELPHIA (2 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 4) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 152-116 ATS (+24.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


GREEN BAY (2 - 2) at BALTIMORE (3 - 2) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM


Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


DETROIT (3 - 2) at CLEVELAND (3 - 2) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


CAROLINA (1 - 3) at MINNESOTA (1 - 3) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ST LOUIS (2 - 3) at HOUSTON (2 - 3) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 130-166 ATS (-52.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 130-166 ATS (-52.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 63-93 ATS (-39.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 101-132 ATS (-44.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
HOUSTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


PITTSBURGH (0 - 4) at NY JETS (3 - 2) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


CINCINNATI (3 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 3) - 10/13/2013, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TENNESSEE (3 - 2) at SEATTLE (4 - 1) - 10/13/2013, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


JACKSONVILLE (0 - 5) at DENVER (5 - 0) - 10/13/2013, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


ARIZONA (3 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 2) - 10/13/2013, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


NEW ORLEANS (5 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 1) - 10/13/2013, 4:25 PM


Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


WASHINGTON (1 - 3) at DALLAS (2 - 3) - 10/13/2013, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


INDIANAPOLIS (4 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 3) - 10/14/2013, 8:40 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 21-3 ATS (+17.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

PHILADELPHIA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia

PITTSBURGH vs. NY JETS

Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the NY Jets last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Jets are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games when playing Pittsburgh

CINCINNATI vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY

Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Oakland's last 16 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

ST. LOUIS vs. HOUSTON

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-15-1 SU in its last 20 games ,on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

CAROLINA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Carolina

DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 16 games at home

GREEN BAY vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

TENNESSEE vs. SEATTLE
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

JACKSONVILLE vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NEW ORLEANS vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona

WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Washington

INDIANAPOLIS vs. SAN DIEGO

Indianapolis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

Oakland at Kansas City
Oakland: 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog
Kansas City: 11-2 UNDER in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest

Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Philadelphia: 30-16 ATS in road games after a game where 50 total points or more were scored
Tampa Bay: 3-11 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Green Bay at Baltimore
Green Bay: 55-35 OVER in games played on turf
Baltimore: 12-3 ATS in home games off a upset win as an underdog

Detroit at Cleveland
Detroit: 2-11 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Cleveland: 10-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points

Carolina at Minnesota
Carolina: 8-1 ATS off a road loss
Minnesota: 41-24 OVER after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game

St Louis at Houston
St Louis: 8-21 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Houston: 21-10 ATS in games played on a grass field

Pittsburgh at NY Jets
Pittsburgh: 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9
NY Jets: 1-8 ATS off 1 or more straight overs

Cincinnati at Buffalo
Cincinnati: 59-90 ATS in the first half of the season
Buffalo: 7-0 ATS off a road loss

Tennessee at Seattle
Tennessee: 8-1 OVER after playing a game at home
Seattle: 9-1 ATS in home lined games

Jacksonville at Denver
Jacksonville: 4-13 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest
Denver: 11-3 ATS in games played on a grass field

Arizona at San Francisco
Arizona: 6-17 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games
San Francisco: 18-8 ATS in games played on a grass field

New Orleans at New England
New Orleans: 24-45 ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game
New England: 18-7 ATS after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points

Washington at Dallas
Washington: 62-41 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Dallas: 7-18 ATS against conference opponents

Indianapolis at San Diego
Indianapolis: 15-3 ATS in road games after scoring 25 points or more in 3 straight games
San Diego: 10-23 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

2-Minute Handicap
Playbook.com

Thursday, Oct 10

New York Giants 5-2 vs NFC North… Coughlin: 8-4-1 L15 as dog
CHICAGO Series: 0-4 L4 H… 0-5 as conf fav 6 > pts
      
Sunday, Oct 13

Oakland Series: 5-1 L 6 / 7-0 L 7 A… 1-8 after Chargers
KANSAS CITY 0-11 as div favs… 1-4 as favs vs .333 < opp… 3-10 as favs off BB SUATS wins
      
Philadelphia 8-1 as favs < 14 pts off div Rd game… 9-2 A off ATS loss vs < .500 opp
TAMPA BAY 6-1 SUATS home with rest… 4-0-2 as favs vs NFC East… 4-1 before Falcons
      
Green Bay Series: 4-1 L5… 9-0 vs non conf opp > .500
BALTIMORE 6-0 H off SU dog win… Harbaugh: 5-0 H off SU dog win
      
Detroit 6-0 vs non-div opp off SU fav loss … 3-1 A vs AFC N
CLEVELAND 0-3 vs .500 > NFC N opp… 1-6-1 H vs non-conf opp… 1-5 off SU fav loss
      
Carolina Series: 1-3 L4… Rivera: 8-4 dog off loss
MINNESOTA 4-0-1 as favs with rest… Frazier: 1-9 as favs < 6 pts
      
St Louis 8-1 off DD SU non-div win… Fisher: 18-6-1 dog off DD SU win
HOUSTON 4-0 H after BB SU losses… 0-9 vs .400 < non-conf opp… Kubiak: 7-1 H off BB SUATS losses
      
Pittsburgh Series: 12-3 L15… Tomlin: 17-8 SU and 15-10 ATS off SU fav loss
NEW YORK JETS 0-5 H vs opp off SU fav loss… 0-3 SUATS vs AFC N
      
Cinncinnati 5-0 in 1st of BB RG’s … 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS as non-div RF’s vs < .500 opp
BUFFALO Series: 9-2 L11… 6-2 vs AFC North
      
Tennessee 0-4 as non-conf dogs > 4 pts… 5-0 O/U as non-div dogs > 8 pts
SEATTLE Series: 1-3 L4… Carroll: 7-0 H vs opp off SUATS loss
      
Jacksonville 5-1 as DD dogs Games 5-8… 6-3 off BB DD SU losses… 6-0-1 O/U vs AFC West
DENVER Series: 0-3 L3 … 5-1 vs .250 < opp … 3-10 SU and 4-9 ATS vs AFC S
      
Arizona 10-1 dog after NFC S… 1-7 A off SU dog win
SAN FRANCISCO Series: 3-1 L 4… 0-4 vs opp off SU dog win
      
New Orleans 5-0-1 before bye 11-2 as favs /dogs 3 < pts off DD SU win… 0-6 off SU non-div dog win
NEW ENGLAND Series: 1-7 L8… 7-0 as non-conf favs < 6 pts vs opp off BB SU wins
      
Washington Series: 11-2 L13 / 7-0 L 6 A … 7-0 as div RD’s < 7 pts
DALLAS 9-0 O/U in 2nd of BB HG’s… Garrett: 5-0 off BB SU losses
      
Monday, Oct 14

Indianapolis Series: 1-4 L5 … 5-1 L6 Monday away
SAN DIEGO 6-0 L6 non-div Mondays off a loss... 19-6 SU and 21-3-1 ATS vs AFC S
      
ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

StatFox Super Situations

NFL ST LOUIS at HOUSTON

Play Against - Road underdogs or pick (ST LOUIS) after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game 41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )

NFL DETROIT at CLEVELAND
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) off a loss against a division rival against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more 25-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.1% 0.0 units )

NFL TENNESSEE at SEATTLE
Play Under - Any team vs the the 1rst half total off an upset loss as a road favorite, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record 41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

Week 6 NFL Trends
Freeplays.com

Oakland @ Kansas City.
The Raiders are 10-17 ATS as road dogs of 7½ to 10 points and 1-8 ATS after playing San Diego, but the Raiders are 7-2 ATS as a divisional underdog of 9 points or more, 18-3-1 ATS overall as a divisional road dog and 11-0-1 ATS as a divisional road dog versus and opponent with win percentage of .400 or better. Kansas City comes in 0-11 ATS as a divisional favorite, 3-6 ATS overall as a favorite, 4-8 ATS versus losing teams and 1-4 ATS as a favorite versus opponents with a win percentage of .333 or less. Note in this series that Oakland is 7-0 ATS at Kansas City and the the favorite in Oakland games is 10-3 ATS lately.

Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay.
The Eagles are 6-12 ATS in games where the line is 3 points or less, 7-14 ATS as a favorite and 1-5 straight up and ATS as a favorite after playing the Giants, However, the Eagles are 8-1 ATS as a favorite of less than 14 points after a divisional game. Tampa Bay off a bye is 5-1 ATS and they’re 4-1 ATS the week before playing Atlanta, but the Bucs are also just 14-21 ATS overall lately, 6-10 ATS at home, 3-13 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses and 3-10 ATS versus losing teams.

Green Bay @ Baltimore.
The Packers are just 1-4 straight up on the road versus AFC North opponents, but they’re also 17-9 ATS overall versus AFC North opponents, 7-3 ATS in October, 24-11 ATS as a favorite, 10-5 ATS against winning teams and 9-0 ATS versus non-conference opponents with a .500 record or better. The Ravens come in 10-5 ATS when the line is 3 points or less either way, but 11-15 ATS as a home dog of 3 points or less. They’re also 5-0 ATS at home off a straight up underdog win and 4-0 straight up and ATS versus NFC North opponents at home. Note Green Bay is 4-1 ATS the last 5 in this series but the home team in Green Bay games is 10-3 ATS and the home team in Baltimore games is 6-1 ATS lately.

Detroit @ Cleveland.
The Lions are just 69-98 ATS overall on the road in the long term, 6-13 ATS versus winning teams, 44-67 ATS on grass and 2-11 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less. However, the Lions are 6-0 ATS versus non-divisional opponents off a straight up favorite loss and they’re 3-1 ATS versus AFC North opponents. The Browns are 14-9 ATS in the underdog role, but just 1-6-1 at home versus a non-conference opponent and 0-3 ATS versus winning teams from the NFC North.

Carolina @ Minnesota.
Carolina is 10-4 ATS versus a losing team, 95-72 long term as an underdog, 83-66 ATS on the road and 8-0 ATS as a dog off a loss versus a team with a winning percentage of .333 or less. The Vikings are 4-0-1 ATS as a favorite off a bye, but 3-9 ATS overall as a favorite, 1-5 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less, 1-9 TS as a favorite of 6 points or less and 2-7 ATS versus an opponent off a straight up and ATS loss. Note in the series that Carolina is 3-1 ATS the last 4 meetings.

St Louis @ Houston.
The Rams are 4-10 ATS as an underdog of 3½ to 9½ points and 8-21 ATS as a road dog of 3½ to 7 points, but note head coach Jeff Fisher is 18-6-1 ATS as a dog off a double digit straight up win. Houston is 2-7 ATS versus NFC West opponents, 17-25 ATS versus NFC overall and 0-9 ATS versus non-conference opponents with a winning percentage of .400 or less. However, the Texans are 21-01 ATS when playing on grass and 35-17 ATS off 2 or more consecutive losses including 4-0 ATS at home off back to back losses.

Pittsburgh @ NY Jets.
The Steelers are 17-8 straight up and 15-10 ATS off a straight up loss as a favorite, but they’re also 11-22 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less, 13-23 ATS the last 36 overall, 5-13 ATS last 18 on the road and 8-18 ATS versus the AFC. NY Jets are 0-5 ATS at home versus and opponent off a straight up loss and 0-3 straight up and ATS versus AFC North opponents. Note in this series Pittsburg is 13-4 straight up and ATS including 6-0 ATS after a straight up loss.

Cincinnati @ Buffalo.
The Bengals are 6-2 ATS as favorites of 3½ to 9½ points, 11-6 ATS on the road lately, 5-0-1 ATS as a road favorite versus a non-divisional team with a losing record and 5-0 ATS in the first of back to back road games. However, the Bengals are 5-15 straight versus AFC East opponents. Buffalo is 3-1 ATS as a home dog of 3½ to 7 points, 4-0 ATS as a home dog versus AFC North and 6-2 ATS versus AFC North opponents overall, but they’re also 12-16 ATS overall versus the AFC. Note in this series Buffalo is 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings.

Tennessee @ Seattle.
The Titans are 7-3 ATS versus NFC West opponents and 39-20 ATS versus NFC overall, but they’re just 2-10 ATS versus winning teams and 3-7 ATS in October. Seattle is 27-11 ATS overall, 15-3 ATS at home, 12-2 ATS versus winning teams, 7-0 ATS at home versus an opponent off a straight up and ATS loss, but thye’re just 27-51 ATS playing in October.

Jacksonville @ Denver.
The Jaguars are 11-21 ATS as an underdog, 13-22 ATS overall the last 35 including 1-9 ATS lately and 11-18 ATS versus AFC opponents. However Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS as a double digit dog in games 5-8 and 6-3 ATS off back to back double digit losses. Denver is 14-7 as a favorite, 11-3 ATS versus losing teams, 11-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins, but just 4-9 ATS versus AFC South opponents and take note that since 1985 underdogs of 20 points or more in the NFL are 6-0 ATS.

Arizona @ San Francisco.
The Cardinals are 18-10 ATS in the underdog role, 5-1 ATS as a double digit dog, 19-9 ATS versus NFC opponents and 10-1 ATS as an underdog after playing an NFC South ooponent. On the flip side Arizona is just 2-7 ATS in october and 1-7 ATs on the road off a straight up underdog win. San Francisco is 2-4 ATS as a double digit favorite and 0-4 ATS versus an opponent off a straight up underdog win, but the 49ers are also 15-6 ATS at home, 26-15 ATS overall and 20-12 ATs as a favorite. Note in the series that San Francisco is 3-1 ATS the last 4 meetings.

New Orleans @ New England.
The Saints are 26-13 ATS overall, 20-6 ATS versus AFC East opponents, 12-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins, 19-7 ATS playing on turf, 12-5 ATS versus winning teams, 5-0-1 ATS the week before a bye and with head coach Sean Payton at the helm they’re 13-0 straight up and ATS . New England is 7-0 ATS as a non-conference favorite off less than 6 points versus an opponent off back to back straight up wins. Note in this series that New Orleans is 7-1 ATS the last 8 including 4-0 ATS as an underdog.

Washington @ Dallas.
The Redskins are 36-18 ATS as road dogs of 3½ to 7 points, 10-3 ATS versus divisional opponents and 7-0 ATS as divisional road dogs of 7 points or less. Dallas is 6-13 ATS at home, 7-18 ATS versus NFC opponents, 4-11 ATS versus losing teams, 3-10 ATS versus divisional opponents and 2-7 ATS when playing on Sunday night. However, the Cowboys are 5-0 straight up and ATS off back to back losses under Garrett. Note Dallas is 9-0 over in the second of back to back home games. Also note the dog in Dallas games is 32-11 ATS and that in this series Washington is 11-2 ATS including 7-0 ATS the last 7 in Dallas.

Indianapolis @ San Diego.
The Colts are 22-10 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less, 12-6 ATS when playing on Monday night and 5-1 ATS the last 6 Monday night games on the road. San Diego is 7-11 ATS at home, but a dynamite 21-3 ATS versus AFC South opponents, 7-1 ATS when playing on Monday night and 9-1 ATS and straight up at home off a straight up loss with a winning percentage of .400 or better. Note in the series San Diego is 7-0 ATS versus Indianapolis when the Colts are off a straight up and ATS win.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

NFL Trends & Angles – Week 6
Insiderangles.com

It was just a so-so Week 5 for our NFL Trends & Angles, which was the first week this season where we had full-season trends instead of those for September only, but we were saved somewhat by the Green Bay Packers, Philadelphia Eagles, Baltimore Ravens and New York Jets showing up in several angles.

As those of you that have followed us in the past know, the majority of our angles will be contrarian in nature and not for the faint of heart, as many of them will point to live underdogs and live ‘unders’ whenever we have total angles. Outside of our first angle this week, which again points to favorites coming off of a bye, the rest of the trends do fit the “ugly” mold, particularly our very last angle as you will see.

While we went back to 2000 for our September angles for the sake of sample sizes, we will only go back to 2005 going forward the rest of the year as that gives us a large enough sampling for full-season trends without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal.

Finally, you will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.

So here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 6, with all records being for the last eight seasons since 2005 plus the first five weeks of this season.

Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (86-49-4, 63.7% ATS): This is the one of our few angles that is not contrarian in nature. NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off oftentimes has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. Qualifier: Minnesota -2½.

Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (145-80-5, 64.4% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started  to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs, and this angle also adds in the motivation off wanting to bounce back after a loss. Qualifiers: Carolina +2½ and Pittsburgh +2½, Jacksonville +27½.

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (181-116-6, 60.9% ATS): This one is similar to the previous angle, except that the team coming off of the road game in now facing a familiar conference foe, which lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack the foe and what to expect on defense, and it also does not matter if the team won or lost its previous road game. Qualifiers: Carolina +2½, Pittsburgh +2½ and Washington +5½.

Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (78-49-4, 61.6% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. Qualifier: Houston -7.

Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (64-46, 58.2% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are becoming overvalued. Yes, following this angle probably takes more courage than any of our other angles, but the results make it all worthwhile. Qualifiers: Jacksonville +27½ and Oakland +7½.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

NFL Week 6 Betting Trends
Bangthebook.com

Green Bay is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The Baltimore Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Packers are still a small favorite in this game because of the respect that books have for this team. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Baltimore.

Something has to give on the totals front in the Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay game this weekend. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 road games, and 7-1 in their last 8 overall. The under is 8-0 in Tampa Bay’s last 8 games overall.

Kansas City is almost a double digit favorite this week at home against the Oakland Raiders. Oakland is actually 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games at Kansas City. The under is 17-5 in the last 22 meetings between these teams.

Seattle looks to get back on track at home against Tennessee this week. The Seahawks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Seattle is 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams.

The Buffalo Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Bengals are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Buffalo. The Bills will have to take care of business with Thad Lewis at the starting quarterback spot here.

The Steelers will try to get in the win column in New York against the surprising Jets this weekend. The Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4. The Jets are 4-1 ATS so far this season. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two.

Looking for a huge point spread? Look no further than the Jacksonville vs. Denver matchup. The Broncos are favored by as much as 28 points in this game. The Jaguars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record. Still, 28 points is a ton to lay in an NFL game.

New England looks to bounce back from last week’s loss with a big win over New Orleans this week. The Patriots are 28-12-1 ATS in their last 41 games following a loss. The Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 against a team with a winning record.

Washington is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC East. Dallas is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a losing record. The Redskins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at Dallas.

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Re: NFL Trends Week 6

Gridiron Angles - Week 6
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND

The Vikings are 14-0 ATS since Nov 25, 1990 within 3 of pick at home when facing a team that has averaged at least 32 minutes of possession time season-to-date.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND

The Broncos are 0-10 ATS since Dec 31, 2006 at home when they won by 1-3 points last week.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND

Tom Brady is 19-0 ATS (+12.1 ppg) in his career when between a 12 ½-point favorite and 3-point dog, vs he did not throw a TD pass against in his last meeting against them. Likely active week 6 against New Orleans.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND

The Cardinals are 11-0 ATS (+10.6 ppg) since December 1990 as a 6+ point underdog vs a team that has won two straight by double-digits.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM

Teams are just 20-32-2 ATS in weeks 6 and 7 of the season coming off their first win of the year last game. Active against Minnesota and Washington.

NFL O/U TREND

The Cowboys are 10-0 OU since Jan 09, 2010 at home after playing at home last game.

PICK SIXTY SPORTS WEEKLY TIP


The Detroit Lions head into Sunday’s game with Cleveland needing a win to keep pace in the tight NFC North following Chicago’s 27-21 win on Thursday. Odds on the road fave are teetering at -2 ½ as the football world awaits the status of WR Calvin Johnson. A “green light” and you can bet this line instantly hits -3. It’s the second straight away game for Detroit while Cleveland is playing their third consecutive home game but if your internal odds-making clock reads Advantage: Browns” you might want to consider these two angles:

In the last seven seasons the 138 teams in the second-half of a two-game roadie where the line is within three points of ‘Pick em’ are 87-46-5 ATS (65-percent).

The Browns have a good group of defenders with a playmaker on punt returns (Travis Benjamin) but the Lions are 6-3 ATS in their last nine non-Conference games averaging 36.6 points on offense. At -2 ½ points or less we like the LIONS to cover.

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