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College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, October 4

College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, October 4

BYU (2 - 2) at UTAH ST (3 - 2) - 10/4/2013, 8:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NEVADA (3 - 2) at SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 3) - 10/4/2013, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEVADA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of BYU's last 7 games on the road
BYU is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah State   
Utah State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah State's last 7 games at home


Nevada is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games

BYU at Utah State
BYU: 0-6 ATS off a home win
Utah State: 10-1 ATS as a favorite

Nevada at San Diego
Nevada: 0-7 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins
San Diego: 32-17 UNDER in October games

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, October 4

NCAAF Week 6

This is first time this century Utah State is fave in this series; underdogs are 8-3 vs spread in last eleven meetings, with BYU winning 10 of last 11 series games but Aggies covered last five, losing 6-3/27-24 in last two meetings. State opened with four road games in five weeks, losing by 4 at Utah, 3 at USC- they're 5-1 in last six games as a home favorite. Cougars lost rivalry game to Utah at home; they scored 16-13 in losses this year, 37-40 in wins, losing by 3 at rainy Virginia in only away game. BYU covered its last seven games as a road underdog; they've won three of last four visits here, but did not cover any of the four.

Dingwell came off bench to spark San Diego State's 39-38 (+6.5) win LY at Nevada; 1-3 Aztecs are struggling this year, blowing home game late vs Oregon State (threw pick-6 with lead in last 4:00) and beating a lowly New Mexico State team only 26-16 last week. Nevada got whacked bad in money grab games at UCLA/Florida State, then beat Hawai'i and Air Force at home; 375 rushing yards Falcons gained with its #1 QB out for game is alarming for Wolf Pack defense. Nevada is 7-8 in last 15 games as a road underdog. Aztecs are 10-7 in last 17 games as a home favorite.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, October 4

Friday's Betting Notes
By Brian Edwards

Brigham Young at Utah State

As of Wednesday afternoon, most books were listing Utah St. (3-2 straight up, 4-1 against the spread) as a six-point favorite with a total of 57.5 points. Gamblers can back the Cougars to win outright for a +200 return (risk $100 to win $200). For first-half wagers, the Aggies are favored by 3.5 with a total of 28.5.

Utah St. went on national television last Friday and thumped San Jose St. 40-12 as a 10-point road favorite. Chuckie Keeton completed 29-of-42 passes for 260 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. He also rushed for 52 yards and another score. The 52 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 62-point total.

Keeton is enjoying another remarkable season. The junior QB has a 17/1 touchdown-to-interception ratio along with a pair of rushing scores. For his career, Keeton has a 55/12 TD-INT ratio and 14 rushing TDs.

BYU (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) is coming off a 37-10 win over Middle Tennessee as a 23-point home ‘chalk.’ The 47 combined points went ‘under’ the 59-point tally. Without two of its best offensive players in RB Jamaal Williams (concussion) and WR Cody Hoffman (suspension), sophomore QB Taysom Hill led the way with 165 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 18 carries. He also completed 14-of-19 throws for 177 yards.

Hill has rushed for a team-high 565 yards and six TDs, averaging 8.6 yards per carry. He hasn’t been as effective through the air, connecting on just 40.6 percent of his passes for 741 yards. Hill has only one TD pass compared to four interceptions.

Williams will return to the lineup against the Aggies after sustaining a concussion in a 20-13 home loss to Utah two weeks ago. He has rushed for 378 yards with a 5.0 YPC average. Hoffman will also be back following a one-game suspension. He missed the season opener against Virginia with a hamstring strain, too. Therefore, Hoffman has made only 10 catches for 171 yards and hasn’t been into the end zone yet. Obviously, that’s nowhere near the pace he set in 2012 with 100 catches.

As a road underdog during Bronco Mendenhall’s nine-year tenure, BYU owns a 10-6-1 spread record.

Utah St. has compiled a 7-1 spread record in its last eight games.

BYU is fourth in the nation in rushing with a 307.2 YPG average. The Cougars are ranked 21st in total offense, but they score only 26.5 PPG (81st nationally). BYU gives up only 17.5 PPG (27th).

Utah St. is scoring at a 40.4 PPG clip. The Aggies surrender 17.0 PPG.

The ‘over’ is 3-2 overall for Utah St. this year, 1-0 in its only home contest. The ‘under’ is 3-1 for BYU, 1-0 in its lone road assignments.

When these schools met in Provo last year, BYU captured a 6-3 win but failed to cover the number as a 6.5-point home favorite. The Aggies have taken the cash in five straight head-to-head meetings.

The ‘under’ has cashed in six consecutive head-to-head matchups between these in-state rivals.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports College network.

Nevada at San Diego State

As of Wednesday afternoon, most books had San Diego St. (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) installed as a five-point favorite with a total of 57. Bettors can back the Wolf Pack on the money line for a +180 payout (risk $100 to win $180).

Rocky Long’s team got off to an inauspicious start when it dropped its season opener to Eastern Illinois by a 40-19 count as a 14-point home favorite. The Aztecs were disappointing in Week 2 as well, getting drilled 42-7 at Ohio St. as 28.5-point underdogs. SDS came off an open date in Week 4 and earned its first spread cover in a 34-30 loss to Oregon St. as a seven-point home underdog. Then last week, SDS got its first win but failed to cover in a 26-16 triumph over New Mexico St. as a 16-point road ‘chalk.’

Nevada (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) has won its first two Mountain West Conference games in back-to-back fashion. The Wolf Pack collected wins over Air Force (45-42) and Hawaii (31-9) after taking a 62-7 beatdown at Florida St. in Week 3. They also got taken behind the woodshed in a 58-20 loss at UCLA in the season opener.

In fairness to Brian Polian’s first team at Nevada, we should note that starting QB Cody Fajardo didn’t play against the Seminoles due to sprained knee. After missing a pair of games, Fajardo made his return last week against Air Force. He threw three TD passes and ran for a pair of scores. Fajardo torched the Falcons for 389 passing yards and 81 yards on the ground. For the season, he has completed 70.1 percent of his throws with a 5/0 TD-INT ratio. Fajardo has 223 rushing yards and five TDs on just 41 carries for a 5.4 YPC average.

When Ryan Katz was injured last season, Adam Dingwell started the last five games for San Diego St. at QB. He was the starter to begin 2013 but after being intercepted five times without throwing a TD pass in the first two games, Dingwell was benched. In the last two outings, juco transfer Quinn Kaehler has proven to be more effective. His 3/3 TD-INT ratio isn’t elite by any means, but Kaehler has completed 63.2 percent of his passes for 696 yards.

San Diego St. junior RB Adam Muema was the catalyst in a nine-win season last year, rushing for 1,458 yards and 16 TDs while averaging 6.2 YPC. However, in 2013, Muema has been unable to produce. In fact, he has only 118 rushing yards and one TD on 51 totes. That has Muema with an abysmal 2.3 YPC average. The Aztecs have got to get him going if they have any hopes of turning their fortunes around.

Since 2004, Nevada has limped to a 9-16 spread record in 25 games as a road underdog.

San Diego St. is 6-7 ATS as a home favorite on Long’s watch.

San Diego St. lost its best defensive player last week when LB Jake Fely went down with a broken foot. He had season-ending surgery on Wednesday.

The ‘under’ is 3-1 for SDS, 1-1 in its home games. Meanwhile, Nevada has seen the ‘over’ go 3-2, 2-0 in its road contests.

When these schools met last season, San Diego St. won a 39-38 decision in overtime as a seven-point road underdog. The 77 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 66.5-point total thanks to the extra session. Fajardo and Dingwell threw three TD passes apiece and neither signal caller was picked off.

ESPN will have the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, October 4

Friday's NCAAF Action: What Bettors Need to Know

BYU Cougars at Utah State Aggies (-6, 57.5)

The Brigham Young Cougars boast one of the most robust rushing games in the NCAA - but they'll face a significant test Friday night as they visit the Utah State Aggies at Romney Stadium. Utah State is allowing an average of 17 points per game - good for 23rd in the nation - and has surrendered fewer than 127 rushing yards per game through its first five contests. The Aggies will have to deal with a dual threat in the BYU backfield, with quarterback Taysom Hill fifth in the country at 141.3 rushing yards per game and running back Jamaal Williams13th at 126 ypg.

Utah State could use a boost with the return to form of Joe Hill. The junior running back has been battling injuries all season and had just nine carries for 30 yards in last week's one-sided win over San Jose State. Hill is considered day-to-day for Friday's game. Backup Joey DeMartino has fared well in Hill's absence - carrying 34 times for 297 yards - but lacks breakaway speed and could find things difficult against a formidable Cougars defense. BYU holds a 45-34-3 edge in the all-time series, including a 6-3 victory last Oct. 5.

LINE: Utah State opened as a six-point favorite but the line has since dropped to -5.5. The O/U has climbed from 56.5 to 57.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with clear skies and wind blowing from north to south across the length of the field at 5 mph.


* The Cougars are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Mountain West Conference.
* The Aggies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* The under is 11-1 in BYU's last 12 Friday games.

Nevada Wolf Pack at San Diego State Aztecs (-6, 58)

The Wolf Pack offense is rolling again following a momentary hiccup, and will look to carry over its momentum into Friday's showdown with Mountain West rival San Diego State. Nevada scored 76 points in consecutive victories over Hawaii and Air Force, and hits the road for the first time since a 62-7 drubbing at the hands of the Florida State Seminoles. The Aztecs are also coming off a victory, defeating the New Mexico State Aggies 26-16 last weekend to halt a season-opening three-game losing streak.

Nevada is led by multi-talented quarterback Cody Fajardo, who threw for 389 yards and three touchdowns and added a pair of rushing scores in last week's 45-42 win over Air Force. Fajardo did considerable damage despite dealing with a knee injury that forced him to miss games against the Seminoles and Warriors. The junior signal caller will be wearing a knee brace against San Diego State as a precautionary measure, but has told reporters that the device does not inhibit his ability to run.

LINE: SDSU opened as a 5.5-point favorite, but the line has since shifted to six. The O/U has risen from 57 to 58.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies and calm winds.


* Nevada is 1-7-1 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 40 points in its previous contest.
* SDSU is 6-1 ATS in its last seven conference games.
* The over is 7-1 in the Aztecs' last eight games against teams with winning road records.

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Re: College Football Betting News and Notes Friday, October 4

1-3 Aztecs made favorites

NEVADA WOLF PACK (3-2) at SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS (1-3) Line & Total: San Diego State -6 & 50.5
Opening Line & total: Aztecs -4 & 58

Nevada will play a game in its sixth straight week on Friday night and attempt to move to 3-0 in conference play, but has to visit a San Diego State team with momentum and new faces at the top of its depth chart.

While the records of these two teams may paint one picture, the underlying stats and recent events of the teams may tell another. This season has been a surprise for Nevada, whom after going 4-4 in conference play last year, will look to move to 3-0 in the Mountain West Conference. On the other hand, San Diego State is coming off a 2012 season where it shared the conference championship with Fresno State and Boise State, but got off to a very slow start in 2013 with losses in the first three games of the year.

These two teams do not have a very long history, playing each other only three times since 1992. The Aztecs have gone 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS) in these matchups and squeaked out a narrow 39-38 victory in Nevada as 7-point underdogs last October. Changes at key positions for SDSU look to have given the squad new life as it lost against Oregon State in the last few minutes of a 34-30 outcome and is coming off a 26-16 victory for its first win of the year against New Mexico State. Nevada has faltered when faced with superior competition (UCLA and FSU), but has proven to be a solid team with wins against UC Davis and MWC foes Hawaii and Air Force. Nevada is 4-10 ATS over its past 14 games, and 1-6 ATS on the road over its past seven contests. Over their past five games, the Aztecs are 1-4 both SU and ATS.

Nevada is coming off of two straight conference wins (Hawaii, Air Force) and has played a game in each of the past five weeks, so fatigue could possibly be a factor late in this game. QB Cody Fajardo has been the main weapon for the Wolf Pack in 2013, and has posted impressive numbers in his three starts. He has protected the ball well (0 INT) and kept defenses on their toes both in the passing game (264 pass YPG, 5 TD) and rushing attack (223 rush yards, 5 TD).

Helping Fajardo and the nation’s 58th-best running offense will be HBs Kendall Brock and Chris Solomon. The two running backs have a combined 138 attempts for 503 yards (3.6 YPC) and two touchdowns. Another key offensive player in this game will be 2012 All-Conference WR Brandon Wimberly, who posted 15 catches for 134 yards and a touchdown against Air Force last week. Overall Wimberly has 34 catches for 285 yards and 4 TD on the season, including a touchdown in each of the past four games.

DE Brock Hekking (24 tackles, 3 sacks) will attempt to help Nevada’s 103rd-ranked defense get back on track as it has given up 40+ points in three of its five games and has allowed 270 rushing YPG to opponents. The Wolf Pack will be looking for Fajardo and senior Wimberly to lead the way if they hope to have their first victory in four attempts against the Aztecs.

San Diego State started out the season with three straight losses, but has seemed to turn it around somewhat with a solid performance against a very high octane Oregon State offense and a win at New Mexico State. Much of this turnaround can be attributed to the addition of QB Quinn Kaehler and HB Donnel Pumphrey to the starting lineup. When starting QB Adam Dingwell went down with an injured back against Ohio State, Kaehler seized his chance to run the offense and has appeared to win the starting job for good. In his two starts plus most of the Ohio State game, Kaehler has thrown for 696 yards, 3 TD and 3 INT, which has led him to a 1-1 record as a starter.

Pumphrey was the spark that SDSU was looking for last week at NMSU, where he ran the ball 19 times for 167 yards and three scores. The Aztecs offense is also aided by the two-headed receiving duo of WR Ezell Ruffin (20 rec, 299 yards) and WR Colin Lockett (21 rec, 279 yards). San Diego State has struggled mightily on the defensive side this year allowing 406 total YPG and 33 PPG (99th in nation) on the season. Look for the new blood in San Diego to dig deep on Thursday and try to turn this struggling team around.

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